Elizabeth Mann
Analyst · George Tong with Goldman Sachs
Thanks, Lee, and good day to everyone on the call. On a consolidated and GAAP basis, first quarter revenue was [ $783 million ], up 4% versus the prior year. Net income was $234 million, a 1% increase versus the prior year, while diluted GAAP earnings per share were $1.73, up 5% versus the prior year. The increase in net income and diluted GAAP EPS reflects solid operational performance and a lower average share count, offset in part by higher interest expense and a higher effective tax rate. Moving to our organic constant currency results adjusted for nonoperating items, as defined in the non-GAAP financial measures section of our press release, our operating results demonstrate continued growth across both underwriting and claims. In the first quarter, OCC revenues grew 4.7%, with growth of 5.3% in underwriting and 3.4% in claims. This quarter's performance, while below our typical level, was ahead of our expectations as we continue to drive growth despite the shorter-term headwinds that we have previously communicated, namely the carryover effect of a lower level of weather-related events, tough comparisons from strong renewals last year and the work stoppage in a federal government contract. The durability of our subscription revenues is the best demonstration of the ongoing health of our business and the mission-critical nature of our solutions. In the first quarter 2026, subscription revenues, which comprised 84% of our total revenues in the quarter, grew 7% on an OCC basis, compounding on top of a 10.6% organic constant currency increase from the first quarter of the prior year. These growth levels reflect the lower weather events as well as the negative impact of the work stoppage in the government contract. But otherwise, this quarter's subscription growth was broad-based, with out-performance from our largest subscription-based solutions. In [indiscernible] loss costs, we are driving strong price realization in renewals, as we continue to demonstrate to our clients the enhanced value created through our reimagined initiative. In the first quarter, we released 7 new client-facing modules and we anticipate a total of 25 releases for 2026, as we continue to innovate and enhance our core offering. We are also continuing to onboard new data contributors, both in core lines where we added 4 new carriers, as well as in our new excess and surplus lines contributory data program, where we now have contributions representing more than $15 billion in premium. Within catastrophe and risk solutions, we delivered another quarter of double-digit growth driven by the expansion of contracts with existing clients, competitive wins and the addition of new logos, including many clients that are new to catastrophe modeling. Specifically, we had key multiyear contract expansions in the quarter with 2 top carriers, as well as new wins in the casualty modeling space, where we are the provider of the industry's first probabilistic casualty catastrophe model. Client interest in Verisk Synergy Studio, our next-generation catastrophe risk platform is high as live previews have been well received. The release of our updated U.S. tropical cyclone model and the production release of Verisk Energy Studio remain on track, and clients are expanding their hosting relationships with Verisk in preparation for the launch of the platform. In anti-fraud, we are driving strong value realization in renewals as a result of our enhanced data insights and expanded ecosystem strategy. Additionally, new inventions, including claims coverage identifier and digital media forensics, which Lee mentioned earlier, are seeing strong client adoption, and we have a deep pipeline of opportunities. Within our [ Life ] business, we continue to deliver double-digit organic revenue growth driven by new client wins, as well as the expansion of relationships with existing clients. Recently, we closed our first combined Fast Insurance [ Bay ] deal with a major life and annuity carrier, demonstrating the synergistic value creation we can drive by combining these businesses. Our transactional revenues, which comprised 16% of total revenues in the quarter, declined 6.1% on an OEC basis. The primary driver of this decline continues to be lower volumes in property and restoration solutions due to low levels of weather activity. As a reminder, the first quarter of 2025 included a benefit from claims associated with Hurricane Helene and Milton. Additionally, softness in the personal lines auto business as well as a lower level of overage revenues in the property business also negatively impacted growth. Moving to our adjusted EBITDA results. OCC adjusted EBITDA growth was 5.9% in the quarter, while total adjusted EBITDA margin, which includes both organic and inorganic results, were 55.9%, up 60 basis points from the prior year. This level of margin expansion reflects the operational leverage of our business model, and our ongoing commitment to cost discipline, including global talent optimization, offset in part by increased investment in AI and technology. As is typical, we expect our expenses to ramp as we move throughout the year. Continuing down the income statement, net interest expense was $43 million, compared to $36 million in the prior year period, due to higher debt balances and higher interest rates. During the first quarter, we issued $1 billion of senior notes and entered into a $500 million term loan. We used these proceeds to fund the previously announced $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase program. Of note, at the close of the quarter, we have $250 million outstanding on the term loan. Our current leverage stands at 2.4x debt to adjusted EBITDA, which is well within our targeted range of 2 to 3x. As we look ahead, we anticipate the run rate of quarterly interest expense to be higher than the first quarter 2026, reflecting a full period impact of the new [ debt issue ]. Our reported effective tax rate was 24.1%, compared to 21.6% in the prior year quarter. The year-over-year increase was driven by lower tax benefits from a lower level of employee stock option exercise activity. We continue to expect our tax rate to be in the 23% to 26% range for the full year. Adjusted net income increased 0.6% to $246 million, and diluted adjusted EPS increased 5.2% to $1.82 per share for the quarter. The increase was driven by solid revenue growth, strong margin expansion and a lower average share count. This was partially offset by higher interest expense and a higher tax rate. From a cash flow perspective, on a reported basis, net cash from operating activities decreased 12% to $390 million, while free cash flow decreased 17% to $326 million. The decrease in both cash flow measures was primarily driven by a tax refund collected in the prior year period that did not recur this year, as well as higher interest payments. If adjusted for last year's tax refund, both cash flow measures would have seen growth in the quarter. We remain committed to returning capital to shareholders. During the first quarter, we paid a cash dividend of $0.50 per share, an 11% increase from the prior year, totaling $66 million. Additionally, we initiated a $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase program, which is expected to run at least through the second quarter. We also repurchased $126 million of stock through an open market repurchase program. In total, we retired 7.6 million shares in the first quarter of '26. We currently have approximately $1 billion remaining under our share repurchase authorization. Turning to guidance. We are reaffirming our outlook for 2026. More specifically, we continue to expect consolidated revenue in the range of $3.19 billion to $3.24 billion. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $1.79 billion and $1.83 billion, with adjusted EBITDA margin of 56% to 56.5%. We continue to expect net interest expense of $190 million to $200 million, and our effective tax rate to be in the range of 23% to 26%. Taken together, this results in adjusted earnings per share for the year in the range of $7.45 to $7.75. A few things to note as you update your models. First, as we said last quarter, we expect the first quarter of 2026 to be a trough, both in terms of organic constant currency revenue growth rate as absolute dollars, and forecast a gradual improvement as we move through the year. Second, we continue to face tougher comparisons in the first half of this year as last year benefited from a strong subscription renewal cycle across our largest underwriting businesses. Third, all guidance figures reflect the impact of the divestiture of Verisk Marketing Solutions, which contributed $68 million in revenue in 2025 with little seasonality, and represents an $0.11 headwind to earnings per share. Finally, Specific to the second quarter, we remind you that the prior year quarter's reported margins benefited from a foreign currency translation impact, which contributed 120 basis points to margin, and which we do not expect to recur. A complete listing of all guidance measures can be found in the earnings slide deck, which has been posted to the Investors section of our website, verisk.com. And now let me turn the call back over to Lee for some closing remarks.