Dion Hatcher
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead
Thank you, Constantine. Well, good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining us. I'm Dion Hatcher, President and CEO of Vermilion Energy. With me today are Lars Glemser, Vice President and CFO; Darcy Kerwin, Vice President, International and HSE; Randy McQuaig, Vice President, North America; and Kyle Preston, Vice President, Investor Relations. We'll be referencing a PowerPoint presentation to discuss our 2024 full year and Q4 results. This presentation can be found on our website under Invest with Us and Events & Presentations. Please refer to our advisory and forward-looking statements at the end of the presentation, describes forward-looking information, non-GAAP measures, and oil and gas terms used today, and outlines the risk factors and assumptions relevant to this discussion. Vermilion delivered a strong operational and financial results in 2024. Production averaged 84,543 BOEs per day, which was above the midpoint of our original guidance and represents annual production per share growth of 4%. Our international production increased 12% year-over-year, reflecting strong operational run times in Australia and the midyear startup of the gas plant on the SA-10 block in Croatia. Our North American production was down 5% year-over-year. This is reflecting the full year impact from the 5,500 BOE per day divestment in Southeast Saskatchewan that was completed in 2023. Now, that was partially offset by the growth from our Montney asset following the start-up of the new battery in Q2. We generated $1.2 billion or $7.63 per share of fund flow and $583 million or $3.69 per share of free cash flow, both representing a 9% increase over 2023 on a per share basis. We successfully executed a $623 million E&D capital program within budget. Capital program included significant investments in new growth projects in Germany, Croatia, and the BC Montney, which will all contribute strong free cash flow in future years. We returned $216 million or approximately 10% of our market cap to our shareholders in 2024, that comprised of $75 million in dividends and $141 million of share buybacks. In December, we announced an 8% increase to our quarterly dividend effective Q1 2025. This represents our fourth consecutive increase since reinstating the dividend. Net debt decreased by 10% in 2024 to $967 million at the end of the year, representing a net debt to trailing funds flow ratio of 0.8 times or the lowest ratio in over a decade. Included in our year-end release was an updated reserve estimate for 2024. Total proved plus probable reserves increased by 1% from the prior year to 435 million BOEs, primarily due to extensions and improved recovery on the Mica Montney asset. We added 26 million BOEs of PDP reserves, 36 million BOEs of 2P reserves at an average FD&A cost, including future development costs of $22.81 per PDP BOE and $15.77 per 2P BOE. Now, this results in a recycle ratio of 1.6 times on a PDP basis and 2.3 times on a 2P basis. The 2024 FD&A figures include significant upfront capital costs associated with the early-stage growth projects such as the Montney infrastructure as well as Germany and Croatia exploration from which limited reserves compared to our internal estimates have been recognized to-date. Our PDP and 2P reserve life index as of December 31st, 2024, was 5.4 and 14.1 years, respectively. Both of these are consistent with the long-term average. The after-tax net present value of our PDP reserves discounted at 10% is $2.8 billion and the after-tax net present value of our 2P reserves discounted at 10% is $5.2 billion. That is over $27 per share after deducting year-end net debt. Production for the fourth quarter averaged 83,536 BOEs per day, which includes the impact from planned third-party turnaround activity and partial shut-in of some Canadian gas in response to weak AECO prices. We generated $263 million of fund flows, that's $1.70 per share and $62 million of free cash flow, of which $36 million was returned to shareholders via the dividend and share buybacks. E&D capital increased in Q4 relative to Q3 as drilling activity picked up in Germany and Canada. Germany activity included the completion and testing of the successful second well and the commencement of drilling on a third exploration well that was originally scheduled for 2025. Net debt increased slightly due to the stronger U.S. dollar and the full repayment of the Montney battery lease. This provides immediate lease and interest savings as well as increasing our excess free cash flow that's available for shareholder returns in 2025 and beyond. As I mentioned, drilling and [Indiscernible] activity picked up in Q4. In Europe, our primary focus was on the German deep gas exploration program, where we progressed facility construction and tie-in operations on the Osterheide well and completed testing operations on the Wisselshorst well, including testing on a second zone subsequent to the quarter. We commenced drilling on the third deep gas exploration well in Germany, Weissenmoor during Q4 and completed drilling it in Q1. I will provide more detail on the successful German exploration program in the following slides. We're also very active in North America during the fourth quarter. In Canada, we drilled six Montney liquids-rich gas wells, including five wells on the new 8-4 pad in BC and one land retention well in Alberta. The team continues to make progress towards achieving our $9 million to $9.5 million decent cost target. In the Deep Basin, we drilled, completed, and brought on production five liquids-rich gas wells. In Saskatchewan, we drilled and completed six wells and brought on production seven oil wells. In the U.S., we participated in the drilling and completions of five gross or 0.6 net non-op oil wells. In addition to executing a very active program in Canada, our team spent the better part of Q4 evaluating the Westberg acquisition, we were successful on and announced on December 23rd. We are very, very excited about the results from our 2024 German deep gas exploration program. We have made significant gas discovery on our second gas well. Wisselshorst. Wisselshorst, which were 64% working interest, we tested two zones within this well at a combined restricted rate of 41 million per day with flowing wellhead pressures of 6,200 psi. We've got an estimated EOR of 68 BCF or 43 BCF net. As we announced in late December, this first test -- the first zone tested at a restricted rate of 21 million a day of gas with a flowing wellhead pressure of 6,200 psi. Subsequent to year-end, we tested the second zone in this well, which flow tested at a restricted rate of 20 million a day with a similar pressure of 6,200 psi. Based on our assessment, we believe the Wisselshorst structure is large enough to support an additional four to six follow-up locations. We expect to bring the first well on production in the first half of 2026 and are advancing options to debottleneck our takeaway pad capacity in the second half of 2027 -- sorry, first half of 2027, given the very strong deliverability of this well. With successful development of these follow-up locations as well as the additional prospects we've identified across our land base, we see the potential to double our current European 2P gas reserves. Subsequent to year-end, we also completed drilling operations on the Weissenmoor gas exploration well, which we were 100% working interest, and we discovered multiple hydrocarbon bearing zones. This would mark our third discovery in Germany. The well is currently in the process of being tested. The first well in the drilling program, Osterheide, which is 100% working interest was drilled in the first half of 2024 and tested at a restricted rate of 17 million a day of gas with a flowing wellhead pressure of 4,600 psi. The wellsite gas facility is nearing completion, first gas expected in Q2. In aggregate, the Osterheide and Wisselshorst wells tested at a combined rate of 56 million per day. This is equivalent to 50% of Vermilion's current European gas production. The success of our deep gas exploration program to-date validates the technical models and our ability to achieve F&D cost of approximately $1 to $1.50 per MMBtu with the potential to more than double our German production. It is early days in the development of this long-life, high-margin asset that is expected to add meaningful free cash flow in the years ahead. Last week, we were very pleased to announce the closing of the Westbrick acquisition. The strategic acquisition represents a significant step forward in Vermilion's North American high-grading initiative to increase operational scale and enhance full cycle margins in the Deep Basin. As a reminder, the acquisition adds 50,000 BOEs a day of production and over 770,000 net acres of contiguous land along with valuable infrastructure. We have identified over 700 net future drilling locations, providing a robust inventory to keep production flat for over 15 years, while generating significant free cash flow. As shown on the map on this slide, the land and infrastructure is very complementary to Vermilion's legacy Deep Basin assets, which we expect will provide operational synergies and add further value over time. Since our first Spirit River, Ellerslie, and Cardium wells going back as far as 2009, Vermilion has drilled nearly 300 wells spanning -- we operate significant infrastructure in the Deep Basin, which we will leverage in developing these newly acquired locations. In addition, we were already a partner with Westbrick on approximately 140 of these locations, which speaks both to the operational synergies as well as our knowledge on the asset. These newly acquired locations are competitive with Vermilion's existing Deep Basin inventory with half-cycle returns ranging from 40% to over 100% based on third-party reserve engineering estimates. I'd now like to hand it over to Lars to discuss our balance sheet and deleveraging plans, along with our revised 2025 outlook.