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USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC)

Q4 2016 Earnings Call· Mon, Feb 13, 2017

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the USA Compression Partners Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Chris Porter, Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary. Please go ahead, sir.

Christopher W. Porter

Management

Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us. This morning, we released our financial results for the quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2016. You can find our earnings release as well as a recording of this conference in the Investor Relations section of our Web site at usacompression.com. The recording will be available through February 24, 2017. During this call, our management will discuss certain non-GAAP measures. You will find definitions and reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures in the earnings release. As a reminder, our conference call will include forward-looking statements. These statements include projections and expectations of our performance and represent our current beliefs. Actual results may differ materially. Please review the statements of risks included in this morning's release and in our SEC filings. Please note that the information provided on this call speaks only to management's views as of today, February 13 and may no longer be accurate at the time of the replay. I’ll now turn the call over to Eric Long, President and CEO of USA Compression.

Eric D. Long

Management

Thank you, Chris. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining our call. Also with me is Matt Liuzzi, our CFO. This morning, USA Compression released fourth quarter and fiscal year 2016 financial and operational results. Overall, we are pleased with the strong finish to the year and we continue to see positive developments throughout the quarter, which we believe bode well for 2017 and beyond. As we’ve mentioned before, following the downturn, the contract compression sector and hence USA Compression tends to lag behind a pickup in our customers’ activity levels. As activity in the industry picked up over the last six months, we’ve anticipated seeing increased demand from our customers and that started to occur in the fourth quarter. Things are quite different and much improved than a year ago. Commodity prices for both oil and natural gas are significantly higher and have appeared to stabilize at levels that permit economic exploration and production. Energy industry activity, as measured by rig counts in CapEx spending, is quite encouraging. The capital markets have opened up and the general level of confidence throughout the sector has risen significantly. Before I launch into customer activity in our financial results, I’d like to first draw attention to the safety performance that our entire USA Compression team has embraced as one of the core fundamental tenants that is a true differentiator from our peers. During the year, we achieved a streak of over 1 million man hours worked without a recordable injury, a record for our company. We also completed the year with zero loss time injuries. Further, our field employees drove almost 10 million miles during the year without a vehicle incident that resulted in an injury. For a very mobile workforce dealing daily with large reciprocating equipment in industrial settings, these are…

Matthew C. Liuzzi

Management

Thanks, Eric, and good morning, everyone. As Eric mentioned, USA Compression reported a solid quarter of results to wrap up the year. For the fourth quarter of 2016, USA Compression reported revenue of $74.9 million, adjusted EBITDA of $36.5 million and DCF of $28.7 million. In January, we announced a cash distribution to our unitholders of $0.525 per LP unit which results in a DCF coverage ratio for the quarter of 0.94 times. Taking into account the impact of the DRIP program, our cash coverage ratio for the quarter was 1.09 times. This quarter, Riverstone elected to maintain its DRIP participation by taking 30% of its distributions in cash. Our total fleet horsepower as of the end of Q4 was 1.7 million horsepower consistent with Q3. Our revenue-generating horsepower at period end was up about 23,000 horsepower to 1.4 million horsepower. We invested expansion capital of roughly $9.3 million in the quarter. For the year, we took delivery of 23,000 horsepower including 7,000 in Q4 alone. Our average horsepower utilization for the fourth quarter was 87.4%, up slightly from 87.3% in Q3 continuing the general upward trajectory since spring of 2015. Pricing, as measured by average revenue per revenue-generating horsepower per month, was down slightly to $15.07 from $15.35 in sequential quarters, mostly due to declines in pricing in our smaller horsepower equipment. Turning to the financial performance for the fourth quarter, total revenue increased to $74.9 million compared to $61.1 million in the third quarter, primarily driven by an increase in our retail revenues. For the year, revenue of $265.9 million came in slightly below the $270.5 million in 2016. Gross operating margin as a percentage of revenue was 60.2% in Q4 2016. As we have in the past, during the quarter, we recorded retail revenue and corresponding expenses…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. We will take our first question from TJ Schultz of RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

TJ Schultz

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open

Great. Thanks. Good morning.

Eric D. Long

Management

Good morning, TJ.

TJ Schultz

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open

Hi. So if I look at your headline reported utilization at year end of 87.1% compared to the actual horsepower-generating revenue at year end, it implies to me and correct me if I’m wrong about 110,000 horsepower that you have ready to hit the market essentially. So for 2017, as this cycle improves, how much of the demand can be met by simply putting that into the field and how much needs to be met by additional growth CapEx?

Eric D. Long

Management

TJ, a really good question. I think what we have pointed out is that when we look peak to trough, our utilization has degraded, call it, kind of 8 to 10 percentage points. So when you look at the overall size of our fleet and you’re kind of backed into what might be available on some of the larger horsepower equipment, the majority of that tends to be in the 3516 and 3606 driver range. And at this juncture, the demand signals we see for that particular range of horsepower will indeed be met from our existing idle fleet. To the extent that our customers demand even large horsepower equipment, of which neither we nor any of our competitors have laying around idle, we’ll beat that incremental demand with additional CapEx need over the course of 2017. So a lot is coming out of the idle fleet with some limited additional new unit CapEx for the really big stuff.

Matthew C. Liuzzi

Management

TJ, it’s Matt. We’ve discussed publicly before, we think the spending levels in '17 will look a lot like they did in '16, so kind of in that $40 million to $50 million range. So obviously between that and the idle fleet, that’s what we’ll expect to satisfy demand with.

TJ Schultz

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open

Okay. Are you getting indications for that bigger stuff from customers just for applications that are going to dictate spending new CapEx, or is that just kind of what you think is coming?

Eric D. Long

Management

We’re getting indicative signals/contracts.

TJ Schultz

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open

Okay, good. And then what about pricing? It’s certainly another lever. I think we hear from operators talking about 10% to 15% service cost inflation for 2017. Just given some of the slack in the compression utilization, how should we think about potential pricing power flowing through, or how far does this pricing recovery typically lag utilization recovery?

Eric D. Long

Management

Obviously when you have some equipment laying around particularly in the smaller horsepower range, it would tend to limit your upward pricing pressure. I think when you listened to operators saying 10%, 15%, 20% movement or upward pressure in pricing that tends to be oriented towards folks in the short cycle drilling sector; the drilling fluids, the pressure pumping, the sand guys. I don’t think that we’ll see that level of movement in our industry. If this cycle plays out like we’ve seen past cycles play out, we and others in our industry will work through their idle equipment which depending on demand indications could be anywhere between a couple of quarters to four to six quarters out. You work off all of your excess equipment. And to the extent you have continued demand, equipment has to come from somewhere, which means either build new equipment which cost significantly more than it did four or five or six years ago, or you have to repatriate equipment from other places, all of which leads to some upward movement in pricing. So I think we’re a couple of quarters out from seeing the move toward increase in prices. But again, if it plays out like it has in past cycles, it tends to be inevitable.

TJ Schultz

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open

Got it. Thank you.

Eric D. Long

Management

Thanks, TJ.

Operator

Operator

We will take our next question from Praveen Narra of Raymond James. Your line is open.

Praveen Narra

Analyst · Raymond James. Your line is open

Hi. Good morning, guys.

Eric D. Long

Management

Hi, Praveen.

Praveen Narra

Analyst · Raymond James. Your line is open

Hi. Just following up on that last question in terms of – it’s good to hear the pricing cadence starting to at least come into discussion. When you think about the smaller horsepower units to a degree, are you at least seeing less aggressive pricing from your competitors where that’s bottoming out, or are you still until we start to see utilization pick up a bit, do we still need to wait to see that?

Eric D. Long

Management

Probably in the latter. The small horsepower is a small piece of USA Compression’s business. We’re somewhere 15%, 17% of our total fleet and that continues to be a smaller and smaller component of our business today and going forward. There are limited barriers to entry in that business and I do think that over time, there will be some better discipline in the industry. But with no barriers to entry and some private companies who don’t exert discipline like some of the public companies do, at times there are some rational decisions which are made. So I think it will affect others probably more dramatically than it affects USA Compression just because it’s such a small component of our business.

Praveen Narra

Analyst · Raymond James. Your line is open

Right, that’s fair. And then for you guys, I think the two areas where you really called out – the two basins where you’re seeing potential in 2017, you called out the Permian. You called it SCOOP/STACK. I guess I was curious given kind of what the takeaway capacity pipeline looks like for 2017 and 2018 from the Northeast, what you guys were seeing or what you guys were expecting and hearing from customers looking out into the Northeast where you guys have a pretty decent footprint?

Eric D. Long

Management

Yes, obviously that’s one of our larger operating areas. And if you look at the history of the company that has been one of our larger growth areas historically. So I think what we’ll see is until you start to see some of the takeaway capacity – as you know, Rover recently received their FERC permit. They’re working through right now looking through some imminent domain issues to secure the final rights away that are required so that they can commence construction. So I think 2017 will be, I’ll call it, nominal or limited growth opportunities for all of us in the sector followed by ramping up activities in 2018, 2019 and 2020. Give it a year or two, that’s going to be a very active area for all of us in the industry.

Praveen Narra

Analyst · Raymond James. Your line is open

Okay, perfect. So think of that more as next year as being the big inflection point. In terms of I guess when I go through kind of first blush, the implied cost guidance that you guys didn’t give but kind of the implied cost. It kind of seems to me that you guys are looking at cost to remain relatively stable in the upside. So is that something we can assume can hold pretty steady and you can hold cost kind of in line with where they are today going forward?

Eric D. Long

Management

Yes. Praveen, I think that’s a fair assumption.

Praveen Narra

Analyst · Raymond James. Your line is open

Okay, perfect. Thank you very much guys.

Eric D. Long

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. We will take our next question from Andrew Burd of JPMorgan. Your line is open.

Andrew Burd

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open

Hi. Good morning. First question; as more gathering build outs are announced in the Delaware, what’s the appetite for outsourced compression by the gathering operators as opposed to owning it?

Eric D. Long

Management

Andy, as we’ve touched on before, it depends and varies based on who the midstream operator is. Some folks, particularly some of the larger guys, do their own thing. Some of the private PE-backed organizations outsource everything. And then some of the folks big and intermediate alike, opt to have a balance, outsource some and then own some. So kind of own some of the base load and variablize things. What we have seen recently, because there’s so much activity and such limited infrastructure in the area, some activities that people used to do themselves both from speed to market, from an expertise and frankly just because of limitations on capital are outsourcing and accelerating some of the outsourcing trends. So I think we’ve been pleased with what we’ve been seeing in the area that the trend toward outsourcing actually has picked up somewhat in that area for those reasons.

Andrew Burd

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open

Great. And then are you seeing any green shoots of activity maybe outside of these core basins starting to pop their head up, some of the out of favor basins?

Eric D. Long

Management

We have seen some demand signals starting to pick up in the Rockies. There are a couple of areas that we’re not actively involved with. I think when you go up into the Northern Rockies, we’re hearing from some folks some interest in some new projects that are starting to tick off or pick up. And clearly some of the Western sedimentary basins in Canada are also seeing some potential opportunities. Not an area that we’re active in nor are we active in Mexico, but there are some increasing demand signals coming out of those areas. Some of the dry gas basins, now that we’re seeing gas prices in that north of $3 range, $3.25; at some points, there were some $3.50, $3.75 dry gas pricing. The Haynesville is seeing an increase in rig count and some of the older Haynesville wells are ultimately going to require compression. So with the price deck that we’re seeing, I think some of the dry gas areas are starting to show some life again and then some of the associated gas in some of the other higher cost areas are starting to show a little bit of life again.

Andrew Burd

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open

Great. And then on the new build horsepower or large horsepower units you were talking about, has the return profile for those units really changed much over the last few years, or has it stayed kind of constant given the tightness in supply?

Eric D. Long

Management

The larger horsepower – because of the shortage of supply and more importantly it’s not just supply, it’s actual technical capabilities. Not everybody can do this. It’s fairly limited on those of us in the sector who have the proper level of safety, adequate systems and technical capabilities to do the really big type of horsepower. They have held their margins and I will say that the margins are relatively stable as well as being relatively attractive for us.

Andrew Burd

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open

Great. And then a couple of housekeeping questions on the guidance. Is there a material contribution from the parts and services in the guidance?

Matthew C. Liuzzi

Management

No, not – again, I think people have pointed out this quarter. Looking forward, we’ve not included. I think we’ve looked very – very consistent with historical practice kind of going forward.

Andrew Burd

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open

Okay, great. And then final one is, Matt, as you’re thinking about kind of the trajectory for the year in terms of EBITDA growth and then what distribution coverage will look like on kind of an exit rate for 2017, anything you can share with us on that would be great?

Matthew C. Liuzzi

Management

I can’t share too much. We don’t give coverage or distribution coverage guidance. But I think when you look at this quarter you kind of look at the components of the cash flow. And as we think about going from here through the next four quarters, I think we expect as the market continues to pick up for that to be reflected in the overall level of cash flows. And obviously if that happens, that should improve coverage along the long.

Andrew Burd

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open

Great. Thanks very much.

Matthew C. Liuzzi

Management

You bet.

Operator

Operator

We will take our next question from Robert Balsamo with FBR. Your line is open.

Robert Balsamo

Analyst · FBR. Your line is open

Hi. Good morning, guys. Congrats on a nice quarter.

Eric D. Long

Management

Thank you.

Robert Balsamo

Analyst · FBR. Your line is open

So most of my questions have been answered. Just some clarity on guidance, if you can. You guys give a pretty – a reasonable range for guidance for 2017. I was wondering if you could talk about some of the drivers that would push you to the upper or lower end, if that’s utilization or pricing? It sounds like costs are going to be relatively flat.

Matthew C. Liuzzi

Management

I think Bob overall as we look at it, obviously we talked about kind of new CapEx spending $40 million, $50 million to Eric’s comment earlier. If things change in a dramatically positive way that allowed us to maybe take delivery and deploy more of those really, really large horsepower units, obviously that’s a positive. Being able to work through a lot of the idle inventory and satisfying the market demand obviously is a positive. We have not incorporated a whole lot of pricing improvement. And so we’ve kind of just sort of taken it almost the status quo across the board. So to the extent that the market tightens up, to the extent there’s not a whole lot of equipment and we can put out equipment at rates higher than we had expected to, I think that’s also another positive. So those would be I think general pricing upticks and the ability to put even more new capital to work would both be positive to the guidance.

Robert Balsamo

Analyst · FBR. Your line is open

Great. And then I don’t know how much clarity you can give here, but do you have an expectation on the DRIP? Do you expect contribution or elections to be kind of consistent through '17 or potentially --?

Eric D. Long

Management

I can give you absolutely no clarity on the DRIP only because it is a quarter-by-quarter election by not only Riverstone but all the public LP guys. But certainly our expectation, our goal is to get it to a point where the DRIP doesn’t matter to us. And I think we’ve worked on that through the course of 2016. Obviously, I think this quarter was a minimal amount of DRIP and I think I meant to say 30% -- Riverstone taking 30% in units not at cash earlier, so 30% units. We’ve really stepped down a good amount while still providing a lot of cushion and coverage for the public guys. So we like the trajectory we’re on. I will say we also like the lever that that DRIP represents where if we need to, we can kind of move it up and down in concert with our largest unitholder.

Robert Balsamo

Analyst · FBR. Your line is open

Great. Thanks, guys. That’s it for me.

Eric D. Long

Management

Thanks, Bob.

Operator

Operator

We will take our next question from Sharon Lui of Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Sharon Lui

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is open

Hi. My questions have been asked and answered. Thank you.

Eric D. Long

Management

Thanks, Sharon.

Operator

Operator

That concludes the Q&A session for today’s call. I would now turn the call over to CEO, Eric Long, for closing statements.

Eric D. Long

Management

Thank you, operator, and thank you all for joining us on the call today. Many of you have been long-term investors in USA Compression and we thank you for your continued support and your interest. I’ve been at this for more than just a few years and as many of you know and appreciate, the energy sector has always been cyclical. It is our belief that we are starting to come out of the recent cyclical lows and are seeing increased activity out in the field. Over the course of the new few quarters, we expect to once again return to a growth environment. Like our compression units, our business model is built to last. Through the downturn, we manage the asset utilization well only declining approximately 8% to 10% from peak to trough. Our large horsepower strategy has played out well, pricing hung in there and we maintain high gross margins resulting in relatively stable adjusted EBITDA and DCF. We like the macro trends that indicate good things are coming for domestic natural gas and we’ll be there ready to provide our compression services with our fleet of large horsepower equipment. We look forward to updating you on the next quarterly call. Thank you. And everybody be safe.

Operator

Operator

That concludes today’s conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.