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Veris Residential, Inc. (VRE)

Q3 2015 Earnings Call· Thu, Oct 29, 2015

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, everyone and welcome to the Mack-Cali Realty Corporation Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Michael J. DeMarco, President and Chief Operating Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

Mike DeMarco

Management

Good morning everyone and thank you for joining the Mack-Cali 2015 third quarter earnings call. It's a beautiful today in Edison, sun shining. This is Mike DeMarco. I am joined today by my partners Mitchell Rudin, CEO; Tony Krug, CFO; and Marshall Tycher, President of our Roseland Subsidiary. On a legal note, I must remind everyone that certain information discussed on this call, may constitute forward-looking statements, within the meaning of the Federal Securities law. Although we believe the estimates reflected in these statements, are based on reasonable assumptions, we cannot give assurances that the anticipated results will be achieved. We refer you to our press release, annual and quarterly reports filed with the SEC for risk factors that could impact the company. We had an excellent quarter and we have made good initial progress on our announced transformation. However, as we've stated in the past, it's a long journey to be able to produce consistent exceptional results for our shareholders. We look forward today to an open dialog but our results and our plans going forward, as and when we know, we file and expanded disclosure operations in two supplemental, one for Mack-Cali and one for Roseland, our partner subsidiary. And as we said from the point of our arrival at Mack-Cali, we strive to provide the best disclosure for operation, strategy and results. Today, we're going to break the call into following sections; Tony will recap our operating results for this quarter, provide guidance for the remainder of 2015 and 2016 full year. Mitch will then discuss our office leasing results and our views of the market. And Marshall will provide an overview of our multifamily operations and a plan to raise equity at the soon to be formed Roseland Residential Trust. I will then provide an overview of our capital market activities and plans before we take your questions. I'd now like to turn the call over to Tony, who will go over the quarter's results. Tony?

Tony Krug

Management

Thanks Mike. We reported our third quarter results last evening. We also included our detailed supplemental packages for Mack-Cali and Roseland subsidiary both of which will -- we will continue to enhance over time. With respect to earnings, FFO for the quarter was $51.5 million or $0.51 per share as compared to $48 million or $0.48 per share for the quarter ended September 30, 2014. For the nine months ended September 30, 2015, FFO equaled $141.1 million or $1.41 per share as compared to $128.5 million or $1.29 per share for the same period last year. For the current quarter compared to last year, the increase in FFO per share resulted primarily from $0.03 of equity and earnings from refinancing proceeds received from a joint venture; increased net real estate tax appeal proceeds of $0.02; partially offset by $0.02 of additional general and administrative expense due to separation costs in the quarter. This results in core FFO per diluted share for the fourth quarter of $0.48. We reported a net loss for the quarter of $126.9 million or $1.42 per share as compared to net income of $2 million or $0.02 per share for the quarter ended September 30, 2014. For the nine months ended September 30, 2015, net loss equaled $94 million or $1.05 per share as compared to net income to $37.8 million or $0.43 per share for the same period last year. The net loss in the quarter and year-to-date period was solely due to $164.2 million of impairment charges on properties currently being considered for sale, which is part of a recently announced strategic initiative. Same-store NOI was up 6.5% on both the GAAP and cash basis for the quarter ahead of our expectations and due to better leasing results and expense savings. I want to…

Mitch Rudin

Management

Yes. It's Mitch. Thanks Tony. First, let's turn to the leasing results for the quarter. We signed 94 deals totaling 956,000 square feet, 361,000 of that came from new leases and 595,000 from renewals. Year-to-date, we have completed 355 leases totaling 3.1 million square feet of which 852,000 were new leases and 2.2 million square feet were renewals. This represents the highest year-to-date leasing activities since 2005. Significant transactions in this quarter include new leases with Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. for almost 115,000 square feet in SunGard Financial, 41,000 square feet both in Jersey City and 54,000 square foot lease with KPMG and Short Hills, New Jersey and the renewal of 141,000 square feet with the GSA in Washington. Our lease space increased to 85.8% up from 82.3%, it is our intension over the coming quarters to drive that number higher as we pursue the initiatives that we will be discussing shortly. In addition, we will continue to strengthen our relationships with the brokerage communities in both New York and New Jersey which have been underway since we started. Lease rate roll up for all transactions was a positive 2.8% on a cash basis and 6.7% on a GAAP basis. Lease spreads for renewals were up 3.7% on a cash basis and 7.7% on a GAAP basis. Based on our analysis and initiatives, we believe strongly that we can continue to improve our occupancy over the next five to six quarters by selling buildings that are underperforming driving up the occupancy in our existing buildings and selectively adding buildings that have superior occupancy. We have just 273,000 square feet expiring in the fourth quarter and as of today we now have only 86,000 square feet that is vacated. We're already working on a number of new leases that total…

Marshall Tycher

Management

Thanks Mitch. I'd like to give a brief overview of Roseland, our multifamily division. As Tony mentioned, we filed and expanded separate supplemental this quarter which continues to provide a better understanding and disclosure of our business. The platforms wholly-owned joint venture portfolio is comprised of 2,240 operating apartments, 378 units under lease up and 2,075 units currently under construction. In addition, we have 3,026 operating apartments in subordinated joint ventures. Further, we have a pipeline of approximately 10,900 apartments of plan development which includes select repurpose Mack-Cali office buildings, the first of which is projected to start in the fourth quarter of this year. We also managed an additional 3,800 apartments for third parties most of which we built over the years and so to retain management. At quarter's end, our 2,240 stabilized operating apartments were 95.5% lease and lease up absorption at Station House on Second Street -- Second and Eighth Street on Washington DC exceeded 20 units per month resulting in a quarter end lease percentage of this community at 56.9% Our current construction program is 2,075 units in production including three projects comprised of 3,093 units and hotel keys that can commence construction in the third quarter. We will begin deliveries from our construction portfolio in the first quarter of next year with the opening of Marbella 2 in Jersey City. From our 10,900 apartment land inventory, all of which is owned and controlled, the envision starts at 484 units in the fourth quarter and approximately 2,100 apartments in 2016. I would like to say here some additional activities we undertook during and after quarter's end. We reached an agreement with our partner UBS to purchase their senior 50% interest in Chase I, 371 unit recently stabilized apartment community at Overlook Ridge, Roseland master plan community…

Mike DeMarco

Management

Thank you, Marshall. I wanted to outline all our capital markets in capital investment plan before we open the call for questions. We obviously have a number of activities that we have mentioned in this call so far. We made significant progress in the last seven weeks since our Investor Day, on the financing side as Tony mentioned, we are working with Bank of America, Wells Fargo and JPMorgan to raise $300 million five-year term loan that will be initially floating that we will swap to a fixed rate loan. This would take out of $200 million unsecured bond offering maturing in January and also provide funds for the mortgages maturing in 2016. It's also important to note this will allow us to keep our line of $600 million essentially undrawn and the reserve for activities that we tend to happen during that course of that year. We will finance a Chase I acquisition with a seven year loan for its $72 million at a rate of 3.625%, expect to have that acquisition and loan closed in the first quarter of 2016. As Marshall mentioned, we engaged Eastdil Secured Wells Fargo that raised $300 million or more and the direct investment on Roseland Residential Trust. Mack-Cali would likely attribute to demand dollars from our sales program and the new investor would likely contribute $300 million. Based on that math, the formal investment will be common equity with no promoters subordination of Mack-Cali's equity; the new investor with owned units or shares approximately 20% of the Roseland platform. The marketing for this opportunity will commence in the fourth quarter. It is only one of our options, I would like to stress to finance our Roseland platform, we still have the options of joint venture equity whether options of selling future assets…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And we'll take our first question from Manny Korchman from Citi.

Manny Korchman

Analyst

Good morning, guys. Mike and Mitch may be -- sorry I hear that, as you think about acquisitions in your criteria for acquisitions, how are you weighing those may be specifically in Jersey City, how you are thinking about the Hudson -- the Hudson street assets [indiscernible] market?

Mike DeMarco

Management

We've mentioned this before -- those are assets that would fit into our portfolio that would be obviously top five buildings if we were able to acquire them. We're carefully looking at all our choices, and we said that our acquisitions to expand upon my comments with balance right, we have a capital need for Roseland, which we think we saw or we have a strategy to solving, which is to raise equity at that level or do joint ventures at that level. And we have a sales activity will give us the balance of those proceeds. But putting Roseland aside which has been a big over hang about our capital, then it's a question of rebalancing and re-trimming the portfolio. We like certain market, so Parsippany is a market we like at the right price the price that we purchased at obviously makes sense for us. The same with Metropark which is the market we've expressed interest in even our Investor Day. Jersey City is the market of choice for us for our future investments as we mentioned. We have obviously some land there we could develop on and obviously we're committing significant amount of resources and repositioning. To answer your question for the right price -- for the right price on the right circumstances we would like to purchase those assets, if it's wrong for us we won't do it.

Manny Korchman

Analyst

And how do you think about the vacancy in those assets especially given your rental?

Mike DeMarco

Management

Actually the one building is fully leased with long-term, so we take off the table actually in a GAAP basis which are relatively accretive for that reason. The other building based on what we know, we have the best book of knowledge in the business that could be leased up at relatively attractive rates over a reasonable period of time.

Manny Korchman

Analyst

Great. And last one from me, just when we take all this external growth activity into account, how do you think about growth for 2017?

Mike DeMarco

Management

I'm sorry Manny, you cut out the last statement.

Manny Korchman

Analyst

How do you think about your portfolio or your earnings growth going into 2017?

Mike DeMarco

Management

We think it's good. We gave muted numbers. We choose -- obviously we chose to do 1% to 2% for cash and a little more of a GAAP. We did that as a means of tempering our expectations because we were going up so much from what the street has an estimate on. But our strength has been that we're able to and we believe we will be able to achieve high rent especially since we are improving the buildings. So we gave expectation as I said in my last comments that we intend to exceed.

Manny Korchman

Analyst

Thanks Mike.

Mike DeMarco

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we'll take our next question from Jamie Feldman with Bank of America.

Jamie Feldman

Analyst · Bank of America.

Thanks and good morning.

Mike DeMarco

Management

Good morning, Jamie.

Jamie Feldman

Analyst · Bank of America.

Can you talk about the occupancy outline get to your year-end 2015 guidance, and you had the nice pop in the third quarter but how should we think about how its trend between now and then?

Mike DeMarco

Management

Well, I will turn it back and forth between Mitch and myself. But the one beneficiary releases in just before disclosure when we rebalanced, we were able to get, achieve some occupancy by moving assets from -- they were vacant into Marshall's platform for repositioning, we pick up some gain. We have a net gain of about 100 basis points of occupancy quarter-over-quarter. We look going forward the biggest drivers for us, I will turn it over to Mitch is the -- the waterfront activity there and then Parsippany, Mitch.

Mitch Rudin

Management

Yes, Jamie. We could be fully leased at our 101 Hudson by the end of the year. We've also, we've been -- I was conservative in my remarks about what we expect for full leasing for the year, but we're well over 3 million square feet already. We have significant velocity and anticipate that we'll continue at a similar pace as we finish up November and December. And those are mostly -- those are deals 40,000, 30,000 feet and smaller.

Jamie Feldman

Analyst · Bank of America.

Okay. I guess what I'm getting at it, well, I guess Mike, I'm getting back to your comments, so how much of the third quarter occupancy growth was from portfolio repositioning versus true core growth before occupancy growth?

Mike DeMarco

Management

250 basis points was leasing -- no, 250 basis points was repositioning, 100 basis points was net leasing.

Jamie Feldman

Analyst · Bank of America.

Okay. And then you guys were calling for 120 basis points additional by year end 2015?

Mike DeMarco

Management

Yes. So we're thinking about --

Jamie Feldman

Analyst · Bank of America.

Are there any -- are there any dip in that or is kind of consistent growth and then it sounds like you can beat it?

Mike DeMarco

Management

Well, our fourth quarter is relatively light as Mitch outlined. So that gives you the best indication of what we can do. So we happened deals working in -- the activity in Jersey City as Mitch said is relatively good. So if you look at what we need to do for one point of occupancy, it's not that many -- not at the level were occupied now. It's doable. So we can move up a 100 basis points, if we have a good quarter.

Mitch Rudin

Management

Jamie, as I indicated, we're only doing with 1.7 million square feet and only 500 that we know is leaving. So that would be -- that amount is less than half of what will be anticipated to lease this year. And by all accounts next year we will continue with a similar pace to this year.

Jamie Feldman

Analyst · Bank of America.

Okay. And then --

Mike DeMarco

Management

Jamie to make it clear, we think we have a path to get to 90%. But how we get there -- when we get there but we indent to get there.

Jamie Feldman

Analyst · Bank of America.

Okay. And then, thinking about your demand, you had mentioned Parsippany and waterfront even more is down in some of the pockets, are we seeing a pick up. How much of that pick is, you operating a portfolio better versus maybe talk about the nature of demand and job growth in those sub-markets?

Mitch Rudin

Management

It's a combination. I mean, we did get a pick up. And we have significant number of anecdotes, but we could go through and talk about the changes that we have made and we have discussed significantly. The improvements we've made in the brokerage community. And I will give you two recent examples, we're going to be given the opportunity before two significant tenants go to market to have an off market discussion with not only the brokers but the heads of real estate to see if we could craft solutions. Now, that won't guarantee that you will get there. But, those opportunities never would have existed before. In addition, we're seeing a pick up generally in the -- not only in the suburban markets and Jersey City as well.

Jamie Feldman

Analyst · Bank of America.

Okay. Are those -- your transactions in -- on Jersey City, are they further out?

Mitch Rudin

Management

They're both up.

Jamie Feldman

Analyst · Bank of America.

Up. Okay. All right. Thank you.

Mike DeMarco

Management

Thank you, Jamie.

Operator

Operator

And we will take our next question from Ross Nussbaum with UBS.

Mike DeMarco

Management

Good morning, Ross.

Ross Nussbaum

Analyst · UBS.

Hey, good morning guys. Let me first follow up on the question that Jamie just asked or maybe just a suggestion, could you create a same portfolio pull in the supplemental so that we can actually see what's happening to occupancy isolated from all of the acquisitions and dispositions that are going on. Because I think in the third quarter, it was very difficult to see what truly happened occupancy outside of those dispositions?

Mike DeMarco

Management

Right. We will be happy to do that. As a matter of fact, this is a general comment, anyone or any suggestion on anything that we can do to improve disclosure, please send it to Deidre Crockett, our Head of Investor Relations and we will put into the next set of supplementals.

Ross Nussbaum

Analyst · UBS.

Appreciate that. And then so to that point, the 87% projection for the end of 2016, I just want to be clear that's apples-to-apples with the 85.8 number you had in Q3, so it's a 120 bp procure leasing improvement, there is no disposition activity in fact in that number?

Mike DeMarco

Management

Yes. Nothing will be sold -- and we may have a small transfer over to Roseland but other than that it will be just net pick up of absorption.

Ross Nussbaum

Analyst · UBS.

Okay. The other question I have is around the acquisitions that you assumed over the next year and year and a half. Why not simply sell the assets you want to sell and distribute the proceeds as a special dividend to shareholders rather than doing 10.31. Because I look at it and I said to myself, you're doing equity to Roseland. So it looks like you're funding Roseland with external capital. Why the pressing need to say, I want to do 10.31 versus just liquidate and distribute proceeds on the office side?

Mike DeMarco

Management

Well, two things, it leads into a bigger question which I think you have asked before in other calls, which is why don't I just back buyback your stock, how do you distribute cash. So and so forth, we investigate this consistently. The problem we have which won't change until we get a high stock price and better capital market support is when you are at basically 50:50 leverage, which we were at for most of our time now just recently passed that number just in the last month or so. There are mature options. We have a rating. We have to preserve that rating while at least look at the impact of not having a rating. So by distributing cash, I would be outlying money, I would get it downgrade and we would have therefore a problem. Once you pay back that in equal portion, but then I'm just really buying back equity, I'm just keeping my leverage the same as we move down into a small and small base. What we intend to do in that' I think it's the right cause. And we have run all the math on this, is to basically keep our options open obviously Roseland is being set-up or outlined our flex business we described core, non-core and our transit based city locations, which allows us if we move up in stock price which we think we should given based on our earnings growth so then make the -- a move that will allow you to recapture the difference between that price and what your true NAV is, which is really the question right. Once you add 25, how to get to 30. When you're at 20, you really can't get to 30 by doing some recap because it's not available to you because you leverage and other balance sheet concerns. At least that's what the consumption we can do Ross. But we look to maximizing anything for our shareholders every single day we get to work and probably in weekends too. But this is the path that we laid out that's most prudent and allows us to get there.

Ross Nussbaum

Analyst · UBS.

Thanks.

Mike DeMarco

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

We will take our next question from Vincent Chao, Deutsche Bank.

Mike DeMarco

Management

Good morning, Vincent.

Vincent Chao

Analyst

Good morning, everyone. Just wanted to follow up on the occupancy question. The 100 basis points of net debt leasing upside, you got quarter plus an additional by year end 2016. Just curious how much of that would be sort of rent paying by the end of 2016, of course free rent periods and all that.

Mike DeMarco

Management

Actually, it's tough because the deals you -- if you -- the new deals is always in this condition is always free rent. But what is most important, what it does to our 2016 numbers because it wears off obviously in 2016 and it allows us to have exceed or meet our guidance to be in 2016. The fourth quarter gives us a window as Mitch outlined; vacancies or terminations of -- 86,000 square feet next quarter is very even. This is a good path for us for the next 15 months. I will turn over to Mitch to indulge to allow us to execute our plan.

Mitch Rudin

Management

Vincent also as we are moving into larger transactions, all those are -- those are typically spaces that are built out by the tenants. So there is always an addition to market driven free rent period there is a construction period built into that. And those are always several months as well.

Vincent Chao

Analyst

All right. So I guess, what would you say is sort of the typical lag between signing and commencement of cash rent?

Mitch Rudin

Management

It could be five to six months, if you're doing a larger deal, it could be 9 months or 10.

Mike DeMarco

Management

All right. So on 10-year deal, you might get six months of free rent still to consent with.

Vincent Chao

Analyst

Six months free for 10. Okay. And then just a question on the same-store for the quarter attributed mostly through operating performance, I think. Just curious what's the real estate tax impact was?

Mike DeMarco

Management

Tony?

Tony Krug

Management

Yes. It was about $0.02, about $2 million in the quarter.

Vincent Chao

Analyst

That mean on the same-store?

Tony Krug

Management

It's essentially same-store. I mean most of the portfolio is same-store. So I would -- its vast majority.

Vincent Chao

Analyst

Right, right. So the 65 would go to -- so, I think we did lose some of that --

Tony Krug

Management

Oh, I'm sorry. Are you asking what would have been without?

Vincent Chao

Analyst

Correct.

Tony Krug

Management

Okay. I'm sorry. For the quarter, instead of 6.5%, it would be down about 3.9%.

Vincent Chao

Analyst

3.9%, okay. Thanks.

Tony Krug

Management

Welcome.

Mike DeMarco

Management

Thank you, Vince.

Operator

Operator

We will take our next question from John Guinee with Stifel.

Mike DeMarco

Management

Good morning, John.

John Guinee

Analyst · Stifel.

Okay. John Guinee here. Okay, Mike, if I speak slowly will you answer slowly?

Mike DeMarco

Management

Not a chance John.

John Guinee

Analyst · Stifel.

Okay. Walk me through, you got $400 million of assets at 5 to 5.5 cap, is that anything besides the Washington CBD and 125 Broad Street?

Mike DeMarco

Management

No. That's basically the two district buildings and 125 Broad equal about $400 million give or take.

John Guinee

Analyst · Stifel.

Okay. What's the price of the --

Mike DeMarco

Management

Just to be fully -- we expect the 125 Broad will be sub-4 cap and the other ones are around the 5s. So we give a range that actually was -- actually was conservative on that number.

John Guinee

Analyst · Stifel.

Okay. Got you. And then $400 million, 8.5 to 9 cap, what would I -- well, I'm thinking about pricing per count, what would I think about? And then how much of that will be sold -- how much of that would be transferred into Roseland, or is that a separate bucket?

Mike DeMarco

Management

Different bucket. So nothing will transfer into Roseland. And the way you should look at it, as we went through and we trimmed out a number of small buildings and these are some decent size buildings that were isolated and we allowed ourselves to know that when we went on -- we won't see these buildings back again like. We don't want to sell them to a competitor and then would re-lease to us which has happened in the past for reasons we don't know. So we have buildings that are 67,000 square feet, buildings that are 225,000 square feet and accommodation between and the range of value runs anywhere from $75 to $225 on a per square foot basis, John. And it's a range depending what we see. Some of it is going to be sold to end users people who really want to occupy space that's own space. Some will be sold to investors; some will be sold to -- some of our competitors but not people that will deal with the future because we'll be exiting those markets.

John Guinee

Analyst · Stifel.

Okay. And how many square feet is that total?

Mike DeMarco

Management

Four and change.

John Guinee

Analyst · Stifel.

Four and change, so on average these are sell for a shade under $100 a foot?

Mike DeMarco

Management

No. I would four and change for the whole $800 million, John. I have to get it back to you what that number is. The price per square foot is probably above $100 and below $150 if I had to make a guess today. But, I will give you a call back and give you a more precise number.

John Guinee

Analyst · Stifel.

Okay. And then how many assets, my sense is that the Upper Saddle River asset on Lake Avano [ph], I think it is, that's going to Roseland, but correct me if I'm wrong. How many buildings square foot acres in total are essentially being bulldozed and repurposed as something else?

Mike DeMarco

Management

It's actually 10 to 12 sites. But it's a combination of things that are very nuance and subtle, so some of them are actual buildings. So it's Lake Street, we have a building in [Marsh, Plaint] [ph] is also going over. We have a few others that are in that bucket. And we have excess parking rates where we have parking fields that Marshall was able to go to the town in such as short notice, where we have built a deck for the price of the development land which is relatively modest price to pay. But then the asset that we own gets a -- and closed parking which is obviously a big attribute for the suburbs. And then we have ones that are -- deals where we had excess land in total. This 12 sites, it's about 2500 units because it's about 250 units per, Lake Street is a little bit more than, some are little less, some are 190 to 200. But it does about 250 per. But the square footage and the buildings I have to get you that number John. But it's assumed that, I would assume that building is like 200,000 or 250,000 that we transfer over that's what we generally own, some 150,000. Lake Street was bigger at 500. So that range is probably 250 which gets you 400 apartments the way I was looked at it.

John Guinee

Analyst · Stifel.

Okay. And then, a last question, the impaired assets, is that all generic eventually held for sale or up for sale office or is there something else JVs, land et cetera in that bucket?

Mitch Rudin

Management

No. We try to basically be clean about this. So we took the impairment charge. And we have gains one of the things that's not disclosed. We had gains on assets that were actually moved out most of the impairment maybe we have a slight impairment charge of $30 million to $50 million is an estimate, right, net-net, right, so we have gains on other stuff. You can't take gains for accounting as you know John until you realize that transaction, where you can estimate impairments once you put an asset up for the sale. So we took a full disclosure, take the charge now, kind of our balance sheet. We think we foot marked everything we went through as we did with the audit committee about impairments. So this is the list that we know today.

John Guinee

Analyst · Stifel.

Okay, great. Hey, thanks a lot.

Mitch Rudin

Management

All the best, John.

John Guinee

Analyst · Stifel.

Bye-bye.

Operator

Operator

We will take our next question from Scott Frost of Bank of America.

Mike DeMarco

Management

Good morning, Scott.

Scott Frost

Analyst

Thanks for taking my question. Hi, good morning. You said earlier that you would -- you are going to avoid a special dividend or buybacks because you wanted to avoid a downgrade. Normally, I would say that's understandable because it would result in higher funding costs in public markets but it looks like you moved away from that again with the term loan which was announced at your investor day, and which you have elaborated on here. What would the effect of a downgrade, what was the negative consequences of a downgrade actually be on your operations?

Mike DeMarco

Management

Not much. Our term loan is going to be both LTV and rating base, so we would be the same. Our line of credit has a certain grid pattern. But we haven't really bowled over it. It’s somewhat muted. But more important Scott, you make a covenant when you do business with people and operate in a certain way. We made those covenants when we attained that rating. What we would basically try to meet that as much as possible while still meeting the covenant we have with our shareholders to get the highest returns. So we will get the rating as one of the valuable tools in our boxes indicative of how we run our business and we intend to run that going forward. This is why I said earlier we have to operate as a -- essentially a leverage neutral case. And then hopefully, overtime as we have done we have improved earnings, we cut expenses, our stock price is up and then we shown reasonably disciplined capital allocation.

Scott Frost

Analyst

Are there any rating based covenants in the term loan or your revolver or anything like that?

Mike DeMarco

Management

They don't have a great pattern that basically move up and I think we disclosed that, but its not -- nothing that would drive us not as far as expenses.

Scott Frost

Analyst

Okay. All right. Thank you.

Mike DeMarco

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we'll go to our next question from Manny Korchman with Citi.

Michael Bilerman

Analyst · Citi.

Hey it's Michael Bilerman here with Manny.

Mike DeMarco

Management

Good morning, Michael.

Michael Bilerman

Analyst · Citi.

Good morning. Can you follow-up a little bit on Roseland just in terms of the 275 to 325, how that is pure I guess NTB level equity versus equity into assets or has that not been determined? And then as Eastdil goes out and raises their capital, are they thinking about one investor or multiple investors, is it going to be sort of out to institutions versus smaller investors, how should we think about that investor?

Mike DeMarco

Management

Well, let's look at the overall strategy. So as I said earlier just to emphasize, it is one arrow in equivalent, so we have a number of tools, right, we could merchant, build and sell assets and recycle which we could, we can do and shown our preference to do that. We could leverage our op as we feel appropriate as earnings to increase; we could raise joint venture equity, right? So what we've done is obviously get away from the subordinate equity which is one of the reasons why we bought Chase I in which allows us to have a wholly-owned asset next to other units we own and the building we're about to construct. So it gives us the real project in Boston of significant size to match up of what we have in Jersey City with URL and other investment. Looking at that as a strategy we look and said drop Roseland into subsidiary, it's private REIT Michael which is the preferred vehicle. It's a heads up transaction, no promotion, no fees, which is very uncommon. And as you know in the private equity world, it's the chance to invest side-by-side with the majority owner; you're minority, so you don't have to worry about evaluation issue because we have more money than the deal than the investor will. Our thought was to limit the amount we wouldn't sell because of the high accretive nature of Roseland, so we picked 20%. We picked 20%, we assume they put in 300 of cash we matched it with 200, you have 500, which on Investor Day we said was the magic number that got us through the foreseeable future, right? And we always do future races as the business plan goes. It's not dilutive to the overall Mack-Cali transaction, we're just trading out of assets you could argue with trading under the 5% assets or the 8.5% assets to fund Roseland in the future but again it's one thing. Now to your second question regarding number of investors, obviously, this will be a very attractive investor. The Roseland people have done business with a number of institutions and obviously, their institution prime, right, not a question. So we have UBS, Prudential, we've done business with. And then, there is a whole number of foreign institutions that shown interest in multifamily. For example one of the biggest news articles was case -- purchasing the Blackstone [indiscernible], right? The Canadians have always shown an interest in U.S. deployments and we think it's going to be a wide variety. And this transaction is somewhat unique given its size, which isn't that big and the structure which is incredibly clean. So we think it's going to be well received as a system.

Michael Bilerman

Analyst · Citi.

Now does that in terms of access, what sort of things you're going to put in place or what were the investors want and ultimately as this entity going publicly would it be sold, what sort of protocols would be put in?

Mike DeMarco

Management

Well, we always have been thinking about the exit. So there will be number of things that we could workout which we haven't got into. But just to think about it, they don't make it for -- does a stock investor for a quick turn. You're making a five, seven year and maybe a 10-year commitment for this fund. So they'll be looking for exit sometime after that threshold -- otherwise they wouldn't be -- they don't do liquid investments to turnaround relatively quickly. We'll break in some things may be -- it might be a transition into Mack-Cali. It's a little number of things we haven't worked into or we might take it public or we could spin it out. As we've always said, we leave our options open and this only is an attempt to basically get on every respect to reflect what our -- our stock price to reflect what the NAV should be.

Michael Bilerman

Analyst · Citi.

So the other $75 million to $125 million in this equity financing represents joint venture of assets or other things?

Mike DeMarco

Management

No. It's 300 of cash. We put up 200 of cash and 500 sits in the venture as I thought. And 500 fills out the plan. Two hundred that comes in, could be from assets we sell, borrow any other number of means we could fund. But the thought is we would own 80, made it 75 could be, could be 85, it depends on what we chose to and the investor obviously is the remainder. If it's just a cleaner transaction and much easier accounting for people like yourself to look at quarter-to-quarter.

Michael Bilerman

Analyst · Citi.

Okay. You provided the good bridge from 3Q to 4Q effectively [indiscernible]…

Mike DeMarco

Management

Other than with the 41k and the demolition charges, yes.

Michael Bilerman

Analyst · Citi.

Right. But effectively from a core basis you're earning the same amount of money. The math is pretty simple 100 million shares, so if every penny is the million bucks, so walk us through the bridge going from 4Q to 1Q and effectively the run rate into 2016 where your guidance effectively is $0.50 to $0.53. And so you're effectively picking up and you're looking to $2 million to $5 million sequentially, and I don’t know how much of that ramped in 4Q that you're going to end 4Q at a much higher rate but may be just talk about the key points that are driving that?

Mike DeMarco

Management

I'm going to turn over to Tony to give you details.

Tony Krug

Management

Yes. There are number of things that I guess I could point to. If you remember back on Investor Day, we talked about expense savings both from an operating perspective and interest. The aggregate of those things, call it $0.17 in round numbers. Mike and Mitch have both spoken about the lease up, the growth in rents that we would see and kind of pick a number but it's going to contribute something may be its another $0.04. Depending up on and obviously driven a lot by timing of the acquisitions and dispositions there could be another few cents accretively if we do the timing that we have laid out in the -- in our plan correctly or I should say in our 2016 guidance. So those things are all the contributors that get us kind of to the mid-point of guidance and it will be slow steps forward to get that done. Some how it sooner, the refinancing, interest expense savings hit earlier in the year. Expense savings, we're working on -- on that as we proceed here and that's -- that will be in the books from the beginning too. And then the trades, the acquisitions and dispositions, the arbitrage there will obviously be based on timing when we get that done.

Michael Bilerman

Analyst · Citi.

Okay. Thanks.

Mike DeMarco

Management

Thank you, Michael. Have a nice day.

Operator

Operator

We'll go to our next question from Gabriel Hilmoe with Evercore ISI.

Gabriel Hilmoe

Analyst · Evercore ISI.

Thanks

Mike DeMarco

Management

Good morning, Gabe.

Gabriel Hilmoe

Analyst · Evercore ISI.

Good morning, guys. Mike I appreciate your comments in the capital sources that you true, but may be for Tony just given the plan in place for 2016 with the sources and spend do you have a sense of where you kind of expect 2016 to end from a leverage basis, what kind of debt to EBITDA metric may look like?

Tony Krug

Management

Yes. Clearly, that's a concern of everybody including us. But with our plan we don't have net debt being meaningfully increased by the end of the year compared to where we are now and if we're successful at growing the EBITDA that we spoke about we could be and actually we plan to be even less from a net debt to EBITDA than we are currently.

Gabriel Hilmoe

Analyst · Evercore ISI.

Okay. That's helpful. And then just on the guidance for 2016, Mike I think you have alluded to there maybe some of the higher capital sales hitting later next year, is any of that contemplated in the 2 to 2.10 range right now?

Mike DeMarco

Management

It's contemplated, but what we're trying to do Gabe and we've said as before is, we don’t want to leave any money on the table as my friends always say go from the felt, right? So we have set ourselves up to asset manage. There is nothing we're selling early which is DC and New York, is potentially pristine. So it gives us a chance as a management team to look at buildings and say should it go or should it stay. We've had actually very positive result there was a building just this one example, I won't give you the name. But it's 300,000 square feet in one of submarkets that we would have sold. And we would have sold for $100 a square foot. But the leasing broker who was in-charge of the building knowing that he was about to lose it has been working on it and he has turned it into a building that was like sub-70% occupied, Gabe like may be 68%, it's going to be like may be 90% or 91% by the end of this quarter. He has gone out. He has made deals. They had been accretive. We've actually put money in. We've had discussions with tenants about putting some tenants improvements. And that building we think today could be worth $200 a square foot which on 300,000 square feet is real money for us and it probably -- they won't keep for the intermediate and a make decision about later but it went off our sellers. We're going to try to work everyone of these deals, but not being so foolish and off-tax you wait and sell, we think we take 16 months or 27 months and we have a 36 month plan. We have a discipline. We want it done over the next 15 months, but some of the stuff will likely be in June to January of that segment as supposed to January to June of this segment, if you understand my calendar, right, so certain things we will sell early and there are things that will sell late, we think we can get good prices on it and we're getting more increase. By using six brokers, right? Think about it, we've used the entire street, and won't got a piece of the business and won't got a set of books and now they're getting cross fertilization like, "Oh, I have an idea for you on this one, I know you're also selling that." So we're getting a lot of inquiry which we're sorting through, it's going to difficult, it's like 40 somewhat assets that we intend to dispose off, but we think we'll get to the right spot and we have a whole team talented and led by our CIO, Ricardo Cardoso, whose is doing this effort.

Gabriel Hilmoe

Analyst · Evercore ISI.

All right. Thanks guys.

Operator

Operator

Then we'll go to our next question from John Guinee with Stifel.

Mike DeMarco

Management

Welcome back, John.

John Guinee

Analyst · Stifel.

Okay. Just a quick remainder Marshall, how much land do you have its wholly-owned in the Roseland residential business, what's the -- where do you think that is relative to your market value right now?

Marshall Tycher

Management

We're on multiple sites both in New Jersey and Massachusetts. I think the wholly-owned apartment sites -- we own and/or control over 10,000 units. Some of them are options, but most of them are wholly-owned. We do have partners in various parcels. So I don't have the exact number, what's a 100% owned versus in joint ventures. But in all instances we are in -- our sites below fair market value. We own most of these sites for many years and they usually multiple pay sites that we've bought permitted and improved. So we are in it under fair market value and I can get you more detail later as to which ones are wholly-owned versus owned and joint ventures.

John Guinee

Analyst · Stifel.

So what you are doing is, what Eastdil goes out and tries to raise $300 million privately for you, you're going to basically be selling them a -- have an appreciated book value, current book value for the land, current book value for the asset and selling among the value creation which is really what you are doing here as a essentially a private development company.

Marshall Tycher

Management

Yes. That's correct.

John Guinee

Analyst · Stifel.

All right. Got it. Thanks.

Marshall Tycher

Management

You bet.

Operator

Operator

And at this time, we have no further questions.

Mike DeMarco

Management

We thank everyone for joining us and hope you have a nice holiday season. We will see you in January. Talk to you soon. Bye-bye.