Tom Burke
Analyst · Tudor, Pickering & Holt. Please go ahead with your question
Hello, good morning. So I think when we -- when I look at my comments in our prepared remarks, what is clear is that we have seen a recovery in ultra-deepwater, and if we think back to sort of 2016-2017, the total utilization for floaters has come up from about 50% to about 66%, and market utilization is gone from less than 70% to over 80% today. So we're on a good trajectory of improving our floater utilization. And as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we have a significant number of FIDs. So we are seeing floater utilization go up, and correspondingly we have seen floater pricing go up. And floater pricing is up. Where, as I mentioned, we are working against contracts which are generating cash flow, which is good news. And that wasn't the case two years ago. We are seeing on a number on a number of floater contracts which are -- there are a lot of floater contracts, and the teams are very busy here preparing responding to tenders, and frankly very busy on the floating side, but the length of the contracts they're responding to are shorter than when we would like. And so if we think about contracts that's just starting between now and the end of 2020, more than two-thirds of them are less than one year in duration. And so while utilization has gone up and we are seeing pricing momentum, the short-term nature of these contracts means that we won't see that much pricing momentum in the second-half of 2019 or in the first-half of 2020. Now hopefully, we're wrong and we see more acceleration in pricing. But given the short-term nature, what we're seeing, a lot of the competitors in the market are going to be focused on getting this rig to work and then worried about the contract straight after it, and so, keeping rigs that are working. Now, as we think [indiscernible] into the latter-half of 2020 and into 2021, we expect to see some longer-term work and we are seeing more longer term work every month, more longer-term contracts appear, but right now the majority of the contracts are less than one year in duration. And so therefore, we won't see much pricing momentum in the short-term.