Steven Roth
Analyst · Evercore ISI. Please go ahead
Steve, good morning. Listen, I guess, the first thing I would say is, we have an incredibly diverse multi-tenant portfolio. I think, we have somewhere about 1,300 tenants in our portfolio. And even if you look at the largest tenants in our folio, which are listed in the supplement, once you take out of the U.S. government, which obviously is not going to be become part of Vornado once the spin is completed. The top 30 tenants of the company represent less than 25% of revenue. So I think, the first thing, I’d say is, incredibly diverse portfolio. Second thing, I’d say is, as it relates to the rightsizing, downsizing, and I think I’ve said this in the past. As we look at the financial sector that rightsizing really has taken place as you look back to 2008, as compared to where you are today. So if you take account of the bold banks, their platform back in 2008 was about 45 million square feet, that’s down today to about 32 million square feet. So I will say most of what we’re seeing these days actually is net expansion. I think I gave you a statistic, which is on a net basis, once you took account of tenants who contracted last year versus tenants who expanded, as it related to all the deals that we did, the 2.2 million square feet, 2.3 million square feet of activity fully 20% of that net was growth in New York. So I would say, as we look out, the key obviously is job growth. We saw some tempering of that office sector job growth after we went at a blistering pace for the better part of five or six years, if in fact, we do begin to see some greater activity in the financial services in terms of jobs. And as I said anecdotally, we’ve been very busy in that financial services sector over the last really three, four months in some great space in 280 Park, 90 Park, 888 Seventh Avenue. If we see some growth in the financial services sector, I think, that can have an enormously positive impact on the overall job growth. I think the basic math is to absorb the space that’s coming online over the next couple of years, around numbers we need somewhere around job growth of, call it, 10,000 to 12,000 jobs a year. We went from a pace averaging 35,000 jobs over the last five, six years to obviously a reduced number last year of 5,000. But we continue to see very good demand, and in fact, growth by tenants.