Miguel Galuccio
Analyst · Regis Cardoso with Creadit Suisse
Thanks, Ale. Good morning everyone and welcome to this earnings call. I'm pleased to share with you our results for the third quarter of 2022, during which we have continued to deliver strong operational and financial performance. Total production averaged 50.7 BOEs per day, a 26% increase year-over-year. Oil production was up 35% year-over-year, boosted by the timing of the last 3 pads in Bajada del Palo Oeste. Total revenue in Q3 2022 were $333.6 million, a 91% increase year-over-year, driven by higher production and stronger relapsed oil prices. Lifting costs per BOE was $7.5 for the quarter, reflecting our success in containing cost pressure as well as dilution of fixed costs through incremental production volumes. Capital expenditure was $162.8 million, including the drilling of 6 wells and the completion of 3 pads during the quarter. Production growth, coupled with the strong realization prices amid flat lifting costs, boosted adjusted EBITDA to $233.7 million for the quarter, more than doubling year-over-year. During Q3 2022, we record positive free cash flow of $44.4 million, driven by robust adjusted EBITDA generation. Net leverage ratio at quarter end was 0.x adjusted EBITDA. Adjusted net income was a solid $79.4 million, implying a quarterly adjusted EPS of $0.90 per share. We will now deep dive into our main operation and our financial metrics. Total production during Q3 2022 was 50,700 BOE per day, up 26% interannually. Oil production was up 35% year-over-year, mainly driven by our flagship development in Bajada del Palo Oeste, where we tie in 2 4-well pads during the quarter and benefited from another pad put on production in [relation]. Our year-to-date average production is 46,500 BOE per day, well on track to deliver on our production guidance of more than 47,000 BOE per day for the year. Total ceroid production, including Bajada del Palo Oeste and Aguada Federal represented 77% of our total oil production during the quarter. I will now share some more details on each of these projects. In our flagship development in Bajada del Palo Oeste, wells continue to produce an average of 5% of our type curve with 55 wells tie-in to date. During Q3, we completed and tie-in pads Bajada del Palo Oeste 13 and Bajada del Palo Oeste. 14. We are currently reading the final well in Bajada del Palo Oeste 15, which we plan to tie in late in December. This will lead to 20 new wells tie-in for the year in this block. I'm very excited by the production results we are seeing in Aguada Federal. The assets were acquired a year ago and have successfully been integrated into our core development. At the end of Q2, we have completed and tie in our first 2 wells in becoming operators in this block. In [Manson], we are seeing productivity in line with Bajada del Palo Oeste. In particular, the well we landed in La Cocina delivered an IP-30 of 2,500 BOEs per day and is currently producing 20% above our Bajada del Palo Oeste-type curve after 120 days on a normalized basis. We also completed 4 well pads in Aguada Federal 3, which was tie in early this month. Finally, the tie-in connected our [federal 2] Bajada del Palo Oeste is currently operating. This is a major milestone leading to future integration of Board blocks as well as reducing lifting costs and environmental footprint. In Bajada del Palo Oeste, the 2 wells we tie-in in late February under our ongoing pilot program continue to show understanding results. After 180 days, the average production of [new] well is above our Bajada del Palo Oeste type curve on a normal basis. These initial tie-in results confirm the top quality of the western part of this block, adding up 50 wells to our inventory for the total of 900 wells, including Bajada del Palo Oeste and Aguada Federal. We are planning to drill 3 additional wells to further derisk acreage in the eastern part of this block in Q4. Also to treat the crude oil produced in this block, we have recently finalized a modular upgrade to the oil treatment plant in this cluster, leading to an increase in processing capacity from 40,000 to 47,000 barrels of oil per day. The next step is to increase this plant capacity to 63,000 barrels of oil per day during the first half of 2023. During Q3, we achieved a measure mature related to Vaca Muerta development as we started producing from our own sand mine and washing plant. The plant is located 250 kilometers from Bajada Palo Este, saving more than 1,000 kilometers of sun tracking. The plant is currently producing 50,000 tonnes of sand per month, which is roughly 50% of Vista requirements at the current drilling and completion run rate but is designed to soar 100%, which we estimate can be achieved during the first half of next year. This project is a significant contribution to our cost-saving efforts as it is forecasted to enable savings of roughly $200,000 per well and almost 2% of our total drilling and completion costs. The overall CapEx of this plan was $16 million, so we expect a payback period of less than 2 years. Total revenues in Q3 2022 were $333.6 million, a 91% increase year-over-year, driven by our production growth and substantial improvement in realized oil prices. Realized oil prices for the quarter average, $76.6 per barrel, up 34% year-over-year. The over unrealized domestic price was $54.2 per barrel, while the realized price of the export market was $90.2 per barrel on average. Crude oil volumes sold during the quarter surpassed production by approximately 2,300 barrels of oil per day, producing inventories to 0. Sales to export market accounted for 48% of oil volumes and 56% of our revenues. We exported 4 cargoes during the quarter or 1.9 million barrels of oil in total. We expect to maintain this level of export volumes during the coming quarter as well. Regarding prices, with current rent levels for Q4, we expect a total average realized oil prices were around 5% below Q3. Realized gas prices increased 7% year-over-year to $4.4 per million of BTU mainly boosted by the sales to industrial customers at $4.9 per million of BTU, applicable to 32% of our sales volumes. Plan Gas price was $4.1 per million BTU applicable to 65% of our sales volumes. The remaining volumes were exported to Chile. Total lifting cost for the quarter was $34.8 million. We have successfully implemented tactical cost-saving initiative in water-falling projects in our conventional assets, pulling services and associated materials, click line services, chemicals in all treatment plans and in the reuse of impacting materials, all that to offset cost increases driven by depreciation of the pesos in real terms. Additionally, the boost in production volumes continues to dilute fee cost. Therefore, on a sequential basis will reduce lifting costs per BOE by 4%. We reiterate our guidance of $7.5 per BOE for the full year. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $233.7 million, implying an interannual growth of 127% and a sequential growth of 16%. This reflects strong revenue growth and our successful effort to maintain stable listing costs. Our year-to-date adjusted EBITDA is $563 million. So we are well positioned to surpass our $750 million guidance for the full year. Adjusted EBITDA margin was robust, 70% during the quarter, an improvement of 11 percentage points year-over-year. Netback was $50.1 per BOE, an 80% interannual increase and in line with our previous quarter. In Q3 2022, we continue to generate positive free cash flow while also reducing gross debt. Cash from operating activities was $196.1 million, impacted by advanced payments of income tax for $26 million. Cash flow used in investing activities was $151.7 million, mostly driven by $104 million in grinding and completion activities in our core development projects, Bajada del Palo Oeste and Aguada Federal. Other investments included the gathering, treatment and evacuation facilities, leading to a total CapEx of $162.8 million during the quarter on an accrual basis. Free cash flow during the quarter was a robust $44.4 million, leading to a year-to-date free cash flow of $140 million. Cash flow used in financing activities stood at $112.7 million, mainly driven by the debt repayment of $78 million, including $22.5 million of principal of our syndicated loan and $50 million of our bond Series 2. Interest paid amounted to $10.4 million. Gross debt stood at $522.6 million at the end of Q3. Our plan is to maintain the around such a level by year-end, in line with our latest guidance. Net leverage ratio stood at a very healthy 0.5x adjusted EBITDA at quarter end. During Q3 2022, we delivered a strong operational and financial performance. As our Vaca Muerta projects continue to drive production growth, we recorded 50.70 BOE per day during the quarter, a 26% increase year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA was $233.7 million for the quarter. Adjusted net income was $79.4 million for the quarter and is currently $201 million year-to-date. Adjusted EPS was $0.90 per share for the quarter. Based on the year-to-date performance, we are reiterating our guidance for the year. We continue to make good progress in projects to reduce emissions footprint of our operation. We forecast to reduce emissions intensity to 18 kilos per BOE, a 25% reduction vis-a-vis 2021. On the A&D front, we closed the second Vaca Muerta development shaving with Trafigura, marking a record acreage evaluation for the basin, which depending on how international prices evolve should range between $59,000 and $140,000 per acreage. This agreement contributes to increase our free cash flow generation beyond the objectives laid out by our 5-year plan. Further reduced group debt, distribute capital to shareholders through share buyback or dividends and accelerated investment in Vaca Muerta, in particularly in the midteen infrastructure projects. On October 4, the warrant holders meeting approved our proposed amendment to Vista warrants in ventures providing immediate center on the number of understanding shares of the company, approximately 89.7 million shares after 100 of the warrants are exercised. This is a significant milestone to improve our capital structure, limiting the dilution of shareholder value and favoring the correct price formation of Vista shares. Finally, this morning, I have called for shareholders meeting scheduled to take place in December 7 to vote on a proposal to approve our second share buyback program for $25.6 million. This is another important step in our strategy to deliver shareholder return and partially sterilize the new understanding shares linked to the warrants exercise. I will take this opportunity to thank our investors for their continued support and our great team at Vista for their hard work, passion and commitment. And with that, operator, please open the line for Q&A.