Pietro Satriano
Analyst · Wells Fargo.
It's Pietro. So in terms of the pattern, I mean, you could see the -- from -- after which pages -- it's been a slow and steady increase throughout the fall, the increase has slowed a little bit from where it was this summer, not surprisingly. But it's a slow and steady increase kind of versus where we were the week before, the week before that. In terms of the possible headwinds we might head into that you mentioned, I mean, the thing I would also ask you think about is the offsetting positive tailwinds. So let's walk through, I think, the things you mentioned. So the number of increasing COVID cases, one of the things we did do is, there was -- what was characterized as a second wave in the Sun Belt this summer, and what we did is we looked at the sales in those states, primarily Georgia, Florida, Arizona, Texas, and what we found was there was a bit of a step back for a little bit of time. But then what we found is sales bounced back, and they recovered at a higher level than they were before that second wave. So the long-term trend or mid-term trend continues to go up and just kind of overcome the COVID cases. So yes, so people might -- consumers might go on the sidelines for some period of time, but then they come back and they come back in even greater numbers than they were pre that spike. So I think that's encouraging. I think in terms of colder climate, I talked about that a little bit in my comments. In some parts of the country, obviously, there's not as much outdoor dining that can happen. But I think the wildcard is the continued growing importance of off-premise dining, whether it's takeout or delivery. And there's a number of things restaurants are doing to both make diners feel more comfortable about indoor dining and as well trying to prolong the outdoor season. In terms of restrictions, you're right, there's a couple of places in the last week that have put restrictions in place. There's still also places in the country that have restrictions in place that haven't come off like California. So I think those might have offset across the portfolio of geographies. So what I would say is short-term, there may be as many positive tailwinds as some of the headwinds that you described. And I think medium to long-term, the trajectory continues to remain positive.