Brian Kinion
Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is now open
Thank you, Stephane. Good afternoon, everyone. My remarks today will start with a brief update on our key operating metrics for the third quarter, then turn to the financial results and our guidance for the fourth quarter that we provided in our earnings release filed today. Numbers are rounded for the sake of convenience, and I will make comparisons on a year-over-year basis unless otherwise noted. I’ll be referring to GAAP measures unless explicitly cited as a non-GAAP measure. We monitor and measure our business performance using certain key operating metrics, which include GSV, core clients, and client spend retention. We believe these metrics are key indicators of our growth and the overall health of our business. GSV, which includes both client spend and additional fees that we charge for other value-added services, increased by 27% in Q3 to $449 million. The growth in GSV was driven by an increase in core clients and an increase in our client spend retention. Growth in core clients is an important metric for two reasons. Core clients have been historically more likely to continue using our platform; and two, they represent approximately 80% of our GSV. We define a core client as a client that has spent in aggregate at least $5,000 in their lifetime on our platform and have spent in the last 12 months. As of September 30, 2018, we had approximately 101,000 core clients, representing a 22% increase. Client spend retention was 108% on a trailing 12-month basis at September 30, 2018, compared to 95% at September 30, 2017. Client spend retention is derived by dividing recurring client spend by our base client spend from the same clients over the four quarters ended one year from the date of measurement. We are pleased that client spend retention has continued to improve over time and has reached its highest level since the combination of Elance and oDesk in 2014. Client spend retention illustrates the recurring nature of our business, even though clients are not contractually required to spend on a recurring basis. We expect client spend retention to stabilize in the 106% to 108% range for the near term based upon our analysis of our current cohorts. However, we are focused on increasing recurring spend from existing clients on our platform by building new products, features, and functionality as well as marketing and sales efforts. Now let me provide some additional insights into our business model. We monetize by charging both freelancers and clients different fees in our two-sided B2B marketplace. Our overall take rate, which we define as total revenue as a percentage of GSV, has multiple components and can fluctuate from period to period, impacting revenue growth rates as well as gross margins. Let me explain the three largest drivers of our take rate today in more detail. First, the majority of our total revenue is generated from our marketplace offerings, where we recognize revenue on a net basis. We also have a managed services offering where we engage freelancers for projects, invoice the client directly, and assume responsibility for the work performed, from which we are required to recognize the revenue on a gross basis. Therefore, GSV and revenue are the same amount for our managed services offering. The mix of revenue generated in a quarter from our marketplace offerings versus our managed services offering will impact overall take rate. Our marketplace revenue grew at a faster rate year over year in the third quarter as compared to our managed services revenue, which resulted in a lower overall take rate, but generated a higher gross margin. Second, for our Upwork Standard offering, we charge freelancers a tiered service fee, which we introduced in June of 2016. We charge 20% for the first $500 for each unique freelancer/client relationship; 10% for the next $9,500; and then 5% thereafter. We have seen over time more of these unique relationships getting to the 5% billing tier. We view this as a positive trend for our business, as the goal of the pricing change was to incent long-term relationships and recurring use of our platform, which increases client spend retention and generates incremental GSV and revenue. Third, for our Upwork Standard offering, we charge clients a payment processing and administration fee, which was also introduced in June of 2016. This fee is generally 2.75% of client spend; however, clients can also opt to pay a small monthly subscription fee instead of the 2.75% fee if they choose to pay via ACH or automatic clearinghouse. We have experienced an increase in ACH adoption over time since introducing this client fee. We view this as a positive trend for our business and our clients. ACH adoption lowers our take rate, but increases gross margins as we incur lower payment costs. Our take rate was 14.3% in the third quarter as compared to 14.8% in the third quarter last year. This downward trend was expected, given what I just described. While we have many levers to increase take rate, we plan to be thoughtful about how and when we launch these features. We want to ensure that we are aligning our incentives with those of the freelancers and clients on our platform and that we are adding value when we introduce any new fees. With these key operational metrics in mind, I will now turn to our financial results. Total revenue increased by 23% to $64.1 million. Marketplace revenue increased by 23% to $56.8 million and represented 89% of our total revenue. Growth in marketplace revenue was driven by an increase in the number of core clients and higher client spend retention, which was evidenced by strength in our small business segment, growth in our U.S.-to-U.S. domestic marketplace offering, and an increase in direct sales from our enterprise offering. One additional note is that in the third quarter, we started lapping the launch of our U.S.-to-U.S. domestic marketplace. And therefore, third quarter and our upcoming fourth quarter of 2018 have tougher comparables than our first-half results. Managed services revenue increased by 21% to $7.3 million and grew at a slower rate year over year than our marketplace revenue. We expect this trend to continue in the coming quarters. Non-GAAP gross profit increased by 23% to $43.7 million. Non-GAAP gross margin was 68%, remaining consistent with the third quarter of 2017. Gross margins are influenced by multiple components. First, the mix of revenue between our two offerings. Second, payment processing costs. This is our primary component of cost of revenue and increased by $1.3 million or 18% year over year, which grew slower than revenue. Third, our spend on Amazon Web Services, which grew faster than revenue compared to a year ago as we are currently lapping the move of all of our services to AWS, which we completed in Q1 2018. Fourth, the cost of revenue for freelancer services to deliver managed services increased by 23% to $6.1 million, as more costly freelancer resources were used to provide managed services in this quarter. In future periods, we expect cost of revenue to increase in absolute dollars, although the level and timing of revenue and cost of revenue items could fluctuate and therefore affect our cost of revenue and gross profit in the future. Turning to operating expenses, sales and marketing expenses on a non-GAAP basis in Q3 increased to $18.6 million and represented 29% of total revenue compared to 26% last year. This increase was driven by investments to build out our enterprise sales team as well as marketing and advertising activities to drive brand awareness and attract new users. We intend to continue to invest in ROI-positive opportunities in sales and marketing to drive profitable growth. R&D expenses on a non-GAAP basis in Q3 increased to $13.8 million and represented 21% of total revenue compared to 21% last year. Our R&D spend was focused on our mobile-first transformation as well as efforts to develop new products and features. We believe continued investments in R&D are important to further our strategic objectives. G&A expenses on a non-GAAP basis in Q3 increased to $10.1 million and generated – sorry, represented 16% of total revenue compared to 14% last year. This increase was tied to our efforts to support our transition to a public company. We expect sales and marketing, R&D, and G&A expenses to increase in absolute dollars, although as a percentage of total revenue, it may fluctuate from period to period. Our provision for transaction losses increased by $800,000 to $1.9 million in Q3 and consists primarily of losses from bad debt expense associated with our trade and client receivable balance and credit card chargebacks. Transaction losses increased due to the increase in trade and client receivables and related allowances, and we expect our reserves to increase as GSV grows. Historically, transaction losses have fluctuated between 2% and 3% of total revenue. We focus on the trade-offs between increasing GSV and mitigating losses on our platform. And we are comfortable with the transaction losses in this range. We incurred a net loss of $7.3 million for the third quarter compared to a net loss of $300,000 in the third quarter of 2017. Our basic and diluted net loss per share in the third quarter was negative $0.20 on 36.1 million weighted average common shares outstanding compared to negative $0.01 on 33.3 million weighted average common shares outstanding in the third quarter of 2017. Our Q3 2018 net loss was largely driven by the remeasurement of our convertible preferred stock warrant liability of $3.3 million, which related to a warrant issued in 2013. The value of the convertible preferred stock warrant liability increased significantly as of September 30, 2018. This was due to the proximity of our IPO and the final IPO offering price being significantly higher than the historical estimated fair value used to revalue the convertible preferred stock warrant liability. We have approximately $2.5 million of additional expense in Q4 2018 related to this warrant. Upon our IPO, our warrant liability was converted to additional paid-in capital. We incurred a non-GAAP net loss of $1.4 million in Q3 2018 compared to a non-GAAP net income of $1.9 million in the third quarter of 2017. Our basic and diluted non-GAAP net loss per share in the third quarter was negative $0.04 compared to an earnings per share of $0.06 in the third quarter of 2017. Adjusted EBITDA, a key metric for us in operating the business, was close to breakeven in the third quarter as compared to positive $2.8 million a year ago. We continue to balance investing in sustainable profitable growth while expanding our leadership position of this very large and expanding addressable market opportunity. In April 2018, we established the Upwork Foundation Initiative to further our mission of creating economic opportunities to make peoples lives’ better. This program includes a donor-advised fund created through the Tides Foundation. In May of 2018, the Company issued a warrant to purchase 500,000 shares of its common stock at an exercise price of $0.01 per share. This warrant is exercisable for 1/10 of the shares on each anniversary of the IPO. The proceeds from the sale of such shares will be donated in accordance with the Company’s directive. There was no impact to our Q3 financials from this warrant. But based on today’s stock price of approximately $20 per share, we expect a non-cash charge recorded in G&A related to this warrant of approximately $1 million over the next 12 months, including approximately $250,000 in the fourth quarter of 2018. We plan to exclude the expense in deriving our adjusted EBITDA and non-GAAP net income on a go-forward basis. Now to the balance sheet and cash flows. Our cash balances, funds held in escrow and escrow funds payable, trade and client receivables, and accrued expenses on our balance sheet and the related cash flow from operations are primarily impacted by the timing of funding on our escrow account. Clients pay into an escrow account and payment is released to freelancers after services are completed, approved, and any relevant review period has lapsed. Escrow regulations require us to fund the escrow account with our Company’s operating cash if there is ever a shortage due to the timing of cash receipts from clients for completed hourly billings. Freelancers submit their billings for hourly contracts to their clients on a weekly basis every Sunday. As of Sunday each week, we have not yet collected funds for hourly billings from clients, as these funds are in transit. Therefore, every Sunday we fund any shortage of cash into the escrow with our own operating cash and then collect this cash shortage from clients within the next several days. Consequently, any quarter that ends on Sunday, like it did on September 30, 2018, and December 31, 2017, temporarily reduces our opening cash balances and cash flow from operations. To help fund the escrow account, we drew down $15 million at quarter end from a revolving line of credit, which we repaid on October 1. Please note that the quarter ending March 31, 2019, and June 30, 2019, both end on a Sunday. And therefore, you should expect a similar impact on our balance sheet and cash flow from operations and for us to use the revolving line of credit in a similar fashion. During Q3 2018, we used $18.6 million in operating activities, which was largely driven by the funding of the escrow with our operating cash on the last day of the quarter. We used $1 million in investing activities and had $15.3 million of cash provided by financing activities, mostly due to the draw on our line of credit of $15 million. We recently signed a new lease for our Chicago office and are in negotiations for a new location in Silicon Valley. We expect to invest between $4 million and $5 million in capital improvements in the remainder of 2018 for these new office locations. As a final point on the balance sheet and shares outstanding, we have provided a table in our press release that shows the pro forma basis impact of the IPO as if it had occurred as of September 30, 2018. We raised a net amount of $109.4 million in our IPO, which closed on October 5. We also repaid $10 million from our revolving line of credit in early October. We had 36.9 million common shares outstanding at September 30, 2018. Upon the IPO, we issued 7.8 million shares of common stock and converted 61.3 million shares of preferred stock to common stock on a one-to-one basis. Therefore, as of the date of the IPO, we had approximately 106 million shares of common stock outstanding. If we were a public company at the end of Q3, dividing our non-GAAP net loss of $1.4 million in Q3 2018 into the pro forma 106 million shares of common stock outstanding would result in a net loss per share of negative $0.01. Turning to guidance. For the fourth quarter, we expect revenue in the range of $64.5 million to $66 million and adjusted EBITDA in the range of negative $750,000 to positive $250,000. We expect weighted average common shares outstanding to be in the range of 103 million to 104 million for the fourth quarter. For the full year 2018, we expect revenue in the range of $250.5 million to $252 million and adjusted EBITDA in the range of negative $500,000 to positive $500,000. We expect weighted average common shares outstanding to be in the range of 52 million to 53 million for the full year 2018. As an additional note, we are planning to provide revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges for the first quarter and the full year 2019 on our Q4 2018 quarterly earnings call. Thereafter, we will provide subsequent quarterly guidance and update our full-year guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA. With that, I will turn it over to Stephane for some final thoughts.