Gerald Paul
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Thank you, Lori and good morning, everybody. 2016 for Vishay clearly has been a successful year, showing a major improvement of our financial performance. Vishay's key markets during the entire year performed well and strong orders in the fourth quarter, raised confidence also for 2017. Vishay in 2016 achieved a gross margin of 25% of sales versus 24% in 2015 and adjusted operating margin of 9% of sales versus 8% in 2015. GAAP earnings per share of $0.32 vis-à-vis a loss of $0.73 the year before and adjusted earnings per share of $0.85 versus $0.72 in 2015. We generated in 2016 free cash of $167 million, which represents the best performance since five years. The fourth quarter however came in as a disappointment. Results were negatively impacted by a higher than anticipated reduction of inventories by some temporary manufacturing inefficiencies in several divisions and by a less favorable product mix than expected. We achieved a gross margin of 23% of sales, adjusted operating margin of 7% of sales. GAAP earnings per share of -- were a loss of $0.33, adjusted earnings per share $0.18. Let me talk about the economic environment in general first. The economic environment during 2016 generally has been friendly, which in particular is true for our key markets, which are automotive and industrial. A relatively weak euro continues to support European manufacturers. Overall growth in Asia namely in China remained weaker than in previous years, but there are enough opportunities for accelerated growth. In the Americas, despite a reasonably strong general economy, the market for components was relatively weak. The U.S. continues to drive demand creation but outsourcing of production to Asia remains strong and the oil and gas segment was weak throughout the year. Talking about distribution now, in general distributors progressively gained confidence through the year. Worldwide POS in 2016 was 2% up versus prior year, but it was up by 6% in the second half and even by 14% in the second half in Asia. There were substantial regional differences. In the Americas, we have seen a reduction of 5%, in Asia, a growth of 6%, POS in Europe of 1%. Inventory turns of distributors continue to run at a reasonable level of 3.3 versus 3.2 in prior quarter. In the Americas, 1.9 turns after 2.0 in quarter three. In Asia 4.9 turns after 4.5. In Europe, 3.3 turns after 3.4. Book-to-bill of distributors in the fourth quarter has been very encouraging. We have seen 1.07 after 1.02 in the third quarter. Coming to the various industry segments, automotive remained strong throughout 2016 and there is confidence also for this year as the electronic content continues to grow. Also, electronic vehicles finally seem to take off especially in Asia. The industrial segment is generally strong in Europe, has stabilized in the U.S. and continues to be supported by governmental infrastructure programs in Asia. Computer is after a seasonal recovery in the second half, are expected to show some further decline in 2017. Fixed telecom remained steady with 4G installations continuing to drive the business. Traditional Western suppliers lose against low-cost Asian manufacturers. Mobile phones in 2016 were virtually stagnant. Traditional suppliers lose share against low-cost Chinese manufacturers. Avionics, military and space, continues to be relatively stable. Medical markets remained strong and are expected to grow steadily. In consumer, finally gaming provides market opportunities, variables grow, but at a lower pace than often anticipated. Coming to our business development, in the fourth quarter, sales excluding exchange impacts came in slightly below the midpoint of our guidance. We achieved sales of $571 million versus $592 million in prior quarter and $556 million in prior year. Excluding exchange rate effects, sales in the quarter were down versus prior quarter by $16 million or by 2.6%, but up versus prior year by $17 million or 3%. Sales in the year 2016 were at $2.32 billion versus $2.30 billion in 2015, an increase of 1% excluding exchange rate effects. Book-to-bill in the quarter was 1.11, quite strong across the Board. 1.16 for distribution after 1.10 in the third quarter, 1.04 for the OEMs after 0.98, 1.14 for actives after 1.03. 1.06 were passives, same in prior quarter. And geographically 1.03 for the Americas after 0.97, very strong 1.17 for Asia after 1.11, 1.08 for Europe after 1.02. Backlog increased substantially to 3.4 month, coming from 3.1 months in the third quarter, 3.5 for actives and 3.4 for passives. The level of order cancellations remains low. You've seen a normal overall price decline of 1.2 down versus prior quarter and 3.6% lower than in prior year. For the actives, the same numbers are minus 1.4% versus prior quarter and minus 4.9% versus prior year. For the passives 0.9% down versus prior quarter and 2% down versus prior year. Some highlights of operations, we in 2016 again were able to offset the negative impact of inflation and price decline on the contributive margin by cost reduction and by innovation. SG&A cost in the quarter came in at $92 million in line with our expectations. SG&A costs for 2016 were at $368 million, $8 million or 2.2% above prior year at constant exchange rates. Manufacturing fixed costs for the year were at $473 million, $13 million or 2.7% below prior year, excluding again the impact of exchange rates. Vishay in 2016 was again able to compensate the negative effect of inflation on its total fixed cost by cost reduction programs. In fact, we have reduced our total fixed cost excluding exchange impact by $5 million. Total employment at the end of 2016 was 22,130, approximately 1% down from prior year when we employed 22,435 people. As a consequence of our cost reduction programs, fixed headcount went down by 179 hits in 2016. Excluding exchange rate impacts, inventories in the quarter were reduced by $19 million. Raw materials increased by $5 million. We're in process and finished goods went down by $24 million, driven by a shortage of supply of wafers. Inventory turns in the fourth quarter increased to 4.4. In 2016 inventories decreased by $36 million mainly by depleting the MOSFET safety stock required for the completed production move in 2015 and '16. Inventory turns for the year were at a satisfactory level of 4.2. Capital spending in 2016 was $135 million versus $147 million in prior year, $68 million for expansion, $15 million for cost reduction and $52 million for maintenance of business. For 2017, we expect CapEx of about $150 million in line with the requirements of our growth plan. We generated in 2016 cash from operations of $296 million versus $245 million in prior year. We generated in 2016 free cash of $167 million as a major improvement versus $100 million free cash in 2015. Coming to our main product lines, I start out as always with resistors and inductors, which is Vishay's traditional and since years most profitable business, which continues steadily on a good level. With resistors and inductors, we enjoy a very strong position in the industrial auto medical market segments. Since a few years, we have started to concentrate on the Asian predominantly Chinese industrial market, and we achieved an increase of this business by 55% in four years. Sales in the quarter were $184 million down by 2% versus prior quarter, but up by 12% versus prior year, again excluding exchange rate impacts. Year-over-year, resistors and inductors grew nicely from $704 million in 2015 to $750 million in 2016 by 6.5% excluding exchange rate impacts. Book-to-bill ratio in quarter four was 1.08 after 0.99 in prior quarter. The backlog increased to a good level of 3.2 months. Gross margin in the quarter was 28% of sales after 31% in prior quarter, mainly due to lower volume and related to that lower efficiencies. Gross margin for the year 2016 were at 30% of sales on the level of 2015. Inventory turns in the quarter were at a very satisfactory level of 4.5, as compared also to 4.5 for the entire year. We've seen normal price decline of 0.9% versus prior quarter and of 2.5% versus prior year. We continue to invest in increasing manufacturing capacities of power inductors, film resistors, and thin film resistors chips. Coming to capacitors, our business with capacitors is based on a broad range of technologies with a strong position in American and European market niches. We enjoy increasing opportunities in the field of power transmission and of electric cars, namely in Asia and entered the polymer tantalum capacitor market. Sales in the fourth quarter were at $80 million, 3.7% below prior quarter and 2.5% below prior year, without the impact of exchange rates. We expect to grow this business this year. Year-over-year capacitor sales decreased from $353 million in 2015 to $337 million in 2016 by 4.4%, excluding exchange rate impacts. The book-to-bill ratio in the quarter was 1.03 after 1.20 in previous quarter. You will remember Q3 in capacitors was influenced by major orders from film power caps for power transmission projects in China to be shift in the course of 2017. Backlog in the quarter increased further to 3.8 months. Gross margin in the quarter decreased to 17% of sales from 21% in the third quarter, mainly due to lower volume in the less favorable product mix. Gross margin for the year 2016 for capacitors was at 20% of sales as compared to 19% of sales in 2015 due to cost reduction and a better product mix for the year. Inventory turns in the quarter were at 3.7 as compared to 3.7 for the whole year. Low price decline in capacitors minus 1% decline versus prior year minus 0.8% versus prior year. We remain positive for the future growth of our capacitor business especially in view of opportunities that exist in Asia. Coming to our Opto line, Vishay's business with Opto products consists of infrared emitters, receivers, sensors and couplers, as well as LEDs for automotive applications. The business represents one of Vishay's opportunities for growth especially the segment of sensors. Sales in the quarter were $69 million, 5% below prior quarter and 1% above prior year without the impact of exchange rates. Due to a slow start into the year, Opto sales year-over-year decreased slightly from $280 million to $272 million by 2.6% excluding exchange rate impacts, but we expect to be back on our growth trend this year. Book-to-bill in the quarter was 0.99 after 0.98 in prior quarter. The backlog increased slightly to 3.2 months from 3.1 months in prior quarter. Gross margin in the quarter was 32% of sales after 33% in prior quarter. Gross margin for the year 2016 for Opto came in at 32% of sales, which was at the same level as in the year before. Quite excellent inventory turns of 5.8 in the quarter as compared to 6.0 for the entire year. Normal price decline at Opto products 0.3% decline versus prior quarter and 3.4 versus prior year. We do remain confident for this line growing steadily and profitably. Coming to diodes. Diodes for Vishay represent a broad commodity business, where we are largest supplier worldwide. Vishay offers virtually all technologies, as well as the most complete product portfolio. We in particular are leading in power applications. The business has a strong position in the automotive and industrial market segments and keeps growing steadily and profitably since years. Sales in the quarter were $135 million, 3% below prior quarter and slightly above prior year, which excludes exchange rate effects. Year-over-year sales with diodes increased from $534 million to $554 million by 3.6% without exchange rate impacts. We expect no change of this nice trend for this year. Strong book-to-bill ratio of 1.22 after 1.06 in the third quarter. The backlog with diodes increased substantially to 3.7 months from 3.0 months in prior quarter, due to higher than normal orders in the fourth quarter. Gross margin in the quarter decreased to 21% from quite outstanding 26% in prior quarter mainly due to lower sales volume and the impact of inventory reduction. Gross margin in the year 2016 grew to fairly encouraging 24% of sales from 22% in 2015. Inventory turns were at very satisfactory 5.0 as compared to 4.7 for the whole year. Price decline was normal, minus 1.5% versus prior quarter, minus 4.2% versus prior year. Diodes over the years for Vishay have developed into a very relevant and reliable contributor to P&L as well as to free cash. MOSFETs, Vishay continues to be one of the market leaders in MOSFET transistors. MOSFET since a few years suffer from the weakness of the computer segment and from a slowdown in smartphones. Over the last years, we, on the other hand, developed a strong and growing position in automotive. Sales in the quarter were $102 million, on the level of prior quarter, but 2% below prior year, excluding exchange rate impacts. Sales in quarter four were handicapped by supply shortages of wafers. Year-over-year sales with MOSFETs declined from $427 million to $406 million by 4.9%, excluding exchange rate impacts. We have seen a strong book-to-bill ratio of 1.14 after 1.03 in the third quarter. Like for Diodes, strong orders from distribution in Asia were the reason. Backlog increased substantially from 3.0 months to 3.4 months. Gross margin in the quarter improved further to 17% of sales after 16% in prior quarter. Excluding the impact of inventory reduction, gross margin in the fourth quarter would have been 19%. Gross margin for the entire year came in at 14%. Just the second half really benefited to the full extent from the recent production move to our eight-inch fab in Germany. Inventory turns of 3.7 in the quarter as compared to 3.3 in the year. We see a continued ASP decline of 2.1% versus prior quarter and of 6.8% versus prior year. Going forward, we will continue implementing our announced extended restructuring program and will concentrate on expanding the business at automotive and industrial customers. Let me summarize, supported by a fairly friendly economic environment and based on our own efforts, Vishay enjoyed a successful year 2016. Financial results improved noticeably, vis-à-vis not very satisfying year 2015 and the generation of free cash was the highest since five years. I think I can say, we are back on track. Vishay, last year demonstrated again its operational strength in pursuing and completing major operational targets like tight control of fixed and variable costs as well as of inventory levels, but also and in particular a targeted expansion of the Asian business. The strong free cash flow enabled us to raise the cash dividend to establish a meaningful stock buyback program and to rejuvenate and to continuously upgrade our organization. We furthermore, remain in a position to growth through acquisitions and we continue to look for to evaluate opportunities. Building on its dedicated and forward-looking business approach, Vishay remains well-positioned to face upcoming opportunities and challenges in our markets. We do expect a good year 2017. For the first quarter, we guide to a sales range of between $575 million and $615 million and gross margin between 24% and 26% of sales. Thank you very much. Peter?