Earnings Labs

Universal Technical Institute, Inc. (UTI)

Q2 2013 Earnings Call· Tue, Apr 30, 2013

$36.36

+2.17%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

-15.16%

1 Week

-7.75%

1 Month

-0.76%

vs S&P

-3.12%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to Universal Technical Institute's Second Quarter 2013 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's conference call is being recorded. A replay of the call will be available for 60 days at www.uta. -- uti, apologies, .edu, or -- through May 14, 2013, by dialing (877) 344-7529 or (412) 317-0088 and enter pass code 1002783. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. John Jenson, Vice President and Corporate Controller of Universal Technical Institute. Please go ahead.

John Jenson

Analyst

Hello, and thanks for joining us. During today's call, we'll review the results of our second quarter, discuss our strategic direction and outlook for the rest of 2013 and take your questions. Before we begin, we must remind everyone that except for historical information, today's call may contain forward-looking statements as defined by Section 21E of Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and Section 27A of the Amended Securities Act of 1933. I'll refer you to today's news release for UTI's comments on that topic. The Safe Harbor statement in the release also applies to everything discussed during this conference call, including initial comments by management as well as answers to your questions. During today's call, we'll make reference to EBITDA, which is a non-GAAP measure representing net income exclusive of interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization. The schedule provided in the earnings release reconciles EBITDA to the nearest corresponding GAAP measure, net income. And now, I'd like to turn the call over to Kim McWaters, our Chief Executive Officer.

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

Thanks, John. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us. The second quarter was another difficult one for Universal Technical Institute. In many ways, it reflects the continued challenges we and others in the sector have faced for the past couple of years. Continued weakness in the economy, changes in consumer perception and behaviors regarding education and the lingering effects of regulatory change, including increased competition for higher-quality students, have driven fewer new student starts, lower retention rates and, ultimately, multiple year declines in our continuing average student population. These trends continued through the second quarter before showing a glimmer of light in April. While average enrollment and revenue were down for the quarter, we worked diligently to contain costs while rebuilding the front end of our business with new student inquiries, applications and starts. Unfortunately, in a business with high fixed costs, our work to trim variable expenses simply wasn't enough to mitigate declining revenue. While we expect these challenges to linger throughout 2013, our near-term results are a reflection of the past implications of a long business cycle. In no way is this quarter's results a reflection of our company's fundamental stability and strength, our unique competitive advantages and our ability to successfully navigate the road ahead. Our challenge today is to ensure we align our cost structure with our current student population as best we can while rebuilding our student population. During the call, we're going to discuss many of the initiatives that are in place and the indication of our ability to drive new student growth at the end of the year. We believe in UTI, and we're confident that our people and the initiatives we're pursuing can and will see us through this year and help us emerge even stronger and more capable of delivering enrollment growth, quality educational outcomes, a sufficient technician supply for our employers and, ultimately, long-term shareholder value. With that said, we're also clear that we must be patient and that it will take time for the changes we're making to deliver results. Now I'd like to hand it over to Eugene to cover the quarter's results first. And then we'll spend a little bit of time on our initiatives and the progress we're seeing. Eugene?

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

Thank you, Kim. In round numbers, we began the quarter with 2,100 fewer students than we had at this time in 2012. Overall, our student starts were down at 15% as a result of fewer students scheduled to start and a 60-basis-point decrease in our show rate. The result was a 10.5% decrease in revenues, which came in at $95.1 million. Our average revenue per student was flat at about $6,300 per student. Tuition excluded, $5.2 million related to our Proprietary Loan Program compared to $3.7 million in the second quarter of 2012. The increase reflects our efforts to ensure this program is accessible to students. And as a reminder, we recognize revenue from that loan program when we receive payments. For the first half of 2013, revenues were approximately $194 million, down about 9% versus last year. In the face of these revenue declines, we've continued to manage our variable costs to align with the number of students we have in school. But our high cost, or high cost structure, combined with the weakening top line, resulted in a decline in our operating results. We recognized an operating loss of $1.9 million for the quarter compared to operating income of $3 million in the same period last year. Our work to reduce and better target our marketing investments delivered a $900,000 decline in advertising expense, which was -- came in at $10.7 million for the quarter. As a percent of revenue, advertising expense came in at about 11.3%, which is relatively consistent with where it was last year. Driven by a reduction in our workforce last September as well as other lower compensation costs, compensation-related expense were down $4.3 million for the quarter. And given our focus on expense control, I would expect second half expenses to be down…

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

Thanks, Eugene. I'd like to spend a few minutes updating you on our targeted efforts to build on our strengths, improve our operations, create greater competitive advantage and generate long-term value for our shareholders. We are laser focused on 5 strategic pillars: efficiency and cost control, growing our student population and market share, delivering value and affordability for our students, strengthening our industry relationships and developing and engaging on our people. First, we are managing costs at every level of the business, and we're redesigning our business processes with the goal of eliminating costs and waste, driving process efficiency and making it easier to do business with UTI. This is ongoing and top-of-mind for everyone in the organization. Our focus on cost control and efficiency is critical during the current environment and is also an important driver of improving the value and affordability equation. Eugene is going to talk more about that in just a minute. For now, let's spend a few minutes talking about our current student segments and what we're doing to help them learn about and enroll at a UTI, MMI or NASCAR Tech campus. As you know, UTI serves 3 student segments: high school, veterans, and adult career searchers and changers. Today, high school students and military veterans account for more than half of the new student applications we receive on an annual basis. These student segments are served by dedicated field admissions representatives who regularly visit thousands of high schools and military bases across the country. Student inquiries from these 2 student segments are born out of the personal relationships our admissions teams have with the teachers, counselors and administrators of high schools and officers on military bases. Our strategic initiatives in these areas have been largely focused on providing greater value to those we…

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

Thank you, Kim. In an industry that's increasingly commoditized, we need to deliver a value proposition the competition can't match and that gives students reasons beyond price and convenience to choose UTI. Our industry relationships are at the heart of our ability to deliver value. I'm pleased to announce that in the second quarter, we began offering the very popular Cummins Engine elective program at our Exton campus. This program is now available at 3 campuses with classes at the Avondale and Houston campus showing strong enrollments all the way through October of this year. We are very excited to also announced the return of the Mercedes-Benz ELITE program. This is a manufacturer-paid advanced training program offered to our top graduates. This program will only be offered at UTI and is scheduled to launch in the fourth quarter. Additionally, Porsche is expanding its manufacturer-paid advanced training program. This is also exclusive to UTI and will launch in September of this year. These programs provide enhanced value for our students as they graduate from these manufacturers' advanced training programs. They receive credentials that would take them years to earn in the real world, and they increase their starting wages and earnings potential. And we continue to make progress on the second piece of the value equation, which is making a UTI education more affordable and accessible. Just last week, we launched the Industry's Choice Scholarship program. We've initially provided $1 million to fund the program, which will help more students achieve their dreams and help our industry customers meet their growing needs for skilled technicians. With the addition of the Industry's Choice Scholarship Program, UTI now awards more than $12 million in scholarships each year to help our students get the training they need to find jobs in the fields they're…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Jeff Lee with Wells Fargo.

Jeffrey Scott Lee - Wunderlich Securities Inc., Research Division

Analyst

You talked about some of the positive application trends for April. What else makes you feel optimistic about the possibility of start growth in Q4 given that you're projecting start declines in Q3?

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

A couple of things. One is certainly the trend that we saw in April. But also, when we look forward to the number of applicants scheduled to start in the fourth quarter, we do see slightly more on the books at this point in time. In addition, I think the leading indicators such as midyear meetings, financial aid workshops that we've had throughout the country over the past couple of months have had record high attendance. Our path of completion rates are up significantly as well as our packaged -- total packaged population as well. Most of what we have focused on is improved levels of service and process simplification for the students who enrolled earlier in the year to ensure that we have the best possible outcome in Q4. And indications this far are what we'd like to see.

Jeffrey Scott Lee - Wunderlich Securities Inc., Research Division

Analyst

Okay, great. And then the other thing I want to ask is about how important is paid and non-paid search to your lead generating activities? And what have you seen in that channel recently?

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

It's important and something that's obviously part of our overall media mix. Looking back at this quarter specifically, we did see increased competition, which did drive costs in that category higher than anticipated, which we did accommodate to make certain that we were still in the game with paid search. With that said, it's one component of our overall media mix, and what we're really working toward is ensuring that we have the balance that our media mix model suggests that we should have, and we were able to maintain that during the quarter.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Corey Greendale with First Analysis.

Corey Greendale - First Analysis Securities Corporation, Research Division

Analyst

So Eugene, I appreciate the commentary about reducing costs. I was hoping you might be a little bit more specific on how much you expect costs to come down from Q2 and where -- across the cost structure where you'd see the reduction.

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

Well, I think you'll see the costs of the -- across the company, both in education, obviously, as we deal with variable cost on the education side. On the SG&A side, you'll see it come down as well. I don't want to give a specific number, but I think I used 2 words, meaningful and significant and so I'm expecting significant levels of decline from the second quarter run rate.

Corey Greendale - First Analysis Securities Corporation, Research Division

Analyst

Okay, can you say whether you expect operating margin to be still down year-over-year in Q4?

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

I would expect operating margin in Q4 to be probably flat to up from last year.

Corey Greendale - First Analysis Securities Corporation, Research Division

Analyst

Okay, appreciate that.

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

That's 6 months out, so that's a ways out there.

Corey Greendale - First Analysis Securities Corporation, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And just totaling up a couple of numbers you gave -- I think you said that applications in April in the adult channel were up 10%. Correct me if that's wrong, but do you have the total number, including the high school channel?

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

Well, we -- we're still calculating that as today is the last day of the month. But I would say that we'll be up in high single digits to low double digits.

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

Overall.

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

Overall.

Corey Greendale - First Analysis Securities Corporation, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And in terms of -- I think you ordinarily give the number of inquiries, the change year-over-year. Do you have that number?

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

Yes. We're up about 2% from an inquiry standpoint. But I would caution us to not focus so much on the volume growth given that the model changes that we had made to really focus on quality. So while we're pleased it up -- pleased that it was up, our focus is really shifting on generating a higher-quality inquiry, which in this quarter we were be able to do both, so that's a very good thing.

Corey Greendale - First Analysis Securities Corporation, Research Division

Analyst

So -- and can you just give us a little bit more without giving away any trade secrets on for you what a high-quality inquiry means in terms of channel and what that profile looks like?

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

Yes, in -- I guess in the most simple terms, we use a number of attributes to predict the likelihood of a student starting school. And so if you look at that -- the number of inquiries that were generated in that quarter, we had a higher predicted -- or projected start population from that inquiry subset, if you will. So there are number of things that we measure, but predicted start is probably the key driver.

Corey Greendale - First Analysis Securities Corporation, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And just one more quick one, Eugene, as long as you were hopeful in Q4. I'm assuming Q3 is too quick to assume a year-over-year improvement in margin, but is that an accurate assessment?

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

No. I -- to the contrary, I -- we will most likely not have improvement year-over-year in Q3.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Jeff Silber with BMO Capital markets.

Jeffrey M. Silber - BMO Capital Markets U.S.

Analyst

Actually, just to continue Corey's line of questioning. If I look over the last 2 years, revenues in both Q3 and Q4 were lower than they have been in Q2. Is that something that we should be expecting for the rest of this year?

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

I think that trend is consistent with this year, yes.

Jeffrey M. Silber - BMO Capital Markets U.S.

Analyst

Okay. So based on that...

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

Certainly Q3.

Jeffrey M. Silber - BMO Capital Markets U.S.

Analyst

Okay, good. So let's just focus on Q3. So I know there's going to be a significant cost reduction, but do you expect to generate an operating profit or an operating loss in the quarter?

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

Q3, I believe, at this point in time will be pretty close to breakeven. I would expect it to be a better quarter financially from a GAAP accounting standpoint than this quarter. Whether it is positive and how much so is pretty close at this point in time.

Jeffrey M. Silber - BMO Capital Markets U.S.

Analyst

All right, great. That's very helpful. Shifting gears. Given your remarks, you've talked about the share rate down. I think it was 60 basis points, if I heard correctly. When students are not show -- or potential students are not showing up, what are the reasons why? Are they are not enrolling in school at all? Are they going to other schools? If you can give us some color on that, that would be great.

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

Typically, I mean, it's hard to answer that question, but if we're just taking frontline input, they're typically doing nothing or going to work. But in terms of them not acting on their educational decision, the primary barrier remains price sensitivity and affordability. We have seen some that will get excited about different educational options and perhaps the affordability barriers in the way, and they will occasionally seek community colleges. But honestly, we haven't been hearing that of late. It's been more about getting a job and saving money to come to school.

Jeffrey M. Silber - BMO Capital Markets U.S.

Analyst

And if students aren't going to work, are you seeing any differences in different parts of the country where the job market may be a little bit better than it is in other areas?

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

We have different trends across the campuses, but I wouldn't say that anything stands out significantly. Go ahead, yes.

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

The possible exception would be Texas, I think, especially the Houston market. And to a slightly lesser extent, Dallas market is extraordinarily competitive from an employment standpoint for young males. So I think we probably have seen a little bit more impact there. But other than that, it's pretty consistent across the states.

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

I can add from an area of interest or program most of the pressure inside of this quarter came from motorcycle, which is a population that has to relocate and was really at the destination campuses in Arizona and Florida.

Jeffrey M. Silber - BMO Capital Markets U.S.

Analyst

And motorcycle is roughly what percentage of your enrollment?

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

20%.

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

15% to high teens.

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

Okay.

Jeffrey M. Silber - BMO Capital Markets U.S.

Analyst

High teens, great. And then just one more numbers question. I'm sorry, Eugene. Can you give us what you're budgeting for capital expenditures for the year?

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

For the remainder of the year, it'll probably be somewhere in the $5 million-or-south range. Again, that's for the remainder of the year.

Jeffrey M. Silber - BMO Capital Markets U.S.

Analyst

Yes, I got it.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Gary Bisbee with Barclays.

Zachary Fadem - Barclays Capital, Research Division

Analyst

Hi, it's Zach Fadem for Gary. In your press release, you noted some encouraging signs of improved student interest and internal efficiencies. Can you just elaborate further here, particularly in the area of internal efficiencies?

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

Yes, the internal efficiencies, certainly what we talked about from a marketing standpoint as well as from the point of inquiry to getting the students ready to show to school. So the way in which we're servicing the population and the path of completion process as well as getting them packaged and ready to attend school, significantly more efficient and significantly more effective at this point. And that is assuming that they show up at school as planned. And so it's -- again, it's early on, but those sorts of signs are positive indications. The other positive indications are the attendance at the shops that I spoke of earlier, the midyear meetings, where parents and their students come to school or a specified location to make certain that their preparations are underway and that they're completing the necessary steps to show to school as planned, and we've been handling all of those logistics much more efficiently. In terms of the other comment in the press release about positive indication, we know from research what matters most to students in terms of making their educational decision. And at the top of that list are the relationships that we have with manufacturers and also employment outcomes, all of which are moving in a positive direction. And I think an early indication of how that translates for our students, we've had a major initiative underway with our high school representatives, and we've seen year-over-year a 50% improvement in the number of students who have enrolled for manufacturer-specific electives. So that's a pretty significant increase on a year-over-year basis that I think is reflective of the in-market demand and what our students believe these opportunities are with this type of training.

Zachary Fadem - Barclays Capital, Research Division

Analyst

That's really helpful. What's your outlook for the second half of the year for ad expense?

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

I think yes, for the full year, we would expect it to be about 10% of revenue. Next quarter, I think you can expect the spend to be relatively the same as this quarter, and it actually decreases slightly in the fourth quarter so...

Zachary Fadem - Barclays Capital, Research Division

Analyst

Okay, and just a last question. Can you just give me an update on what you guys are expecting for revenue per student in the second half of the year?

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

A slight uptick from where it is right now. So in the 1% to 2% range on a year-over-year basis.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Jason Anderson with Stifel. Jason P. Anderson - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc., Research Division: Just to go along with the RPS there. You had previously mentioned that we'd see in the second half similar -- that RPS will be up similar to the prior quarter and down -- and it was flat here. And it looks like you mentioned the 1%, 2%. Could you maybe elaborate on what's going on there?

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

Yes, I think you've got a couple of things that somewhat offset each other but, net to that slight improvement. The tuition rates have been increasing. And as we get more student starts, the mix of those at higher rates drives that up. As the level of internally financed student loans kind of stabilizes, that has a little bit of a drag, but it's not a declining drag. And as we continue to promote scholarships, that obviously has a little bit of a drag on net tuition revenue per student. The net of all of that -- and one other thing. As Kim mentioned, the increased electives and lengthening of some students' programs adds to that as well. So the net effect of those 4 things is the 1% to 2% year-over-year increase. Jason P. Anderson - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc., Research Division: Okay, great. And then going back to the advertising, I realized you're in a mode to cut costs and get efficiencies here, but is -- could you walk us through the thought process of -- in the advertising expense line here on I guess how you guys think about that in relation to trying to drive demand and spark demand? I understand trying to more efficient about it, but do you think the combination of greater advertising with your improving process would generate even more or put you in a better situation?

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

Well, that's a great question and one that we are constantly evaluating. And the reality is if we saw a combination of investments that was really off the charts or exceptional, we would be making a decision to invest. I think over the last -- certainly the last couple of quarters and months, we have been refining this media mix and slowly investing into the areas that we're seeing a good return and creating the right balance because things in the marketplace have been so chaotic and confusing. And now, I think we're at a point where we will continue to turn up the volume in the channels that make the most sense. And so, this was the challenge for the organization, was to be more efficient. And we're not saying don't spend on marketing, we're just cutting out the garbage and continuing to reduce the waste and really target our spend on the most effective channels. So if we see something that works, next quarter I could be coming back telling you that we're spending more because of that. But right now, we are really -- I think we're dialed in on where we think we need to be.

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

But I want to also clarify that my comments about lower costs in Q3 and Q4 are not dependent upon taking marketing costs down. So I don't want to leave anybody with the impression of that's how we're getting there. We're getting there with our normal plan level of marketing expense, and the cost reductions come elsewhere in the organization and the processes. Jason P. Anderson - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc., Research Division: And if I can add on here. You mentioned the fall, your application pipeline was up a little bit, scheduled for fall anyway. Is there -- can you give us a bit more on that? Is there -- could you compare that to prior year? Is it up or ahead?

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

Yes. Jason P. Anderson - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc., Research Division: Go ahead.

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

That's what I was speaking to, is that the number of students scheduled to start at this time compared to last year at this time is up a couple of percentage points. And the confidence comes from knowing the improved service levels that are in place and following the students through the process of completing their financial aid paperwork and getting prepared for school. So unless the trends reverse, we would expect that we would continue to see that population grow. And with the initiatives under way, our expectation is that we have improved performance.

Eugene S. Putnam

Analyst

We're ahead of where we were last time -- last year at this point. We have, granted, only a month but more momentum than we had last year at this point. And to Kim's comments about the service levels, we had an extremely poor show rate last year's fourth quarter due in no small part to some of our internal challenges, which have been fixed. So I think if you combine better than where we were last year at this point, increased momentum and expectations of improved show rate, that's what gives us a fair deal of confidence that we might see some meaningful start improvement in Q4. Jason P. Anderson - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc., Research Division: And you took my last one there on the show rate thoughts on the 4Q there.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] I'm showing no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the call back over to management for any closing remarks.

Kimberly J. McWaters

Analyst

Thank you very much for your questions today. We appreciate your time and interest in Universal Technical Institute, and we look forward to updating you on our next earnings call, which is scheduled for Friday, July 26. Have a great evening. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. Please disconnect your lines.