John Howard
Analyst · CL King. You may proceed
Thank you, Sandy, and good morning, everyone. As you heard from Sandy, our year has started ahead of our expectations and we're reaffirming our full year outlook for sales, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EPS, and capital and cloud implementation expenditures. This morning, I will provide commentary on first quarter results, our balance sheet and capital structure, and some considerations in our fiscal 2024 outlook. With that, let's review our Q1 results. Turning to slide eight. Net sales increased by 0.3% to $7.6 billion, the largest first quarter sales result in our history. Wholesale growth reflected the benefit of inflation, which was nearly offset by a decline in units sold. Sales in our retail business declined by slightly more than 1% as we continued to be impacted by a difficult macro and industry environment. As we announced in late October, we have a new CEO leading retail and remain optimistic that we'll be able to work with our suppliers, franchisees and our associates to sustainably improve performance as we move forward. Flipping to slide nine, let's now take a look at our profitability drivers this quarter. Our gross profit rate prior to the noncash LIFO charge in both years decreased by about 110 basis points, which was in line with our expectations. As we stated on our year-end call, we will be cycling the elevated procurement gains that benefited last year's gross profit rate until the latter part of this year's second quarter. As a reminder, these gains were driven by substantial supplier price increases that drove last year's Q1 inflation rate to over 10%, which is markedly higher than this quarter's rate of around 3%. Partially offsetting the decline in procurement gains was improvement in shrink, which was the lowest we've experienced in the past seven quarters. Our operating cost as a percentage of sales were flat sequentially compared to the fourth quarter and were up 20 basis points compared with the first quarter of last year. We continue to invest in distribution center and transportation labor and in foundational initiatives of our transformation plan to provide the highest possible service levels for our customers. Importantly, within our distribution centers, the improvements in vacancy rates we've discussed on prior calls helped us finish the quarter with the lowest turnover rate in three years and the highest throughput rate in the past two years. This stability in our supply chain is helping to drive tangible benefits in our operating performance. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $117 million or 1.5% of sales, compared to $207 million or 2.7% of sales last year, with the largest difference being the decline in gross profit dollars related to the previously mentioned decline in inflation-driven procurement gains. Within our retail segment, profitability in the quarter was pressured partially as a result of investments in gross margin intended to drive improvements in store traffic and basket size, which should benefit performance in future periods. Our GAAP loss was $0.67 per share, which included $0.63 in charges, primarily relating to the pending sale of our Eden Prairie, Minnesota corporate office, business transformation costs and LIFO. Adjusting for these items, our adjusted EPS totaled a loss of $0.04, compared to income of $1.13 per share last year, with the largest driver of the change being the lower level of adjusted EBITDA. Moving to slide 10. We finished the quarter with total outstanding net debt of $2.29 billion, a $336 million increase compared to year-end. This reflects the usual first quarter investment in working capital as we add inventory going into the holiday selling season in support of our customers, as well as the impact of inflation on product costs. This expected seasonal increase in working capital historically converts to cash in the second and third quarters. We retained significant balance sheet flexibility with ample liquidity and no near-term maturities. Importantly, we have significant optionality embedded in our balance sheet to enable expeditious debt repayment as we drive operational and financial improvement. We will continue to manage our debt structure consistent with optimizing our long-term credit profile. Turning to slide 11. As stated in our press release, we're affirming our full year outlook for fiscal 2024. Net sales of $30.9 billion to $31.5 billion. Adjusted EBITDA of $450 million to $550 million, and adjusted EPS to be in the range of an $0.88 loss to $0.38 of adjusted earnings per share. Our outlook for fiscal '24 capital and cloud implementation expenditures remains at approximately $400 million, including critical investments in our transformation plan, with the largest component going towards network optimization and automation. This also includes investments to continue to improve our technology infrastructure as well as drive higher profitability and growth in the future. This reaffirmed outlook also balances our first quarter progress resetting and restoring profitability and our resilient new business pipeline with a macroeconomic and industry backdrop that remains challenging. We continue to expect inflation to decline and expect a recovery in unit volume to be somewhat prolonged. Additionally, we've seen some recovery in supplier sponsored promotions, which benefits our ecosystem as we work to implement promotions across our 30,000 plus customer locations, but this activity remains below its pre-pandemic peak. In terms of the cadence of our results, we expect adjusted EBITDA to be relatively similar to Q1 in our second quarter. This reflects the challenging consumer and industry environment, incremental distribution network investments, including costs associated with the new DC ahead of its opening tied to our broader network optimization, as well as our continued efforts to reset and restore profitability. In summary, as outlined on slide 12, we're reaffirming our full year guidance for net sales, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EPS, and expect capital and cloud implementation expenditures to remain on pace with the critical investments in our transformation plan necessary to better service our customers and partner with suppliers, which in turn will drive shareholder value. We're encouraged with the start to the fiscal year and the improvements we're seeing within our operations, particularly with increased efficiency and effectiveness in our supply chain. We remain assured in the business, our updated management team and Board of Directors' ability to increase shareholder value. While it's still early, we are gaining confidence in our ability to execute our strategy and believe there are still significant improvement opportunities ahead of us. We look forward to updating you on our progress in March. Operator, please open the line for questions.