G. Douglas Hekking
Analyst · Canaccord Genuity
Thanks, Dave, and good morning, everyone. Given that we just issued our fourth quarter and full year earnings release yesterday, I'll be brief in reviewing our financial highlights and then jump directly into our financial guidance for the upcoming year. On the income statement, gross margins for the quarter improved as a percentage of net sales to 83.1%, compared with 82.1% for the prior-year period. This 100 basis point improvement was due primarily to a change in mix of sales between our international markets to those markets that have higher gross margins. We also experienced production and procurement efficiencies generated by our operations group, both during the fourth quarter and the full year 2011. Our associate incentives line expense for the quarter increased 130 basis points to 46% of sales, compared to the fourth quarter the prior year where we're down at 44.7%. This increase was largely due to an increase on the matching bonus and market-specific promotions during the quarter. SG&A quarter decreased on a relative basis, 100 basis points to 23.3%. This decrease was due primarily to leverage gain on increasing sales outside the U.S, where SG&A costs are much lower. Additionally, we also experienced lower equity compensation employee bonus expenses during the current year quarter. Our effective tax rate for the quarter was 34.5%, compared to 32.9% for the fourth quarter of 2010. The increase in our effective tax rate is due to federal and state tax credit from deductions received during the fourth quarter of 2010 that were not realized in the current year quarter. Net earnings for the fourth quarter increased 6.2% to $13.2 million as a result of higher net sales, improved gross margins and lower relative SG&A. This increase was partially offset by higher associate incentive expense and a higher effective tax rate. Earnings per share increased 16% to $0.87 per diluted share due to higher net earnings and a lower number of shares outstanding from share repurchases over the last 12 months. During the quarter, we repurchased 25,000 shares for an investment of $758,000 at an average price of $30.57 per share. Share repurchase over the last 12 months benefited fourth quarter earnings per share by $0.07. To quickly recap the full year 2011, net sales increased 12.4% to $581.9 million, while net earnings increased 11.2% to $50.8 million and earnings per share -- per diluted share increased 14% to $3.26. We repurchased 1.1 million shares during the year and ended 2011 with approximately $50.4 million in cash and we remain debt-free. The increase in cash, cash equivalents was driven by cash flows from operations of approximately $70 million during the quarter -- during the year, excuse me. I'd now like to provide some commentary on our initial guidance for 2012. We expect net sales for the year to be in the range of $600 million to $615 million. Our top line forecast anticipates local currency sales growth in most of our markets, with continued growth in the emerging markets Dave mentioned. Sales from our new operating market beginning for the most part in the second quarter, we anticipate that these new markets would generate somewhere between $10 million and $13 million for the year. Our forecast also anticipate some currency headwinds in 2012, where we expect some strengthening of the U.S. dollar. Our earnings per share forecast of $3.35 to $3.45 reflects the following assumptions. We have some increased pressure in gross margins driven by raw material costs that we're seeing go up a little bit and anticipated strengthening of the U.S. dollar. These 2 items combined are expected to impact EPS by around $0.10 for the upcoming year. We continue to pursue several sourcing strategies and hope to offset some of the pressure incorporated into our guidance. A decrease in associate incentive expense to approximately 45% of net sales for the year resulting from pricing and payout initiatives we intend to execute during the year, as well as the shift of sales towards markets that historically had a lower level of incentives. SG&A expense is slightly above the 24% of sales for the year. This increase can be attributed to an initial investment in our North American growth strategy, increased expenses for brand awareness and collaborations with nationally recognized organizations, increased expenses associated with our annual convention in both our North American and Asia Pacific regions and startup costs associated with our new markets. Also please note, the stronger expected U.S. dollar is also going to provide some pressure on our SG&A line. Our earnings per share estimate reflects the diluted share count of about $15.2 million at the end of 2012 and as such, does not reflect meaningful buybacks during the year. We expect our trend of generating strong cash from operations to continue in 2012. And as always, we are exploring various alternatives to invest our cash to grow the business. Although it's not our typical practice to provide quarterly guidance, we're expecting several expense items that will pressure net earnings in the first quarter, including pre-market startup costs associated with our new markets, increased costs associated with our Asia Pacific convention, higher raw material costs and investments in our North American growth strategy. Also please remember, on the top line, that we deferred approximately $3 million in revenue in Hong Kong during the fourth quarter of 2010, which is recognized in the first quarter of 2011. This was associated with the free starter kit promotion offered in the fourth quarter. All these factors will impact our first quarter 2012 operating results and will most likely produce a difficult sequential and year-over-year quarter comparable. Following the first quarter of 2012, we expect our operating performance to improve meaningfully during the remainder of the year. In closing, I'd like to express my confidence that 2012 will be another successful year for USANA. We are pleased with the strength of our underlying business and the way we responded to the challenges during 2011. Going forward, we will continue to focus on driving operational efficiency and will leverage the strength of our business model to increase sales, profitability and continue to generate strong cash flow. With that, I'll ask the operator to facilitate the question-and-answer session.