Darren Blasutti
Analyst · your question
Thank you very much, Daisy and sorry for the late start. We had a number of people dialing in just at 8:30 and little bit after. So we decided to wait. So, [indiscernible] call. This is our Q2 earnings conference call. I will move the slide to our forward-looking statements. Obviously we try and predict the future as best we can, but obviously very difficult, especially given the very dynamic pricing market we have today, but we are going to try and do our best to tell you what is going to continue to happen over the rest of the year. We just caution you that we do our best, but we can't get it all right all the time. Our call participants today, myself; Daren Dell, our Chief Operating Officer is calling in from Mexico; Warren Varga, our Chief Financial Officer is also with us on the phone, and Shawn Wilson, our Vice President, Technical Services is here with us for questions as we go through. We brought you the slide before, but just to recap very quickly who are we, who is Americas Silver. Well, we are dual listed TSX and YSE silver company. We are a producer. We feel that we are going be the lowest cost silver producer in the world given our new mine that has started up. We have two operating silver assets; one development asset called San Rafael, and we also have the Zone 120 project that is rapidly becoming a development project. So we will talk a little bit about that. The San Rafael mine has ramped up from its start in October last year. We went very quickly from an end of October start to December kind of 21st commercial production date. We saw the mine ramp up in the first quarter to about 1300 tons into the second quarter processing about 1500 tons. The mine is now capable of outperforming the mill so far and so far in the third quarter we have seen days of greater than 1700 tons a day. So we are working hard to ramp up the mine. It is going very well. It is generating a lot of free cash flow for the company. We have these long-term mine plans that we have talked about before, optionality really to silver and to base metal prices. We have been focused more on our base metal production given higher prices, but we have a lot of silver leverage that we will show you later in the presentation. We have got a tier one institutional shareholder list that have backed the company for a long period of time, and we have got six analysts that cover us; three in Canada, and three in the United States that do a great job working with us to tell the story. Capital structure, we have just under 43 million shares right now. Obviously share price has been under pressure given silver going to the low $15 and the lead and zinc price dropping. It has been the same across the industry for everyone. We have felt the same debt and downturn, but we are working very hard to make sure we make money, and keep our balance sheet strong as we weather low prices. Our 2018 objectives were to achieve production and cost guidance. In the press release we put out the guidance yesterday. It just said that we are pointing towards the lower end of silver and silver equivalent production as a result of Galena being down for 27 days. And it is not just the 27 days, it is the days when you got to get back up, inspect the shafts. So the shafts were down for 27 days, but it was more like over a month by the time we got up and producing. It is hard to make up a month in the next five months of the year, but we are going to do our very best. But we are not changing our cost guidance. We still feel that that is in good stead given the budget and prices we used. We want to fully ramp up San Rafael in H2 2018. That is going forward. The name plate capacity of the mill was 1600 tons. We are pushing it beyond 1700 tons and we hope to go higher and we expect to explore a lot of that in the third quarter. We want to generate free cash flow from our San Rafael mine to grow our silver production and we want to do that without having to go to the markets for equity, especially in not a great market that we are seeing today. I think our shares are undervalued and we like to use our cash flow to do that. The Zone 120 exploration was completed in April of this year. It is in with our resource estimators at MDA in Reno. We expect to get something from them in late August that allows us to get it out kind of in mid-September to talk about not only Zone 120 but our resources generally across the company. Despite lower prices, our costs continue to come down. We expect our reserves and resources to be replaced and likely grown. So we are excited about that as we go forward. We have got to evaluate the Zone 120 development options. We are going to get a model. We will talk a little bit about this later in the presentation where we are trying to get as much information out to the market as we can as early as we can, so that you can understand why we are excited about this project. And finally we have got a $6 million payment at the end of the year for San Felipe. We continue to make payments on this. We think it is a great project where it has got great infrastructure. So we are moving it forward. But we have got to make the final decision on whether we are going to make that $6 million payment ourselves, or whether we are going to keep the project or joint venture or do some things whether it is overlooking it, making that decision this year as well. So we are on tap to accomplish all of our objectives this year. Obviously the main driver of our stock this year is that we are dropping our costs so rapidly, you have got silver equivalent production going up over 50%. You have got costs coming down; very big numbers on cost reduction and [zinc] reduction. So we are excited about that and we are seeing that with average costs around 540 already this year – sorry, 580 this year in the first half of the year. To talk a little bit about the operating highlights on Slide 6. You see that from Q1 to Q2 we modestly were higher but you have to remember that there was almost 14,500 tons from Galena that didn't get processed in the quarter as a result of the 27 day [hoist down]. So on a year-over-year basis we would have been roughly the same as prior years but with a lot more metal coming through. There was 100,000 silver ounces that obviously were left in the ground and there are around 220,000 silver equivalent ounces that were not produced. So as a result of that and the other thing that factors in is that you had $1 million roughly of current maintenance and operating costs charged against the mine without any revenue. So despite all of those things happening in the quarter we still managed to deliver $5.40 on sustaining costs number, which we are very proud of our guys for doing that. So, we are seeing zinc production up. Obviously you will see lead production come up in the second half of the year again San Rafael ramps up. And of course, we have got Galena. We are not expecting any more setbacks at Galena. That was unusual, something that happens every 20, 25 years. So we don't expect that issue to happen. The problem was solved and we don't expect any more issues. So the San Rafael ramp up is on target. We have shown the reduction in cash costs year-over-year and the second half of the year will produce more silver, more zinc and more lead and we will do it at lower unit operating cost, again as San Rafael starts to increase tonnage above the 1500 tons. Financial highlights. Revenues again were down from the first quarter but up from the last year but again recognizing that you had a whole month at Galena that wasn't produced. So again we would have expected revenues to be above – again we generated net income of $1.4 million. We averaged much higher prices than we are seeing today. Obviously that is the one thing that we are continued – diligent and watching and making sure we make money making sure that we do a good job spending our capital and our exploration dollars, but we have generated $4.3 million in the first half of the year despite the million dollars spent as I said. We have made positive net income cash flow. We have spent $1.5 million drilling Zone 120. We have spent $2 million making our payments on the San Felipe project and despite all that our cash went up from 3.3 to 7.8. Our working capital has gone up and we have also made a couple of million dollars of repayments of debt on our Glencore offtake. So we are doing the things that we said we would do. I'm very satisfied with the quarter. It was disappointing that we didn't get an extra month of production out of Galena to show you what we can really do. But you will see that in the third and fourth quarter as we go forward. With San Rafael operations at Cosala I have got my Chief Operating Officer at Mexico. So I won’t make and try and do this on the phone. But the mine is performing well. Our primary decline to the main part of the main zone is expected to reach designed depth by year-end. We expect to be developing in that area. It is the [guts] of the asset. We have been in the southern loop of the main zone, which was the first kind of 18 months of production. We have done very well there. It was obviously one of the key reasons why we are able to come in at capital 30% lower than estimated by getting in there quickly and getting that production out. The primary incline is started towards the upper zone. The upper zone contains very highly silver grades. Right now as you guys know we have been mining around 44 grams of silver. The resource is over 100. So again as we go through 18 months of lower grades, when we get into that high-grade you are going to start to see a very big increase in silver production, a doubling almost probably of silver production as we get into the upper zone. So we are keen to get into that halfway through next year. The mill steadily improves; as I said 1370 on a calendar day, 1524 in the second quarter. We are seeing days well over 1700 tons a day right now, but it is days because we have one major problem, which is the rainy season and the rainy season often causes the hydroelectric power, or sorry the power lines to go down. So we can have a day or two of two hours out here, two hours out there. So we are only doing maybe 1600 tons, but we are starting to see this thing ramp-up getting well above capacity. We would like to get it to 1800 tons a day. That is going to be not an easy task but we are up to it I think. And we are going to continue to ramp that up through the third and fourth quarter. And then as I expect, you will see that we are going to be in the main part or the [guts] of the ore body at the end of the year, which provides a little bit higher on the grade side we think on lead and zinc according to the model. The geological model in the southern zone has performed well. We are seeing what Daren Dell would describe as a much more homogeneous ore body. We are seeing more ore on the outskirts. We probably took more ore into the mill and have a stock pile as a result of that more homogeneous area and are hoping the model will provide us with some better upside on grades as we get into the main zone. Operating costs have been great. Both the mine and the mill we have done better than expected productivity. We are seeing lower electrical consumption. We are seeing reagent use being lower. So we are seeing good operating costs probably about 20% below our budget. We are also seeing capital savings in the first half of the year. We have managed to either eliminate or defer 3.5 million dollars of capital out of the mine. So that has taken – helped us deal with some of that production shortfalls. But we are continuing to look at that. We are stewards of your capital. We need to do a good job in evaluating – we don’t just do a budget and spend whatever is in there. Even when we have a budget we go and we try and beat it each year. And so we are doing that and I'm very happy with the work the guys have done so far this year on the cost side. On Zone 120 again 12,000 meters was drilled. We expect this ore body to be growing in size and also upgrading the confidence level. I'm not sure we are going to continue to see 240 and 280 ounce sustaining grades – silver equivalent grades, but as the ore body gets bigger it is going to get more disseminated. You are going to see grades come down. But you are going to see a much bigger project. There is going to be high-grade areas inside that project. So this will be reported again before the shows at Beaver Creek in Denver we will get our resource estimate out. Again we expect to see our resources either replacing or growing despite depletion this year and we also looking at development options for Zone 120. So given that we are only going to get these numbers at the end of August it is hard to expect that mid-September we are going to come out with some form of pre-feasibility study. We are looking at an internal scoping study. We have some great experience here. The mine is 800 meters away from El Cajon. That was also a silver [copper]. We have got the San Rafael ore body basically adjacent to it that we just built the mine and have good costs around development costs and the mill, which could be expanded to 1000 tons a day, which is the only option we can look at in a very short period of time. We just expanded the mill with respect to the backend on zinc and lead concentrates. So we are going to look at an option that is very simple. That is very quick, small option of 1000 tons a day using our existing mill and then that will be the basis of how we move forward to get a pre-feasibility study done. But the great thing about Zone 120 is that any disturbance there is at the mine itself. It is permanent. So we can get it from underground at El Cajon. We can get it underground from San Rafael. We can put a portal in its surface if we want to. We have all of those options available to us and all of those are permanent and with the mill, it is also permitted to 4,000 tons a day. If we are talking about getting to our upper limit of 1,800 tons then we have got lots of – under the permit have lots of ability to do that. So we are excited about it because it gives us a project in our control that we can build. We would like to see obviously higher silver prices, $14 or $15 is not something you want to take really good resources. We have been very good at being disciplined about producing our silver at a nice profit. So we are not out to do it at all costs, but we want to show you that we have got a great project here and we are moving that forward. At Galena, we continue to say this, it is our mantra. In Galena, we want to make progress towards the goal of consistency of profitability. We saw that in the first quarter. We were seeing that in the second quarter, and then we had the brake shoe failure, which meant that we saw a little bit less production at Galena by losing that month. But as we have gotten back into it, July was a little bit slower but August has come on like gangbusters and we are expecting to see – we going to see that good progress going forward. We are making mine improvements. We had early success with the long haul mining. We have never done it before this year. We are probably on – what number 9, Shawn now. So, we are making good progress there to get tons out. We have changed almost the entire mindset of the organization. We have changed the senior management. We are very excited about our new team that is there. They are making improvements to mechanize. They are very focused on profitable ounces and tons as opposed to just more tons and more production. It is one of the reasons when we sat down and said, can we make up this 100,000 ounces on Galena, I think our view was we can make up the 100,000 ounces, but we may not make money on some of those ounces. And so that is not what we are in business for and we are certainly not in business for that when we got prices as low as they are now. So we are more focused on making profitable ounces. We have done after a long period of time – we have had the Galena since the end of 2012. We have finally been able to rework our life of mine plan. Most of the resources were on spreadsheets. Now they are on block models. So we have got a new life of mine plan, and we have not made big investments in Galena because we haven't had the long-term ability to determine whether we can make pay-back on those investments. And so, we are excited again with our new resources. We will have a new life of mine plan that will allow us to focus on exploration, drilling, mill and mobile equipment upgrades and things in the mill that we can improve. But the property has a really big known silver resource and it has great potential at higher prices. We want to just keep it humming, and making a little bit of money as we see it return to profitability. And so it really can produce a lot of silver for us. To talk a little bit of our strategy last time. I think it continues, when we took over and getting into the silver industry in 2012. Silver was at 31 bucks. We are now at $15, averaging $16.40; seeing a very big drop in silver price although zinc and lead have come up. They are still well above their pricing – long-term pricing numbers. We are very bullish on zinc and lead. We believed that the China and US trade war and all things that are happening have affected the price, but we are still very, very bullish on the fundamentals of zinc and lead as we go forward and we don’t think that strategy is going to change now. We would obviously love to see a higher silver price, so we could bring on things like Zone 120 and new silver copper asset ore out of Galena, but right now, we are going to keep that in the ground. But even without that you have seen a very big drop on our costs. You have seen a very big increase in our silver equivalent production, and we are going to continue on our strategy of moving forward, getting our silver growth ready for when silver has a better price and we can make some real money there. As we look at our silver leverage. You can see our reserves and resources, and you can see of our peer group. We are second just slightly behind Endeavour on our total resource slide. We have reserves. A lot of our competitors don’t have reserves. I mean, look at silver production if you invested $1000 in us, even at these lower silver amounts that we are going to produce this year because of the San Rafael being at such low grade, as we get into 2019 we get into 2020 and our silver starts to go up by close to a million ounces. Our silver leverage is going to get even better as we bring in zone 120 that leverage is going to go up even better. So even today at this lower amount with a lot of base metals we're still giving you the second best production leverage and we're certainly giving you the best resource leverage. So we're very excited about how we can affect the silver price but again right now we're using our base metals to make money and grow that balance sheet So why invest in Americas Silver? Well we're clearly reducing our own sustaining cost. You've seen that over two quarters that's not going to stop. It's going to continue. We're growing our silver equivalent production, the San Rafael mill will be wrapping up to peak capacity we feel in Q3 and if not Q3 then Q4. So we're getting there. We're seeing, we're testing the higher limits on a daily basis, we hope just to get through the rainy season so that we don't have those kind of power changes. We're improving our silver production and we have that leading resource leverage in the industry we feel. Our assets 100% owned. They are long life. They are 10 years at least in mine plans. Large defined and they are largely defined mostly permitted almost all of our projects are permitted given our mills situation on zone 120. We have no royalty streams or silver hedging so we're very clean. We're strengthening our balance sheet every day and we believe that we're going to revalue against our peer group now and we have been re-evaluating peer group it's just that we haven't been doing very well given the silver price that we've seen out there and I think all of the companies are in the same boat but we continue to move up the ranks of the silver industry and that's our job and we're going to continue to look at more precious metals as we move forward but we want to see prices that justify us actually putting those into production because we've got 125 million ounces of production we're only producing 1.6 to 1.8 say this year. So have got a long life ahead of you if you want to produce it and we want to be ready for what that turn happens and that's what we're doing inside the company. So with that Daisy I'll turn it back over to you for any questions that we have from participants.