Ted Dosch
Analyst · Longbow Research
Thank you, Dennis. Consistent with our expectations, sales were up 5% sequentially but down almost 5% year-on-year on an organic basis. The sequential improvement is largely attributable to the fewer number of holidays in the first quarter when compared to the fourth quarter of 2009. The expected decline year-on-year was driven by three important factors. First, as mentioned in previous quarters, we believe that we needed to see six to nine months of GDP growth before our customer base would begin to see their respective businesses grow. Secondly, we exited a major lower margin customer contract in Q4 of last year. Lastly, our Electronic Wire & Cable business and our Aerospace business didn't hit their bottom until Q2 2009, making for a challenging year-over-year comparison in the current quarter. In the first quarter we reported flat year-on-year sales. After adjusting for $44.1 million of favorable foreign exchange effects, and an estimated $15.8 million of favorable copper prices, we saw an organic decline in sales of approximately 5%. Approximately half of that organic decline was due to our decision to exit the Alcatel-Lucent contract, which contributed $31.7 million of sales in last year's first quarter. In addition, it is important to note that the organic sales decline in each of our geographic segments and end markets continued to shrink from previous quarters. Looking at first quarter sales trends within each of our end markets, we experienced the following: On a worldwide basis, Enterprise Cabling and Security Solutions sales, exclusive of foreign exchange effects, declined organically by 4% as compared to the first quarter of last year. All of this organic decline can be attributed to our decision to exit the previously mentioned Alcatel-Lucent contract. Within this end market, Security sales grew an estimated 2% compared to first quarter of 2009, exclusive of foreign exchange effects. Geographically, our Enterprise Cabling and Security Solution sales were down 4% organically in North America, 6% in Europe and 2% in Emerging Markets as compared to the year ago quarter. As we analyzed where we are in the early stages of this economic recovery, it is important to note that on a sequential basis from the fourth quarter of 2009, to the first quarter of 2010, we saw Enterprise Cabling sales increase by 1% organically. The slight increase is primarily due to two factors: The increased number of billing days in Q1 versus Q4 was largely offset by the termination of the Alcatel-Lucent contract in Q4 of 2009. By geography, we saw sales on a sequential basis exclusive of foreign exchange effects increase by 5% in North America despite the exit of the Alcatel-Lucent contract, and in Europe, we saw an increase of 2%. In the Emerging Markets, we experienced the sequential quarter decrease of 15% in organic sales that reflects normal seasonal patterns within this end market. Worldwide Electrical Wire & Cable sales, exclusive of foreign currency and estimated copper price effects, experienced year-on-year organic sales declines of 8% globally, with North America and Europe showing declines of 8% and 7%, respectively. Keep in mind that our global Electrical Wire & Cable business delivered strong results in Q1 2009 due to the relatively longer life cycle of major projects in this end market. On a sequential basis, from the first quarter from the fourth quarter of 2009, to the first quarter of 2010, worldwide Electrical Wire & Cable sales increased by 12% organically, approximately double what you would expect from the increased billing days. All geographies showed very healthy sequential organic growth, with North America at 9%, Europe at 25% and Emerging Markets at 7%. Our worldwide OEM Supply business has been our hardest hit market over the last two years. With that in mind, it was encouraging to see sales in the first quarter for that end market, exclusive of foreign exchange effects, we're down just 1% on an organic basis as compared to the year-ago quarter. In North America, we saw an organic sales decline of 10% year-over-year while in Europe we saw an increase in organic sales of 9%. The North America results include a 13% decrease in Aerospace and Defense sales, where a recession cycle downward pressure on sales didn't begin to materialize until Q2 of 2009. Having experienced significant organic sales declines in the OEM Supply end market for over a year, the combination of depleted inventory levels of our customers products, with higher levels of capital spending in many industries, resulted in an opportunity for us to grow our sales with both existing customers as well as with new customers. Sequentially, worldwide OEM Supply sales were up 10% organically, well in excess of the impact of higher billing days in the first quarter. This business showed positive organic growth in each geography, delivering sequential increases of 2% in North America, 23% in Europe and 5% in the Emerging Markets. This is the second consecutive quarter that we have seen encouraging signs of the early stage recovery in this business. Although we view this as a positive sign, it is premature to determine whether the growth rate we have seen in recent weeks can continue on this type of trajectory. Bob will discuss current business trends and the implications for the future in greater detail in a few minutes. Turning next to gross margins, in the first quarter we reported gross margins of 22.8%. While the gross margin percentage reflects a year-on-year decline of 30 basis points, more importantly there has been a definitive stabilizing trend over the past four quarters. Looking at the trend over the last year, gross margins have been relatively constant. Specifically, gross margins after adjusting for any unusual items, was 22.8% in the most recent quarter, 22.7% in the fourth quarter, 22.6% in the third quarter and 22.7% in the second quarter. As we commented last quarter, we believe this trend is a positive indicator along with an improving daily sales run rate that we're beginning to see the start to an economic recovery. Looking next at operating expenses, we reported a year-on-year decrease of approximately 2% from $236.4 million in the year-ago quarter to $232.7 million in the most recent quarter. Eliminating the $8.3 million negative impact of foreign currency effects on this expense, reflects a spending reduction of $12 million or a 5% decrease. This shows the positive impact that last year's cost-reduction initiatives have had on our cost structure. As expected, operating expenses did increase sequentially primarily due to higher compensation-related costs and variable costs associated with the increase in sales. To summarize, from an operating income perspective, operating profits were $57 million in the first quarter as compared to the year-ago quarter of $56.9 million. We believe that stabilized gross margins, combined with the lower operating expense run rate that we have achieved over the last four quarters, positions us well for a recovering economy. As we move further down the income statement, interest expense of $15.6 million was up $1.1 million from the year-ago quarter. The increase in interest expense was driven by a higher average cost of debt on a lower debt level than the year-ago quarter. The 7.4% average cost of debt in the first quarter was down from the 7.8% level of the fourth quarter of 2009 due to the previously mentioned debt repurchase late in the first quarter. However, this level was still higher than the 5% average cost of debt in the year ago quarter due to the higher cost associated with the senior note offering in March of 2009, and lower average short-term borrowings which have lower interest rates. At the end of the current quarter, approximately 89% of our outstanding debt had fixed interest rates, either by the terms of the debt or through hedging contracts. We expect to see a more significant reduction in interest in Q2 as a result of the additional debt retirement actions taken in the first quarter of this year. The repurchase of the 10% Senior Notes resulted in our loss of $30.5 million. This was the primary driver of the $31.6 million of other expense in the current quarter compared to income of $600,000 in the year-ago quarter. During the most recent current quarter, an effective tax rate of 40% resulted in income tax expense of $3.9 million compared to an effective tax rate of 40.3%, resulting in $17.3 million of income tax in the year-ago quarter. At this early point in the year, it's very difficult to anticipate the impact that country level profitability will have on the full year effective tax rate. This will likely mean that the effective tax rate will remain volatile in the near term, making precise predictability of our rate difficult for the remainder of 2010. For the quarter, the company reported net income of $5.9 million or $0.16 per diluted share, compared to $25.7 million or $0.72 per diluted share reported in the year-ago period. After adjusting for the loss on the early retirement of debt, net income in the first quarter of 2010 would have been $24.8 million or $0.69 per share. The 2010 reduction and the higher cost of debt, combined with the current quarter's share repurchase, is projected to have a positive impact on diluted earnings per share by approximately $0.25 for the last three quarters of 2010. Included in this EPS improvement is a reduction in interest expense as a result of the above mentioned retirement of 10% notes of approximately $10.9 million for the last three quarters of 2010. As noted at the beginning of this call, we were pleased with another quarter of strong cash flow performance. We generated $74.7 million in cash from operations during the quarter as compared to $88 million in the year-ago quarter. This strong cash flow was achieved despite the working capital requirements associated with consecutive quarters sales growth experienced in this year's first quarter. Capital expenditures were $4.1 million in the quarter compared to $6.2 million in the year-ago quarter. We anticipate continued strong cash flow generation in 2010 through both earnings growth as well as strict working capital management, particularly until we begin to experience stronger revenue growth. The current quarter's cash flow, together with borrowings under our accounts receivable securitization facility, were used to reduce outstanding 10% Senior Notes by approximately $121.9 million. We also repurchased 1 million shares of stock for $41.2 million. This has resulted in a debt to equity ratio of 43.5% at the end of the current quarter, down from 44.8% at year-end 2009 and 49.1% at the end of the first quarter of 2009. Our position regarding strategic acquisitions remains the same as we discussed in prior quarters. As a more definitive pattern of economic recovery becomes visible, we would anticipate additional opportunities becoming available. In the absence of near-term opportunities, we may from time to time repurchase outstanding common shares or further reduce borrowings, including the 3.25% convertible notes. We have approximately $313.4 million in available, committed, unused credit lines, $75 million of outstanding borrowings under our $200 million accounts receivable facility, and invested cash balances of $30.7 million. We continue to regard our strong financial position and significant liquidity as important differentiators from many companies in today's still difficult market. These favorable financial characteristics provide Anixter with the flexibility to adjust quickly to new market realities, fund investments and crucial long-term growth initiatives, and allow us to capitalize quickly on the eventual market rebound. While we begin to see some positive trends in the most recent quarter, and signs of the economic cycle maybe turning, we will continue to manage this business prudently and with a focus on the Company's long-term goals and strategy. At this point, let me turn the call over to Bob to discuss strategic initiatives, current business trends and the near-term outlook.