Gerald Paul
Analyst · Longbow Research
Thank you, Lori and good morning everybody. Vishay, also in third quarter, continued to enjoy excellent business conditions in virtually all of its markets. Inventories in the supply chain, in general, show some increases but there are no tangible signs of a slowdown in our industry. Record volume and good efficiencies supported the further substantial increase of revenues and profitability. Vishay, in the third quarter, achieved gross margin of 30% of sales, operating margin of 18% of sales, GAAP earnings per share of $0.51 and adjusted earnings per share of $0.60. We continue to be a reliable generator of free cash. However, the year 2018 will be burdened by approximately $157 million of foreign cash taxes related to our announced cash repatriation. Let me talk about the economic environment. In general, the economic environment in the third quarter, as I said, continue to be very friendly. In particular, Vishay's key markets, automotive and the industrial, do well. The manufacturing output of supplier starts to catch up to market demand, but lead times still remained long, in general. Distributors have started to clean up backlogs of inventories mainly in Asia. Coming to the regions, all regions also in the third quarter, continued to do very well. The Americas show very robust economic conditions and an exceptionally strong industrial market. Europe is still driven by strong automotive and industrial markets, we are seeing some normal seasonality. Growth in Asia continues in particular in automotive and industrial segments. There’re some concerns starting to build in the market related to new U.S. tariffs. Worldwide distribution continued strong also in the third quarter. There was another slight increase of POS quarter-over-quarter by 1%, but the major increase of 14% year-over-year. So POS remains very strong. Distributors continue to enjoy high order rates with book to bill substantially above 1; inventory at distributors increased by 9% in the quarter; inventory turns of distributors likely reduced to 3.5% as compared to 3.7 in prior quarter, and to 3.7 in prior year. But this is still a healthy situation. Some details by regions; in the Americas, inventory turns were 2.3 after 2.4 in the second quarter and 2.2 in prior year; in Asia 4.5 turns, vis-à-vis 4.7 in Q1 and 5.1 last year; in Europe, 3.8 terms after 4.3 and 4.2 in prior year. Coming to the industry segments, automotive continues to be the main driver of growth in our industry, with external electrification of the vehicle driving new programs in several sectors. Also, industrial markets remain strong across all regions and across a wide range of product segments. Fixed telecom showed some signs of recovery, starting to be supported by 5G projects. PCs and mobile phones on the other hand remained relatively weak. AMS and medical continued to look positive with steady growth expected for 2018 and beyond. Let me comment on our business development in the third quarter. Sales in Q3, excluding exchange rate impacts, came in at the midpoint of our guidance. We achieved sales of $781 million versus $761 million in prior quarter and $678 million in prior year. Excluding exchange rate effects, sales in the third quarter were up versus prior quarter by $27 million or by 3.6%, and up versus prior year by $105 million or 15.6%. We have seen a book to bill ratio of 0.95 in the third quarter; 0.80 for distribution after 1.23 in the second quarter; 1.15 for OEMs after 1.08 in the second quarter; 0.87 for actives after 1.06 in the second quarter; 1.02 for passives after 1.29 in the second quarter; 1.06 for the Americas after 1.29; 0.69 for Asia after 1.09; 1.16 for Europe after 1.18. There has been a cleanup of backlogs mainly by Asian distributors for semi-conductive products. Orders from OEMs on the other hand continue to be steady and strong. Backlog started to normalize but is still at a very high level of six months, which is practically twice, 2 times the normal situation historically. We have 6.3 months in actives and 5.7 months in passives. Selling prices continue to grow our, in general, 0.6% versus prior quarter and plus 0.5% versus prior year. For the actives, we see plus 0.4% versus prior quarter and plus 0.7% versus prior year. And for the passives plus 0.7% versus prior quarter and plus 0.2% versus prior year. Some highlights of our operations. Also, in Q3, we were able to offset the negative impact of inflation on the contributive margin by cost reduction and by innovation. SG&A cost in the quarter came in at $98 million, lower than expectations also due to exchange rate effects. Manufacturing fixed costs in the quarter were $126 million, lower than expectations also due to exchange rate impacts. Total employment at the end of the third quarter was 24,130 people, 1.7% up from prior quarter and actually, the consequence of further increasing capacities for most of our product times. Excluding exchange rate impacts, inventories in the quarter increased by $19 million, raw materials by $9 million, inventory and process and finished goods by 10 million. Despite this inventory increase, inventory turns in the third quarter remains at a very satisfactory level of 4.4 after 4.6 in prior quarter. Capital spending in the quarter was $50 million versus $36 million in prior year, $34 million for expansion, $3 million for cost reduction and $13 million for the maintenance of the business. For the year 2018, we continue to expect CapEx of approximately $220 million. Concerning cash flow, we, in the third quarter, generated cash from operations of $71 million versus the generation of $118 million in prior year. Cash from operations in the third quarter was burdened by cash taxes paid related to cash repatriation of $65 million. We generated $232 million on a trailing 12 months basis. Cash from operations on a trailing 12 month basis was driven by $157 million. We generated, in the third quarter, free cash of $21 million versus the generation of $82 million in prior year. Free cash generation in the quarter was burdened by $65 million of cash taxes paid. We generated $29 million on a trailing 12 months basis. Free cash generation on a trailing 12 month basis was burdened by $157 million. Coming to our product lines, resistors and inductors first. Vishay's traditional, and since years, most profitable business grew steadily. With resistors and inductors, we enjoy a very strong position in the industrial, auto, mill, and in the medical market segments worldwide. Sales in the third quarter were $253 million, up versus prior quarter by $4 million were up by 1% and up versus prior year by $37 million or by 17%, excluding exchange rate impacts. Book to bill in the third quarter was 1.02 after 1.16 in prior quarter. Backlog was stable on a very high level of 5.4 months. Gross margin in the quarter remained at quite excellent 34% of sales. Inventory turns in the third quarter were at a very satisfactory level of 4.2, slightly down from prior quarter at 4.4. There were price increases plus 0.4% versus prior quarter and plus 0.2% versus prior year. We continue to invest in manufacturing capacities of power inductors, metal strip resistors and thin film resistor chips, as well as MELF film Resistor. Our new acquisition, UltraSource, was solid and profitable at a gross margin of 40%. Coming to capacitors. Our business with capacitors is based on a broad range of technologies with a strong position in American and European market niches. We enjoy increasing opportunities in the fields of power transmission and electric cars, namely in Asia, especially in China. Sales in the third quarter were at $116 million, 5% above prior quarter and 22% above prior year, which again excludes exchange rate effects. Book-to-bill in the quarter was at 1.03 after spike of 1.59 in previous quarter. Backlog was stable at a very high level of 6.3 months. Gross margin in the quarter increased to 23% of sales from 22% in prior quarter. Inventory turns in the quarter were at a satisfactory level of 3.5. Selling prices were increasing by 1.5% versus prior quarter and 0.4% versus prior year. And we remain confident for the future of capacitors in view of growing opportunities, in particular, in Asia. Opto products. Vishay's business with Opto products consisted of infrared emitters, receivers, sensors and couplers, as well as LEDs for automotive applications. Sales in the quarter were $76 million, 2% above prior quarter and 1% above prior year, which excludes exchange rate impacts. Book-to-bill in quarter three was 0.88, after 1.20 in prior quarter. The backlog decreased to 5.0 months from 5.4 months in Q2, its healthy in the situation here. Gross margin in the quarter increased further to a quite excellent level of 36% of sales after 35% in the second quarter. Inventory turns of 5.1 were record. Moderate price decline we’ve seen of minus 1.1% versus prior quarter and minus 2.6% versus prior year. We do expect increasing opportunities in sensors, going forward. Coming to diodes. Diodes for Vishay represents a broad commodity business where we are largest supplier worldwide. Vishay offers virtually all technologies, as well as the most complete product portfolio. The business has a strong position in the automotive and the industrial market segments, and keeps growing steadily and profitably since years. Sales in the quarter were $187 million, 3% above prior quarter and 16% above prior year, excluding exchange rate effects. Book to bill of 0.86% in the quarter after 1.08% in the second quarter. The backlog for diodes has started to normalize. We are at 6.8 months, which is down from 7.4 months in prior quarter and still very high. Gross margin in the quarter defended its Q2 record level of 29% of sales. Inventory turns remained at the very satisfactory level of 4.7 also for diodes we have seen increasing prices 1.1% up versus prior quarter and 2.4% up versus prior year. And we do continue to expand critical manufacturing capacities. Last but not least, the MOSFETs. Vishay continues to be one of the market leaders in MOSFET transistors. MOSFETs, over the last years, developed a strong and fast growing position in automotive. Sales in the quarter were $144 million, 6% above prior quarter and 14% above prior year, excluding exchange rate effects. The book-to-bill for the MOSFETs was 0.88% in quarter three after 0.96% in the second quarter. And like for the diodes, we see a normalization of backlogs continuing 6.3 months now coming down 7 months in the second quarter, like for diodes still a extremely high backlog. Gross margin in the quarter was 27% of sales, slightly below its record levels of 28% in prior quarter since the reason there was no further inventory builds. Inventory turns were very satisfactory at 4.9 turns. Selling prices continue to increase, plus 0.3% versus prior quarter and also plus 0.3% versus prior year. We are in process to expand manufacturing capacities in house and at foundries. Let me summarize. Carried by a broad and enormously strong demand for most of our product lines, Vishay enjoys another very successful year. We presently see first signs of a normalization of inflated backlogs for commodity products, which is nothing but normal when supplies starts to catch up its demands. Most important, overall, consumption of OEMs continued strong and so thus POS of distributors. For the mid and long-term, we trust in an accelerated growth trend of our key markets, automotive and industrial. In order to be prepared, we continue critical manufacturing capacities while remaining careful in adding operational fixed costs. Even in times of higher than normal capital expenditures, we remain to be a strong generator of free cash, working also on the optimization of our capital structure. All-in-all, Vishay maintains to be a financially successful, solid and predictable enterprise, selling innovative and competitive products to promising and growing markets. For the fourth quarter, we guide for a sales range between $7.45 million and $7.85 million, net gross margins of 28.0% to 29.5% of sales at the third quarter exchange rates. Thank you very much. Peter?