Ira Robbins
Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is now open
Thank you, Rick. Good morning and thank you for joining us. Over 15 months ago we identified and presented three key operating things, we believed would be critical initiatives necessary to improve Valley’s earnings profile and generate shareholder value over the long term. Number one was to change the growth trajectory of the organization on both sides of the balance sheet. The practice of relying on transactional loan purchases to achieve incremental growth targets would be reprised with a cultured driven and incentivized to generate organic loans funded by core deposits. Number two was to improve the operating efficiency with the state of goal of not only driving down the absolute operating expenses but doing so while simultaneously investing in technology across the entire organization in a manner that will foster continuous improvements and ultimately in efficiency ratio better than our peers. Thirdly, we acknowledge the need for greater revenue diversification as the predominance of Valley’s revenues were sourced from net interest income and an every closely correlated with market interest rates. These themes have become operating mantras within Valley and our progress today is highlighted on Slide 3 of our first quarter 2019 earnings presentation. We are incredibly pleased by the progress that has been achieved so far in most categories and encouraged with the improved operating trends. As you can see, we have made significant gains in terms of approving the growth profile of the bank and creating greater efficiencies over the course of the past five quarters, despite the challenging yield curve environment impacting the revenue stream at your first objective. Organic loan growth less purchased and acquired PCI loans for the five years prior to 2008, average approximately 5.2%as compared to our 2018 organic loan growth rate of 13.5% and first quarter annualized 2019 of 6.2%, which prior to loan sales would have been 9.3%. I might add that the first quarter is a seasonally light period due to lower commercial line usage in our Northeast footprint. That said, in just five quarters we have a good sense of accountability throughout the entire organization to all of our banking streams and the results speak for themselves. Also encouraging are the deposit trends we have recently witnessed. In the past three quarters we have experience stronger core deposit trends with first quarter 2019 coming in almost 9% annualized. Additionally, our net new account openings have been trending positively and the average balances associated with new accounts were up over 58% in 2018 from 2017 levels and we continue to see growth of average balances in 2019. As for our second objective, to improve the operating efficiency, I am thrilled with our progress to date and more importantly the positive momentum. Our adjusted efficiency ratio for the five years prior to 2018 was 64.4%. While our 2018 adjusted efficiency ratio was 57.9% and our first quarter 2019 came in at just 54.8%, a decline of almost 1000 basis points in the pre-2018 levels. To put this in a different context that would equate to an increase in operating leverage over the prior five years of approximately $40 million on an annual basis and this is done in just five quarters. This execution and accomplishment is presented on Slide 6, where we provide a graphical view of the five quarter trend in adjusted operating expense. For the first quarter of 2018 adjusted operating expense was $144.5 million and end of the first quarter of 2019 at $135.8 million, a quarterly year-over-year reduction of $8.7 million. In the linked quarter alone, we drove nearly $7 million reduction in core operating expenses, during the reporting period which is typically a higher cost operating quarter resulting from payroll taxes and facility expenses. Keep in mind, all these trends occurred while incrementally investing over $20 million of additional expense in new technology back into the bank during 2018.Further, this reduction efficiency ratio would deliver in a challenging market interest rate and net interest margin environment. Admittedly, our efforts surrounding our third objective to build the revenue stream that is less reliant on interest income has demonstrated lower progress. Yet we remain dedicated to the filling that goal in time. While the percentage of non-interest income to operating revenues have declined modestly, the efficiency trends we are seeing in the contributing business lines had mostly been improving. We are focused on not only improving the absolute level of fee revenues generated but the profitability of those businesses as well. Focused internal efforts to drive both employee in business line accountability of fostering better allocation of capital and enhance resource allocation throughout the entire organization. Now moving to Slide 4 and the first quarter highlights. Valley reported earnings per share of $0.33 and adjusted earnings per share of $0.22.As previously stated, we are encouraged with many of the underlying trends we witnessed during the quarter, most of them was our 19% linked quarter annualized decline in operating expense and our linked quarter annualized non-interest deposit growth of over 11% and linked quarter core deposit growth of 8.8%. Those data points are extremely gratifying as they support much of the groundwork that’s been laid out over the past 12 to 15 months. Additionally, the first quarter which is essentially the slowest far a loan growth was an annualized 6.2% after sales and within our target range of 6% to 8% for the year. While we did experience margin pressure during the quarter, we still managed to grow linked quarter adjusted annualized net income 13%. Some of the margin decline is due to the seasonal nature of the first quarter related to day count and slower prepaid speeds, which should work in our favor of the next two quarters - over the next few quarters. On Slide 5, we provide an adjusted margin of 3.05% reflective of these impacts. We believe we could see some alleviation of funding pressure in the second quarter of 2019. Additionally, our net new loan origination spread during the quarter was 10 basis points greater than our reported interest margin and higher on a quarter-over-quarter basis. Despite the current quarter decline in the margin, our net interest income showed growth of over 5% from the same period last year right in line with the targeted annual range we previously provided. We recognize the need to continue to perform and execute upon our stated goals, we are encouraged by the results we have been able to achieve over the past five quarters and are excited to build on that progress in the future. In the interest of time, we will be deviating slightly from our previous quarter's earnings call format and moving directly to the question-and-answer portion of the call. Before we do so, I would like to point everyone's attention to Slide 10 of our presentation to cover some of the targets and outlook. As you can see, the targets we previously presented in terms of loan growth, net interest income and efficiency ratio all remain unchanged. We are getting new guidance for the tax rate however. For the remaining three quarters of the year, we expected tax rate to be in a range from 25.5% to 27.5%, which is up from in the previously anticipated range of 22% to 24%. This change is due to our anticipation of utilizing fewer tax credit investment going forward. However, as a result of this strategy, we should not see the seasonal increase in tax credit amortization of fourth quarter that we have historically experience. At such, on a relative basis, the tax credit amortization expense in the fourth quarter of 2019 should be significantly less than the expense recognized in the fourth quarter of 2018. The trajectory of tax credit amortization throughout the entire year is expected to be much flatter. With that, I would like to turn the call over to the operator to begin Q&A. Thank you.