Anthony Marino
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining us. I am Tony Marino, President and CEO of Vermilion Energy. With me today are Mike Kaluza, Executive Vice President and COO; Curtis Hicks, Executive Vice President and CFO; and Kyle Preston, our Director of Investor Relations. I would like to refer to the advisory regarding forward-looking statements contained in today’s news release. These advisories describe the forward-looking information, non-GAAP measures, and oil and gas terms referred to today and outline the risk factors and assumptions relevant to this discussion. During this call, I will provide you with an overview of our second quarter 2017 financial and operating results. Vermilion’s second quarter results were in line with our expectations. Following an active Q1 drilling campaign in Canada, the U.S. and France, we achieved higher quarterly production volumes in each of these countries. This contributed to quarter-over-quarter production growth for the company of 4% to 67,240 BOE/D. FFO for the quarter was $147.1 million or $1.22 per share, representing an increase of 3% over the prior quarter despite lower commodity prices. After accounting for development CapEx of $59 million and cash dividends of $49 million, we generated approximately $40 million of excess cash flow during the quarter. This resulted in a net payout of 75% and allowed us to reduce net debt by 5% to $1.3 billion implying a debt to annualized FFO ratio of 2.2 times. The most notable growth during the quarter came from our Canadian business unit, where production increased 14% quarter-over-quarter to 20,563 BOE/D. This growth continued beyond the second quarter with Canadian production reaching 30,000 BOE/D in early July, an all-time record for the business unit. The growth in Canada was in large part due to the ongoing success of our Mannville condensate play in West Central Alberta, where we have brought 15 gross or 10.3 net Mannville wells on production so far this year and have achieved an average IP60 rate of 470 BOE/D. Production from the Mannville averaged 14,700 BOE/D during Q2, an increase of 23% from Q1. Results from our Cardium and Midale light oil plays were in line with expectations, while we continue to see a significant improvement in cost efficiencies. In the Cardium, drill, complete, equip and tie-in or de-set well costs averaged $2.3 million on a per section basis for the 2017 program compared to $3.2 million during our last Cardium program in 2014. In the Midale, per well cost decreased to $1.7 million for the 2017 program compared to $3 million in 2014. In the U.S., the 3 Turner Sand wells we drilled in Q1 were put on production during Q2. After a period of intermittent production testing, the three wells are now producing at a combined rate of 760 BOE/D in the third month of production. Two of the wells are performing above our type curve for the southern part of the play at current rates of approximately 330 BOE/D and 325 BOE/D respectively, but production is still gradually increasing. The third well reached a peak IP30 of 140 BOE/D and is currently producing approximately 110 BOE/D. Similar to our Canadian plays, we continue to see costs come down in our Turner Sand development. Average de-set well cost decreased to $3.5 million for the 2017 program compared to $4.2 million in 2016. The 17% reduction in well costs was achieved even though average lateral length increased by 15% to 5,300 feet as compared to 4,600 feet previously. Our continued well cost reduction and improvements in mechanical success in the 17 drilling program set the stage for increased development in our Turner Sand play. Moving to Europe, in France, production increased 5% quarter-over-quarter to 11,368 BOE/D. We drilled and completed our first wells in the Neocomian fields in the first half of the year and have now placed all 4 wells on production. The combined IP30 oil rate from the four horizontal Neocomian wells was 600 barrels a day, which exceeded our expectations. As you may recall, we acquired the Neocomian fields through the acquisition of ZaZa Energy in 2012. And prior to the first half drilling program had increased production in reserves by roughly 50% solely through work-overs and artificial lift optimization, the 100% success rate and better than expected production results on this inaugural drilling program validate the long-term development potential of the Neocomian fields. We plan to drill more Neocomian wells in 2018. I’d like to make a brief comment on recent political developments in France that affect our industry. As many of you are aware, the newly elected French government recently reaffirmed its intention to not grant new exploration permits. This policy pronouncement on expiration permits is consistent with President [indiscernible] previously announced campaign platform and is not a surprise to us. We do not expect this new legislation if passed to have a material impact on Vermilion because our French operations are focused on development activities such as well work-overs, infill drilling and waterflood optimization, with only a small allocation of capital to exploration activities. France has been an important part of our history, being the first international investment in our very successful international growth and income model. This summer, we celebrated our 20th anniversary in France and we are proud of the environmentally and socially responsible business that we have developed there, including the carbon reduction projects in our operations. We see our French business having another 20 to 25 years of life using the same style of sustainable development, which is in line with the new French government’s objectives for our carbon neutral economy. Last quarter, we announced a reallocation of capital and deferral of production in the Netherlands due to some permitting delays on a few wells. We are pleased that in the second quarter we received the required permits to execute our drilling and seismic programs for 2017. In addition, last week, we received ministry authorization to increase production on one of our key wells pending a public comment period. With the receipt of these permits, we expect to resume production growth from our Netherlands business unit in the second half of 2017 and to continue this growth in 2018, while we continue to advance various permits to support our longer term growth plans. Permitting in the Netherlands has always been a time-consuming and challenging process. During our Investor Day in April, we outlined the new permitting process that came into effect in the Netherlands in January 2017. The new process will allow the drilling facility and production permitting aspects of our projects to run largely in parallel with the objective of enhancing the transparency of the entire project to the public. Although this may increase the timelines for certain component approvals with the various elements running in parallel, we expect the new permitting framework will reduce overall cycle times and ultimately improve the process for both communities and operators. We have a strong track record of profitable growth in the Netherlands delivering 7 years of consecutive growth at a 13% CAGR prior to 2017. While we were disappointed to break this string of production increases in ‘17 due to the permitting delays, we remain committed to the Netherlands and are confident in the longer term growth opportunities there. In Ireland, we had another strong quarter achieving average production of 10,634 BOE/D in Q2 and 10,718 BOE/D for the first half of 2017, representing approximately 98% of rated plant capacity. The project continues to outperform expectations for well deliverability and downtime. Two weeks ago, we announced a strategic partnership in Corrib, with the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, whereby CPPIB will acquire Shell’s 45% interest in the project. At closing which we expect to occur in the first half of 2018, we expect to assume operatorship with CPPIB planning to transfer the operating entity along with 1.5% working interest of $1 million or €19.4 million before closing adjustments or $28.4 million at current exchange rates before increasing our working interest in Corrib to 20%. As outlined in our press release, this incremental interest equates to approximately 850 BOE/D production at current rates and approximately 2 million BOE of 2P reserves at year end ‘16. Assuming a purchase price of $28.4 million before closing adjustments, the transaction metrics are estimated at approximately $33,400 per BOE/D, $15.40 per BOE of 2P reserves including future development capital and 3.3x 2017 operating cash flow using the forward commodity strip. We expect the acquisition to be accretive for all pertinent per share metrics including production, fund flows from operations, reserves and net asset value. Corrib is an important free cash flow positive element in our portfolio and obtaining operatorship has been one of our strategic objectives. We are very pleased that we can achieve this objective as part of a very capital efficient and accretive acquisition. Following the assumption of operatorship at Corrib, we will operate approximately 87% of our production base as compared to 72% currently. Finally, with respect to the Corrib transaction, we are very honored to have CPPIB as a partner. CPPIB is a world class investment firm with an exceptional understanding of energy projects and a very exacting approach to investing in them. We believe Vermilion shares strengths and energy investing and we look forward to a long-term and productive relationship with CPPIB. Elsewhere in Europe, we have assimilated the German producing assets we bought from NG following closing at the end of 2017. Our workover and artificial lift optimization activities have already generated approximately a 10% increase in production on these former NG assets as compared to Q1 levels. In Central Europe and Eastern Europe, we continue to analyze well and seismic data and are preparing to drill our first well in the region in Hungary in the first half of 2018. In Australia we continue our debottlenecking project to increase throughput on Wandoo platform B with a modest increase in production volumes expected later in 2017. Lastly, we announced a $20 million increase to our 2017 capital budget to reflect the acceleration of Canadian drilling and completion activity in the fourth quarter of 2017 that was originally planned for 2018. This allows us to lock in current services costs and to avoid the pre-breakup service constraints we experienced in the first quarter of the year. Our 2017 capital budget is now $315 million, up from $295 million previously to reflect this accelerated activity. The incremental activity will include the drilling of additional Cardium and Mannville wells, completion and well tie in activities and some predrill expenditures for wells to be drilled in 2018. Because the increased capital investment will occur in late in ‘17, our production guidance this year is unaffected at 69,000 BOE/D to 70,000 BOE/D. We are currently reviewing our 2018 plans and will provide a formal ‘18 budget at the time of our Q3 ‘17 results. However, we can save now that the additional capital investment in 2017 will positively impact 2018 either by reducing capital investment or increasing production rates as compared to our previously announced targets. That concludes my planned remarks. We would be happy to address any questions that you might have. Operator, would you please open the phone line to questions.