Richard Hayne
Analyst · Kimberly Greenberger with Morgan Stanley
Thanks Sheila. I want to congratulate you, Meg, and the team for delivering a phenomenal quarter. Free People reporting strong positive comps, great margins, and well-controlled inventories and expenses. This produced record second quarter profits. Record profits have met a global pandemic with the supply chain impaired and stores closed for much of the quarter. Now, that's impressive. My thanks to you and the entire team for an exceptional effort and outstanding results. Good afternoon everyone. Today, I will discuss our overall results for the second quarter, talk about performance by channel, then by brand, and give my thoughts on the second half before turning the call over for your questions. In Q2, the company faced the most difficult macro business environment in my 50-plus years in retail. Nonetheless, I'm pleased to report URBN produced healthy revenues and operating profits for the quarter. All brands were profitable and together, they delivered one of the lowest markdown rates and best full price selling in URBN history. Overall results were driven by the strength of our digital channel, exemplary expense and inventory control, and our ability to create and offer compelling products. Delivering a positive financial performance in this environment reflects the hard work, resilience, and agility of our teams and I want to thank them at the outset. I especially want to recognize and thank the production team and our partners around the world who kept product flowing into the brands under almost impossible conditions and the fulfillment teams for ensuring digital orders flowed out to customers. Due to our strong second quarter results we entered the fall selling season with positive momentum and clean inventories at all brands. Let me now recap our second quarter performance by channel. I'll begin with stores. Not surprisingly, the store channel had a very tough quarter. Besides the original wave of COVID-related closures, stores in North America faced severe unrest, a second wave of infections, government and landlord-imposed restrictions on occupancy and hours of operation, and the consumers who were ordered to stay at home. Our stores were unable to open for business approximately one-third of the days in the quarter. And when they were opened registered less than half the normal flow of customers. Fortunately, the customers that did enter were shoppers not lookers. We experienced the highest quarterly conversion in memory and fewer promotions were needed to drive sales. On the other side of the Atlantic, our European stores saw a wide range of store traffic patterns. London stores resembled New York City late to open and anemic traffic once they did. The rest of Europe was similar to North America except for Germany, which outperformed all other geographies with some German stores actually booking days of year-over-year traffic gains. August store traffic to-date has improved slightly over the July rate and we expect to see continued slow improvement throughout the third quarter, but it remains unclear if store traffic will ever rebound to pre-COVID levels. Clearly, some customers still prefer shopping in stores. Therefore so long as the economic model works, we are committed to maintaining or even enlarging our store fleet as part of our omnichannel strategy. During the quarter, we had active conversations with many landlords and made considerable progress, most offered rent concessions for the period when stores were unable to open. We will continue the conversation and closely monitor the economics of our store portfolio adjusting the fleet size where necessary. Q2 weakness in the store channel was largely offset by outsized strength in digital. We believe the stimulus checks that went out in May help to fuel some of this demand. However, our overall digital business posted very strong double-digit comp sales in each month of the quarter and that strength has continued in the first three weeks of August. Besides sales, other digital metrics were also impressive with sessions and orders showing mid double-digit gains. Conversion improved as well. Perhaps the most noteworthy metric was a number of new digital customers the brands attracted. Total new digital customers across all brands jumped by 76% on a year-over-year basis. This gives us confidence that digital channel will continue to produce robust growth during the back half of the year. Now, I'll discuss second quarter performance for both brands starting with Urban. Stores performed as expected, but the digital channel produced amazingly high double-digit comps. As a result Urban's Retail segment comp sales declined by only 8%. Better yet the brand in North America delivered powerful double-digit full price comp increases. The women's apparel, renewal, intimates, and home categories performed best. Like Free People, Urban registered a record low quarterly markdown rate and ended the quarter with comp inventory down 18%. Great digital sales, extremely low markdowns, and tight expense control combined to produce higher operating income in the quarter than in the same period last year. That's quite an accomplishment given the macro environment. My congratulations to Trish, Meg and the Urban teams for a job extremely well done. Urban enters the fall selling season with strong momentum. Since many schools that postponed their opening dates for several weeks or decided to hold virtual classes this fall, we expected the back-to-school selling season to produce lower sales on peak days but extend longer into September. However, with most of the back-to-school season now booked, Urban's August comp sales to date showed little change from Q2 levels. Turning now to Anthropologie, this brand was more impacted by the pandemic than our other two. Anthro is known for operating more structured apparel gear for work and events such as graduations, weddings, dinners out and parties. In Q2, many women work from home and most events were canceled. So the need for this kind of attire vanished. Anthro's apparel team was able to adjust its on order chasing into more casual less structured looks. This resonated with the customer and drove notable improvement in sales and less need for markdowns as the quarter progressed. The Home category produced very strong regular price comps throughout Q2. Ending inventory cost was down 15%, which creates flexibility for the brand to chase emerging trends. I thank Hillary, Meg and the Anthropologie teams for quickly and correctly reacting to the trends. This enabled the brand to post a profit for the second quarter. As we look to the back half of the year, we expect the extreme uncertainty of the past four months to moderate and believe the COVID threat could begin to vain, which should help improve store traffic. Even so, we will continue to plan our businesses conservatively, keeping inventories lean and chasing in the trend right product. We are fortunate to have well-developed digital capabilities across our portfolio. These have enabled us to capture consumer demand as stores remained handicapped. We expect continued strength in the Digital business, and have taken extra measures to ensure we have the capability to scale with customer demand during the holiday period. These include adding staff in our existing fulfillment centers earlier, installing additional equipment in those centers to boost efficiency, using a newly distribution facility to ship faster on items and staffing stores to allow for more pack-and-ship processing. Current business shows third quarter to date Retail segment performance running slightly ahead of second quarter results. We believe total third quarter comps may remain negative, but are planning improvement on a sequential basis. For holiday, we are planning for an extended holiday shopping period, with sales beginning earlier, reaching a plateau sooner, but missing the peaks characteristic of prior years as consumers seek to avoid crowds. If our COVID prediction is correct, we believe holiday sales could be positive, but still heavily promotional. In summary, all fashion retailers felt the effect of the pandemic in Q2. Companies with pre-existing conditions and those more relying on physical stores felt the effects most acutely. URBN entered the period with a well-developed digital capability, powerful brands, seasoned merchants and production teams and a strong balance sheet. We reacted quickly and took the necessary steps to mitigate the effects of this scrouge. Our second quarter results are a tribute to the strength of our brands and the effectiveness of our teams. We believe URBN and his brands will emerge from the COVID fog, better positioned for the future, and therefore, are beginning to make new strategic investments. An example is our recent announcement to commence building another large fulfillment facility. This complex in Kansas will give us the operational capacity to continue growing our digital business in North America. We have also recently completed a similar facility in the UK, which will allow for expansion in Europe. Our goal is to continue expanding the URBN family of brands and bring our unique products and experiences to more customers around the globe. In closing, I thank all brand and shared service leaders, their teams, and all associates worldwide. As I said earlier, our positive performance in an incredibly difficult environment is a direct reflection of the skill hard work and dedication of our teams. So, thank you. I'm honored to work with all of you. Thanks also to our many partners around the world, who are helping us navigate through this pandemic, and thanks to our shareholders for their continued support. That concludes my prepared remarks. Thank you, and now for your questions.