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Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. (VSH)

Q4 2011 Earnings Call· Tue, Feb 7, 2012

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Vishay Intertechnology Fourth Quarter and Year 2012 Earnings Call. My name is Melissa and I will be your conference moderator today. (Operator Instructions) After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question and answer session. I will now turn the call over to Peter Henrici, Senior Vice President, Corporate Communications. You may begin.

Peter Henrici

Management

Thank you, Melissa. Good morning and welcome to Vishay Intertechnology’s Fourth Quarter 2011 Conference Call. With me today are Dr. Gerald Paul, Vishay’s President and Chief Executive Officer, and Lori Lipcaman, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. As usual, we’ll start today’s call with the CFO, who will review our fourth quarter and year-end financial results. Dr. Gerald Paul will then give an overview of our business and discuss operational performance, as well as segment results in more detail. Finally, we’ll reserve time for questions and answers. This call is being webcast from the investor relations section of our website at ir.vishay.com. The replay for this call will be publicly available for approximately 30 days. You should be aware that in today’s conference call, we will be making certain forward-looking statements that discuss future events and performance. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from the forward-looking statements. For a discussion of factors that could cause results to differ, please see today’s press release and Vishay’s from 10-K and form 10-Q filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, during this call, we may refer to adjusted, or other financial measures that are not prepared according to generally accepted accounting principles. We use non-GAAP measures because we believe they provide useful information about the operating performance of our business and should be considered by investors in conjunction with GAAP measures that we also provide. This morning we filed a form 8-K that outlines the various variables that impact the diluted earnings per share computation. On the investor relations section of our website, you can find a presentation of the Q4, 2011 financial information containing some of the operational metrics Dr. Paul will be discussing, as well as a presentation on Vishay’s growth plan. Now, I turn the discussion over to Chief Financial Officer, Lori Lipcaman.

Lori Lipcaman

Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Peter. Good morning, everyone. I’m sure that most of you have had the chance to review our earnings press release. I will focus on some highlights and key metrics. As you have seen, revenues were down significantly quarter over quarter, but within the lower range of our guidance excluding exchange rate effects. The weaker Euro impacted revenues by approximately $8 million. Margins for the quarter reflected the lower volumes. Revenues for the year were $2.6 million, and for quarter four, $551 million. EPS for 2011 was $1.42 and for quarter four, $0.19. Adjusted EPS for 2011 was $1.46, and for quarter four, $0.15. Cash from operations from 2011 was $376 million. On January 13, we acquired HiRel Systems, a leading supplier of high reliability magnetics products. The purchase price was approximately $85 million, including repayment of HiRel debt, and subject to customary post-closing adjustments. It will be reported in our resistors and inductive segment. This recent acquisition sits well into our recently announced growth plan. We expect it to be accretive immediately. We expect a payback of less than eight years. You will hear more about HiRel later. Looking at the P&M, revenues in the quarter were $551 million, down by 13.5% from previous quarter and down by 19.9% compared to prior year. Gross margin was 22.8%. Operating margin was 6.1%. EPS was $0.19. Our adjusted EPS was $0.15. Adjusted EPS excludes one-time tax benefits totaling $6.5 million, primarily related to the release of deferred tax valuation allowances in various jurisdictions. Revenues for the year 2011 were $2,594,000,000, down by 1.1% from previous year, excluding a spinoff of Vishay Precision Group. Gross margin was 27.8%. Operating margin was 13.4%. Adjusted operating margin was 13.6%. EPS was $1.42. Our adjusted EPS was $1.46. Our adjusted operating margin for the…

Gerald Paul

Management

Thank you, Lori, and good morning, everybody. 2011 we say has been a successful year. Actually, it has been the second best since ten years in terms of net profit. We achieved gross margin of 28% of sales, adjusted operating margin of 14% of sales, adjusted earnings per share of $1.46, GAAP earnings per share of $1.42. And, as Lori indicated, we generated $210 million free cash, and therefore, we are continuing our strong performance of many years. 2011 has been a year with two very different faces, yet. After a strong first half, in particular, the fourth quarter suffered from inventory reduction in distributors and some general weakening of the economy. In the fourth quarter we reached a gross margin of 23% of sales, operating margin of 6% of sales, adjusted earnings per share of $0.15 and GAAP earnings per share of $0.19. The business climate after six to eight quarters of very strong demand, extended even by the Japanese disaster, deteriorated abruptly in August last year when distributors decided to reduce the inventory levels in view of a weakening point of sales. The slowdown, as so often, started in Asia mainly as a reaction to softer-than-expected sales to consumer segments. It spread to European and US distributors, despite industrial applications, remain fairly strong in general. Real energy applications currently suffer from reductions of governmental support and too much inventory in the pipeline, mainly its order. Fixed telecom, like military space, avionics, remain stable. Distribution inventories have started to come down in the quarter by 4%, which was slowed down by declining POS. POS was 15% below prior quarter and 20% below the level of the first half of 2011. Therefore, the reduction to normal inventory terms could be a lengthy process unless POS will pick up. Distribution inventory…

Peter Henrici

Operator

Thank you Dr. Paul. We now open the call to questions. Melissa, please take the first question.

Operator

Operator

(Operator instructions) Your first question comes from Jim Suva. Jim Suva – Citigroup: Thank you, everyone, and Happy New Year. I wanted to ask a question. When we look at your guidance and compare it to seasonality, plus a softer-than-expected Q4 that was just reported, and layer on the acquisition, and fold that into understanding that you’re making an acquisition in the additional layer from that, it just seems like I can’t tell if the guidance is really conservative, or it just doesn’t appear consistent with a book-to-bill greater than one in inventory resolution and seasonality. It seems like there’s something still going on in Q1.

Gerald Paul

Management

Well, Jim, as I tried to say before, distribution inventory is clearly still high. As a matter of fact, this is the main reason for, you call it a certain conservatism. Okay, distribution inventory is high, as I said, but it’s also true, of course, that starting in January, we have seen better orders. Definitely better orders, substantially better. The question is now how much of these better orders will materialize in the first quarter in sales. So, this is our best outlook for the first quarter. Basically, I don’t think it’s a contradiction to what I’ve said before. Jim Suva – Citigroup : Okay, and then a quick clarification. Can you remind us of the company you bought? A couple metrics, such as the sales level, the margin profile compared to Vishay, and are you going to have to do any restructuring or moving of plants or assets?

Gerald Paul

Management

At the moment, the company’s round—I give you round numbers—$50 million sales, and as before restructuring already, an operating margin of around 15%. There will be some restructuring, but as I called it, soft restructuring. I think we can afford that. The benefit of this acquisition for Vishay does not so much lie in the fact that we can and cannot call its clees costs out. This was never the target. It brings us in a very nice way into medical, military, and we see potential growth there, quite potential growth. So, this is a nice fit to what we wanted to do. Jim Suva – Citigroup : Thank you and we’re looking forward to a good 2012.

Gerald Paul

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Matt Sheerin. Matthew Sheerin – Stifel Nicolaus : Yes, thank you. Good morning. A couple of questions. Dr. Paul, on the Siliconix business, which was down, I think you said, 30% or 33% year-over-year, I know there’s a lot of exposure to markets that have been very tough, including computing and cell phones, but it looks like that’s a worse-than-market year-over-year decline. Do you have any sense of any market share losses at all with Siliconix, or is that just all in market and distribution related?

Gerald Paul

Management

I think, Matt, clearly speaking, we built too much inventory in distribution. We didn’t do it. Distributors built too much inventory and we paid the price for it. The way out for us is clearly, and we have announced it before, that we will focus very much on the high voltage part of this business going forward, which will bring us more into the industrial segment. We, as Vishay, principally are strong, but up to now, with MOSFETs, couldn’t participate. We didn’t have the products. We are now starting to sell these products and I think this will also reduce our dependency on these markets like phones and computers. I think it’s a distribution inventory thing that we are living through at the moment, but we see orders picking up there, also. Matthew Sheerin – Stifel Nicolaus : Okay, and when you talked about a positive book-to-bill in the month of January, is that across all your businesses, and is that significantly above one or just kind of moving in the right direction?

Gerald Paul

Management

I could say now it’s above one and I’m right. It’s above one for sure, but of course, it has to be stated that the sales started slow in January, so we have to put things in perspective. I think in absolute numbers, we can say the following, that in January, really, the orders in absolute numbers went up by between 15% and 20%. This is more tangible than book-to-bill, I think. Matthew Sheerin – Stifel Nicolaus : Okay, and your commentary on distribution inventory, it sounded like you said you have another quarter to go, but do you think you’ll see some replenishment, or at least a return to distribution orders at the same rate as their sellout in the June quarter, or could be a little longer than that?

Gerald Paul

Management

It all depends, of course, on the POS trivial . It all depends on that. My personal recollection, my personal opinion and my recollection is that it always takes a little longer than you think. I think first quarter will for sure be impacted. This reflects, also, our guidance, and second quarter can still be impacted. Beyond that, I think we would have to be pessimistic in order to see that. Matthew Sheerin – Stifel Nicolaus : Sure, and just lastly on SGNA, it doesn’t sound like you’ve had any big cost cutting measures in place across the company, given that you expect the second half of the year to recover, so should we be modeling about the same SGNA rate for the first quarter, or differently?

Gerald Paul

Management

: Matthew Sheerin – Stifel Nicolaus : Okay, so it should be slightly lower, then?

Gerald Paul

Management

Yeah. Matthew Sheerin – Stifel Nicolaus : Okay, thanks very much.

Gerald Paul

Management

Thank you, Matt.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Steve O’Brien. Steven J. O’Brien – J.P.Morgan: Hi. Thanks for taking my questions. Dr. Paul, you gave us a great deal of color in your commentary, but perhaps you could just enlighten us a little further in terms of which end markets, maybe by industry, you see Vishay’s inventory being leanest or most likely to experience an inflection point in terms of orders or demand as we progress through calendar 2012.

Gerald Paul

Management

I think, typically, automotive does not use distribution too much. Therefore, by nature of things, inventories in this segment of the market is relatively low and normal. On top of everything automotive, people say may have peaked, but we can state it runs beautifully at the moment still, so automotive for sure is one of the bright spots which we see. On the other hand, there are others like phones, computers, that use, to a large extent, also distribution, and in this case, we have to state that distribution inventories are still high, still quite high. They have worked down now, for sure. It will take some time, as I said, but in this case, distribution inventories really impact the sales these days. Steven J. O’Brien – J.P.Morgan : Great, and then on a geographic basis, do the demand levels mirror the industries that are stronger, such as industrial and automotive in Europe and computing and phones in Asia, or are you seeing any geographic areas of strength and weakness that are worth noting beyond those industry trends?

Gerald Paul

Management

Let me start with Europe. I come from there. Europe is strong in automotive and continues to be strong, and in industrial, we see no real weakening. Maybe there have been times in 2011 where the situation was even more overheated, but we still see very solid business in automotive Europe and in industrial. When I say Europe, excuse me, I do not mean Greece. I mean central Europe, predominantly, as a matter of fact, and this is really where our business takes place. Southern Europe, for us, is not super-important, for Vishay, at least. So, the countries I’m talking about are solid and doing well. In the US, I see, all of us see, a belief, a strengthening across the board, which is very encouraging, and also in Asia, the typical industry, consumer industry, seems to get better, so all in all, may I say, if there were not distribution inventory levels, which are still high, we would definitely see an improved situation already, substantially improved, even. Steven J. O’Brien – J.P.Morgan : Great, and perhaps one more on the margin front, if I could. Your gross margin improved slightly in Q1. Is there any benefit in the quarter as the year progresses from raw materials or is this simply a function of mix?

Gerald Paul

Management

No, it’s a function of lower fixed costs, so we intend to bring down in Q1, on a temporary basis at first, and then we will see, the fixed costs, and this will lead to better gross margins. Steven J. O’Brien – J.P.Morgan: Great. Thank you.

Gerald Paul

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Shawn Harrison. Shawn Harrison – Longbow Research : Hi. Good morning, everyone. I guess the first question, pricing, it seems as if we’re back to normal. Did you experience any odd pricing pressure in the quarter from competition, or do you think as we move through the first half of ’12 we’ll still be within this normalized environment?

Gerald Paul

Management

Not more pressure than normal, I may say, so as a matter of fact, on the passive side, I said it before very often, there is no real price pressure because of the nature of this business, which is predominantly specialties, and you see it again and again. Since many years, we have no price decline there. In fact, we run at higher prices than in prior year. On the actives, this is really where the situation is the same for everybody, also for us. We see price declines returning but we just have had quite a few negotiations, annual negotiations. It is very normal. So, as a matter of fact, I can state that the level of competition for all of us is not worse than in normal times. Very simple, so we have to count on that, but we do not expect an acceleration. Shawn Harrison – Longbow Research : Very good to hear. Second question follow up, one of your competitors in the passive component world recently vertically integrated their raw material supply chain for panel and powder, or tried to, at least a part of it. Do you see any need to go that route, or is supply still ample for you, particularly given your balance sheet?

Gerald Paul

Management

I could be very short and say we do not see the need to do that, as a matter of fact. Of course, in the last ten years, we also played, from time to time, with ideas like these, but we never came, really, to the conclusion that it’s needed. Today I would reconfirm our ten years’ position, so to speak. We don’t see the necessity. Actually, I cannot really recall, maybe the only exception in the year 2000, and this was to an extent, not real, that the supply would not be enough. Shawn Harrison – Longbow Research : Okay, and then finally, just the capital spending for 2012. How much of that is focused toward high-voltage MOSFETs, or, I guess, maybe if you could, within the capex focused in on growth, what product lines will you be focused in on?

Gerald Paul

Management

Basically, it’s the same for other clients. We also invested in an expansion in 2011. It’s, of course, the MOSFETs altogether in low voltage and especially also high voltage. It’s on the diode side, on power diodes, trench diodes. Then it is in metal strip resistors, in power inductors, as a matter of fact. Pin capacitors, I think there’s enough capacity now, so, as a matter of fact, these products, really, on these products, we concentrate our efforts in terms of expansion. Out of this $150 million, I would say approximately $80 million will be for expansion. Shawn Harrison – Longbow Research : In that $80 million expansion, is it one for one for dollar, or do you get $2 of incremental revenue for each dollar in capacity, something like that?

Gerald Paul

Management

Well, we go in a different way. What counts for us is the payback. That means the variable margin, the conservative margin, and the average first rule of thumb, the average of all these expansion investments, is a payback time of, say, a year or less. That means we really would get, and then you can take back. We have about 50% variable margin, so that’s basically our rule of thumb. Shawn Harrison – Longbow Research : Okay, thank you so much.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Your next question comes from Steve Smigie. Steve Smigie – Raymond James: Great, thank you. Dr. Paul, I was wondering if you could comment a little bit on China impacts given the fact I think a lot of European business actually ends up in China. Have you seen any fluctuation in terms of overall customer outlook on China demand for autos as these Chinese government’s gone through various stages of being more or less active in terms of controlling the liquidity of their financial system?

Gerald Paul

Management

Steve, of course you hear about the fact that the China government subsidizes less alternative energy, clean energy, et cetera, but first of all, I would say this is not the driving force at the moment in the total concernment of selling of Vishay. It’s not that important at this point in time. We have great hopes for it, but it doesn’t hurt us, really, at this point. I think it’s true the people are cutting back there, somehow, the investment. But, this is for sure temporary, also. Concerning the consumption of cars, et cetera, well, I’m living in Mercedes country, as you know. They continue to export heavily, so I cannot say from my perspective, out of my limited perspective, that the Chinese really have changed their behavior and spending. Steve Smigie – Raymond James : Okay, and just being based in Europe, any thoughts or feedback you’re getting from customers on their ability to get financing from European banks? There’s various reads on the stability of those banks. I’m just curious if they’re saying they’re finding it difficult to get financing like we saw in 2008?

Gerald Paul

Management

I don’t see that. Very clearly, I don’t see that. I don’t know how the situation is in southern Europe, but for our business, is not very relevant. I must admit that. But, in the central countries like France, Germany, Austria, Netherlands, Scandinavia, they have business as normal and business is good. Steve Smigie – Raymond James : Great, and then just in general, can you talk about how you see your typical recovery versus that of other guys? So, for example, if you take other discreet manufacturers, I think you might have a little bit more of an industrial mix than other guys, so as you look through the typical cycle, it’s been my observation that you guys maybe recover a quarter or so later than other guys. Do you think that’s a fair analysis, and so do you think maybe you’ll see a sharper upturn maybe a quarter later?

Gerald Paul

Management

I think that what really matters these days is the share of distribution sales. Indeed, Vishay has a relatively high share of distribution sales. In that sense, we are more exposed, maybe, than others who may have less in distribution. But, I think that the differences between us or the competitors in terms of distribution share are not so great. All of us use distribution, some more, some less, of course, but principally, all us do. But, in that sense, it’s true. Vishay has a relatively high share of distribution. In that sense it may take a little longer, but it depends very much on the development of POS. It has exactly the same distributors at the moment. It causes headaches that we’ll be the first ones to want more and quickly, as soon as they see the business, the POS to pick up, they also accelerate the business after that. Steve Smigie – Raymond James : Okay. With regard to your operating expenses, I think on a previous call question, you indicated that there were some cuts to come. Just in terms of magnitude, should we be thinking that goes down something like $90 million or something like that for the March quarter, and would the dollar stay flat through a year?

Gerald Paul

Management

We’ll come down in the March quarter. We’ll come down. Steve Smigie – Raymond James : Would that stay at a lower dollar level throughout the year, or do you think that would come back up if revenue came back up?

Gerald Paul

Management

First of all, I think we should talk about the first and the second quarter and then we’ll see. You know we have acquired an ambitious growth program, but for the time being, I think it’s appropriate to save a little money, so to speak, and we are going to come in below this number of the fourth quarter in the first quarter and very likely in the second. Steve Smigie – Raymond James : Okay. Last question is just as things recover, what sort of magnitude of recovery do you think we can see? Is it a couple quarters of 10% sequential growth, something like that, or is going to be a less steep curve in terms of recovery?

Gerald Paul

Management

Who knows that? Who knows that? As a matter of fact, I do believe, personally, but we don’t have the visibility as they’ve had. The second quarter should be higher than the first quarter. What of magnitude? Hard to say. Hard to say. If I had to guess, I would say between 5% and 10%, but don’t take it for granted. Nobody knows it, really. Second half is completely open, but I think most of us anticipate, and so do we, that the normal business will be quite normal in the second half, again, especially based on the reduced distribution inventory. Steve Smigie – Raymond James : Okay. Great. Thanks again.

Gerald Paul

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

I will now turn the call back over to Mr. Henrici for closing remarks.

Peter Henrici

Operator

Thank you. Thank you, Melissa. Thank you for your interest in Vishay Intertechnology. This terminates our fourth quarter conference call.