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USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC)

Q1 2023 Earnings Call· Tue, May 2, 2023

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. Welcome to USA Compression Partners First Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. During today’s call, all parties will be in a listen-only mode, and following the call, the conference will be open for Q&A. [Operator Instructions] This conference is being recorded today, May 2, 2023. I would now like to turn the call over to Chris Porter, Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary.

Christopher Porter

Analyst

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. This morning, we released our operational and financial results for the quarter ending March 31, 2022. You can find a copy of our earnings release as well as a recording of this call in the Investor Relations section of our website at usacompression.com. During this call, our management will discuss certain non-GAAP measures. You will find definitions and reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable U.S. GAAP measures in our earnings release. As a reminder, our conference call will include forward-looking statements. These statements include projections and expectations of our future performance and represent our current beliefs. Actual results may differ materially. Please review the statements of risk included in this morning’s release and in our other public filings. Please note that information provided on this call speaks only to management views as of today, May 2, 2023, and may no longer be active at the time of a replay. I’ll now turn the call over to Eric Long, President and CEO of USA Compression.

Eric Long

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Thank you, Chris. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining our call. I am joined on the call by Eric Scheller, our COO; and Mike Pearl, our CFO. This morning we released outstanding first quarter 2023 results that were indicative of our continued commitment to make investment, operational and financial decisions that are consistent with and effective in achieving our stated objective to create stakeholder value by growing our best-in-class compression service offerings. During 2023 and on into 2024, we are choosing to exercise capital discipline to enhance returns, improve balance sheet strength and ultimately achieve the state of financial optionality that provides us with meaningful flexibility and future optionality to deploy free cash flow to further reduce debt, make changes to our distribution policy or pursue other strategic long-term investments that capture incremental value that can be passed to our stakeholders. Our first quarter 2023 results are the direct result of our returns-based capital investment strategy and feature consecutive quarterly record revenues, adjusted EBITDA and distributable cash flow. Our financial performance continues to improve with increasing demand driven pricing for our compression services that we continually place under contract for extended tenors compared to historic tenors achievable in prior market cycles. Our ability to achieve improved price discovery with longer dated contracts for our compression services is complemented further by our ability to increase the size of our active fleet through new unit additions and the continued conversion of legacy units from idle to active status. Our first quarter utilization continued to improve quarter-over-quarter, averaging just under 93%. Our utilization improvements were achieved alongside of record setting quarterly per-horsepower average revenue, which came in at $18.19 per-horsepower, and represents our 5th consecutive quarterly average rate improvement. Our first quarter utilization and pricing improvements enable distributable cash flow coverage of…

Eric Scheller

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Thanks, Eric, and good morning, all. Earlier this year, I discussed our positive outlook for 2023 and emphasized our continuing focus on expanding our active fleet, while continuing to improve fleet utilization, contract pricing and contract tenor. I’m happy to report that the market strength has remained resilient through the first quarter and the outlook for the remainder of the year and beyond continues to be attractive as we further improve our fleet utilization, pricing and contract tenor. First quarter 2023 results revealed year-over-year improvements in revenues and showed a sequential quarter increase in adjusted gross margin percentage. That was achieved through our disciplined contract portfolio return approach that affords us pricing flexibility to continue securing market based rates for services rendered through our nearly 93% utilized fleet. So what specifically drove our first quarter outperformance and why do we remain optimistic for the foreseeable future? First, our fleet utilization and pricing continue to improve, starting with our directed efforts to opportunistically redeploy idle equipment, which requires nominal capital spend to place into service. Second, we prudently spend growth capital during the quarter by deploying brand new 3608 units under full capital recoupment initial term contracts, continuing to exercise capital discipline across the balance of the fleet, and pursuing other cost efficiencies at all levels within the organization. Redeployed idle and new equipment assets will continue being contracted at attractive market rates and under sought after long-term contract tenors. Third, our adjusted gross margin percentages are continuing to improve and are trending toward the levels, where we historically have operated our core compression services business. And finally, our continued delivery of operational excellence to our customers is enabling our ability to enhance our balance sheet strength and distribution coverage, both of which we expect to continue improving from currently acceptable…

Michael Pearl

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Thanks, Eric Scheller, and good morning. Today, we reported our first quarter results, which featured consecutive quarter record revenue, adjusted EBITDA and DCF. As Eric Long mentioned, we were able to generate distribution coverage of 1.21 times, representing USA Compression’s highest distribution coverage ratio for the post-CDM acquisition period. Our quarterly utilization exit rate continued to trend up into the right as we simultaneously achieved another all-time high in our quarterly average revenue per revenue generating horsepower, which came in at $18.19. Pricing improvements that accompanied our utilization gains were driven by a mix of demand driven rate increases for our supply-constrained compression services and contract-based CPI price escalators. Adjusted gross margin percentage improved by nearly 1% during the first quarter due to improved pricing and moderating inflation for vehicle fuel and compressor fleet lubrication fluids. Wage inflation continues to persist. However, we expect inflationary pressures to abate further over time and that our margins will continue to improve normalizing at or near our historic averages. Our total fleet horsepower at the end of the quarter remained essentially flat to the previous quarter at approximately 3.7 million horsepower. However, our revenue generating horsepower increased by 1.9% on a sequential quarter ended basis. First quarter 2023 expansion capital expenditures were $51.2 million and our maintenance capital expenditures were $5 million. Expansion capital spending primarily consisted of reconfiguration and make ready of idle units, the delivery of 7 new large horsepower units, and the procurement of compression station components. First quarter 2023 net income was $10.9 million, operating income was $51.1 million, net cash provided by operating activities was $42.3 million, and cash interest expense net was $38 million. Interest expense increased by approximately $1.8 million on a sequential quarter basis, primarily due to higher interest rates applicable to outstanding borrowings on our floating rate credit facility. To mitigate further exposure to rising interest rates, we entered into a 2-year fixed rate interest rate swap in early April. Under the terms of the swap agreement, we locked in 30-day SOFR rates for a 2-year period at 3.875% on a notional principal amount of $700 million, which approximated our then outstanding balance on our floating rate credit facility. At the time we entered into the interest rate swap, prevailing 30-day SOFR rates were more than 100 basis points above the fixed swap rate and remain elevated as the Fed continues to consider additional rate actions. During the first quarter, we also achieved another sequential quarter decline in our bank covenant leverage ratio, which decreased to 4.63 times. We remain committed to improving our leverage metrics further and believe that improving market conditions, operational and contract pricing improvements, and continued capital discipline will allow us to reduce our leverage further, while delivering predictable, reliable and durable returns for all stakeholders. Finally, we expect to file our Form 10-Q with the SEC as early as this afternoon. And with that, I will turn the call back to Eric Long for concluding remarks.

Eric Long

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open

We closed out the first quarter of 2023 with renewed optimism, given what we view as sustainable tailwinds to our business, demand for our services continues to grow, and we continue to run our business to satisfy market demand, while opportunistically contracting our services for extended periods and at attractive demand driven rates. We look forward to continued delivery and deployment of our new large horsepower units and the redeployment of idle units throughout 2023. These actions will drive continued fleet utilization improvements under favorable contract terms consistent with our compression-as-a-service revenue model. Finally, on May 5, we will make our 41st consecutive quarterly distribution payment. The $0.525 per unit distribution is flat to the previous quarter’s distribution. We will continue to work toward reducing our leverage, while providing meaningful returns to all stakeholders. Improvements to fleet utilization, contract tenors and contract pricing will position USA Compression for future optionality in terms of further capital investment, debt reduction and changes to distribution policy. USA Compression will continue delivering its best-in-class compression services to its customers, maintaining capital discipline, and focusing on driving improved financial performance and balance sheet positioning. To conclude, we are extremely pleased with our first quarter results highlighted again by record quarterly revenues, adjusted EBITDA and distributable cash flow, and which also featured continued improvements to utilization, distribution coverage and leverage. We look forward to discussing our second quarter 2023 results with you in a few months time. And with that, we will open the call to questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from TJ Schultz from RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

TJ Schultz

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Great. Thank you. So just as we think about that path to greater free cash flow and more capital allocation flexibility, clearly you’re benefiting this year from higher utilization and pricing. Kind of two parts of my question focused on growth CapEx, first, are you still tracking to, call it, $260 million to $270 million of growth CapEx this year and what is committed or contracted on that? And then secondly, thinking about 2024, how do you balance getting more free cash flow flexibility versus continuing to deploy capital into what I suspect are pretty good returns for the new horsepower that you’re delivering into the market? Thanks.

Eric Long

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Yeah, TJ, this is Eric. The first part of the question, the growth CapEx for this year is basically spoken for already contracted under long-term contracts. So as it pertains your modeling work, it’s pretty straightforward, things are being delivered, things are being deployed, and we’re tracking exactly as what we expected based on our capital commitment, so long-term contracts fully committed for the balance of this year. Maybe let Pearl address kind of what we’re thinking for next year and how that’s going to look as far as balance sheet flexibility.

Michael Pearl

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Yeah. And back to your original question, I know you might be taking the 50 and trying to annualize that figure out and how we get to the guidance and I would think just for the balance of the year. As you sort of forecast your growth CapEx, I think, ratable is probably the best assumption just in terms of trying to figure out the balance of the year. And into 2024, I would look just in terms of growth CapEx, I wouldn’t expect similar levels that you’re seeing this year, I think we’re going back towards capital discipline. What can we do in terms of turning more idle to active? I think, the return proposition based on what we’re seeing for pricing and in terms of lead times for new equipment is probably where we get the most bang for our buck. We’ll probably spend a little bit of time talking about this on our next call. But I think as we sort of, I don’t want to say stop, but slow down the new unit adds and focus on idle to active, you’ll start seeing a lot more in terms of optionality with our cash flows.

TJ Schultz

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Okay, makes sense. My second question is on the mix of contracts maybe what mix of month-to-month contracts should we expect by the end of this year? And did I hear it right, it sounds like you’re turning up more of contracts? Thanks.

Eric Scheller

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Hey, TJ, it’s Scheller. Yeah, you saw the improvement from fourth quarter into the first quarter. We continue to aggressively move that down. I think, you should expect us to continue to push that into the low-single-digits, mid-single-digits percentage for the bulk of business.

TJ Schultz

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Brian DiRubbio from Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Brian DiRubbio

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Good morning. A couple of questions for you. Just look at the difference between the actual operating utilization rate and then the projected 93.1% [ph]. What do you think is the time horizon for those two numbers to converge?

Eric Long

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Reframe the question and maybe we saw somebody made a press comment that our utilization was in the upper 80%s versus our 93%. We’re kind of scratching our head wondering where that’s coming from. Was that the question? Or…

Brian DiRubbio

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Yeah. The utilization based on revenue-generating horsepower, it’s actually in your press release, was 87.5%. And you’re quoting a 92.7% with 93.1% exit rate. So trying to bridge that gap and when those two numbers will converge?

Michael Pearl

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

This is Pearl. I think that’s difficult to forecast, because particularly as we move forward and start moving towards placing more idle into active status, we’ve got a suite of units that are under contract that aren’t yet generating revenue as we get them ready to place into service. And so that’s difficult to forecast what that stable of under contract, but not yet generating horsepower units is going forward. But what that differential does move to the actual active generating revenue. But the cadence and how to get and forecasting convergence of those numbers is very difficult for us to estimate.

Eric Long

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Yeah. So, again, you’re dealing with the timing question. So you look at the 87.5% as of the end of March, as we mentioned, we’ve got our entire growth CapEx program for this year committed under contract. So those are revenue generating yet and we’ve got a trade association called the GCA. We track stuff that’s active plus under contract, because if you’re not tracking the stuff that’s under contract, the industry thinks there’s more stuff out there available to deploy than there actually is. So as we continue to move stuff out of the idle fleet that will go up as we then move off of under contract, it’s going to be delivered in August, September, October, November, that will then move into revenue generating. So the good news is the reason there’s that delta between it is that gives you forward visibility by an extra 6 percentage points ballpark number on stuff that we’ve got committed that will turn to revenue generating between now and the end of the year. So, I think, back on Pearl’s comment, we’re looking at ratably deploying the growth CapEx over the balance of the year probably a good way to look at that would be ratable increase converging from that 87% up to the 93% toward the end of the year.

Brian DiRubbio

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Okay. I think, I get what you’re saying there. So maybe let me ask then, just the deployment question in a different way. As we look at your year-end total horsepower in the fleet, how much do you see that growing in 2023, given the CapEx program?

Eric Scheller

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Hey, it’s Scheller. I think that we’re going to continue to push out 150,000 horsepower continue to push that through the rest of the year. Demand continues to be strong.

Brian DiRubbio

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Okay. So we could see year-end 2023 150,000 higher than year end 2022? Just to be clear.

Eric Scheller

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

No, that’s the incremental. So that doesn’t include, I think, the 3608.

Eric Long

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Well, you added 160,000 horsepower from year-end last year to year-end this year, the new growth CapEx.

Eric Scheller

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Yeah. New growth capital.

Eric Long

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

So if you look at the total horsepower year-end 2022 versus year-end 2023, we should be up about 160,000 horsepower.

Brian DiRubbio

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Okay. And on that number is where you expect to be at the 93% rate on a cash – on a revenue generating basis by the end of the year?

Eric Scheller

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Yes.

Brian DiRubbio

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Okay. That’s very helpful. And then just as we think about the actions you just did with the revolver, fixing some of the interest rate exposure there, how should we be thinking about then your cash needs to fund the dividend relative to the CapEx program? Do you just consider – are you going to just continue to utilize revolver? Are you thinking about terming anything of this out, sort of lock yourself in a little bit? Love to get the thought process there.

Eric Long

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Yeah, maybe a couple of things. So the first thing, as Scheller mentioned, we’ve got a lot of inflationary pressure right now. New unit CapEx for 2024 and on into 2025 are significantly higher. So to generate acceptable returns, we and our peers are going to have to push through significant rate increases that we’re not confident that the market is able to bear that magnitude of rate increases at this time. So if you think conceptually horsepower is $1,000 a horsepower to $100 a horsepower, to the extent we spend some nominal CapEx dollars to make ready our idle fleet, we may be spending things that are $300, $400, $500 a horsepower to deploy. So we get a lot more incremental bang for our buck to spend CapEx dollars to take some of the existing assets we have, spend a little bit of money on them and get them deployed out in the field. So, I think, that’s kind of a veiled way to say, we’re planning for 2024 to slow organic new growth down, which when you think about your question of increased utilization, increased revenues, deploying idle horsepower, we’re going to be creating substantial additional cash flow that we’re going to basically retain inside of the company. Our plan is to continue to reduce our leverage, to continue to build our distribution coverage, which will give us flexibility as it pertains to future optionality, be it organic growth in the future, be it distribution policy, be it dealing with a preferred that comes, matures at some point in the future. So I think right now, with us putting the swap in place for a couple of years, that effectively locked in rates on the floating rate debt that we had at rates lower than what we had come into our budget cycle with. We’ve got adequate tenor remaining on our two tranches of senior notes that are out there floating around. So I think at this stage, we don’t intend to term up anything else. We intend to focus on leverage and coverage. The market has always been pretty clear. We’ve been doing this for 25 years. There’s a time to mash the accelerator and grow. There’s a time to slow the growth down and focus on stability rather than growth. But I think our focus over the next – we’ll finish the CapEx deploy cycle for 2023, and then we’ll slow and moderate the growth down into 2024 giving us better financial optionality in the future.

Brian DiRubbio

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Great. Just one final question for me, if you don’t mind. One dynamic that I’m just seeing across a number of industries is just the lack of skilled tradesmen, electricians, plumbers, mechanics, and that you highlighted just sort of higher labor costs that you’re seeing, is that something that you see abating or those higher labor costs still – do you see that still as a pressure throughout 2023?

Eric Scheller

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

I think, we’ll see the labor cost continuing not as hard. We’ve been able to really increase our labor force very successfully and retain folks as we’ve been going through the first quarter. It’s been a net positive to us, but the pressure for the labor rate will continue. Not at the same levels, but it’s still there.

Brian DiRubbio

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Fair enough. I appreciate all the color. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Selman Akyol from Stifel. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Selman Akyol

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Thank you. Just a couple of quick ones for me. First of all, can you just talk about electric adoption, what you’re seeing and how that’s going?

Eric Long

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Yes, Selman, this is Eric. The panacea of the decade is electrification of everything. We sit down with our customers who have thought about electrification, the first question we posit to them is where are you located on the electric grid? Are you proximal to a distribution line? Have you talked to your local electric distribution company, rural electric coop, whomever it may be? And what people are finding out, particularly as you move into the bigger horsepower equipment, if the grid in many places is inadequate to meet the demands of electric compression. We remain convinced that smaller horsepower stuff kind of the sub-200 horsepower well head, marginal gas field like the Barnett Shale and some of those places. You can continue to deploy some of these low amperage, low horsepower requirements. It gets very site specific as you move into larger horsepower. And we’ve actually seen people backing off from the electrification both at the fabricators. We’re aware of some major oil companies that had large commitments for electrified horsepower that have canceled those contracts and are electing not to build some of those. So, I think, in general, you’re going to see people continuing to look at the electrification, but there’s going to be a recognition and an acknowledgment that in many places, the grid is insufficient to support it, which is why we’re pretty bullish on our dual drive offering, where we can have the ability to go between electricity and natural gas. So that if you’ve got a peak day electric demand, we can turn off the electric side of the machine and run back on natural gas again. So it’s evolving over time, but you’re not going to see the electrification of everything. In fact, it’s probably going the other direction, where it’s not gaining as much traction as what some people had originally thought.

Selman Akyol

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Great color, I appreciate that. You also talked about month-to-month revenues coming down to 23%, I think you said 33% previously, but can you just remind us where that was at its peak?

Eric Scheller

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead. Your line is open

So, I think, at our peak was more than a year ago, we were at just under 40%.

Selman Akyol

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Got it. And then…

Eric Scheller

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead. Your line is open

[And then, just the last time, I was saying that] [ph], we’re going to probably target that low-double-digits, mid-double-digit, 15%, 20% below lower than that, right, so it’s 10% to 15%.

Selman Akyol

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead. Your line is open

And then just the last one in terms of just thinking through inflation, and I heard you, parts of it are starting to roll over, labor continues high, and you can’t just push through all the price increases that would fully recoup the labor or the inflationary pressures. But as we see inflationary pressures wane, do you think you’ll still be able to get pricing? And, therefore, sort of over the course of the cycle, you get all of it back?

Eric Long

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Yeah. That’s a really good question. I think that’s part of why we’re pushing the tenor of our contracts. If you think back pre-COVID, bigger horsepower, you would tend to see kind of 2 to 5 year contracts, little horsepower, you’d see 3 months to maybe a year. We’re routinely getting 2 and 3 years on small horsepower. And we’re more than routinely, I think, the bulk of our bigger horsepower are 5-year-plus contracts. So these all have CPI escalators built into those contracts. So part of the rationale as to why at this part of the cycle rather than a couple of years ago, like some of our competitors did was, they were locking in contracts at significantly lower rates. We opted to let that float, as evidenced by that high percentage of month-to-month contracts, which we’re now actively terming up for those 3 to 5 years, significantly longer than normal market tenor at rates that are at peak of cycle. So, I think, we’re trying to capitalize on the dearth of equipment that’s available, the high demand for equipment at the most opportune time. So we’re pretty optimistic of what the future holds in-store for revenue and cash flow generation out of the fleet.

Selman Akyol

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead. Your line is open

Got it. Thank you so much.

Operator

Operator

We have no further questions in queue. This will conclude today’s conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.