Enrique Beltranena
Analyst · Citi. Your line is open
Thank you, Ricardo, and everyone, for joining us today. During the quarter, our company's performance was aligned with our projected full-year outlook, supported by favorable macroeconomic conditions, including lower jet fuel costs and a stronger Mexican peso. We are seeing solid bookings for the summer months and remain confident in the resilience of our VFR passenger base in Mexico and the robust demand we see in Central America and the United States. We eagerly await the return of Mexico's Category 1 status and the growth in the domestic market resulting from the Mexico-U.S. nearshoring. So we would like to start by reiterating our revenue and EBITDAR margin guidance for the year. We will continue to focus on delivering total operating revenue between $3.2 billion and $3.4 billion and an EBITDAR margin of 21% to 31%, which is an increase of 8 to 10 percentage points versus 2022. During this last quarter, we moved capacity from the Mexican domestic market to our Central American Air Operator Certificates or AOCs, alleviating the temporary overcapacity in Mexico in achieving a more balanced supply and demand. As a result, we consciously reduced a few points of market share in the domestic Mexican market to achieve higher network profitability. Throughout the second quarter, we maintained total revenue per passenger flat, taking advantage of strong ancillary revenue to offset domestic base fare reductions. Additionally, we maintain healthy load factors. The second quarter of 2023 feature hallmark progress for our ancillary strategy. Our ancillary revenues as a percentage of total revenues were 49%, up from 40% in the second quarter of 2022 and 47% in the first quarter of 2023. The reduction of base fares shows the strength of our ultra-low-cost carrier model, stimulating volume through lower base fares. The load factor remained healthy in the mid-80s as we manage pricing in the domestic market to drive volumes. Passengers have responded in kind, resulting in RPMs growing just ahead of ASMs year-to-date. International and pricing there remained robust, showcasing an exceptional response to our increased capacity in Central America for routes to the U.S. and Mexico. Our plan for the second half of this year includes incorporating additional capacity into this market mainly to serve the growing VFR demand between Central America and the United States. Continuing with international year-to-date, we have an improvement of 6.5 percentage points of load factor, climbing from high-70s to mid-80s, given strong demand in VFR markets in California, Texas and Chicago. International passengers during the semester grew 33.5% versus the same period in 2022. This quarter was focused on preparation for the future as we anticipate Mexico's imminent recovery of Category 1 status with the U.S., our team has been proactive by planning to implement network changes in Mexico, Central America and later in the year in the cross-border market to the U.S. These adjustments will enable us to relocate some of our growth towards a robust international market. Moving into our results from the quarter. ASMs grew 18% compared to the second quarter of 2022, including a 13% increase in the Mexican domestic market and a 30% increase in our international markets. Initially, we plan to return eight aircraft this year but decided to extend leases for six of them. This decision will allow us to better handle any operational challenges related to engine availability and aircraft delivery delays during the peak summer and December holiday seasons. While year-to-date, our ASM growth remains ahead of our 10% guidance for the entire year. This trend is attributable to our strategy of extending six aircraft deliveries. As such, we now expect the ASMs to grow around 13% in 2023, including the capacity we will deploy to the U.S. upon Category 1 recovery. Turning back to demand. TRASM for the second quarter was $7.92, a 3% increase compared to this year's first quarter and a 4% reduction compared to the second quarter of last year. Our overall load factor for the second quarter was 84.6%, down 1 percentage point year-on-year. April started with a healthy load factor of 85.8%, our second most robust result for that month in the past decade, even considering flat traffic for Holy Week, the week-long Catholic Observance and the Eastern holiday in the first week of the month. Load factors for May and June were sequentially softer at 84.5% and 83.3%, respectively. However, we have identified certain temporary or one-off factors that influence this moderation. Late in May, local and social media circulated an anonymous unsigned letter of warning of a potential strike and work stoppage by Volaris flight crews in June. This story provided further reverberations in the local press. In addition, the Mexican aviation industry has been dealing with its Category 2 downgrades from the FAA for over two years, while there are signs of regaining Category 1 status soon, the restoration process has been long and burdensome. Mexico's aviation authorities have stated that the government has completed all the necessary procedures and met the requirements set by the AFAA. Once the U.S. authorities announced the upgrade, we are prepared to utilize the flexibility in our business model to redeploy approximately 5% of our total capacity to international markets in the fourth quarter. This strategic move will alleviate pressure on those markets while providing the much-needed capacity for U.S. routes. We will also reactivate other important strategic levers upon the return of Category 1. One of our top priorities is resuming the codeshare agreement with Frontier which will strengthen our network and provide enhanced travel options for our passengers. Another upside of the Category 1 [indiscernible] is the opportunity to utilize the $35 million delivered to us since Mexico was downgraded. These aircraft are primarily allocated for domestic operations, meaning we are not fully capitalizing on their efficiencies. However, once Category 1 is reinstated, we can leverage these modern and fuel-efficient aircraft on longer routes. This strategic move will optimize fuel consumption and strengthen our competitive cost advantage. Moreover, it aligns with our commitment to sustainable travel. Regarding costs, our CASM for the second quarter was $7.40, making a notable 13% decrease compared to the same period of last year. This reduction is attributable to the stabilization of fuel costs from last year's high levels. CASM ex fuel stood at $4.82 for the quarter, in line with our full year expectations. This achievement was attained despite the strong appreciation of the Mexican peso, [nonengine] (ph) availability costs and aircraft delivery delays. Moving now to our fleet growth plan anchored around our outstanding 143 old new aircraft order book, which includes the 117 A321 aircraft. This order was established along with Indigo Group in 2017. During the second quarter, we took delivery of our first aircraft. This is the start of an era, providing meaningful fleet cost ownership reduction and sets the stage for many benefits in the coming years, like low cost going lower, while our environmental impact will also be reduced. At this time, I would like to highlight significant recent commercial developments that speak to our growth strategies evolution in the future. We announced 40 new domestic routes in Mexico, 33 of which presently have no other air service. We launched our annual pass and All-You-Can-Fly annual membership program. We are now the only airline in Latin America with an offering of this nature. We founded Volaris to democratize flying and continue to pursue our mission of introducing [indiscernible]. To date, we have served over 10 million first-time flyers, many of whom traveled with us again multiple times yearly. At Volaris, we prioritize both switching and loyal passengers. So we have partnered with OXXO, the largest retailer in Mexico for our affinity program. We have improved our ability to convert first-time passengers into loyal customers. Our low first and new affinity programs are crucial in growing and retaining our customer base. Our passengers repeatedly travel with us for a risk. During the second quarter, among all airlines in the year's first half, Volaris registered the lowest complaint ratio at PROFECO, Mexico's consumer protection agency, among all airlines in the year's first half. With this achievement, Volaris demonstrates its commitment to quality and customer experience. I'm glad to inform you that Volaris and Indigo Partners, Frontier and Wizz Air announced an investment in CleanJoule, the U.S.-based startup focused on accelerating sustainable aviation fuel production. Likewise, in further support of our fleet plan and sustainability program, we announced the selection of Pratt & Whitney Eco-efficient GTF engines for 64 Airbus A321neo family aircraft in June. This agreement also includes a long-term maintenance contract. Now I will turn the call over to Holger to explain our market evolution and commercial innovations in greater detail. Please, Holger, go ahead.