Gerald Paul
Analyst · Longbow
Thank you, Lori, and good morning to everybody. In the first quarter Vishay showed continued financial success, which was quite in line with the exceptional year 2018. The economic environment remained healthy for most of our end markets, but there is a substantial increase of inventory in the supply chain. Vishay in the first quarter achieved a gross margin of 28% of sales and operating margin of 15% of sales, GAAP earnings per share of $0.52 and adjusted earnings per share of $0.51. We also had a strong start into the year in terms of free cash, we generated in the first quarter $44 million. Let me talk about the economic environment. The global economy for electronic components in the first quarter remained principally healthy and the selling prices continue to be stable, but supply in general has caught up to market demand and lead times keep reducing. As a direct consequence, backlogs continue to normalize with book-to-bill ratios now substantially below 1. The inventories in the supply chain have reached very high levels. Talking about the regions geographically markets in the first quarter developed differently. We have seen ongoing strength in the US with POS at record levels. Strength also in Europe carried by industrial and by automotive. We have also seen a general weakening in Asia in continuation of the fourth quarter last year. Global distribution in the first quarter continued to do principally well, with POS growing by 2% quarter-over-quarter. There was a strong POS in the US and in Europe. Asia was weakening, which was also impacted to a degree by the US tariffs. Inventory levels at distribution have grown to record levels, which makes a significant burn off unavoidable. In the first quarter, inventory turns at distributors reduced to 2.7, as compared to 2.9 in the first quarter and to 3.8 in prior year. In the Americas, turns were 1.7 in the quarter, after 1.9 in quarter four last year and 2.2 in prior year. In Asia, the turns were 3.1 after 3.7 and 5.1 in prior year. In Europe, turns were 3.5 after also 3.5 in prior quarter and 4.5 in the prior year. Automotive business conditions due to electrification remain positive despite some softening of the vehicle production. Advanced driver-assist systems 48-volt [ph] electric vehicles charging systems are driving the demand. On the other hand, we see some pressures on the traditional diesel systems. There is a relative stability of the industrial markets supported by factory automation, Internet of things, smart metering, power transmission programs. Military and avionics remain promising, also due to governmental programs in several countries. Medical markets show continued and accelerating growth. Fixed telecom is expected to grow substantially this year, driven by 5G product releases. Mobile phones continued to be flat at best. Computers were weak in the quarter, but we expect some seasonal recovery. Consumer markets present the scattered picture. TVs and gaming is weak. White goods, in particular, air conditioning as well as variables is growing. Let me talk about our business. In the first quarter excluding exchange rate impacts, we came in close to the midpoint of our guidance. We achieved sales of $745 million versus $776 million in prior quarter and versus $717 million in prior year. Excluding exchange rate effects, sales in Q1 were down by $30 million or by 4% versus prior quarter, but up versus prior year by $48 million or by 7%. The book-to-bill ratio in Q1 was 0.79. 0.40 -- 0.54 for distribution after 0.90 in the fourth quarter. 1.1 for OEMs after 0.98. 0.74 for the actives after 0.91. 0.84 for passives after 0.96, 0.75 for the Americas after 0.76. 0.73 for Asia after 0.9. 0.89 for Europe after 1.11. The normalization of backlogs for distribution now has started in a broad form, but the OEM business keeps doing well and it's growing. Backlog in the first quarter decreased to a still very high level of 5.4 months coming from 5.8 months in the fourth quarter. 5.9 months in actives and 4.9 months in passives. Our historical level of backlog is approximately 3 months. Prices were stable for now minus 0.4% versus prior quarter, plus 0.8% versus prior year. Tariff errors are included. For actives minus 0.8% versus prior quarter and plus 0.7% versus prior year. For passive same level as prior quarter, plus 0.9% versus prior year. Some highlights from operations; in the first quarter, we again, we are able to more than offset the negative impact on the contributive margin by cost reduction and by innovation. SG&A costs in the first quarter came in at $103 million quite in line with our expectations. Manufacturing fixed cost in the first quarter were $131 million, also in line with our expectations. Total employment at the end of the first quarter was 24,140 people virtually no change vis-à-vis prior quarter. Excluding exchange rate impacts, inventories in the quarter increased by $4 million, raw materials went down by $1 million and WIP and finished goods increased by $5 million. Inventory turns in the first quarter remained at a good level of 4.3. Capital spending in the first quarter was $36 million versus $28 million in prior year. $25 million for expansion, $6 million for cost reduction and $5 million for maintenance of business. For the year 2019, we now expect CapEx of approximately $165 million, which represents an adoption related to short-term market requirements. We generated in the first quarter cash from operations of $80 million versus $47 million in prior year. We generated cash from operations of $291 million on a trailing 12 month basis, including $157 million cash taxes for cash repatriation. We generated in the first quarter free cash of $44 million versus a free cash generation of $19 million. in prior year. And we generated free cash of $109 million on a trailing 12 month basis, again including $157 million cash taxes for cash repatriation. Let me come to our product lines, talking first about resistors and inductors. Vishay's traditional and since years, most profitable business continues to grow steadily. With resistors and inductors, we enjoy a very strong position in the industrial, auto, military and medical market segments. Sales in the first quarter were $256 million, down by $6 million or by 2% versus prior quarter, but up by $19 million or 8% versus prior year. This excludes exchange rate impacts. The book-to-bill ratio in the first quarter was 0.92 after 0.94 in prior quarter. Backlog decreased slightly from 5.0 months to 4.8 months, which is still very high. Gross margin in the quarter came in at very good 33% of sales after 32% in prior quarter. Inventory turns in the first quarter remained at a good level of 4.3. We have seen price stability minus 0.3% versus prior quarter and plus 2% versus prior year. We continue to expand manufacturing capacities for power inductors, MELFs and thin film resistor chips. And our latest acquisition UltraSource continues to perform very well with gross margins far exceeding the average of the business segment. Coming to capacitors; our business with capacitors is based on a broad range of technologies with a strong position in American and European market niches. We enjoy increasing opportunities in the field of power transmission and of e-cars, namely in Asia. Sales in the first quarter were $119 million, 9% below prior quarter, but 17% above prior year, which excludes exchange rate effects. The book-to-bill ratio in the first quarter was 0.67 after 1.02 in previous quarter. In particular tantalum caps, currently experience a phase of backlog normalization. The backlog reduced to a still very high level of 5.1 months. Gross margin in the quarter remained at a satisfactory level of 25% of sales, the same as in prior quarter. We are benefiting from a favorable product mix. Inventory turns in the quarter for capacitors decreased to 3.5 turns from 3.8 turns in prior quarter. Selling prices were up by 0.6% versus prior quarter and up by 2.2% versus prior year. Capacitors keep benefiting from major governmental programs in China and from the ongoing strength of the military markets, Coming to Opto products; Vishay's business with Opto products consists of infrared emitters, receivers, sensors and couplers, as well as of LEDs for automotive applications. The business currently suffers from reduction of distribution inventories, but also from a temporarily unfavorable product mix. Sales in the quarter were $61 million, 8% below prior quarter and 14% below prior year, which excludes exchange rate impacts. The book-to-bill ratio in the first quarter was 0.83 after 0.75 in prior quarter. The backlog remains at a high level of 4.9 months. Gross margin in the quarter came in at disappointing 26% of sales after 29% in the fourth quarter, mainly due to lower volume and the less favorable product mix. The line has good inventory turns of 5.1 in the quarter, as compared to 4.9 in the fourth quarter. Price decline was normal minus 2.1% versus prior quarter minus 2.3% versus prior year. We expect the business to be back to more historical performance levels in the second half due to the availability of higher manufacturing capacities in more profitable lines. Of course, potentially tampered by inventory reduction in the supply chain. Coming to Diodes; Diodes for Vishay represents broad commodity business, where we are the largest supplier worldwide. Vishay offers virtually all technologies as well as the most complete product portfolio. The business has a very strong position in the automotive and industrial market segments and keeps growing steadily and profitably since years. Sales in the quarter were $168 million, 5% below prior quarter, but 3% above prior year, which excludes exchange rate effects. The normalization of backlogs, mainly at Asian distributors progresses and explains the weak book-to-bill ratio of 0.63 in the quarter after 0.83 in quarter four. The backlog for Diodes reduced to a still very high level of 5.9 months down from 6.7 up -- is down from 6.7 months in prior quarter. Like in the fourth quarter, gross margin came in at 26% of sales, a very respectable performance. Inventory turns remained on satisfactory level of 4.5 as compared to 4.7 in prior quarter. We see price stability for now minus 0.6% versus prior quarter and plus point 2.7% versus prior year, which includes the tariff errors. We expect Diodes to continue their success story of recent years to the full extent after the normalization of the inventories in the supply chain. And we continue to prepare ourselves for substantially higher volume demands in the mid-term. Finally, the MOSFETs; Vishay continues to be one of the market leaders in MOSFETs. MOSFETs over the last years, developed a strong and growing position in automotive. Sales in the quarter were $137 million, 1% below prior quarter, but 9% above prior year excluding exchange rate impacts. The book-to-bill ratio was at 0.84 after 1.08 in the fourth quarter. Supply of MOSFETs is now catching up with demand and normalization of backlogs have started. Backlog is still at a very high level of 6.3 months after 6.7 months in prior quarter. The gross margin in the quarter for MOSFETs was at 26% of sales, like in the previous quarter. Very satisfactory inventory turns for the MOSFETs of 4.5 in the quarter as compared to 4.7 in quarter four. A low price decline minus 0.6% versus prior quarter and minus 0.4% versus prior year. We continue to expand internal and foundry capacities for seeing very substantial increases of demand, in particular, in automotive in the mid-term. Let me summarize; also after two excellent years for our industry, the end markets in general continued to be friendly in the quarter. We currently seem to enter and not unexpected phase of normalization in terms of backlogs and also of distribution inventories. Inventory reductions by distributors of course will have a negative impact on our revenues in the short term, whereby the speed of such an inventory burn off by nature will be determined by the development of POS of the distributors. We will manage our production capacities tightly in accordance with the customer requirements, as we always stated in the past. Vishay will remain profitable and cash generating also through such a phase, and we will be ready to participate to the full extent in the inevitable upturn of demand afterwards. No doubt that electronics will keep growing in the mid and in the long term. In so many words, we do trust our future and in this context, please see we announced 12% increase of our quarterly cash dividend. For the second quarter, we guide to a sales range of between $700 million and $740 million at gross margins between 26% and 27%. Thank you. Peter?