Operator
Operator
Good day everyone and welcome to the VimpelCom Ltd. first quarter 2011 earnings conference call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Alexandra Tramont, with Financial Dynamics. Please go ahead. Alexandra Tramont – Vice President, Financial Dynamics: Thank you. Good morning and welcome to VimpelCom's conference call to discuss the company's first quarter 2011 financial and operating results. Before getting started, I would like to remind everyone that except for historical information, statements made on this conference call may constitute forward-looking statements that involve certain risks and uncertainties. These statements relate in part to one, the benefit of the company's combination with Wind Telecom, including expected [inaudible] and [inaudible] expend future margins, events, and [inaudible] expenditures. Certain factors may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements, including the risks detailed in one, the company's press release announcing first quarter 2011 financial and operating results and related presentation; two, the company's practice statement filed with the SEC on Form 6-K on February 15, 2011; and three, other public filings made by the company with the SEC, each of which are posted on the company's website at www.vimpelcom.communication and the and the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov. VimpelCom disclaims any obligation to update developments relating to these risk factors or to announce publicly any revision to any of the forward-looking statements made on this conference call or to make corrections to reflect future events or developments. If you have not received a copy of the fourth quarter and full year 2011 financial and operating results press release, please call FD at 212-850-5600 and it will be forwarded to you. In addition, the press release and the earnings presentation, each of which includes reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures presented on this conference call, can be downloaded from the VimpelCom website. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Alexander Izosimov, chief executive officer of VimpelCom. Alexander Izosimov – Chief Executive Officer: Thank you. Good afternoon for those joining us in Europe and good morning for those who are from the U.S. And now let me introduce the people participating on this call. Here with me in Amsterdam are Henk van Dalen, our chief financial officer; Khaled Bichara, president and chief operating officer; Elena Shmatova, who runs our business in Russia; Dmitry Kromsky, head of our CIS operations; Artem Nitz, who is acting CFO in Ukraine, and Gerbrand Nijman, our new head of investor relations. On this call, we will discuss our first quarter operational and financial results, as well as the recent developments at VimpelCom. Before we discuss the first quarter, though, we want to mention several important items. We completed the combination with Wind Telecom on April 15. However, the information we're discussing today in VimpelCom does not include the merged assets of Wind. We will publish full pro forma data including these assets in early August, well ahead of our second quarter results. For your information, we have provided a for example, we results for the new combined group on a pro forma basis. In addition, we have included key highlights of the already reported results of Wind [Italy] and [Orascom] on a standalone basis. So today's presentation will focus the actual first quarter results of VimpelCom. Well, now let's turn to slide number 5. VimpelCom's operational and financial performance during the first quarter of the year was strong compared to the same period last year and our business continues to develop as planned. Russia remains our top priority and while the situation there remained challenging in the first quarter, we were pleased to see some early progress from our programs as we have continued to grow our active subscriber base. We see good progress in Ukraine, driven by market improvement and synergies well ahead of schedule, in a challenging competitive environment where aggressive [inaudible] campaigns are targeted at regaining subscriber market share. In the CIS, we are steadily growing revenues while maintaining healthy margins. Recently, we also made substantial progress in Southeast Asia where we completed the acquisition in Laos and signed new arrangements with our Vietnamese partners which gives us firm operational control and reignites our operations in Vietnam. Obviously the hallmark of the year is the completion of the transformational deal with Wind Telecom in April. It has more than doubled the size of our subscribers and business and positioned VimpelCom among the top tier of international telecom companies. Along with the recent management changes that we announced, we have already launched the integration process and are confident we will be able to realize the full advantages of the scope and scale that we targeted with this transaction. Now I'll pass the floor to our CFO, Henk van Dalen, who will describe the group's financial performance. Henk, it's yours. Henk van Dalen – Chief Financial Officer: Thank you Alexander. Let me remind you that we are presenting the quarterly consolidated financial results only of VimpelCom Limited with Kievstar's operations incorporated starting from April 21, 2010 when the acquisition was effectively completed. In the press release that we issued early this morning you will also find pro forma statements on a consolidated level and for our Ukranian business unit. Our revenues increased with over $500 million, or 23% over the first quarter of 2010, with $2.7 billion. Consolidation effect of Kievstar was $340 million organic growth in positive. Forex accounted for the remainder of the increase. Compared to the first quarter 2010, the gross margin grew by 20%, million due to the consolidation effect of Kievstar and positive forex effects. Increased gross margin in the CIS was set off by lower gross margin in Russia, but higher cost of sales grew by 29% due to changes in the traffic mix causing higher interconnect expenses and negative margin on devices. Compared to the first quarter 2010, SG&A increased by 26%. Organic growth of SG&A was almost 30% over the [inaudible], about 10%. Consolidation effect of Kievstar accounted for the remainder. OIBDA also grew substantially year over year to $1.2 billion, affecting the fundamental strength of operation despite increased spending and investment in certain markets. Compared to the same quarter a year ago, OIBDA increased by almost $170 million as a result of the consolidation of Kievstar and positive forex effect and lower [inaudible] in Russia. OIBDA margin decreased slightly from the fourth quarter to the first quarter of '11, mainly as a result of [inaudible] investments in our Russian business. Despite that, we had a record level of net income, primarily due to foreign exchange gains compared to the first quarter of 2010, which is up nearly 28% sequentially despite the impact of seasonality on our revenues, declined 3% from last quarter. Net cash from operating activities continued to be strong over the quarters, enabling significant capex and interim dividend payments. I'll go to the next slide, slide number 7. As you can see here on this slide our financial position remains strong. Net operating cash flow was $1 billion [inaudible] our investments in our infrastructure which total over $550 million on a cash basis. Capex increased in the first quarter compared to a year ago, reflecting the acceleration of [inaudible] development and a more normal phasing of capex throughout the year. We also paid nearly $250 million in dividends in cash in the quarter. The second quarter we will pay the final dividend for the year 2010. Net debt was essentially flat sequentially. As you can see on the slide, we finished the quarter with a healthy balance of cash and cash equivalents of almost $1.9 billion. Moreover, our balance sheet ratios are solid with total net debt over the last 12 months of approximately 0.9. All in all, [inaudible] basis of our investments in profitable growth of the company can be funded going forward. They effectively, as you know, have been funded going forward due to the merger with the Wind Telecom group. Now onto the next slide, the debt structure. Our U.S. dollar-denominated net debt has increased in the first quarter. However, we continue to maintain a significantly more balanced debt profile than we have had historically with a roughly 60-40 split between dollar- and ruble-denominated debt. The change from the fourth quarter reflects the successful placement of a [dual trans] $1.5 billion in February which included a $500 million tranche yielding just below 6.5% and a $1 billion 10-year tranche with an interest rate of slightly above 7.7%. Included in the above-mentioned $1.5 billion we were able to complete a new round of financing of up to $6.5 billion in relation to the Wind Telecom transaction for refinancing the adjusted obligation and of course also for certain further business expenses. Then I take you very briefly to the financial structure post-merger and our preliminary figures they are results on a pro forma basis and we intend to provide the market with a full set of pro data in early August and that will include also the way in which we will then look at the segmentation of the [group], at least for the levels of [inaudible]. The additional information that we provide here shows that the first quarter of this year would have been $5.5 billion revenue, assuming that the group would have been there in that first quarter already, the combined group [inaudible] $2.3 billion. For the total of 2010, this would have been $21.8 billion and $9.3 billion. Total gross debt following the merger is approximately $27 billion and the net debt is around $23 billion, leading to a net debt to OIBDA ratio of around 2.5. And finally, I take you to the dividend. In April our supervisory board declared the final dividend payment for 2010 in the amount of $244 million. This brings the terms of the dividend payments over 2010 to $1.1 billion. As announced, the dividend will be paid before June 30 this year. We would also like to give a brief update on the new dividend guidelines for 2011 as also published on our website. Barring unforeseen circumstances, the company aims to pay out at least $0.80 per common share per year, assuming not more than 1,628 million common shares are issued than outstanding. The company plans to pay the annual dividend in two tranches. The first tranche will be an interim dividend paid during the second half of the year. The second tranche will be the final dividend that will be paid out following the annual results announcement. The details of these payments are of course, as always subject to approval by the supervisory board and the update of this guideline and the increase in the annual dividend is a reflection of the increased [inaudible] business and the strength of our enhanced financial position. Now I'll pass the floor back to Alexander who will discuss the results of our business units. Alexandra Tramont – Vice President, Financial Dynamics: Thanks Henk. As we mentioned before, Russia remains our top priority. In line with the initiatives we announced during the last call, we continue to improve our operations and are already seeing the first results of our efforts. We have reversed the negative trend in active subscriber base and gained 1.7 million active customers in a year, of which 1 million in the first quarter of this year alone. Despite the growth in subscriber base, we were able to keep RPU stable year-on-year. We invested heavily in the 3G rollout to improve the coverage in densely populated areas. In addition, we made selective investments in 2G to improve the quality of our mobile resources. We achieved leadership in distribution whereby our products are available in the maximum reachable point of sale throughout the country. Sponsored sale of devices led to 20% more mobile broadband customers at the end of March compared to the end of December. RPU and MOU dynamics reflect usual winter seasonality as people travel less and spend more that I mentioned earlier indoors. It also affects the B to B customers as there are 11% less working days in the quarter if you compare it with the last quarter of 2010. Our fixed line business continues to evolve as well. In the FTTB segment we continue to grow the active customer base and see encouraging RPU dynamics. We continue to roll out [our YTTB] offering which is now available in 25 cities. We are confident that with our high quality integrated product offerings, VimpelCom will become the top player in the Russian broadband market. Now, a few words about our financial results in Russia. Our revenues in Russia increased 5% year-on-year, and amounted to more than 60 billion rubles. The main driver for this growth is data services, both in fixed and mobile segments and a substantial part of mobile revenue growth came from the sale of handsets and other equipment which amounted to 1.4 billion rubles. Quarterly mobile OIBDA margin in Russia was 45.5%, in line with our indication of last quarter and it reflects our ongoing market activities including discounts for 3G devices and rapid network expansion, which is driving additional costs. In line with our expectation, the consolidated OIBDA margin in Russia stayed at 42.1%. Going forward, we expect the competitive situation in the Russian market to remain challenging and would require us to balance the level of investments and OIBDA margin. Although CapEx in the first quarter was lower than the last two quarters of last year, we returned to our normal investment pattern in Russia and we will adhere to our philosophy of investing as we grow, with an improved phasing throughout the year. We continue to expect that total 2011 capex in Russia will be at around 20% of our revenues. We believe this will be sufficient to ensure our competitive position in existing businesses and to benefit from growing demand for new services in the data segment. Let's move to our next business unit, Ukraine. In Ukraine, during the first quarter of this year, aside from the usual seasonal patterns and interconnect rate cuts, we continued to see further improvements of our operations. We continue to promote high on net usage, mainly targeted at the price-sensitive segment. This helped us to reduce churn and reverse the customer attrition trends. Our active subscriber base remains stable at 24.4 million subscriptions. On the back of growing usage, the RPU trend indicates the good quality of our new customers as RPU was up 3% when compared to the first quarter of 2010. We see this as a clearly successful result of our new pricing policy and expect it to support an upward RPU trend going forward. We are the fastest-growing broadband provider in the country with 35,000 new active customers added in the first quarter of this year. We continue to invest in FTTB and aspire to become the number-one alternative broadband operator in Ukraine. On a pro forma basis, our quarterly revenues increased 4% year-on-year despite substantial cuts in interconnect rates. Compared to the previous quarter, our revenue dynamics reflect the usual seasonal trends. Our quarterly OIBDA increased year-on-year by 15%, while our OIBDA margin remained in our target level of the mid-50s. We are continuing our operational excellence program and synergy initiatives to maintain our margins. The synergies from the combination of VimpelCom's business in Ukraine with Kievstar have thus far exceeded our expectations. We expect to continue to see the effect of synergies going forward. In order to accommodate the growing demand for more sophisticated voice and data services, we continue to invest in our networks. The capex to revenue ratio was 12% in the first quarter of this year. We expect the capex to revenue ratio for 2011 to be in the mid-teens range. We are pleased with the development of our operations in Ukraine and look forward to consolidating our leadership position. Now, let's turn to the CIS segment. Our business in CIS continues to show strong financial results. We are growing revenues year-on-year at double digit rates in virtually all of our markets despite the intensified competition in all CIS countries. Our efforts in our two largest markets in the region, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, are paying off. In Kazakhstan, in the first quarter of 2011, we observed continued subscriber growth, 15% on a year-on-year basis and a robust OIBDA margin of over 50%. However, going forward, we expect more margin pressure due to the long-awaited operational entrance of Tele2 and the introduction of per-second billing. At the end of the first quarter of 2011, all operators in the country introduced per-second billing for their subscribers in compliance with the new local legislation. We continue to accelerate the rollout of 3G in the country, and we are honored that our coverage was recognized as the best in Kazakhstan. Additionally, data revenue has increased on a year-on-year basis by approximately 66%. In Uzbekistan, our turnaround efforts have started to pay off. Our sales and marketing push resulted in a 46% increase in the number of active subscribers as compared with the first quarter of 2010. Our revenues have increased by 30% year-on-year with strong OIBDA margin of 45.7%, demonstrating the underlying strength of our core business in the country. Now, let's turn to Southeast Asian operations. With just under 2 million subscribers, our operations in this region are still in a very early stage of development. We stick to our philosophy of investing as we grow, and are taking a cautious approach to our investment decisions here. In Vietnam, following our financing in May, we increased operational control and developed a more focused strategy with a comprehensive commercial relaunch and with more focused investments in the network. First quarter results were according to management expectations. In Cambodia, we managed to turn around the negative impact of 2010 regulatory action. Our first quarter dynamics look very encouraging in terms of double digit quarter-on-quarter growth in both revenues and subscribers. We successfully acquired the Laos operation from Millicom in March 2011. Laos operations continue to be on a very strong growth path. On a pro forma basis, Laos showed year-on-year growth of 60% in active subs in the first quarter of 2011. With a population of more than 110 million, we remain optimistic about the potential of the Southeast Asia mobile market and we continue to enhance our presence in this region. In summary, the first quarter saw solid financial performance with year over year growth across our business units as well as strong performance from the Wind Telecom assets, which we will be consolidating in the coming quarter. We are pleased to see that the efforts we have taken to enhance our market position have achieved results, even amidst the backdrop of strong seasonal effects and increased competition. Looking ahead in Russia, the company will continue to focus on sales and marketing in both mobile and fixed line broadband and we are confident that we will be able to continue to improve our market position. In addition, we have started cost-saving initiatives, our focus remaining on accelerating our growth in these key markets. In the Ukraine, we continue to exceed our synergy targets and our market share is recovering nicely, consolidating our leadership position. The story in the CIS continues to be steady: Strong revenue growth and healthy margins. I would like to close with a few brief comments on our next stage of development, the combination with Wind Telecom. This deal takes our business to the next level, with significantly expanded scale and scope, and creates a leading global telecom company. Now that the transaction is behind us, we are fully in the integration mode. Our expectation is that we will achieve $370 million of combined operating expense and capital expenditure synergies per annum on a recurring revenue basis beginning in 2013, and the net present value of the synergies would be $2.5 billion. Furthermore, we put the management team in place to lead the combined company. As we announced last month, our supervisory board has approved a new corporate structure designed to support the successful development of VimpelCom's enlarged commercial and geographic footprint while maintaining a lean corporate and management function. Finally, as you know, I will be stepping down as chief executive officer at the end of the month. I was hired to lead the transformation of VimpelCom into a leading global telecommunications company with strong growth prospects and this is now clearly a reality. The job of leading the company into this exciting future now passes to Jo Lunder and the rest of the senior management that we have assembled both here in Amsterdam in the headquarters and at the business unit level across the company. All of VimpelCom will work to deliver on the promise of our growth platform. The focus is firmly on strengthening the financial position through rapid debt paydowns, driving sustained growth in our business, and delivering enhanced value to our shareholders. With that, we are happy to take your questions. So operator, could you please instruct the audience on how we proceed now with the questions?