Operator
Operator
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Vera Bradley Year-End 2015 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. Instructions will be provided at that time for you to queue up for questions. As a reminder, today's conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Stacy Knapper, Vera Bradley's Senior Vice President and General Counsel. Please go ahead. Anastacia S. Knapper - Secretary, Senior Vice President & General Counsel: Good morning and welcome, everyone. We would like to thank you for joining us for Vera Bradley's fourth quarter and fiscal year-end earnings conference call. Some of the statements made on today's call during our prepared remarks and in response (00:45-00:47) constitute forward-looking statements made pursuant to and within the meaning of the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 as amended. Such forward-looking statements are subject to both known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those that we expect. Please refer to today's press release and the company's Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 1, 2014 filed with the SEC for a discussion of known risks and uncertainties. Investors should not assume that the statements made during the call will remain operative at a later time. The company undertakes no obligation to update any information discussed on the call. I will now turn the call over to Vera Bradley's Chief Executive Officer, Rob Wallstrom. Robert T. Wallstrom - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Thank you, Stacy. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on today's call. With me today are Kevin Sierks, Chief Financial Officer; Sue Fuller, Chief Merchandising Officer; and Julia Bentley, VP of IR and Communications. Even though our revenues were challenging and fell below our expectations, we were still able to deliver earnings per share for both the quarter and year within our guidance. Fiscal 2015 was certainly a year of transition for Vera Bradley. And let me take just a minute to highlight the substantial progress that we made against our long-term strategic plan. We strengthened the organization with the addition of high-caliber, experienced leadership, including Sue Fuller, EVP, Chief Merchandising Officer; Karen Peters, EVP of Retail and Wholesale; and Angel Ilagan, EVP, Chief Marketing Officer; as well as VPs in key areas including, global sourcing, store development, merchandise planning and wholesale. We have a great blend of existing and new talent in the organization and the right team for the future of the business. Our balance sheet remained strong. We managed our inventories and ended the year with a very solid cash position. We accomplished a great deal related to products. We innovated and began to modernize and elevate our product assortment through the introduction of laser-cut, faux leather and other products; the launch of our full coordinating collections including our smaller prints, and the expansion of our solid microfiber assortments. All of these additions are diversifying our offering and lessening our dependence on our traditional cotton quilted signature patterns. We better focused our assortments by reducing the number of signature cotton quilted pattern launches and by eliminating underperforming SKUs to the assortment. We majored in the majors making a bigger impact in the big volume drivers and classifications Vera Bradley is known for and what we do best, like travel, backpacks, bags, and accessories. We began exploring relevant brand extensions that will enhance our position as a lifestyle brand. We entered into arrangements with two strategic jewelry partners to re-launch and expand our jewelry offering, elevating the aesthetic and increasing our customer reach, and conducted a successful test of this new collection in the fourth quarter. We work to make our existing supply chain more efficient and cost effective, and began exploring lower cost manufacturing facilities in country. We shifted some production out of China and into Vietnam and reduced cost at our domestic manufacturing facility. We also identified and implemented cost reductions in shipping, supplies and other overhead costs. On the distribution front, there are several accomplishments to note. We opened 13 full-line stores, bringing our total year-end to 96 and opened 14 factory outlet stores, bringing our count to 29. We began work on our new prototype full-line store, which will be unveiled this year. We started the transition of our outlet stores to factory outlet stores with the introduction of approximately 20 factory-exclusive styles, which are generating higher sell-throughs and gross margin rates than our traditional outlet business. We implemented our LOCATE system in both our full-line and factory outlet stores, which allows sales associates to find a product in another store and ship it directly to the customer if it is out of stock within the originating store. We made key enhancements to verabradley.com including adding product recommendations, enhancing product descriptions, adding silhouettes for product scale, generating cart and site abandonment emails and gathering and analyzing customer feedback. We expanded our department store presence through new relationships with Macy's and Belk. We are now in 100 Macy's stores, including a small Outpost in the Herald Square flagship store and began testing our products in three Belk stores, one of which is a prototype shop-in-shop in the Dallas Galleria. We work to stabilize the specialty gift channel. We've began focusing on our largest accounts that represent our brand development and discontinuing unproductive accounts that did not represent the Vera Bradley brand well, leaving us with approximately 1,900 partners with approximately 27 new locations in this channel. It's down from a high of about 3,600 three years ago. We made progress on balancing inventories and better tailoring and segmenting our product assortment by door. In addition, we reduced our team of field sales consultants that services this channel, better aligning the number of sales consultants with the current sales level. We also entered into a five-year agreement with Mitsubishi Corporation Fashion Company and Look Inc. to import and distribute Vera Bradley products in Japan, moving us to a wholesale business model in this country. The first two stores will open in fall 2014 to positive customer response. We further developed our marketing initiatives. We launched our first national ad campaign in September focused on leather and faux-leather. This campaign included a strategic combination of carefully-placed national ads, special event social media with a focus on Twitter and Instagram and creating buzz through bloggers and fashion influencers. We also launched a November digital campaign and our Brightest Gifts Ever! holiday print and digital campaign. While we have made progress on our key initiatives, the overall business trends remained difficult. By this time, we had expected to regain momentum in the business, but this did not happen. Our core customers are continuing to buy our products. However, our primary issue is that we have not attracted enough new customers to the brand, and therefore, both traffic and sales remained extremely challenging. We remain committed to our long-term strategic plan. In fact, based on the challenges we are facing in traffic and sales trends, we are more convinced than ever that our strategies to innovate and modernize our products, distribution and marketing are the right ones for the future. In fiscal 2016, we are focusing on attracting new customers to the brand. Specifically, we will continue to increase the relevance of our product by investing more in products and categories that are working such as leather, solid microfiber, our smaller coordinating prints and driving innovation and newness through new fabrications and styles. We will continue to prudently grow our distribution, including adding select new full-line and factory outlet stores and expanding our department store partnerships. We will move much more aggressively on our marketing efforts. We will allocate more dollars and resources to create and successfully implement a comprehensive, multi-faceted marketing campaign to drive brand and product awareness and target new customers. Sue and I will talk more about each of these in a few minutes. As always, we expect to carefully manage our expenses but intend to redeploy any savings realized in areas such as marketing and e-commerce that will strengthen and grow the business for the long term. For example, beginning in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2016, we expect to save approximately $12 million annually related to the closing of our domestic manufacturing facility, which will be reinvested in the aforementioned other areas of the business. We continue to believe that we can reach $1 billion in sales and a high-teen operating margin in the future, but that it will take longer to achieve these sales than the five years we originally projected. I will now ask Kevin to give us a brief update on our results and outlook for fiscal 2016. Kevin J. Sierks - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Thanks, Rob, and good morning. Before I begin, let me remind you that as a result of moving to a wholesale business model in Japan, we exited our Direct business during the first (9:48) quarter of fiscal 2015 and are accounting for it as a discontinued operation. The income statement numbers I will reference reflect continuing operations, which is consistent with how we provided guidance. I won't go into a lot of detail on the historical numbers since all the information is contained in this morning's press release. Net revenues totaled $152.6 million for the current year fourth quarter compared to $156.4 million last year and our guidance of $158 million to $163 million. Income from continuing operations totaled $17.3 million or $0.43 per diluted share for the current year fourth quarter compared to $19.9 million or $0.49 per diluted share last year. Both quarters include certain charges that were outlined in the release. In our Direct segment, total revenues of $107.7 million were essentially flat with last year, reflecting new store growth, offset by a 14.4% comp sales decline. Indirect segment revenues fell 8% to $44.9 million, primarily due to lower re-orders of our specialty retail account as well as the reduction in the number of specialty retail accounts. Operating income totaled $25.9 million, or 17% of net revenues in the current year fourth quarter compared to $31.3 million or 20% of net revenues in the prior year fourth quarter. By segment, Direct operating income was $29.4 million, or 27.3% of sales, which was consistent with last year, and Indirect operating income was $15.6 million or 34.8% of sales compared to $18.6 million, or 38.1% of sales in the prior year. Net revenues totaled $509 million for fiscal 2015 compared to $530.9 million last year. Income from continuing operations totaled $40.8 million, or $1 per diluted share, for fiscal 2015 compared to $60.1 million, or $1.48 per diluted share for fiscal 2014. Both years included certain charges that were outlined in the release. Direct segment revenues increased 4.5% for the year to $335.6 million, reflecting new store growth, offset by a 7.6% comparable sales decline. Indirect segment revenues decreased 17.4% to $173.4 million, primarily due to lower re-orders from our specialty retail account as well as a reduction in the number of specialty retail accounts. Operating income totaled $64.1 million, or 12.6% of net revenues, in the current year compared to $95.8 million, or 18% of net revenues, in the prior year. By segment, Direct operating income was $74.1 million, or 22.1% of sales, compared to $81.2 million, or 25.3% of sales last year. And Indirect operating income was $66.2 million, or 38.2% of sales, compared to $84.1 million, or 40.1% of sales in the prior year. Year-end cash totaled $112.3 million compared to $59.2 million last year. We had no debt outstanding at fiscal year-end. Year-end inventory was $98.4 million, slightly below guidance of $100 million to $110 million and compared to $136.9 million last year. Inventories were below the prior year due to improved inventory management and below guidance due to receipt flow. Net capital spending for the year totaled $37.1 million, slightly below guidance of $40 million due to the timing of certain expenditures related to the corporate campus consolidation. Now let's talk about the outlook for fiscal 2016. Our guidance below is on a continuing operations basis and excludes estimated restructuring and other charges of $6 million to $7 million that will be recorded in the first quarter of fiscal 2016 related to the closing of our domestic manufacturing facility and other cost saving measures. For the first quarter, we expect net revenues of $103 million to $109 million compared to prior year first quarter revenues of $112.2 million. The first quarter revenue expectations reflect the timing of approximately $4 million in Indirect revenues related to the summer early order period, or EOP, for our specialty retailers that shifted from the first quarter last year to the second quarter this year. We expect Direct segment net revenues to be flat to increase in a low single-digit percentage range with a comparable sales, including e-commerce, decrease in the mid-teen percentage. We believe our Indirect net revenues will decline in the low 20% range during the quarter. The gross margin rate for the first quarter is expected to range from 53% to 53.5% compared to 53.3% in the prior year first quarter. SG&A as a percentage of sales is expected to range from 51.9% to 54.5% for the first quarter compared to 44.6% in the prior year first quarter. The expected deleverage is primarily due to incremental investments in key areas like marketing, incentive compensation, and e-commerce on a lower sales base. We expect first quarter diluted EPS to be in the range of $0.00 to $0.03, based on diluted weighted average shares outstanding of 39.9 million and an effective tax rate of 39.3%. Diluted EPS totaled $0.17 in the prior year first quarter. We expect inventory to be $100 million to $110 million at the end of the first quarter compared to $126.6 million at the end of last year's first quarter. This projected inventory level reflect the much better balance of current to retired inventory than a year ago. For the full year, we expect net revenues of $510 million to $525 million compared to $509 million last year. Our revenue guidance includes Direct segment net revenue growth in the high single-digits to low double-digit range with a decline in comparable sales, including e-commerce, in the mid to high single-digit percentage range. This guidance reflects our plans to reduce our promotional activity which Rob will discuss in further detail. Indirect net revenues are expected to decline in the low-teen percentage range. The gross margin rate for fiscal 2015 is expected to range from 55.7% to 56.2% compared to 52.9% last year. This planned improvement reflects the leveraging of overhead costs, reduction in sourcing and product costs, primarily related to made-for-outlet product, and including the closure of our domestic manufacturing facility and reduced promotional activity. SG&A as a percentage of sales is expected to range from 44.9% to 46.3% for fiscal 2016 compared to 41% last year. The expected rate increase is primarily a result of the previously-discussed strategic investments in the business in fiscal 2016, such as incremental advertising expense of approximately $8 million, additional incentive compensation expense of approximately $7 million, and incremental e-commerce expenses, and the deleverage due to the soft sales projection. We do have an active expense control program in place and we're focused on reducing expenses. We have identified and are implementing several cost reductions, including the closing of our domestic manufacturing facility, negotiating lower prices with our fabric mills, right-sizing the support staff of our Indirect channels, and gaining staffing efficiencies in our stores. Our expectations for diluted EPS is from $0.82 to $0.92 for fiscal 2016. On a comparable basis, diluted EPS totaled $1 last year. We expect our net capital expenditures will total approximately $31 million for the full year, primarily related to new store openings, continued investments in our systems, and completion of our corporate campus consolidation. As Sue will discuss, we intend (17:55) to make some targeted investments in inventory, so our inventory is projected to grow at a faster rate than sales this year. Let me turn the call over to Sue, who will give us an update on product. Sue? Sue Fuller - Chief Merchandising Officer & Executive VP: Thanks, Kevin. As Rob mentioned, in the product area, this year we are primarily focused on continuing to increase the relevance of our product through innovation and newness. Our goal is to offer the most innovative, fun, and functional consumer right products and be the top-of-mind choice in the categories that we are known for: bags, accessories, travel and backpack. Even though sales have continued to be challenging, we do know that our customers are responding to the newness, and our SKU productivity on these products is higher than on our traditional merchandise. We are getting great feedback from our retail partners and consumers, and they tell us that our assortments have never looked better and been more trend right, and our offerings are getting better and better each season. I'm really excited about our summer, fall, and winter assortment. At the end of fiscal 2015, about 30% of our Direct assortment is what we consider new merchandise. Let me go over a few of the specific actions we are taking. We are continuing to refine our internal innovation pipeline to keep fresh fabrication ideas coming, and we are implementing a fast-track process to more quickly react to market trends. We are working to increase our market share of bags through the continued style and color expansion of leather, laser-cut and faux leather and the introduction of diversified and new-to-us fabrication. We intend to grow our backpack market share by increasing and diversifying new assortment, expanding our very successful Lighten-Up fabrication and introducing new functionality. We will work to increase our travel market share through the addition of the Lighten-Up fabrication and new style. We want to be the go-to place for carry-on luggage for all styles. We will continue to expand our successful solid microfiber business by adding additional SKUs in our core color of black. This fall we will be adding Navy and Espresso to our core microfiber assortment and we will continue to add seasonal colors to the collection. Solid, including leather and faux leather, represents nearly 25% of our Direct business at the end of fiscal 2015. And we have doubled our scarf selection. And mid-year, we will launch our updated and expanded jewelry collection in all full-line doors and on verabradley.com. One important point I want to make is that by diversifying into a variety of new fabrics in each of our key classification, we believe we now are more effectively able to compete and are better positioned to take market share. By offering primarily cotton-quilted products, we were only able to compete in about 10% of the bag market. Our expanded offerings will allow us to compete in approximately 90% of the market. We are focused on appropriate inventory management and assortment by channel, and we believe we now have the team, processes and systems in place to do just that. Specifically, we've recently completed implementation of our new merchandise planning and allocation system. The new system, along with the talented team we now have in place, will allow us to manage our assortment by channel and optimize inventory quantities and improve our stock positions down to the store level. We have improved our chase processes to maximize sales opportunity. We have expanded our LOCATE system online. If an item is out of stock in a particular store, LOCATE will allow the sales associate to find the product in another store online and ship it directly to the customer. We are investing more dollars in inventory in key areas where we believe sales have been negatively impacted by low stock levels, particularly in our factory outlet stores. We are moving faster and adding more inventories of certain new products and categories, such as leather, faux-leather, and solid microfiber. We are getting more strategic about product segmentation. Leather is distributed in our full-line stores on verabradley.com and in department stores. Faux leather will be segmented to the specialty channel. In addition, we are creating other specific products for specific channels and, of course, our factory-exclusive products are an important piece of this segmentation. We remain optimistic that we are on the right track and that these product changes will lead to increased revenues, better sell-throughs, and higher gross margins over time. We are also taking other actions that we believe will expand our future gross margin rate. For example, we are in the process of building a more flexible, efficient, and cost-effective supply chain through our vendor and country diversification. One piece of this is closing our domestic manufacturing facility in Fort Wayne. This was an extremely difficult decision, but one that will save us approximately $12 million on an annual basis beginning in the fourth quarter of this year. We are currently manufacturing approximately 5% of our product in this facility. And as Rob mentioned, we are broadening our base to countries outside of China to other countries with expertise in specific product classification. We have also aggressively renegotiating pricing with all of our mills due to lower cotton and petroleum cost and expect to save $3 million in cost of sale on an annualized basis beginning in fiscal 2017. One last note on the West Coast port slowdown. Of course, we are all glad that the situation has been resolved. We have had and will continue to have some minor delivery impacts due to the situation. However, we were proactive and routed some of the deliveries through Canada and air-freighted other merchandise that was more time-sensitive. I think that the team has been able to manage the situation very well. Rob? Robert T. Wallstrom - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Thanks, Sue. Our distribution strategy remains an important part of our long-term plan. We still believe there is ample opportunity for both full-line and factory outlet store growth. Of course, this growth is off a relatively small base. We have planned to open 15 full-line stores this year with five opening in the first quarter. We continue to believe that we will have opportunities to add an average of around 20 new full-line stores per year going forward, equating to about 300 full-line stores over time. We are working hard on trying to create in-store excitement and give customers a reason to shop. Over the holidays, we tested a monogram machine in one of our Michigan stores, which drove solid gains in traffic and sales. To further test the concept, we are rolling these machines out to a handful of additional stores this spring. Harry Cunningham, our new Head of Store Development, is beginning to test more modern visual merchandising methods to attract new customers into our stores. He has been working on the new prototype store design, which we should have finalized midyear. The first iteration of this new design will be rolled out to our new Kierland Commons store in Scottsdale, Arizona, which opens later this month. In our factory stores, we are on track with our made-for-factory product transition. Currently, about 25% of merchandise in our factory outlet stores is factory-exclusive. And we are pleased with the performance. This percentage should grow to about 70% over the next couple of years. We have plans to open 10 factory outlet stores this year with five opening in the first quarter. We still expect to open an average of about 10 stores per year and believe the opportunity exists to have over 100 factory outlet stores in the long term. This would leave us with a ratio of about three full-line stores to every factory outlet store. e-commerce is an integral component of our five-year plan. We are in the early phase of our 18-month conversion to a new web technology platform. Once fully implemented, this new platform will allow for a true omni-channel experience for our customers and will offer significantly enhanced search capabilities, personalization, and segmentation of customer experiences and offers, and better management of promotions. Over time, this new platform should allow us to better focus on our brand and product story and to reduce promotional activity on our full-line sites. This year, we will be strategically weaning ourselves off of our hyper promotional activity that is not sustainable and damaging to the brand, eliminating our deepest discount both on the website and in our full-line stores. We realize this is likely to have a negative impact on sales, but is the right action to take for the long-term health of the business and the brand. Department stores are key to growth in the Indirect segment. Department stores allow us to attract new customers to Vera Bradley and to showcase our elevated product assortments. By May, we are planning to be in 250 Macy's stores, and are in the process of enhancing both our product assortment and store presentation. We are now in seven Belk stores and plan to add more in the future. And, of course, Dillard's remain a very special partner for us, where we have distribution in all of their doors. We are getting interest from several other department stores, but we are taking a methodical and strategic approach to building a profitable department store business that best represents our brand. The indirect specialty gift channel remains an important and very profitable piece of our business. We continue to focus on our largest accounts that represent our brand the best. Our last three EOPs, or early order periods, have generated solid results, and the retailers have responded to our new product selections. Now, switching gears to marketing, which is probably our most critical focus area this year. We are allocating more dollars and resources to create and successfully implement a comprehensive marketing plan to modernize our brands and attract a wider breadth of customers. We plan to invest approximately $8 million in additional advertising this year, bringing our total annual marketing spend to approximately $40 million. We are increasing digital and print advertising, social media and public relations, while paring back direct mail. Our most recent advertising has not been effective in attracting enough new customers to the brand. We hired a new ad agency, and they have worked with us to develop a new advertising campaign called, I Am (29:49), which highlights the multi-faceted nature of our customers, connecting them and their lives to our brand and products. During the testing phase, this campaign resonated with both existing and potential customers, as indicated by a significant increase in purchase intent. We will launch the new campaign in conjunction with Mother's Day. We are also partnering with a nationally known PR firm to drive exposure. We are investing more in digital print, social media and key magazine advertising with the intent to increase our effective reach from 8 million to 85 million customers, particularly focusing on the 25 to 45 style-conscious demographic. We will broaden our magazine coverage and increase our TV and movie product placement. On the digital front, we will focus on mobile geo-targeting, display banner ads and video advertisements. To drive customer engagement, we will launch the Vera Bradley Club program this summer, develop Vera Bradley brand ambassadors such as Olympic gold medalist and Dancing with Stars winner, Meryl Davis, and partner with influential social media stylists and bloggers. As I look back over the last year, I am very proud of the progress that the Vera Bradley team has made against our strategy. While we continued to face challenges in attracting new customers to the brand, I am more convinced than ever that we are taking the right steps to position Vera Bradley for the future. It is taking time, more time and investment than expected, to turn this business around, but I remain optimistic about the future and the Vera Bradley brand. Operator, we will now open the call to questions.