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Universal Technical Institute, Inc. (UTI)

Q4 2012 Earnings Call· Tue, Nov 27, 2012

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Universal Technical Institute Inc. Fourth Quarter 2012 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's conference call is being recorded. A replay of this call will be available for 60 days at www.uti.edu, or alternatively, the call will be available through December 7, 2012, by dialing (877) 344-7529 or (412) 317-0088 and entering passcode 10020666. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. John Jenson, Vice President and Corporate Controller of Universal Technical Institute. Please go ahead.

John Jenson

Analyst

Hello, and thank you for joining us today for Universal Technical Institute's quarterly conference call. During the call, we will discuss the results of the fourth quarter and all of fiscal 2012. We will then open the call up for your questions. The company's earnings release was issued after market closed today and is available on UTI's website at www.uti.edu. Before we begin, we would like to remind everyone that except for historical information presented, the matters discussed today may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 as amended. I'll refer you to today's news release for UTI's comments on that topic. The Safe Harbor statement in this release, which I will not repeat here in the interest of time, also applies to all statements made during this conference call. Information in this conference call, including the initial statements by management, as well as answers to questions related in any way to any projection or forward-looking statement are subject to this Safe Harbor statement. In the prepared remarks you'll hear today, we will make reference to EBITDA. EBITDA, for all periods discussed during our remarks, is a non-GAAP measure representing net income, exclusive of interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization. The schedule provided in the earnings release reconciles EBITDA to the nearest corresponding GAAP measure net income. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Kim McWaters, Chief Executive Officer. Kim?

Kimberly McWaters

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Thank you, John. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for joining us. With me is Eugene Putnam, UTI President and Chief Financial Officer, and today, we'll review our fourth quarter and fiscal 2012 results and discuss key operating trends and business priorities. For UTI, and our industry as a whole, the story in 2012 was a dramatic drop in the number of students attending school. As economic doldrums persisted and regulatory changes took hold, our students found themselves with less money to pay for school and fewer options to finance their education. New regulations added complexity to our business. Competition ramped up, operating costs increased and our financial results declined. We went into the year with fewer students. And as the economy continued its slow recovery, consumer seemed even less willing to take on debt or make an investment in education. New student application and starts were down throughout the year, and we saw an 8.5% decline in net revenues, which came in at $413.6 million. That dynamic meant more competition for the same students and more investments to get people interested in a UTI education. Along the way, fixed cost related to regulatory compliance continue to rise as well. We were able to relieve some of the pressure through efficiencies and careful cost management, but in all, lower student populations levels, coupled with our high fixed cost structure, drove revenue and income declines for the year. While the difficulty of 2012 certainly affected our financial performance, it did nothing to dampen our resolve or diminish our ability to respond. Our business remained healthy. And even in the face of challenges, we strengthened our leadership position. We continue to deliver strong student outcomes and offer high-quality education option tailored to our students and industry customers in order to meet their challenging needs. In summary, 2012 was a year of balance. While we worked to address the near-term challenges, we also stayed focused on the future and how we will grow the business in both size and profitability. With that, I'll turn it over to Eugene, who will discuss the financial results in greater detail, and then we can cover some of the specific business drivers and operating trends in the quarter. Eugene?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Thanks, Kim. As anticipated, our financial outcomes were down from last year as a result of a lower student population. This decrease was mitigated to some extent by the focus placed on efficiencies and managing costs during the quarter, as well as a reduction in workforce of approximately 195 people undertaken last year. Additionally, on October 1 of this year, we announced another reduction in workforce, which impacted approximately 50 more employee nationwide and further aligns our workforce with anticipated student populations for the coming year. Revenues for the fourth quarter were $101.3 million, a 9% decrease compared to last year's fourth quarter. This decline in revenue is primarily related to a decrease in average student enrollments of 9.8%, partially offset by an increase in net tuition rates. During the fourth quarter of fiscal 2012 and 2011, tuition excluded $4 million and $1.9 million, respectively, related to students participating in the company’s Proprietary Loan Program, which, as you know, will be recognized as revenues when payments are actually received. Average revenue per student for the quarter increased 1.2% to approximately $6,500. Operating income for the fourth quarter was $2.3 million compared to $9.6 million last year. Operating margin for the quarter was 2.2% compared to 8.6% in the same quarter last year. While we continue to manage our variable cost to align with our student populations, our high fixed cost structure and investments in advertising continue to contribute to a decline in operating margin. Compensation and related expenses declined slightly by approximately $1.2 million this quarter when compared to the same period in the prior year. The decrease was primarily attributable to decreases in both bonus expense and stock-based compensation. This is partially offset by severance costs of approximately $1.9 million related to the reduction in the workforce in October,…

Kimberly McWaters

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Thanks, Eugene. First, let's talk about marketing. During the past fiscal year, we've been sharing with you the focus in investment we've made to strengthen our overall brand awareness and improve student inquiry generation. During the year, we relaunched our Universal Technical Institute brand with our new tagline, 'Chosen by industry. Ready to work,' which captures our unique differentiation and value proposition for students. In addition, we tested a few advertising campaigns with different messaging for our target audience and are now optimizing across multiple channels. Our goal is to efficiently generate a growing number of quality inquiries from students who are interested in a UTI education and demonstrates the willingness and ability to not only inquire but to enroll, graduate and become gainfully employed. We've made slow but steady progress in our media optimization efforts. It is an increasingly complex yet less efficient environment with escalating cost and competition for a higher quality student. Our advertising expense as a percent of revenues for the full year was 10.2% and 9.8% for the quarter. Ad spend during the quarter was down roughly $175,000 quarter-over-quarter and up $150,000 year-over-year. This quarter marked the lowest level of spend in advertising during the fiscal year and the largest increase in student inquiries. During the fourth quarter, student inquiries increased by 17.2% year-over-year, marking the third consecutive quarter of positive growth in this important area of our business. But even more important than inquiry generation is how we successfully help students interested in UTI become enrolled and start school. This is an area of continued focus for us. We know there are both internal and external challenges we must overcome to grow student enrollment. Affordability, specifically the willingness and ability to finance an education and support themselves while attending school, remains a key challenge…

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Thanks, again, Kim. While we are beginning to see improvement in both the quality and quantity of inquiries, our show rates continue to be pressured by a variety of factors. As we've been discussing for several quarters now, we believe affordability to be a large challenge for our prospective and continuing students. The cost of education and, more specifically, affordable options for financing their education is a main topic of concern for students and their families. Additionally, the process of applying for and receiving financial aid is a significant burden for many of our potential students. We believe that increased denials of Parent PLUS Loans, comparative confusion of program costs from the net price calculator, as well as some internal servicing issues for future students, are combining with affordability challenges to negatively impact our show rates. We are pleased to see the Department of Ed's plans to reverse the denial of many Parent PLUS Loans, and we have implemented some changes to certain of our processes and are evaluating additional changes to simplify and improve our student experience and processing. Additionally, we continue to offer both merit and need-based scholarships, and we increased the amount of need-based scholarships awarded this year. For the quarter, the dollar amount of need-based scholarships increased 44% and the number of scholarships awarded increased 97%. For the year, need-based scholarships increased 23% and the number of scholarships awarded increased 63%. During 2012, we made our Proprietary Loan Program even more accessible to prospective students by increasing awareness of the program and removing certain qualification barriers for dependent students. As a result, for the year ended September 30, we extended approximately $21 million in loans under this program. That's up from $8.2 million last year. We plan to continue these programs but ensure that all traditional…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Peter Appert of Piper Jaffray.

Peter Appert

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Kim, I think you mentioned, maybe a couple of times, increased competition as a factor that you're seeing in terms of impact on enrollments. Can you just give more color on what you're seeing in the marketplace and how big a factor you think that is in terms of the overall start and enrollment performance?

Kimberly McWaters

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Yes. Peter, the increased competition that I'm referring to is largely from an advertising standpoint in the digital environment with a competition for keywords and a focus on the quality or higher quality student trying to offset this ATB population. So that's where we've seen the most increased competition is from an advertising standpoint. I wouldn't necessarily say it's coming from direct competitors any more so than we've seen in the past. It's the indirect competitors who are competing for similar words as we all try to navigate this changing advertising climate.

Peter Appert

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Got it. Understand. That's helpful. And then in terms of the -- just sort of how, conceptually, you're thinking about pricing and pricing strategies in 2013 over the next couple of years. How do you balance the need to protect profitability against the affordability issues you've highlighted?

Kimberly McWaters

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Well, it's a very good question and one that's taking a considerable amount of our focus. And we're -- we are raising our tuitions below the educational average, I would say, across all universities and colleges of roughly 3%. We do believe that is necessary, given the low student populations, but we have a team that is looking at strategic pricing alternatives with scholarship considerations, institutional grants, employer-sponsor training as we start to see that demand pick up on the back end, as well as some of the things that we're doing with our first entry loan program. With that said, this is all about getting far more efficient with everything we do. And the greatest amount of focus is on the front end to eliminate waste from targeting and advertising to students who are not likely to enroll and show to school. So we're trying to get smart about it on the front end to take out cost to lessen our dependence on tuition increases, but it's a balancing act.

Peter Appert

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Right. Okay, great. And last thing, Eugene, do you have an estimate for capital spending for fiscal '13?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

Including the $4 million that I talked about in terms of the new curriculum rollout, my guess at this point in time is it'll be somewhere in the $18 million to $20 million range.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from David Chu at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

David Chu

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Revenue per student increase in 4Q seems to have been a little bit lower than past quarters. Is this really a reflection of increased scholarships?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

I think it's a combination of an increase in scholarships, as well as increased usage of the loan program.

David Chu

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Okay. So how should we think about revenue per student for 2013?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Well, I think in terms of the growth rates on a quarter-over-quarter basis, I would assume that it would look pretty close to the increase that you saw this current quarter.

David Chu

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

So how about if you're thinking about it year-over-year?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

I would suggest that you're probably looking at something in the 3% range.

David Chu

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

3%, okay. And also, I think, Eugene, you mentioned that the Department of Ed reversed its decision to deny PLUS Loans. Is that what you mentioned?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Well, I'm not sure I said reversed. But I think they have -- are relooking at some of the denials. I think Secretary Duncan put out a press release earlier this week that talked about the need for the department to relook at it. I think they may have had some unintended consequences. That's my interpretation. But clearly, they saw denial rates significantly higher than, at least, what it appears that they were looking for.

David Chu

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Okay. And last question, was there -- is there any way to kind of quantify the impact of starts in this quarter for the PLUS Loan impact?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Not at this time.

Kimberly McWaters

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

I can tell you that in terms of our PLUS Loan denial rates, it was up significantly. So if you're thinking of a population of 50% denial rate, it was up over 60%, which is greater than what you'd see across-the-board for other institutions. So it did have an impact, especially when you consider the large volume of students who are plus -- or are dependents inside of the fourth quarter and do depend on that parental support.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Jeff Silber at BMO Capital Markets.

Jeffrey Silber

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets

In your comments, when you talked about the show rate decline, you mentioned a couple of things I just want to get a little bit more color on. You mentioned confusion regarding the net price calculator and some internal servicing issues. Again, if you can explain those, I'd appreciate that.

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets

Well, internal servicing issues is a kind way of saying we're not operating as efficiently in terms of processing as we would like to be. So we've made some changes there, both in terms of process and in terms of individual oversight. I -- and I think that we'll step in the right direction in terms of, as Kim talked about, getting more efficient there and getting some of the waste out of the process so it doesn't bog us down, that the -- the commentary about the net price calculator is, there -- I think there is confusion as students and potential students get more and more information out there that is available to them in terms of how everybody is listing it, what requires room and board, what doesn't. And I think we have opportunities to improve that communication with our potential students so that they have an even better understanding and comparison of the cost of attending UTI versus some other alternatives.

Jeffrey Silber

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets

Okay, great. That's helpful. And then just shifting gears a bit, you mentioned the relocation of the Glendale Heights facility to Lisle. When that facility is up and running, can you maybe describe what the differences are, how you expect that the profitability did to vary between those 2 types of facilities?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets

I think it's a little too early to do that. I would expect that the ramp is roughly going to be the same. So at first blush, I would say that there won't be significantly different margin. But I think it is -- it will be a much more efficient building in terms of how we manage the workforce, how it shows. I would certainly hope that it leads to better show rates and higher student populations than the current facility. So if you factor that in, we'll obviously expect it to be a pickup, but it's too early to factor that in.

Jeffrey Silber

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets

Sorry, but can you remind me again when is that relocation going to be occurring?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets

I think we'll start teaching there -- obviously dependent upon weather and construction delays, but the plan is late October, early November of 2013.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Kelly Flynn at Credit Suisse. Okay. We'll move on to the next question, which is Jason Anderson at Stifel.

Jason Anderson

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Okay. We'll move on to the next question, which is Jason Anderson at Stifel

I wanted to touch back on the scholarships. One, I guess I was hoping you could provide your scholarship dollar amount in FY '12. And on your website, I see you alluded to about $11 million number, but it looks like it encompasses some other sources, too. But could you maybe distinguish between what is UTI sponsored and what might be externally sponsored?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Okay. We'll move on to the next question, which is Jason Anderson at Stifel

Round numbers, and that's all I have in front of me, I think the scholarships that I was talking about equate to about $4 million for the year.

Jason Anderson

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Okay. We'll move on to the next question, which is Jason Anderson at Stifel

Okay, great. And more -- I guess a little more strategically on scholarship. I mean, how do you guys think about -- obviously, you've been increasing scholarships quite a bit by the numbers you threw out there. But I mean, is there a way -- would it make sense to get more aggressive on scholarship-ing possibly reducing internal lending or anything to get the affordability for the student, I guess, down a bit? I mean, you mentioned -- you've highlighted that for several quarters, that's the main stumbling block for apprehensive prospective students.

Kimberly McWaters

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Okay. We'll move on to the next question, which is Jason Anderson at Stifel

Yes, and you're right on. It is a main stumbling block, and we have been focused on trying to utilize scholarships in a more strategic way and pricing, for that matter. And what we have -- I think we'll be prepared to talk a little bit more about it in our February call. But what we've been trying to do is analyze certain student segments who will utilize these scholarships and actually benefit from them. You -- I think in the previous question, we talked about the scholarships that are on the website. Those are the number of scholarships that are awarded, yet you see the difference that Eugene mentioned in terms of the impact that we're feeling. We believe by targeting those students who have greater propensity to use them and being more strategic about how they're awarded will address some of the concerns that we just talked about and that you just asked of. So I guess what I'd like to do is say give us until February when we've got the project wrapped up. There's a full-blown project that is nearing completion at the end of this year, and we'll give some insight there without giving away the secret sauce.

Jason Anderson

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Okay. We'll move on to the next question, which is Jason Anderson at Stifel

Great. If I could add one more quick one. I know we've asked you a few times about capacity. It comes up often. But do you see any opportunities in '13 to reduce capacity, or effectively, even by subleasing? Again, I know it comes up a lot, but any comments you have there?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Okay. We'll move on to the next question, which is Jason Anderson at Stifel

Not much in terms of opportunity there. Never say never, but it's highly unlikely.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Gary Bisbee of Barclays.

Gary Bisbee

Analyst · Barclays

Let me follow up on that one. Why wouldn't you consider on the transition to the new campus you're building having it be somewhat smaller square footage, I guess both if you're using the hybrid curriculum, and presumably you could do that, but also just given the current depressed demand environment? Wouldn't it be smart to think about having somewhat smaller facility?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Barclays

It will be somewhat smaller, and you're absolutely right. The question I -- maybe I misunderstood the previous question. I thought he was going about existing facility, could we sublease some of that out. But clearly, as we look to when campuses are leases are up, we obviously evaluate that market and any potential new markets around it for appropriate resizing, and we have done that at -- in Chicago.

Gary Bisbee

Analyst · Barclays

Are there any others that are coming due in the next year or 2 that you might see the same thing?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Barclays

The next one that will be coming up will be in -- I believe it's early 2016, but it's 2016 at Houston.

Gary Bisbee

Analyst · Barclays

Okay. But that was the smaller startup in recent years anyway.

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Barclays

No, no. That was Dallas. Houston is a large multi-facility campus.

Gary Bisbee

Analyst · Barclays

Okay. And then just sort of strategically, I know you've shied away from expanding beyond auto historically. But are there any other things that you could use, your knowledge base in your facilities to teach like maybe more short-term programs or training, like recertification or training of existing workforces of auto dealers or anything like that? Anything else you're thinking about to drive new profits or non-Title IV revenue or better utilize existing facilities or anything on the table?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Barclays

Yes. Without scaring people on the phone, absolutely, we are looking at those things with a much greater purpose than we have in the past. I think the company has transitioned from 5 years ago, basically saying, let's stick to our netting and focus on filling the existing seats with what looks like our current student. A couple of years ago, that kind of morphed into we will be opportunistic in terms of looking at other alternatives. I think we're in a position now, as you mentioned, Gary, for a variety of reasons, looking to not only expand, but in some cases, diversify our revenue stream. And obviously, that takes a little bit of time, a little bit of luck in some situations. But the difference, I could tell you, is that we have dedicated individuals now that have responsibility for that process.

Gary Bisbee

Analyst · Barclays

Okay. And is -- are there -- have you gotten to the point where you've looked at any, just as one example, overseas markets? And are there markets where you could use your existing knowledge around trading mechanics? And where there's funding situations that would allow that to be attractive, or is that probably still a ways off?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Barclays

It's actively under investigation, but it's not something that is going to help us impact revenue in the next quarter or so. But I think it's clearly something that, if all goes well, I would hope that we would talk more about in the coming couple of quarters.

Gary Bisbee

Analyst · Barclays

Okay. And then just one last one. You mentioned -- Eugene, you mentioned something about a -- something you'd previously written off many years ago that actually came back. I missed that. Could you just repeat that?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · Barclays

Yes. I -- it -- the only reason I mentioned it, there was a -- the bad debt expense for this quarter included a reversal of $600,000 from a note that was -- I think it was written off in 2004, stemming from a past acquisition that we actually collected on. So the only point of raising it is that if you -- I don't want anybody to look at this quarter's bad debt expense as a percentage of revenue and extrapolate that out. It is abnormally low by about $600,000.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Corey Greendale at First Analysis.

David Warner

Analyst · First Analysis

This is David Warner for Corey. I was wondering if you could just speak to your 2013 advertising plans in more detail. Are you expecting that to be up on an absolute basis, dollar basis?

Kimberly McWaters

Analyst · First Analysis

I would expect it to be down on an absolute basis and probably around 9% to 10% of revenue for the year, basically building on the efficiencies that we are trying to achieve with our media optimization and predictive model. So it's built in, and we did see that inside of this quarter slightly, but I would expect you to see even more of that as we move into the first half of next year.

David Warner

Analyst · First Analysis

Okay, and one more. I think you mentioned you've committed $60 million to the internal lending program. You sound like you're willing to commit more. Is there some amounts that you're thinking that would limit you there, that you don't see yourself going above as far as offering that lending capacity?

Eugene Putnam

Analyst · First Analysis

Nothing in the near future, nothing in 2013.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from Trace Urdan of Wells Fargo.

Trace Urdan

Analyst · Wells Fargo

I wanted to go back to the questions about scholarships and pricing. And I'm wondering if you have evidence to suggest that a few thousand dollars at the margin can make the difference between a student showing and a student not showing? Has that been your experience?

Kimberly McWaters

Analyst · Wells Fargo

We have a lot of data and research that has showed exactly what you said, except for when you roll it back the past year. Everything that looked like a trend previously is skewed in different ways, which is why it's taking us a little bit longer to kind of sort through this in terms of how we might award the students who really will use the scholarships to show to school. So this year did not look like previous years, and we're trying to learn from the test that we had inside of the year.

Trace Urdan

Analyst · Wells Fargo

I'm sorry, Kim, I'm just not getting it. Do you mean that, in the past, it has made a difference, and this year, it didn't seem to? Is that what you're saying?

Kimberly McWaters

Analyst · Wells Fargo

Yes. I would say that the formula that we had used in the past for different income levels, different proximities, different age, whether it was need or merit based, we did not see the same experience inside of this year. And so, typically, you could see various behaviors around the scholarship application, acceptance of scholarships and be able to project whether or not that student would show to school and stay in school and graduate, so even down to a specific dollar amount. And we're not seeing that same trend inside of this year. So things have changed, and that's what we're trying to sort through to figure out what scholarship we can do and for what segments of students we should help.

Trace Urdan

Analyst · Wells Fargo

Okay. And then related to that, do you have any anecdotal evidence to suggest that students are trading down to community college programs that you've -- you compete with?

Kimberly McWaters

Analyst · Wells Fargo

Well, I mean, I don't have any data that suggests that, especially when you look across the universe. I can tell you that they are certainly increasing their marketing messaging around cost, which is one of the reasons that Eugene mentioned the net price calculator and our belief that we can strengthen our value proposition in terms of how we communicate to students. But I wouldn't say that that's anything -- any significant difference right now.

Trace Urdan

Analyst · Wells Fargo

Okay. The gist of my question is I'm trying to figure out if the issue is just the overall sticker shock and the unwillingness to borrow to go to school or whether there is really, at the margin, some better price or higher discount that can make a difference for students? And it sounds like you're trying to figure that out, too.

Kimberly McWaters

Analyst · Wells Fargo

I think it's a combination of both, in all honesty. There are some that are going to come to UTI regardless, and then there are others that they want automotive but they can't make it happen. They can't travel across country so they'll settle for the local community college. There's -- but there's always been that, and we're trying to sort through how much of that is driving the results that we see today, specifically with the young adults, because military is up, our high school population is flat to up and we've seen the greatest challenge with our adult population.

Operator

Operator

At this time, I show no further questions. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Kim McWaters for closing remarks.

Kimberly McWaters

Analyst · Piper Jaffray

I'd like to thank everybody for your questions. We appreciate your time and interest in Universal Technical Institute, and we look forward to updating you on our next earnings call, which is scheduled for Thursday, January 31. I hope you have a great evening and a happy holiday season.

Operator

Operator

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.