Mike Smith
Analyst · KBW. Please proceed with your question
Thank you, Rod. On Slide 8, our third quarter operating results demonstrated strong momentum. We delivered third quarter adjusted operating earnings of $1.34 per share excluding unlocking and prepayment fees and alternative income above our long-term expectations. On a reported basis, adjusted operating earnings were $0.84. This quarter's result is in the range of our quarterly adjusted operating earnings target of $1.30 to $1.40 per share. Our strong earnings growth over the last several quarters has been driven by rising fee income, favorable net underwriting, realized cost savings, and share repurchases. We look forward to sharing our next set of financial targets with you at our Investor Day on November 13th. During the quarter, we had $0.70 of unfavorable deck unlocking which was mostly a result of our annual assumptions update. As we disclosed in September we increased reinsurance premium assumptions for certain Individual Life blocks. The impact of this change was near the high-end of the estimated $150 million to $200 million range and was partially offset by favorable assumption changes in retirement. Combined prepayment and alternative income was $0.20 above our long-term expectations. This was primarily driven by a one-time distribution related to the sale of a private equity holding in our alternatives portfolio. Moving to Slide 9, Retirement achieved another record quarter of adjusted operating earnings. This was driven by strong fee income that was supported by 12% growth in assets under management year-over-year. Our trailing 12 months return on capital also grew reaching 13.4%. During the quarter Retirement benefited from strong investment performance from our alternatives portfolio. The previously mentioned favorable DAC unlock was $50 million, primarily driven by mean reversion adjustments to our equity return assumptions. Retirement generated positive net flows in the quarter, largely driven by full service corporate markets and stable value. Full service corporate markets generated another quarter of positive flows marking 20 consecutive quarters of inflows. This was supported by 12% growth in trailing 12 months recurring deposits year-over-year. Our second half guidance was $600 million to $800 million Retirement net outflows remains unchanged. As we highlighted on our second quarter call, this largely reflects the impact of stable value surrenders, which we now expect to occur in the fourth quarter. As a reminder, the net earnings impact of these surrenders will not be meaningful to our Retirement segment. As you may have seen, we have provided additional disclosures in our investor supplement to better reflect the economics of our business. First, the new stable value disclosures better depicts the earnings impact from net flows. Previously, we classified the loss of management of the underlying stable value assets as an outflow for retirement even when we retain the rep guarantee. Going forward while this will continue to be considered an outflow for investment management, it will no longer be recorded as an outflow for retirement. Second, we provide greater transparency into our record-keeping business by providing a roll forward of assets under administration. In the fourth quarter, we expect a large record-keeping plan termination of approximately $40 billion of planned assets. The annualized pre-tax operating earnings impact to retirement is expected to be in the low single digit millions. Though activity can be lumpy in any given quarter, we are encouraged by the 2019 pipeline of new sales. Third, we provide new disclosures on the fee income generated by our full service business. And finally, we provide a more holistic view of our business by including total client assets. On Slide 10, Investment Management delivered $48 million of adjusted operating earnings. We generated strong commercial fee growth from higher investment management source AUM. Investment capital results were also favorable in the quarter. As expected, this was offset by the full quarter run rate earnings impact of the annuities transaction. The trailing 12 months operating margin was 31.3% including investment capital. We expect the trailing 12-month operating margin to decline over the next several quarters as the effect of the annuities transaction becomes fully incorporated. Over time, we do expect to return our operating margin to the low 30s as we rebuild our asset levels. As you can see on the slide, we provided As you can see on the slide, we provided a new view of retail and institutional source net flows. This aligns more closely to how we manage the business. Institutional client demand for our solutions led to our 11th consecutive quarter of positive investment management source net flows. We had several institutional wins including a sizable short duration mandate, commercial mortgage loans and a securitized credit portfolio funding. The fees on inflows were lower than those for outflows by 9 basis points in the third quarter. On a trailing 12-month basis, fees on our inflows exceeded our outflows by 3 basis points. This will vary each quarter depending on asset mix. Looking ahead, we have a healthy commercial pipeline that we expect to fund in the fourth quarter of 2018 or early 2019. This includes several items including a sizable senior bank loan mandate with a notable Asian savings plan, highlighting the growing global demand for our solutions. Several mandates across our fixed income strategies within our growing insurance asset management channel, a large sub-advisory mandate and new CLO issuances. Turning to Slide 11. Employee benefits adjusted operating earnings were $50 million and our trailing 12-month return on capital was 26.9%. As we signaled last quarter, loss ratios for stop loss return to our target range driven by the impact of pricing actions taken on 2018 business. We remain confident the full year loss ratios will also be in range. Our Group Life loss ratio also returned to our target range. Strong momentum and voluntary continued into the third quarter. Voluntary annualized in-force premiums grew 20% year over year supported by sales across all our supplemental health products. Our voluntary offerings continue to represent an important growth driver for our business. This quarter, we have started to provide our total aggregate loss ratio in our Investor supplement. We expect the total aggregate loss ratio to be between 71% to 74%, on a trailing 12-month basis. On Slide 12, Individual Life adjusted operating earnings were $66 million in the third quarter. In the quarter, mortality was in line with expectations. Our annual assumption update resulted in a negative $200 million DAC unlock mainly driven by increased expected reinsurance costs. Our assumptions now reflect reinsurance premium increases or recaptures related to all of our significant reinsurance partners. We don't expect additional significant reinsurance rate actions in the foreseeable future. Our trailing 12-month return on capital was 9.8% lower sequentially as average gap capital increased with the impact of tax reform. Turning to the financial implications of our strategic review decision, we will incur an approximately $15 million restructuring charge in the fourth quarter. We expect $20 million of annual pre-tax cost savings in 2019 as we wind down new business activity. And our run rate free cash flow conversion will improve to 70% to 80% factoring in other onetime actions we expect to generate at least $1 billion in free cash flow over the next five to six years. On Slide 13, we provide additional items to consider for the quarter. Specifically, we expect expenses in the fourth quarter to be higher due to the timing of project spend and variable compensation primarily in our retirement sector. While not explicitly quantified share repurchases will have a meaningful positive impact on fourth quarter EPS, we plan to repurchase $250 million of shares in the fourth quarter. Also, we have slightly revised our estimated annualized pretax earnings impact of a 1% move in equity market to approximately $4 million to $5 million while we have provided some items to consider there will of course be other factors that affect fourth quarter results. On Slide 14, our capital position is strong. Our estimated RBC ratio was 474% at the end of September. We expect our RBC ratio to decline in the fourth quarter as tax-driven changes to the RBC formula go into effect at year end. As mentioned last quarter, this estimated impact to our RBC ratio is approximately 35 points. In the quarter, we strengthened our balance sheet with an attractively priced $325 million preferred equity offering. The proceeds help to fund a debt pay down which will reduce our debt-to-capital ratio in the fourth quarter of 2018. You can see the pro forma impact on this slide to both our excess capital and debt-to-capital ratio. Specifically, our pro forma excess capital, which consists of estimated statutory surplus and holding company liquidity above target increased to $813 million at the end of the third quarter. Additionally, our pro forma debt-to-capital ratio was 26.3% below our 30% target. Turning to Slide 15. As depicted in the graph on the left, if we adjust Voya’s closing share price on October 29th by our estimated value of our deferred tax assets, Voya trades at approximately six times 2019 consensus earnings. At these trading levels, we continue to view share repurchases as value enhancing for shareholders particularly given our high quality earnings, our high free cash flow generation and the growth opportunities ahead of us, which we look forward to sharing with you at our upcoming Investor Day. As Rod mentioned, we repurchased $250 million of shares in the third quarter. We plan to repurchase an additional $250 million in the fourth quarter at these attractive levels. In addition, the board approved a new $500 million share repurchase authorization. In summary, we generate earnings per share within our targeted quarterly EPS range ahead of schedule. Our businesses continue to see strong momentum and our capital position and balance sheet are strong. With that, I will turn the call back to the operator, so that we can take your questions.