Kenneth A. Gunderman
Analyst · TD Cowen
Thanks, Bill. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining. We're very pleased to have closed our merger with Windstream. When we announced this combination in May of 2024, we talked about how fiber is the mission-critical connective tissue for all current and future broadband delivery. Since then, we've not only seen a validation of that thesis, but an acceleration of positive themes that reinforce our views. Since our announcement, for example, 4 of the largest wireless carriers in North America have begun investing heavily in fiber-to-the- home, and we believe that investment will continue. With Kinetic, we own one of the most strategic independent fiber-to-the-home platforms remaining. And with a focus on Tier 2 and 3 markets, our footprint has substantial first-mover advantage is with fiber. We've also seen the dramatic emergence of the hyperscalers as massive bandwidth hogs, and Uniti is one of the few truly national wholesale providers able to support their growth and scale. Importantly, with our close to 5 million connected fiber endpoints by 2029, we will be substantial beneficiaries of the AI inference phase, which is fast approaching. Lastly, since our deal announcement, we've seen a material improvement in the regulatory backdrop for fiber providers, including copper-to-fiber conversions. The FCC has taken a much more commercially favorable position towards copper retirement and a more business-friendly view of communications regulations in general. Many of our state PUCs are following their lead. So with that, we could not be more pleased with our transaction and how well positioned we are as a premier insurgent fiber provider. Before jumping into the quarter, we want to spend a little more time on prepared remarks than normal in order to give a refresher of new Uniti. Starting on Slide 4. First, we are going to accelerate our investment in fiber and expect to pass 3.5 million homes with fiber within the Kinetic footprint by the end of 2029, and we have no plans of stopping there. We also expect that about 75% of our total revenue will be fiber-based by 2029. That conversion to fiber will further fuel the strong core fiber revenue and EBITDA growth we saw during the second quarter. The proven success of fiber-based products, especially when you build first or early in a market like we're doing at Kinetic and Uniti Fiber allows for predictable, steady growth with increasingly improving churn. Our aggressive management of legacy products and services will allow us to eventually achieve stable consolidated revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth. Our mentality and go-to- market strategy will be that of an insurgent share taker with industry-leading NPS scores and a focus on network quality and customer obsession. We believe long-term blended penetration of 40% is not only achievable, but looks increasingly conservative. Slide 5 shows key metrics we plan on presenting each quarter. We currently pass 1.7 million homes with fiber within our Kinetic footprint, and we expect to be at 2 million homes by the end of this year and 3.5 million homes by the end of '29. Even before taking into account our enhanced build plan, our percentage of total revenue on fiber is already around 40%, and we expect that to increase to roughly 75%. Also, the percentage of total revenue that comes from our core business, Kinetic and Fiber Infrastructure is 80% today and growing to 90%, providing a substantially future-proofed business. As demonstrated on Slide 6, the growth in each of our core fiber lines of business has been very strong, and we expect that to continue given the indisputably superior nature of fiber. Given this pace of growth, fiber will soon overtake legacy services as the majority of our revenue and EBITDA. It's important to highlight on this page that we will face headwinds from legacy services that will weigh on consolidated revenue and EBITDA. With that said, I'd like to highlight 3 points. First, these services in no way diminish the value of our core fiber business. Secondly, within a relatively short period of time, the mix shift to higher fiber revenue will make the legacy services increasingly immaterial. And thirdly, in the meantime, these services are generating predictable free cash flow. In order to grow, we have to take market share, and our insurgent mentality is reinforced by very strong NPS scores as shown on Slide 7. We're obsessed with customer satisfaction. And as a result, our industry-leading churn is our superpower. On a go-forward basis, as we transition the majority of Kinetic's footprint to fiber, we'll also start to see material improvements in churn. Finally, we believe we have the right leadership team in place to capitalize on the opportunity ahead, as highlighted on Slide 8. Our collective experience spans successful copper to fiber conversion stories like Frontier and Ziply as well as wholesale and enterprise fiber. And of course, we have substantial strategic and M&A experience for the exciting road ahead. Going forward, we will report our results in 3 segments. The first is Kinetic, which is our fiber-to-the-home platform. Second is fiber infrastructure, which includes Uniti Fiber, Uniti Leasing plus Windstream wholesale. And our third segment is Uniti Solutions, which is the business formerly known as Windstream Enterprise. Starting with Fiber Infrastructure on Slide 10, you can see we had a solid quarter of pro forma Uniti and Windstream consolidated bookings of $1.2 million of MRR. As we foreshadowed, wireless bookings have been a highlight, up 30% in the first half of 2025 compared to the first half of last year. Our anchor lease-up strategy within the Fiber Infrastructure segment will not change going forward. And in fact, the economics when combined with Windstream Wholesale track right in line with our expectations. Importantly, the hyperscaler deals we are pursuing on a consolidated basis are not only in line with these economics, but are tracking ahead of our expectations. As demonstrated on Slides 11 and 12, we have terrific potential in this segment. The chart on the right side of Slide 11 is frankly dated as it shows the industry growth expectations before the hyperscalers theme emerged in earnest. Our new combined wholesale fiber platform not only has an expansive high strand count network to sell with unique metro markets and intercity routes, we also now have capabilities to sell a more robust product set of lit and dark fiber. As you can see on Slide 12, we have an immediate and materially enhanced set of customer MSAs to now sell that larger product set into. In fact, on August 1, Windstream signed a 20-year IRU with a major hyperscaler that spans approximately 500 miles on existing intercity network. The total contract value is approximately $100 million. This is a deal that we've been working on together for some time and would not have been possible without Uniti's network and Windstream's relationship with the customer. This cross-selling opportunity is exactly the type of deal we've been foreshadowing, and we expect to see more in the near future. That's a great segue to our wholesale sales funnel on Slide 13. On a combined basis, our hyperscaler funnel represents about $1.5 billion of total contract value. At Uniti alone, hyperscalers have increased as a percentage of the total funnel from less than 15% a year ago to now 40%, and that's on a total funnel that's increased 80% since 2Q '24. The activity of both companies alone has been very strong, but the closing of this deal is an accelerant, and we expect a nice ramp in the second half of '25 and certainly into '26. Turning to Kinetic. This segment will now include all consumer, wholesale and enterprise customers that are located within the ILEC footprint. As Slide 15 illustrates, consumer represents about 60% of total revenue and is expected to grow to about 75%. And although fiber-based revenue within Kinetic today represents a minority share of total revenue, by 2029, we expect that to be about 85%. As I said earlier, this shift to fiber will result in growth, lower churn and therefore, predictable revenue and EBITDA. Slide 16 shows the cadence of our accelerated fiber build. As a reminder, Kinetic has built a substantial amount of fiber-to-the-node over the past 10 years and building that last mile can be done both cost efficiently and in a timely fashion relative to many of our peers. Also, it's important to point out that the 3.5 million homes that we're passing does not include BEAD nor any out-of-territory builds. We think there's a terrific opportunity to build fiber-to-the-home, utilizing our existing metro-rich Uniti Fiber footprint. And taken together, we see a clear path to up to 4 million fiber homes over time. More to come on that in the future. Turning to Slide 17. As we've now demonstrated at Uniti over the years, if you build fiber first or early to Tier 2 or 3 markets, you have the right to win for many years into the future, and that same strategy is being implemented at Kinetic. 80% of Kinetic's footprint has either one competitor or less, highlighting the competitive dynamics of Tier 2 and 3 markets. I mentioned it earlier, but Kinetic's footprint represents one of the last remaining scale platform opportunities to be first with fiber. Also, as you can see, only 60% of the footprint has a national cable provider that's offering a fixed mobile bundle. And we believe that's one of the real highlights of our footprint. Speaking of the bundle, turning to Slide 18. As we've talked about in the past, we think a wireless bundle at Kinetic today is a nice- to-have, but not a must-have. As this slide demonstrates, we're seeing terrific success thus far with our existing wireless bundle partnership with AT&T with 18x quarter-over-quarter fiber subscriber growth and approximately 50% improvement in churn for those subscribers that bundle. So while we do not think a bundle is critical, it does demonstrate the benefits of the conversion theme we're seeing in the industry. And we think this provides tremendous upside by combining Kinetic with a more robust bundle in the future. I mentioned the favorable regulatory road map earlier at the FCC, but that's also true of our state PUCs. Of the 18 states comprising Kinetic's footprint, 9 have eliminated COLR obligations with deregulation and expanded access to advanced technology. In the remaining 9 states with COLR obligations, we have the flexibility to provide voice services using the technology of our choosing, such as fixed wireless or fiber-based VoIP solutions. So as Slide 19 highlights, by 2029, we believe that over 95% of our customers will be on fiber-to-the-home directly or through alternative technologies like fixed wireless that leverage our substantial fiber-to-the-node investment. We think this is one of our key competitive and strategic advantages, and we'll elaborate more on that in the future. Turning to Slide 21. Before I turn the call over to Paul, I want to talk about Uniti Solutions, which is a robust nationwide managed services provider to Fortune 100 enterprise customers across the country. As I mentioned earlier, this business is not part of our go- forward fiber infrastructure strategy, but it is still a very good business that generates a substantial amount of predictable cash flow. While both revenue and EBITDA are declining, weighing on our top line, as I mentioned earlier, a critical part of our strategy is to retain the most profitable part of this business while maximizing cash flow. We will largely exit TDM by the end of this year. And we believe many of the customers we plan to retain will be huge bandwidth users from AI-generated products when the infra space begins, giving us a potential opportunity to move these customers to fiber. Also, we believe some of the managed services products within this segment can be cross-sold into our Uniti Fiber enterprise base as well as into the Kinetic enterprise base. Taken together, we believe all these things will flatten the decline of this business by 2028, resulting in an NPV of over $1 billion of enterprise value. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Paul.