Gerald Paul
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Thank you, Lori, and good morning, everybody. Well, after a very successful first-half and very successful second quarter, Vishay in the third quarter showed further improvements of sales and profits. Also in the third quarter, we were carried by an unprompted [ph] high level of demand in virtually all market segments. We keep increasing manufacturing capacities and output for our key product lines, while maintaining good efficiencies across the Board. Vishay in Q3 achieved a gross margin of 28% of sales, adjusted operating margin of 14% of sales, GAAP earnings per share of $0.41, and adjusted earnings per share of $0.42, and we continue to generate free cash on a very high level. Let me talk about the economic environment. In general, the economic environment principally did not change much since the second quarter. Historically, high order rates and still growing backlogs characterize also in the third quarter. Virtually all markets continue to do well, in particular automotive and industrial, and customers remain very confident across the Board. Again, the high order level was driven by distribution mainly in Asia and Europe. The components industry in general is in process to increase its manufacturing output, but still they’re longer lead times and even shortages of supply. Like for the entire year 2017, semiconductors continue to be more affected than capacitors. Let me come to the details. Continuous improvement of business conditions in the American markets can be observed, driven by healthy macroeconomics. We see moderate growth in the Industrial segment. Strong military sector and automotive is picking up recently. Ongoing robustness of the European business can be reported. Central European manufacturers capitalized on their traditional strength in Automotive and Industrial segments. Their strong growth in Eastern Europe in particular and also the western part of Europe starts to recover. In Asia, strong domestic and overseas demand resulted in a click expansion of production mainly for industrial equipments, energy infrastructure and automotive electronic equipment. Coming to distribution. Distribution, in particular, in Asia and Europe continues to enjoy really excellent business conditions. The growth of POS remains on a remarkably high level, there’s no change versus Q2. Despite a slight inventory increase of 5% in the quarter, inventory turns of distributors, those distributors remained at an excellent level of 3.7 after a record level of 3.9 in prior quarter. In the Americas, 2.2 turns after 2.3 turns in Q2 and 2.0 turns in prior year. In Asia, 5.1 turns after 5.3 turns in the second quarter and 4.5 turns in prior year. And in Europe, 4.2 turns after 4.3 turns in the second quarter and 3.4 turns in prior year. Also, orders on distributors in Q3 continue to be extremely strong. They were 28% above prior year. And after all, distribution remains confident for the quarters to come. Let me comment on the most important industry segments. Automotive remained strong and continues to expect further growth in the 10% range, due to increasing electronic content. Driver systems 48-volt projects new LED technologies and e-mobility in general will drive this growth. Also, industrial markets remained strong in most areas. Drivers are factory automation, infrastructure programs, alternative energy and Internet of Things sensoring. Computing was stable to up in the third quarter. Mobile phones did well with low-cost Chinese suppliers further gaining share. Various opportunities continue to exist in consumer markets. AMS markets remain healthy, both in military product areas and commercial avionics. Medical grow steadily providing opportunities for high-end products. Coming to Vishay’s business development. Due to higher than expected manufacturing output, sales in the quarter came in at the upper-end of the range from our guidance, when excluding exchange effects of $14 million. We achieved sales of $678 million in the quarter versus $645 million in prior quarter and $592 million in prior year. Excluding the exchange effect, sales in the quarter were up versus prior quarter by $19 million, or 3%, and up versus prior year by $76 million, or 13%. The book-to-bill ratio of 1.11, again was very strong across the Board. It was 1.15 for distribution after 1.43 in Q2. 1.06 for OEMs after the same 1.06 in Q2. 1.13 for actives after 1.35, 1.09 for passives after 1.20, 1.04 for the Americas after 1.19 in Q2, 1.15 for Asia after 1.38 in last year, 1.12 for Europe after 1.20. After a quite dramatic increase of backlogs in the second quarter, there was further growth from 4.8 to 5.0 months in Q3, 5.3 months for actives and 4.5 passives. This is a very unusual situation. The – we saw a continuation of decreasing price decline, it’s virtually stable prices quarter-over-quarter, minus 0.1% versus prior quarter and minus 2.4% versus prior year. For the actives, it was minus 0.3% versus prior quarter and minus 2.7% versus prior year. And for the passives, we saw a slight increase of 0.1% versus prior quarter and minus 2.1% versus prior year. Some highlights of operations. We in the third quarter, again, we’re able to offset the negative impact of inflation and price decline on the contributed margin by cost reduction and innovation. SG&A costs in the quarter came in at $94 million according to our expectations when adjusted for exchange rate effects. Manufacturing fixed costs in the quarter were $122 million, according to expectations when adjusted for exchange rate effects. Total employment at the end of quarter three was 22,970 heads like in prior quarter. Due to increasing production levels, inventories in the third quarter increased slightly by $14 million, again excluding exchange rate effects. Raw materials went up by $10 million, and we’re in process and finished goods by $4 million. Inventory turns in the quarter remained on a very satisfactory level of 4.5. Capital spending in the third quarter was $36 million versus $30 million in prior year, $138 million on a trailing 12-month basis. For 2017, we expect CapEx of approximately $165 billion. We generated in the third quarter cash from operations of $118 million versus $108 million in prior year, $329 million on a trailing 12-month basis. We generated in the third quarter free cash of $82 million, as compared to $88 million in prior year and $197 million on a trailing 12 months basis. I think, we can continue to say that cash generation at Vishay remains to be excellent. Coming to our most important product lines and the start out is always with resistors and inductors. Vishay’s traditional and since years, most profitable business continues to grow steadily. With resistors and inductors, we enjoy a very strong position in the industrial, auto, mill and medical market segments. Since a few years, and we started to concentrate on the Asian, predominantly on the Chinese, industrial market and we achieved an increase of this business by 55.0% in four years. Sales in the quarter were $216 million, up by 1% versus prior quarter and up by 11% versus prior year, excluding exchange rate effects. The book-to-bill ratio in Q3 was 1.15 after 1.23 in prior quarter. Backlog increased to 4.6 months. We see a stretched lead times for many product lines, in particular, for power inductors and resistor chips. Gross margin remained at a good level of 30% of sales. Inventory turns in the quarter were at very satisfactory 4.6 after 4.8 in prior quarter. Price decline was low just 0.3% decline versus prior quarter and 2.1% versus prior year. We are accelerating investing for increasing manufacturing capacities at power inductors, metal strip resistors and resistor chips. Coming to capacitors. Our business with capacitors is based on a broad range of technologies with a strong position in American and European market niches. We enjoy increasing opportunities in the fields of electro-cars and of power transmission, namely in Asia, China and entered the polymer tantalum capacitor market. Sales in the third quarter were $96 million, 2% above prior quarter and 12% after – above prior year, again without exchange rate effects. The book-to-bill ratio for capacitors in the quarter was 0.97 after 1.14 in the second quarter. Coming from a very high level of 4.6 months, backlog in the quarter decreased slightly to 4.3 months. Gross margin in the quarter three was 20% of sales. Inventory turns in the quarter were at 3.7 after 3.8 in the second quarter. We see a further stabilization of prices, we saw an increase of prices of 1.1% versus prior quarter and a decrease of 2.0% versus prior year. We continue to see numerous opportunities, especially in Asia for growing this business further. Coming to opto products. Vishay’s business with opto products consists of infrared emitters, receivers, sensors and couplers as well as LEDs for automotive applications. The business represents one of Vishay’s best opportunities for long-term growth, especially the segment of sensors. Sales in the quarter were $77 million, 2% above prior quarter and 4% above prior year, again without exchange rate impacts. Book-to-bill in the quarter was 0.94 after 1.11 in the second quarter. Backlog is at 3.6 months after 3.8 in prior quarter. Gross margin reached a record level of 38% of sales after 35% in prior quarter, all this supported by also by some favorable cost singularities. Inventory turns remain at an excellent level of 5.3 after 5.5. Also in this case, we see a stabilization of selling prices no price decline versus prior quarter and 2.1% price decline versus prior year. We remain confident for this profitable line to grow steadily also in future, especially sensors will benefit from an increasing demand in the Automotive and Industrial segment. Diodes. Diodes for Vishay represents a broad commodity business where we are largest supplier worldwide. Vishay offers virtually all technologies, as well as the most complete product portfolio and we’re, in particular, leading in power applications. The business has a strong position in the Automotive and Industrial market segments and keeps growing steadily and profitably since years. Sales in the quarter were $161 million, 2% above prior quarter and 13% above prior year without exchange rate effects. We continue to see a strong book-to-bill ratio of 1.18 after rather extreme 1.41 in prior quarter. Perceived shortages of supply continue to drive orders, especially from distribution. And the backlog keeps increasing further, we reached a very unusual high of 6.2 months coming from 5.8 months in prior quarter lead times alone. Due to higher volume, gross margin increased to quite excellent 27% of sales after 26% in the second quarter. Inventory turns for this line remained at a very satisfactory level of 5.1 virtually at the same type of this [ph] in the second quarter. There is a continuation of reduced rate of price decline 0.2.6% decline versus prior quarter, 3.3% decline versus prior year. We are expanding manufacturing capacities in all critical lines as fast as possible also, of course in order to prepare the mid and longer-term future of this very competitive line. Coming to MOSFETs. Vishay continues to be one of the market leaders in MOSFET transistors. And MOSFETs, as we say, over the last three years, developed a strong and growing position in automotive, which to business now benefits from. We currently see a strong upturn of the entire business also supported by Vishay’s improved cost structure. Sales in the quarter were $127 million, 10% above prior quarter and 24% above prior year. The backlog was – the book-to-bill ratio in the quarter was 1.19, compared to 1.37 in the second quarter, it’s a very similar picture to the diodes. Backlog has reached an unusually high level of 5.3 months coming from 5.2 in Q2. Again, very similar to the diode line. Gross margin in the third quarter continued to improve further in a substantial way to 26% of sales after 22% of sales in prior quarter. With efficiencies high volume and the favorable last time by support is profitability performance. And this is the best for MOSFETs since more than five years. Inventory turns increased to a good level of 4.3, coming from 4.1. We have seen substantially reduced price pressure, minus 0.1% versus prior quarter, minus 2.3% versus prior year. And we are in process to increase manufacturing volume at foundries and to maximize the output of our fab in Itzehoe. Let me summarize. Supported by ongoing excellent business conditions in most of our markets and for most of our product lines and based on good efficiencies, Vishay enjoyed a very successful first-half and then even better third quarter. We in particular, are proud of having successfully turned around our business with MOSFETs, which for years has burdened Vishay profitability. We now see a good future for this line. We currently work on maximizing the output of plants, foundries and subcontractors. We accelerate investing in critical manufacturing capacities having in mind the large future market potential for our products in general, but especially in Asia. We expect another excellent year for the generation of free cash. We will further increase our efforts to even better penetrate automotive and industrial markets in Asia. We expect strong growth in automotive markets for years to come, driven by e-mobility and sensoring, and we’re well-positioned in terms of products and regional sales representation. We continue to focus on shareholder value by returning cash to the shareholders. The decision was taken, as you know, to establish another stock buyback program for $150 million to be executed by June 2018 and the program actually further spill underway, restricted to a degree by fewer working days in the Christmas quarter before Q4 guide to a sales range between $645 million and $685 million with gross margins between 26% and 28% of sales at the second quarter exchange rates. Thank you very much.