Anton Dibowitz
Analyst · BTIG. Please go ahead
Thanks, Darin, and good morning and afternoon to everyone. During today's call, I will start by providing an overview of our performance during the quarter. I'll then provide commentary on the outlook for the offshore drilling market and discuss our strategy for maximizing shareholder value during the unfolding industry up cycle. After that, I'll hand the call over to Chris to discuss our financial results and guidance. We continue to deliver strong operational performance to our customers, with revenue efficiency of 96% in the third quarter and 97% year-to-date. We are committed to maintaining high levels of safety performance, which is particularly important given increasing activity levels. Our safety performance is the result of the focus and dedication of the Valaris team in several programs that we have implemented. These include our bold leadership training courses that we run every other week, our behavior-based safety program with supervisors mentor and engage with junior crews to ensure that they understand and are adhering to our safe systems of work, and a new format for our basic training program in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, utilized at one of our stacked rigs in the U.S. Gulf. We believe that this format for basic training will help new employees, especially those who are new to the industry, to be better prepared for the offshore working and living environment, and deployment on-board our working rigs. Since its inception, we have averaged 18 new hire employees graduating every two weeks. I'm pleased that these efforts have been recognized by our customers with Valaris recently being rated the number one offshore driller in EnergyPoint Research's 2022 customer satisfaction survey. Valaris was number one nine categories including total satisfaction, health safety in environment and job quality. These awards are estimate to the exceptional work that our dedicated offshore crews and onshore support teams perform in partnership with our customers, and we are grateful to our customers for recognizing our performance. I'm extremely proud of the entire Valaris team for continuing to deliver high levels of operational performance during the challenging period for the industry and the organization. Since the beginning of the year, we have successfully executed four major floater reactivations, with all four rigs returning to work largely on time and within our reactivation cost guidance. This achievement speaks volumes about the operational execution capabilities of our organization and positions us well for future opportunities that require the reactivation of stacked rigs. The return of these four floaters to the active fleet over the past several months has contributed to a meaningful improvement in our third quarter operating results, demonstrating the operational leverage, inherent in our business. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $76 million from $29 million in the second quarter and adjusted EBITDAR, which adds back one-time reactivation costs, increased to $94 million from $54 million in the second quarter. Turning now to the market. The fundamental outlook for our industry remains highly constructive. The lack of investment in new sources of production over the past several years has contributed to a tight supply picture that has been exacerbated by geopolitical instability and an increased focus on energy security. A significant increase in investment will be required to rebuild global supplies, irrespective of near-term demand volatility and offshore production is expected to continue to play an important role in meeting the world's need for secure and affordable energy. We believe that these factors and the significant reduction in the rig fleet, especially floaters over the past several years, lay the foundation for sustained industry up cycle. Despite recent downward pressure on oil prices due to fears of a global economic recession and a strong U.S. dollar, commodity prices remain at levels that are highly supportive of continued investment in offshore oil and gas projects. Two-year forward Brent crude prices are currently around $75 per barrel and five-year forward prices are just below $70 per barrel, levels at which almost all undeveloped offshore resources are expected to be profitable. As a result of the supportive commodity environment, CapEx for [indiscernible] project approvals in 2023 and 2024 are expected to be at their highest levels in more than a decade and these project approvals should help drive capital expenditures for several years to come. The constructive macro environments and increased upstream spending have led to an increase in both contracting and tendering activity across both floaters and jacks. On a trailing 12 month basis, rig gear is awarded for benign environment floaters are approximately 40% higher than the previous 12 months. In addition, rig years of open demand at tender or pre-tender stage, which represents visible customer demand and customer demand that is expected to formally come to market soon were approximately 40% and 25% higher than 6 months ago and 12 months ago respectively. The increase in contracting and tendering activity has seen utilization for active drill ship sustained at around 90% for the past 12 months, which has led to meaningful improvements in day rates. Average day rates for drill ship fixtures signed in the third quarter 2022 were approximately $400,000 per day with some leading edge rates in certain regions above this level. As compared to less than 200,000 per day in the fourth quarter 2020, when active utilization was around 75%. A meaningful portion of the recent increase in tendering activity was attributable to the recent Petrobras tender, which is expected to see seven rigs contracted for long-term work offshore Brazil commencing in 2023. Subsequently, Petrobras have launched a new RFI for up to three further ultra-deepwater rigs on the [indiscernible] development starting in late 2023 or early 2024. We continue to expect that Brazil will be a significant driver of floater demand over the next several years and will well positioned to benefit, given our presence in the country with VALARIS DS-4 and DS 15 already working off shore Brazil for Petrobras and total energies respectively, and VALARIS DS-17 currently being reactivated to work on Equinor's Bacalhau project beginning in the middle of 2023. We continue to see a mix of shorter-term exploration and longer-term development programs offshore West Africa, including an Ivory Coast and Namibia, which have both seen large commercial discoveries this year that could lead to increased rig demand for the floater market going forwards. We have a strong footprint in the region with three drill ships currently operating offshore, Angola, Nigeria, and Mauritania, and a further three stack drill ships nearby in the Canary Islands. We also see several opportunities in the Gulf of Mexico, both on the U.S. and Mexican side. The U.S. opportunities primarily require drill ships while the Mexican opportunities are well suited for our active semisubmersible in the region. VALARIS DPS-5, which was awarded a three wheel contract with Eni Mexico in the third quarter at an attractive day rate. On the jackup side of the business, we have seen a meaningful increase in activity since the start of the year, primarily driven by increased demand in the Middle East. On a trailing 12-month basis, jackup rig years awarded are more than double the previous 12 months, and rig years of open demand at tender or pre- tender stage as of the quarter end were approximately 20% and 45% higher than 6 months ago and 12 months ago respectively. As a result, active utilization for jackup reached approximately 90% at the beginning of the third quarter. Day rates also continue to trend upwards with average day rates for benign environment jackup fixtures signed in the third quarter 2022 up nearly a $100,000 per day, with several recent fixtures above $120,000, as compared to approximately $70,000 per day in the fourth quarter2020 when active utilization was below 80%. Recently, we were awarded jackup contracts or extensions in the Middle East, the North Sea, Latin America, Australia, and New Zealand. Highlighting the increase in activity we are seeing across most regions in which we operate. While the benign environment jackup market has improved meaningfully this year, the harsh environment jackup market in Norway continues to show little sign of recovery in the near term. Our harsh environment jackup fleet includes three Keppel FELS N-Class rigs capable of operating in Norway. We already have one of these rigs operating in the UK, North Sea and expect to relocate a second rig outside Norway following completion of its current contract in the fourth quarter. Our third rig operating offshore Norway is expected to end its existing contract in the first quarter of next year and prospects to follow on work in Norway Limited. We expect some rigs work in the North Sea outside of Norway to go idle later this year, as we enter the seasonally weaker winter months, and rigs complete their current programs. While utilization during the first half of 2023 may be somewhat challenging, we see an improving pipeline of activity in the UK, North Sea for work commencing in the second half of the year. This coupled with an expected improvement in demand offshore Norway in 2024 leaves us hopeful for a more balanced harsh environment jackup market in future years. Moving now to our fleet strategy, we will continue to employ a disciplined fleet management strategy with a focus on driving long-term shareholder value. Our first priority isn’t to assure that the active fleet remains highly utilized while having a large fleet means that we can pursue a portfolio approach to contracting with a mix of longer and shorter duration contracts, ideally with staggered rollovers. We also aim to have a critical mass of rigs in priority basins to benefit from economies of scale. For example, once we have reactivated VALARIS DS-17 for its contract offshore Brazil, we'll have three active floaters at each point of the Golden Triangle. Our second priority is the reactivation of our high-quality stacked fleet. We have proven our ability to win work for and reactivate our preservation stacked assets, and we still have 11 high quality modern assets remaining, including three uncontracted high spec drill ships, VALARIS DS-7, DS-8, and DS-11. These rigs are well suited for many of the attractive opportunities we see in the market today though we will remain disciplined in exercising our operational leverage by only returning additional stack rigs to the active fleet for opportunities that provide meaningful returns. Based on current day rates, reactivation economics are highly attractive. The remaining supply of modern stacked drill ships is largely held by Valaris and two of our competitors, and we anticipate that stack rigs will only be reactivated for opportunities that provide strong returns. In addition to our stacked fleet, we have options to take delivery of newbuild drill ships VALARIS DS-13 and DS-14 by year end 2023. For a shipyard price of approximately 119 million and 218 million respectively compared to recent market transactions and broker NAVs for similar assets in the high 200s to mid 350s. We will continue to evaluate our options regarding these rigs as we see the market evolve over the next 12 months. Importantly, we believe it is unlikely that we will see another flow to newbuild cycle, given high build costs, long lead times and limited shipyard availability. Therefore, we anticipate that the current rig fleet will form the basis of supply for the foreseeable future. As part of our fleet strategy, we continue to actively assess our fleet for retirement and divestiture candidates. Recently, we executed a sales agreement on 40-year old jackup VALARIS-54 for $28.5 million, which is expected to close in March 2023 upon completion of its existing contract. VALARIS-54 four is approaching a special survey and would have required meaningful capital investment in the near-term. This value accretive sale will provide capital that can be deployed on opportunities with more attractive return profiles. We will continue to take a disciplined approach to fleet management and capital allocation to maximize long-term shareholder value. Another important part of the Valaris value proposition is ARO Drilling, our unconsolidated 50/50 joint venture with Saudi Aramco. ARO is an important strategic asset for Valaris, providing a unique partnership with the largest customer of jackups in the world. During the third quarter, we received a payment of $40 million from ARO, representing a partial early repayment of our shareholder notes receivable, with the remaining balance of $403 million after the repayment. The partial early repayment of our shareholder notes demonstrates ARO's confidence in its earnings profile, contract structure, and that the newbuild rigs will be financed by third-party financing and cash from ARO operations. ARO is actively exploring financing options for its newbuild rigs and expects financing to be secured prior to delivery of its first two newbuild next year. As a reminder, each of the newbuilds will be backed by an initial eight year contract with Saudi Aramco, and a day rate set to achieve a six year EBITDA payback on the total price of the rig. Following the initial contract, each newbuild will be contracted for at least eight more years in aggregate, with pricing set every three years utilizing a market pricing mechanism. We see significant investor interest in the region for drilling businesses. Recently, a local driller with both onshore and offshore rigs successfully completed its IPO, raising more than $700 million in a substantially oversubscribed offering at an attractive valuation. We remain focused on highlighting what we believe is significant value inherent in ARO and recent transactions and IPOs in the region help to support this view. Further information on ARO can be found in a separate investor presentation on the Valaris website. I will conclude by reiterating some of the key points from my prepared remarks. First, we continue to deliver strong safety and operational performance and these efforts continue to be recognized by our customers including by being rated as the number one offshore driller in the 2022 EnergyPoint Research survey. Second, despite the current macroeconomic uncertainty, the fundamental outlook for our industry remains highly constructive, as evidenced by increase in contracting and tendering activity across both loaders and jackups. And third, we continue to take a disciplined approach to fleet management and recently executed on a value accredited sale, which positions us to redeploy capital on opportunities with more attractive return profiles. In summary, Valaris is well positioned to capitalize on opportunities that arise during an industry up cycle, and the Valaris management team and board remains laser focused on maximizing earnings and driving meaningful free cash flow by following our strategy of being value driven, focused, and responsible in our decision making. With that, I'll hand the call over to Chris to take you through the financials.