Mark A. Olson
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open
Thanks, Eddie, and good morning all. Let’s begin on Slide 5 with our fourth quarter results. We’re pleased to deliver results consistent with our expectations despite lingering volatility and customer order patterns and near-term raw material costs pressures. Fourth quarter 2017 sales declined 5% year-over-year, as expected, with growth in the Europe, Middle East and Africa region and Central and Latin America region. This growth was more than offset by declines in other regions, most notably in the U.S. Foreign exchange rate changes positively benefitted revenue by about 1% year-over-year. Year-over-year revenue decline was due primarily to softness in spending at certain North American wireless operators and project timing in the Asia Pacific region. Orders for the quarter were 1.90 billion, which provided a book-to-bill ratio of 0.97x. This book-to-bill reflects a marked improvement in the Mobility Solutions segment of 1.01 compared to 0.84 in the year-ago period. The Connectivity Solutions segment book-to-bill was 0.95 which was consistent with the year-ago period. We have since seen a further uptick in order rates in the first quarter, most notably in U.S. Mobility. For the fourth quarter, operating income was 92 million. Non-GAAP adjusted operated income, which excludes amortization of purchased intangibles, integration and transaction costs, restructuring costs and other special items, declined year-over-year to 199 million. Declines in both GAAP and non-GAAP adjusted operating income were primarily driven by lower sales volumes and the impact from higher commodity costs. In addition, unfavorable geographic mix negatively impacted margins in the quarter. These declines were partially offset by the benefit of cost reduction initiatives and lower incentive compensation. Net income for the quarter was 54 million while non-GAAP adjusted net income was 91 million or $0.47 per diluted share, which was consistent with our expectations, although slightly lower adjusted effective tax rate than originally anticipated. Fourth quarter non-GAAP adjusted effective rate was 35% which did not reflect any benefit of U.S. tax reform. And as I’ll discuss shortly, we expect that rate to improve significantly in 2018 and beyond. Turning to Slide 6 and results for our Connectivity Solutions segment. Segment sales for the quarter increased 2% year-over-year to 694 million with growth in the international markets more than offsetting a modest domestic decline. These results were led by year-over-year high-single digit revenue growth in outdoor network solutions which accounts for slightly less than half of Connectivity Solutions net sales. This growth was partially offset by a modest decline in indoor network solutions. Foreign exchange rate changes positively impacted revenue by about 1% from the year-ago period. We are pleased with our fourth quarter outdoor network solutions sales and expect continued growth in 2018. We also expect typical quarterly volatility due to project timing and believe that sales growth will be weighted towards the back half of the year. In the indoor business, we expect growth in fiber to outpace declines in copper in 2018. As we’ve said last quarter, we have increasing confidence around our solutions and services for the data center market. As you may recall, data center and fiber solutions account for nearly a third of indoor network solutions net sales. In the quarter, our Connectivity Solutions segment GAAP operating income was 48 million while non-GAAP adjusted operating income declined 10% year-over-year to 125 million. GAAP operating income benefitted from lower integration and transaction costs and a lack of an impairment charge in 2017. The decline in non-GAAP adjusted operating income was primarily driven by higher commodity costs, partially offset by the benefit of cost reduction initiatives. As we’ve said on our third quarter call, we have implemented price increases on select products within our enterprise business to begin to mitigate higher input costs. We are currently reviewing our pricing structure and may institute additional price increases to help further offset the pressures from higher costs. Now let’s discuss the results of our Mobility Solutions segment found on Slide 7. Mobility Solutions segment sales in the quarter declined 14% year-over-year to 427 million. Growth in India, in Europe, Middle East, Africa region was more than offset by declines in other regions, particularly in the U.S. Foreign exchange rate changes had a positive impact of about 2% on sales compared to the year-ago period. While 2017 was challenging for our Mobility Solutions as certain North American service providers spent cautiously due to a variety of factors, we are beginning to see these factors abate as evidenced by our improving order book. We expect an improving customer spend environment as the year progresses and this is based on both increasingly constructive conversations with our customers as well as public commentary that you have likely heard. As we noted during our third quarter conference call, one North American wireless operator had a significant impact on our year-over-year results in 2017. We expect a return to more normal customer order patterns as the year progresses and expect meaningful growth from this customer in 2018. Furthermore, we remain confident in our ability to maintain our leadership position supporting the FirstNet opportunity. We expect FirstNet orders to ramp during the first quarter and expect meaningful FirstNet revenue beginning in the second quarter of 2018. And finally, we remain cautiously optimistic regarding growth in certain international markets. In the fourth quarter, Mobility Solutions GAAP operating income was 43 million while non-GAAP adjusted operating income declined 35% year-over-year to 74 million. Both GAAP and non-GAAP adjusted operating income were impacted by lower sales volumes and unfavorable geographic mix, partially offset by lower incentive compensation expense. Next, I’ll discuss cash flow and our capital structure on Slide 8. During the fourth quarter, CommScope generated 242 million in adjusted free cash flow. The timing of cash tax and interest payments as well as customer payments received late in the year that were not due until 2018 contributed to this strong performance. On a full year basis, adjusted free cash flow was 568 million bringing our two-year cumulative adjusted free cash flow to $1.2 billion. We’re very proud of these achievements and our overall capital structure. The chart on the right shows major debt maturities over the next decade with our next maturity not due until 2021. We believe we have created a solid and flexible capital structure that ensures adequate liquidity for business operations. Additionally, this will facilitate further deleveraging while positioning us for ongoing investment and acquisition opportunities. Turning to Slide 9 and continuing on the theme from Slide 8, we’ve outlined our priorities for cash as well as the actions that we took in 2017 to prudently allocate capital. The left side of the slide shows our priorities for cash; reinvest in the business, reduce debt and return capital to shareholders. In terms of specific achievements in 2017, we invested 185 million in R&D and 69 million in capital expenditures. Our ongoing focus on reinvesting in the business has led to the launch of our high-speed migration platform as well as development of our full suite of FirstNet antennas to name a few. We’re proud that CommScope ranked third behind Cisco and Qualcomm in our recent IEE Spectrum Patent Power Pipeline Index for Internet and communications sector. This ranking compares the intellectual property of various companies for their originality and overall impact on the industry and other companies’ patents. The ranking also reflects CommScope’s emphasis on investing capital toward innovation. Second, we acquired Cable Exchange for 105 million which enhances our data center portfolio. We reduced debt by 210 million and delivered on our goal of more than $1 billion of debt repayments since the BNS acquisition. And finally, we repurchased 175 million of our common shares. Turning to Slide 10, I’ll discuss our first quarter and full year 2018 guidance. For the first quarter, we expect revenue of 1.85 billion to 1.135 billion, GAAP operating income of 93 million to 108 million, non-GAAP adjusted operating income of 175 million to 195 million, GAAP earnings per diluted share of $0.13 to $0.16 based on 196 million weighted average diluted shares and non-GAAP adjusted earnings of $0.44 to $0.49 per diluted share. As we discussed during our third quarter earnings call, we continued to expect unfavorable geographic mix and higher material costs to pressure margins in the first quarter. As price increases, gain traction in our enterprise business and the FirstNet deployment ramps, we expect these headwinds to abate. As you may recall, our Mobility Solutions segment delivered a strong first quarter 2017 performance with 60% of revenue coming from the U.S. On the right-hand side of the slide, we outline our full year 2018 guidance. We expect revenue of 4.675 billion to 4.825 billion or up 4% at the midpoint of guidance. This is expected to be driven by North American wireless and fiber deployments as well as growth within the hyperscale data center market. We also expect GAAP operating income of 615 million to 660 million; Non-GAAP adjusted operating income of 935 million to 985 million, or up 9% at the midpoint of guidance; GAAP earnings per diluted share of $1.46 to $1.58 based on 196 million weighted average diluted shares; adjusted earnings per diluted share of $2.56 to $2.71, up more than 20% at the midpoint of guidance. Finally, we expect cash flow from operations of more than $600 million. We currently expect our non-GAAP adjusted effective tax rate for 2018 will be in the range of 29% to 30%. As a full U.S. taxpayer, we are pleased with this enactment of tax reform. While it won’t have a meaningful impact on our cash taxes in the near term, we do expect to have more cash to reinvest in the business and pay down debt over the longer term. And with that, I’ll turn it over to Eddie for a few comments before we start Q&A.