David Greenbaum
Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead
Steve, thank you and good morning everyone. I’m going to begin with some perspective on the New York real estate market over the past 12 months. 2016 was quite a year, one in which we came to expect the unexpected, from a China slowdown and concerns of a disorderly decline in China’s currency to continued stresses in Europe to the surprise Brexit vote and finally to the equally unexpected outcome of the US presidential election. In the face of such uncertainty, the response to the New York market in 2016 was a testament to its continued strength and resilience. Overall leasing activity in Manhattan exceeded 35 million square feet on par with the 10-year average. Let me give you some perspective on the strong beat of our marketplace in New York. The comparable annual leasing activity number is about 7 million square feet in Chicago, the second largest office market in the country and about 10 million square feet in London. Coming back to our hometown New York, asking rents for the year were up modestly and net absorption was a positive 2.6 million square feet. Available sublease space remains low by historic standards and at less than 2%, tenants are clearly not looking to shrink and give back space. Among the various submarkets in 2016 Midtown showed its continued strength capturing 25 of Manhattan’s top 37 leases in excess of 100,000 square feet and 11 of 18 new relocation leases in Manhattan in excess of 100,000 square feet. Perhaps the biggest story of the New York market in 2016 was the divergence of performance between new and recently renovated buildings on the one hand and commoditized office space on the other. Fully half, a disproportionately large percentage of the top 20 leases signed during the year were for new and renovated buildings. That’s a trend, those observers expect to continue and that bodes exceptionally well for our fleet, which is in great shape after our recent redevelopment efforts. Let me now turn to the question on everyone’s mind. What will 2017 bring? What I will say is that our confidence in the continued economic vibrancy of New York has never been greater. One of the stated economic priorities of the new Trump administration is financial services deregulation. The administration’s efforts in this regard could have a significant and positive economic impact for the city. Let’s look at the employment statistics. While overall job creation in New York remain positive in 2016, the rate of growth slowed to the national average after consecutive years where the city outpaced the rest of the country. The key metric that we look at office using employment grew by 5,000 jobs in 2016, reaching a new record high of 1,373,000 jobs. However, the increase was below the blistering pace of some 35,000 new office sector jobs added per annum in recent years. For the past decade the dramatic growth in office sector jobs has been held back by the financial services industry, which shared 3,000 office using jobs in 2016 and remains nearly 30,000 jobs below the number of financial sector jobs at its peak back in 2000. Since the election of course there has been a marked shift in the mood around major financial institutions. While that mindset may take some time to be captured in job numbers, there certainly is reason to believe that we may once again see increases in financial services employment here in New York with important implications for the real estate market. That is just one example of how federal policy could benefit New York. Whether it is the repatriation of overseas profits, lower tax rates or increased federal investment in major infrastructure projects such as the trans-Hudson gateway project, the prospects for the local economy are bright. At the same time, local fundamentals remain strong, crime in New York City continues to fall and New York is the safest big city in America. New York is a Mecca for international tourists and investors. And at the state level, Governor Cuomo continues to unveil and importantly execute on much-needed transportation projects around the region. Perhaps most importantly, the city continues to benefit from a virtuous cycle of talent and opportunity. Millennials continue to migrate to the urban core. They represent 27.5% of the U.S. population, but 31% of New York City residents and 35% are Manhattanites. And in turn the country’s leading employers continue to come here and to grow here as they seek to tap into New York’s massive pool of talent. Just consider Google, an important tenant in our portfolio which a decade back first came to New York and today employs over 6,000 people in the city, some 10% of Google’s workforce. There is every reason to believe that the next generation of tech leaders and other innovative companies will show similar growth potential seeking to tap into New York’s growing pool of talent. In short, business has been and remains good and all indications point to a robust future for our hometown. All this has been validated by the capital markets with New York, the absolute number one market for investors who want to put capital. Let me now turn to our performance over the past year. In 2016, we leased 2,240,000 square feet of office space, including 302,000 square feet in Long Island City in a 148 transactions across our New York portfolio. We achieved average starting rents of $78.97 per square foot in New York, $39.84 in Long Island City, reflecting strong mark-to-market of 19.7% GAAP and 16.6% cash. Importantly, 20% of our 2.2 million square feet of 2016 leasing activity, some 450,000 square feet represented tenants expanding in New York, real growth real expansion to the city. While we’re proud of the flagship deals we signed last year with blue-chip tenants such as Bloomberg, PwC, Alston & Bird, Facebook, and AOL, the diversity of our tenant base is one of our greatest strengths. At our One Penn Plaza building along during 2016 released a total of 330,000 square feet across 43 separate transactions with an average starting rent of $67.37 per square foot. Rents in Penn Plaza continue to move up nicely. At our 90 Park Avenue redevelopment over the course of 2016 we completed 400,000 square feet of transactions with PwC, Alston & Bird and multiple financial services tenants; Gramercy Capital, Agon, Valence and EverBank and Nuveen, both of which recently have been acquired by TIAA. This leasing activity brings the building to 96 plus percent occupancy and demonstrates the resounding success of our redevelopment program. We achieved average starting rents of $75.23 cents per square foot on this 400,000 square feet of activity and GAAP and cash mark-to-markets respectively of a positive 22.3% and 18.2%. We also continued to outperform in the $100 plus per square foot marketplace. Well, we completed 11 of those leases for a total of 386,000 square feet in 2016, spread in six of our trophy buildings. 731 Lexington Avenue, 85 10th, 770 Broadway, 650 Madison Avenue, 350 Park Avenue and 280 Park Avenue, all at average starting rents of $118 per square foot. For the year we completed some 18% of the total trophy deals in the entire market, punching well over our way and truly a testament to the quality of our portfolio. Let me now turn briefly to the fourth quarter, which also was very strong. We completed more than 625,000 square feet of leasing activity with our year-end occupancy at 96.3%, up 80 basis points over the third quarter. During the fourth quarter we achieved average starting rents of $77 per square foot, reflecting mark-to-markets of 7.2% GAAP and 6.6% cash. The 44 office leases that makeup the total for the fourth quarter are a great indicator of the strength of our franchise. Robert A.M. Stern Architects signed a lease for more than 60,000 square feet at One Park Avenue, a move by a very discerning tenant that we view as an endorsement of our restoration of that historic building. At 280 Park Avenue we added Antares Capital for 60,000 square feet in the fourth quarter and just signed a renewal expansion lease for 40,000 square feet with Wells Fargo and a new lease with Orix USA Corporation for 20,000 square feet, both in the first quarter of 2017 bringing the building to 97 plus percent occupancy. Leasing activity has been especially robust here at our headquarters at 888 7th Avenue where during the fourth quarter and into the first six weeks of 2017 we have leased nearly a 150,000 square feet of which a 130,000 represents new and expansion deals. The activity was headlined by a 40,000 square foot new lease with Hutchin Hill Capital, a 30,000 square foot expansion with Lone Star North America, and a 23,000 square foot new lease with Advent Capital. The building today is at 95% occupancy, up some 400 basis points from the end of the third quarter. There definitely is life in the financial services sector. Just look at our recent activity in 888 7th Avenue and 280 Park Avenue. As we look forward and head into 2017, we were in great shape. Our 2,000 lease expirations are a very modest 490,000 square feet spread across the portfolio in small spaces, none greater than 25,000 square feet. Our leasing machine remains busy with 335,000 square feet of leases either signed year-to-date or in active lease documentation and an additional 700,000 square feet in the pipeline. Our 2018 expirations total 1,150,000 square feet of which about half is concentrated at One Penn and Two Penn Plaza. We remain aggressively focused on advancing our redevelopment efforts for those two buildings and in particular for combining them into a 4.2 million square foot complex that can offer best-in-class amenities alongside unmatched access to transportation. On the development front we will certainly be active over the next three years. In early 2018, we will deliver two best-in-class new builds at 61 9th Avenue and 512 West 22nd Street and our newest joint venture at 606 Broadway also will deliver. We will continue to advance redevelopment efforts at 260 11th Avenue through the Landmark’s process and along with our partners at Related and Skanska will kick off the transformation of the Farley Post Office into the new Moynihan train station and best-in-class creative office space. When you total the footage of these exciting projects and add the redevelopment of Two Penn Plaza, we’ll be bringing 3 million square feet of new redeveloped space to the market. Importantly, all of this activity is taking place in the city’s fastest growing submarkets, in Penn Plaza and along the Highline and in Chelsea. We are growing where the market is growing. Same-store growth was robust for our office portfolio during the fourth quarter, positive 7% on a GAAP basis and 18.4% cash. This caps the year in which our office same-store numbers for 2016 were up 6.7% GAAP and 10.5% cash. Turning now to a retail portfolio; in 2016, we leased a total of 111,000 square feet across 27 transactions with mark-to-markets of positive 23.4% GAAP and 11.9% cash. This included high-profile leases with the Starbucks’ Roastery concept at our new build at 61 9th Avenue and the new iteration of the iconic Four Seasons restaurant at 280 Park Avenue. The highlight of our fourth quarter activity was the signing of a 3,000 square foot lease at 640 5th Avenue with Dyson which will open its first flagship store. This lease was possible only because we were able to retain an important 25 feet of 5th Avenue frontage during our negotiations with Victoria’s Secret in 2015 for its 64,000 square foot flagship. The mark-to-market as Steve said on the combined Victoria’s Secret and Dyson leases to the old H&M and Citibank spaces on a GAAP basis is a 3.7 multiple and a 2.8 multiple on a cash basis. For reporting purposes, our mark-to-market on the Dyson lease similes was a whopping 1,648% GAAP and 1,176% cash, but these metrics technically are not recognized since the space was vacant for more than nine months. In our retail portfolio for the fourth quarter, we leased 10,000 square feet in four transactions. The reported mark-to-market for the fourth quarter of a positive 8.5% GAAP and negative 5.9% cash is solely attributable to one 6,000 square foot lease in the 33rd Street Concourse at Penn Station where we replaced an old Duane Reade with a new concept, a Pret wine bar, adding this food offering to a mix of our tenancies in the Long Island railroad concourse, including Shake Shack, Magnolia Bakery, Wasabi Sushi, Pret A Manger, and a new Starbucks. Our retail same-store performance was very strong in the fourth quarter, up 16.6% GAAP and 23% cash. For the year, the retail same-store numbers were positive 10.3% GAAP and 9.6% cash. While it is no secret that the retail sector is experiencing some level of disruption and retail leasing has slowed, we believe our High Street retail portfolio will continue to perform well. The first quarter is active with 40,000 square feet of leases in negotiation. Now onto theMART; in 2016 for the year we signed 64 leases for a total of 270,000 square feet at an average starting rent of $48.16 with positive mark-to-markets of 25.5% GAAP and 14.3% cash. During the fourth quarter alone we leased a total of 133,000 square feet, bringing to the building new tenancies; Bosch, advanced magazine publishers, Conde Nast; as well as an expansion with PayPal, which now occupies 110,000 square feet at theMART, all with positive mark-to-markets for the quarter of 27.1% GAAP and 13.9% cash. Our same-store growth at theMART was exceptional for both the fourth quarter at 21% GAAP and 17.1% cash and for the full-year at 14% GAAP and 13.3% cash. In San Francisco, at our iconic 1.8 million square foot 555 California office complex, we signed eight office leases in 2016, a total of 131,000 square feet at an average starting rent of $83.86 per square foot with positive mark-to-markets of 25.4% GAAP and 19.8% cash. For the fourth quarter, we leased 43,000 square feet, including two new leases with Pacific Coast Partners and Ripple Labs with positive mark-to-markets of 41.9% GAAP and 33% cash. This year, we expect to complete the building-wide modernization of the historic 315 Montgomery building, as well as commence the total redevelopment of the former Bank of America banking hall, we call The Cube into creative office space. Our redevelopment of the retail concourse at 555 is now substantially complete and has been extremely well received by the tenant and brokerage community and the asset continues to excel. Just yesterday, we signed a renewal lease with UBS for 55,000 square feet. 555 and the complex, which host financial services giants; Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, UBS, KKR, Dodge & Cox, National Law firms; Jones Day, Kirkland & Ellis, Fenwick & West, Norton Rose, and consulting firm; McKinsey all of which tenants. Let me say that emphasize that again. All of these tenants have renewed their leases at 555 over the past several years now also houses tech, which we have brought to the building, including Microsoft and Supercell, a SoftBank company, all making 555 the best building in San Francisco. We remain proud of our industry leading same-store growth numbers. Earlier in my remarks, I ran through the numbers for office and the retail portfolios. For the division as a whole, our same-store numbers for the fourth quarter a positive 7.8% GAAP and 17.6% cash. Excluding the Hotel Pennsylvania, those numbers would be 9.2% GAAP and 19.8% cash. For the year, the division same-store growth is 6.3% GAAP and 8.6% cash, again, or 7% GAAP and 10.3% cash, excluding the Hotel Pennsylvania. These industry leading same-store numbers are a credit to the quality of our portfolio and to the hard work of our enormously talented professionals. And with that, I’ll turn the call over to Michael Franco, who will give you an overview of the investment markets.