Michael Fleisher
Analyst · Canaccord Genuity. Your line is open
Thanks Niraj and good morning everyone. As always, I will highlight some of the key financial information for this quarter now, with more detailed information available in our earnings release and the slide accompanying this call which can be found on our IR website. In Q2, our total net revenue grew 66.4% year-over-year to $491.8 million. As Niraj described, this growth was driven by our direct retail business which grew 80.8% over Q2 2014 to $440.3 million. Our other business which includes revenue from our small media business and from our retail partners declined 0.9% over Q2 2014 to $51.5 million. This decline is consistent with our strategy to focus increasingly on our direct retail business, now almost 90% of the total business, where we own the customer relationship. Our gross profit for the quarter which is net of all product costs, delivery and fulfillment expenses was $120.8 million or 24.6% of net revenue. This is compared to 23.2% in the same quarter last year and 24.2% in Q1 2015. The change in gross margin on a quarterly basis is a result of normal fluctuations due to the wide range of products that we sell and the benefits of larger scale. As we’ve shared with you before, we believe the appropriate growth margin threshold for the business in the near term is mid-23% to low-24%. It is not our intention to remain at this quarter’s gross margin level of 24.6%, so we are giving some of this margin back to the customer in the form of price, delivery, and customer service. The remaining financials I’ll share on a non-GAAP basis, excluding the impact of equity-based compensation and related taxes which totaled $7.1 million in Q2 2015 and $974,000 in Q2 2014. As a remainder, prior to the IPO, we only had equity-based compensation expenses recognized in relation to tender offers. Post the IPO, we recognized equity-based compensation each quarter in all line items that have headcount. For reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP reporting, please refer to our earnings release on our Investor Relations website and the slide that accompanies this call. Customer service and merchant fees with 3.7% of sales compared to 4% in the same period last year and consistent with Q1. In general, we view this cost as a variable expense that will stay fairly consistent over time. As Niraj pointed out earlier, the small portion of this expense that represents our customer service teams generates nice return in terms of customer satisfaction and repeat buying behavior. Advertising spend was 12.5% of revenue in the quarter or $61.5 million. Year-over-year advertising spend as a percentage of sales improved 190 basis points from 14.4% of revenue in the Q2 2014 and improved 120 basis points over Q1 2015. As we described in the last two calls, we anticipate ongoing year-over-year leverage in ad spend as repeat buying continues to grow. We spent far less on advertising to get our existing customers to buy again than to acquire new customer. Therefore, as orders from the existing customers become a larger portion of the base, we anticipate continued improvement in ad spend leverage. This quarter, we did see higher than anticipated leverage due to our strong revenue performance. As we described before, we carefully manage ad spend throughout the quarter and we only spend when we believe we get the right ROI and visibility on payback. And our view and target on these metrics has not changed. Therefore, with the revenue outperformance this quarter, we saw some incremental flow through resulting in increased leverage. I do want to make clear that we remain committed to aggressively spending to gain new customers and will lean in anytime we have opportunities to scale customer acquisition in a way that hits our ROI and payback goals. As Niraj highlighted in his remarks, we saw particular strengths in the repeat business this quarter, with orders from repeat customers up to 56.6% of total orders. LTM net revenue per active customer grew 7.5% to $357 annually and LTM orders per active customer grew to 1.67 from 1.62 a year ago. While we do anticipate quarterly fluctuations in repeat metrics, we’re excited about the strengths in our core customer base. We also saw strength in new customer acquisitions this quarter. We added approximately 447,000 net new customers, more than we’ve ever added before. We believe our growing brand awareness and the investment we’ve made in brand advertising both through TV and online have helped to drive new customer acquisitions. Our merchandising, marketing and sales spend on a non-GAAP basis was $20.6 million or 4.2% of net revenue compared to $13.1 million or 4.4% of net revenue in Q2 last year. Non-GAAP operations, technology, and G&A expense was $32.8 million for the quarter or 6.7% of sales compared to $23 million or 7.8% of sales in Q2 last year. These two line items are primarily headcount and the increase in spend both on a year-over-year basis and on a quarter basis is due to ongoing investment in our teams. Our hiring efforts continue to scale in the second quarter, where we added over 225 net new employees. Even with over 225 net new people starting, we saw greater leverage on operating expenses as the pace of hiring was not as fast as we like to keep up with the revenue growth. We continue to add to our recruiting team to help increase the speed of hiring in the upcoming quarters as we believe it’s important to invest in our team now to meet the growing needs of our business. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was negative $5 million or negative 1% of net revenue compared to negative $17.6 million or negative 6% of net revenue in the same quarter a year ago. The year-over-year improvement in EBITDA margin was driven by leverage in advertising spend and headcount as I just described. Although we increased total advertising dollars spent and rapidly expanded the team in the second quarter, revenue growth outpaced our ability to invest in hire contributing to more flow through than originally forecast. Non-GAAP free cash flow for the quarter was positive $11 million. This positive free cash flow was driven by net cash from operations of $28.5 million, primarily as a result of the favorable working capital dynamics in our business. The positive cash flow from operations was offset by $17.5 million in capital expenditures for the quarter. Non-GAAP diluted net loss per share was negative $0.15 on $83.6 million weighted average common shares outstanding. As of June 30, we had $366.7 million of cash, cash equivalents and short and long-term investments. Our inventory level was just $21.3 million, where 1.3% of LTM sales. It’s worth noting that although the overall business has grown 66.4%, inventory has stayed very constant at just $19.8 million in the same period last year. Overall, we are very excited with our second quarter results and the continued strong revenue growth from both our new and repeating customers. I’d now like to offer guidance for Q3 2015. We forecast direct retail revenue of $445 million to $475 million, a growth rate of approximately 56% to 66% over the same quarter last year. Given the extraordinary growth that we recently seen in the direct retail business, I want to give a little more context for this guidance that we typically do. The 56% to 66% growth rate is faster than the guidance we gave on our last earnings call, but still below the nearly 81% growth in the direct retail business in Q2. In our business, growth is ultimately based on the customers showing up every day, so it’s very difficult to forecast that the recent growth rates sustain, particularly as we enter a period with increasingly higher sales on a dollar basis in the prior year. We are trying to manage the guidance process to be transparent and not give any outside fee as happened in the last quarter, but we also want to be prudent as we are only midway through the quarter. Recently in Q3, we have experienced a direct retail growth rate above our guidance of 56% to 66%, but at a rate that is lower than the Q2 direct retail growth rate of 80.8%. We expect other revenue to be between $45 million to $50 million, for total net revenue of $490 million to $525 million. We forecast EBITDA margins of negative 2.5% to negative 3%. We will continue to invest in the business to create sustained growth in the long run and do not expect to see the level of flow through that we saw on last quarter’s revenue beat. As I previously described, we will invest this coming in advertising as long as we can get an efficient, timely ROI and hiring where we continue to grow our team to both support our current scale and invest to staff all the initiatives that will drive our future growth. For modeling purposes for Q3 2015, we have assumed equity-based compensation expense of $11 million, average weighted shares outstanding of $83.9 million and depreciation and amortization of approximately $8.3 million. Before turning the call back over to Niraj, I want to touch briefly on our announcement in July about the sale of our Australian business. As a reminder, our international business as a whole is less than 6% of total revenue, the vast majority of which is our European business. We see significant opportunity in the US and Europe and as we scale, we want to focus our efforts on growth in these large markets. The divestiture of the Australian business helps us to strategically align our resources with these priorities. As the sale occurred in July, the proceeds from the sale, which are immaterial will be accounted for in our third quarter financials. Now, let me turn the call over to Niraj, before we take your questions.