David Naemura
Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead. Your line is open
Thanks, Mark. Adjusted net earnings for the first quarter were $116 million, an increase of 7.6% from $108 million in the prior year period. This translated to adjusted net earnings per share of $0.70 and an 11% increase compared to $0.63 in the prior year period. The increase in earnings was driven by 5.7% revenue growth. DRB's revenues were higher than expected and contributed to high teens non-EMV total revenue growth, that more than offset the supply chain impact to sales conversion. Core revenue growth was essentially flat, as continued supply chain challenges and component shortages constrained EMV sales by over $25 million in the quarter. This shortfall was offset by low double-digit non-EMV core growth, as we saw solid demand in other developed markets, strength in alternative energy driven by CNG and ongoing strong demand in diagnostics and repair. Adjusted operating profit for the first quarter was $164 million, an increase of 8% compared to the prior year period. Gross margin expansion of 80 basis points reflected our ongoing effective price cost management and the benefits of DRB and other higher-margin solutions, which helped offset the mix impact of the decline in EMV and production inefficiencies related to supply chain constraints. The increase in operating profit and strong execution drove incremental margin of 30% and adjusted core operating margin expansion of 20 basis points, despite flat core growth, reflecting continued benefits from our profitable growth initiatives and early price actions. Looking at the top line performance of our two platforms. In our Mobility Technologies platform, core revenue declined 2.4%, primarily reflecting lower EMV volume that was compounded by the impact of supply chain constraints. In addition, the prior year Q1 benefited from the previous Mexico regulatory driver. On a reported basis, mobility technology grew 5.5% due to the impact of DRB, which does not become core until Q4 of this year. DRB delivered growth well above expectations and continues to benefit from their technology and consumer data thought leadership and market-leading position in a very strong end-market demand environment. In our diagnostics and repair technologies platform, core revenue growth of 6.1% in the first quarter was driven by strong demand at both Matco and Hennessy. The demand backdrop remains healthy, which was emphasized by Matco's annual expo meeting in the quarter, where we saw record order levels. We also saw momentum driven by our new product offerings, particularly in Matco's diagnostics offering. Looking at total company sales regionally, North America core revenue was flat as non-EMV revenues offset the substantial decline in EMV sales that Mark referenced and developed markets globally grew core revenue low single digits. High-growth markets which are typically lumpy declined low double digits due to the Q1 impact of the prior year Mexico regulatory driver and a continued soft environment in China. Overall, we continue to anticipate mid-single-digit core growth for high-growth markets for the full year. We remain focused on our profitable growth initiatives, advancing our efforts on simplification, new products and platform strategic growth areas, including retail solutions and alternative energy. The benefits of these actions will continue to accrue as we evolve the portfolio over the coming years. Moving on to the balance sheet. We ended the quarter with a cash balance of $145 million and had no borrowings under our $750 million credit facility. Our net leverage stands at 3.3 times adjusted EBITDA at the end of the first quarter, temporarily elevated due to the timing of large cash outflows related to our $250 million accelerated share repurchase program, as well as the acquisition of drives during the quarter. We maintain our commitment to investment-grade credit ratings and expect that our leverage will remain at or below three times net leverage by the end of 2022, while also having over $400 million of further capital to deploy towards additional share repurchase and/or accretive M&A. We have about $240 million remaining under the previous share repurchase authorization that was put into place in 2021. And as Mark noted, we anticipate ongoing deployment as market conditions warrant. These assumptions on leverage and capital deployment capacity do not consider any additional capital raised through any divestiture activity or monetization of any of our 16% stake in Tritium, which as of quarter end had a fair market value of $215 million. Our adjusted free cash flow conversion during the quarter was 34%. Historically, we would have anticipated conversion of around 40% to 50% in the first quarter, but this quarter was made worse by unusually poor sales linearity from the impact of the supply chain constraints. Had we achieved sales linearity similar to what we averaged in the prior year, free cash flow conversion would have been greater than 50%. We expect to see the conversion rate increase over the remaining three quarters, despite our expectations that linearity driven by supply chain uncertainty will be a continued challenge, particularly in Q2. Regardless, we still anticipate adjusted free cash flow conversion for the full year of around 100% and we continue to have ample liquidity to execute on the capital deployment priorities that I previously mentioned. Turning to the outlook assumptions. For full year 2022, we are maintaining our core revenue guide of low to mid-single-digit growth, despite our expectation that EMV will be closer to the high end of the range or a $50 million headwind and core operating margin expansion of 30 to 60 basis points. Our confidence in delivering these results reflects continued execution on our profitable growth initiatives and price cost management, partially offset by inflationary pressures, ongoing supply chain, and logistics constraints, and mix, driven by lower EMV and other regulatory driven sales. We are raising our adjusted earnings per share range to $3.20 to $3.30, reflecting our updated share count, continued execution, and growth in our core non-EMV business. Taking a closer look at some of the other assumptions we now expect full year 2022 weighted average share count to be approximately $163 million which reflects the expected impact of the $250 million accelerated share repurchase. Our assumption on the full year effective tax rate remains at 23%. Moving on to the second quarter of 2022, we expect core revenue growth will be flat as the strong demand environment is offset by lower conversion of high-margin sales resulting from ongoing supply chain constraints and component shortages. Adjusted core operating margin is expected to be flat, reflecting growth investments in inflationary Harrison in the prior year as Mark referenced. As he stated, this translates into adjusted earnings per share of $0.68 to $0.72 in the quarter. Overall, our teams delivered an impressive start to the year and positioned us well to deliver our full year expectations for core growth margin expansion and another year of double-digit earnings growth. Before turning it back to Mark, I'd like to call your attention to slide eight. We previously provided a view of the 2023 EMV impact and where we see the offsets and that view has not changed. However, in order to better dimensionalize our conviction in our ability to meet growth outlook we provided last quarter, I'd like to walk you through a more detailed view of our key assumptions. We believe that the traction we have demonstrated on our profitable growth initiatives coupled with our platform strategies in retail solutions digital technologies and alternative energy collectively provide us with high single-digit non-EMV core revenue growth which will offset a significant amount of the 2023 EMV revenue headwind. This is consistent with the non-EMV core growth that we have demonstrated in recent quarters and should be further aided by DRB when that becomes core in Q4. Any remaining growth gap would require only a modest amount of inorganic contribution to offset. Most importantly, post this EMV period, we expect to have a re-baseline core revenue growth rate of mid-single-digit plus at accretive margin and continued strong cash flow which positions us well to deliver compounding earnings growth ahead of revenue growth. With that, I will turn it back to Mark.