Mike Zechmeister
Analyst · Barclays. Your line is open
Thank you Sean, and good evening. I will cover our second quarter performance and updated outlook for fiscal 2019. Let's start with our second quarter results, which now include a full quarter contribution from SUPERVALU. Q2 net sales were $6.15 billion, an increase of approximately $3.62 billion compared to Q2 last year. SUPERVALU accounted for $3.47 billion of the increase while legacy UNFI accounted for the remaining $2.68 billion, which represents comparable year-over-year growth in Q2 of approximately 5.8%. We experienced inflation of 1.26% for the second quarter, which is the highest we've seen in 12 quarters, dating back to second quarter of fiscal 2016. From a channel perspective, legacy SUPERVALU is now included in our reporting. Supermarket channel now represents 63.5% of total net sales, including SUPERVALU’s wholesale net sales of $3.2 billion. Excluding the impact of SUPERVALU, legacy UNFI’s supermarket channel, net sales decreased by approximately 1.4% in Q2. Second quarter Supernatural net sales grew 18.2% over Q2 of last year and represented 17.9% of total net sales compared to 36.8% of total net sales in Q2 last year. Net sales in the independent channel grew 25.3% and represented approximately 13.2% of total net sales. Excluding the impact of SUPERVALU independent channel net sales grew by approximately 4.6%. Lastly, our other channel grew by 44.0% and represented 5.5% of total net sales. Legacy UNFI sales in this channel decreased by 17.4% driven primarily by e-commerce declines where we have yet to cycle sales declines from the less profitable business that we exited last fiscal year. Let's turn to gross margin. Gross margin for the second quarter was 12.39% of net sales and included $8.6 million noncash expense to complete the unwind of the stepped-up basis of SUPERVALU’s inventory, resulting from the purchase accounting that we discussed last quarter. Excluding this expense, gross margin in the second quarter was 12.53% of net sales, a decrease of 217 basis points compared to the same period last year. This decrease was driven by the mix impact of adding SUPERVALU, which operates at a lower gross margin rate, higher levels of shrink at legacy SUPERVALU distribution centers and a shift in customer mix within legacy UNFI including softer sales to non-supernatural channel customers with higher margins. Within legacy UNFI, we also experienced lower year-over-year freight expense which was offset in Q2 by a LIFO charge driven by increased inflammation. Q2 operating expense totaled 12.23% of net sales, 43 basis points favorable to the 12.66% in last year’s second quarter. Legacy UNFI’s operating expenses as a percent of net sales were lower by approximately 54 basis points, primarily driven by the benefit of acquisition synergies. For the quarter, legacy SUPERVALU’s operating expenses as a percent of net sales were approximately 20 basis points higher than legacy UNFI’s. Even though last year's Q2 results did not include SUPERVALU, legacy SUPERVALU’s year-over-year operating costs were higher in Q2 due to the impact of the network realignment projects that Sean discussed as well as additional rent expense from the sale leasebacks completed by legacy SUPERVALU over the past 10 months. In the second quarter, legacy UNFI fuel costs decreased by one basis point as a percent of net sales in comparison to Q2 of fiscal 2018 and represented 44 basis points of distribution net sales. Our diesel fuel cost per gallon increased 3.6% in Q2 versus Q2 last year. And the Department of Energy's national average for diesel fuel was up approximately 6.4% or $0.19 per gallon compared to the same period last year. Share-based compensation expense, which is excluded from adjusted EBITDA, represented 17 basis points of total net sales in Q2 compared to 26 basis points in the second quarter of last year. Operating loss for the second quarter, excluding discontinued operations was $408 million and included several nonrecurring items. First, we recorded a goodwill impairment charge of $370.9 million. I'll elaborate on that in a bit. Second, we recorded restructuring, acquisition and integration-related costs totaling $47.1 million, which includes $19.5 million for lease reserves related to the exit of retail banners. Third was the $8.6 million noncash charge related to unwinding the stepped-up inventory basis at SUPERVALU, which I referenced earlier. Excluding these amounts, operating income was $19 million or 30 basis points as a percent of net sales, compared to $51 million or 2.04% of net sales last year. When excluding the $11.2 million in charges related to exiting the company's Earth Origins Market retail banner. In Q2, the decline was primarily driven by lower gross margins and higher operating expenses related to the DC network realignment that Sean referenced earlier. Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was $143 million, an increase of 79% compared to $80 million last year, driven primarily by the addition of SUPERVALU. Net interest expense in Q2 was $58.7 million and included expense of $2.5 million related to the now retired SUPERVALU bonds and the write-off of $1.0 million of unamortized issuance costs related to certain term loan prepayments made in Q2 with proceeds from asset sales. Excluding these amounts, net interest expense in Q2 was $55.2 million. At the end of the second quarter, we had approximately $2.0 billion of interest rate swaps resulting in approximately 66% of our debt portfolio effectively having fixed interest rates. Q2 GAAP EPS was a loss of $6.72, driven by the nonrecurring items outlined earlier. Excluding these items, adjusted EPS was $0.44 compared to $0.71 from last year’s second quarter. With the change driven primarily by lowering adjusted operating income, higher interest expense, partially offset by the continuation – the contribution from discontinued operations. Let me provide some color on the goodwill impairment charge. Given where our equity has been trading, we performed a comprehensive review of our goodwill, which resulted in a $370.9 million noncash impairment charge in Q2 on the SUPERVALU wholesale reporting unit goodwill. This charge has no impact on the company's cash flows or debt covenants. We anticipate that additional purchase accounting adjustments in Q3 or Q4 could have an impact on goodwill. Total Q2 capital expenditures were $71.3 million or 1.16% of net sales including discontinued operations, as we continue to step up efforts to build capacity in the southeast and western regions of the country. In Q2, we reduced our total net debt by approximately $165 million, approximately $120 million of the net debt reduction was funded with cash generated from operations, net of capital expenditures and working capital performance and including approximately $70 million in net cash received from the sale of Hornbacher's and several other parcels of surplus real estate. Another driver of the net debt reduction in Q2 was a $47 million reduction in capital lease obligations due to the reclassification of approximately $31 million of built-to-suit retail property agreements to other long-term liabilities and a reduction of approximately $16 million due to purchase accounting adjustments. As a reminder, early in Q2 $566 million was used to retire the outstanding SUPERVALU bonds using the restricted cash that was set aside on the Q1 balance sheet. Q2 net debt-to-EBITDA leverage was approximately 5.0 times excluding operating leases and adjusted debt-to-EBITDAR was approximately 4.5 times. These leverage calculations are based on the two ending face value of debt, less cash on hand and the midpoint of updated adjusted EBITDA guidance for fiscal 2019, adjusted to include a full year contribution from SUPERVALU. At the end of Q2, we had $819 million of available liquidity through a combination of outstanding lender commitments under our ABL credit facility and balance sheet cash. This is the highest level of available liquidity in UNFI company history. Let's turn to our fiscal 2019 guidance, based on our performance to-date in the revised outlook for the remainder of the year. We continue to expect full year net sales to be in the range of $21.5 billion to $22.0 billion including the benefit of the 53rd week. Fiscal 2019 adjusted EBITDA including Cub and Shopper’s through the end of fiscal 2019 is expected to be in the range of $580 million to $610 million, which is down $62.5 million at the midpoint versus our prior guidance of $650 million to $665 million. There are three primary drivers of the lower adjusted EBITDA guidance. The largest driver is the weaker than anticipated Q2 results on our legacy SUPERVALU wholesale business combined with the updated distribution center realignment expectations that Sean referenced earlier. Together, these factors reduced our adjusted EBITDA outlook for fiscal 2019 by $35 million to $40 million. Second is our revised expectation associated with gross margin challenges on our legacy UNFI business, including softer sales to non-supernatural channel customers and decreased vendor promotion activity. This contributed to a $10 million to $15 million reduction in our adjusted EBITDA guidance. Third, UNFI elected to move on to LIFO inventory accounting for specified dry packaged products, which combined with the higher inflation assumption on the overall company inventory is expected to contribute another $10 million to $15 million of noncash expense in fiscal 2019 compared to our previous adjusted EBITDA guidance. As a reminder, under LIFO, when fiscal year-over-year inflation is expected on the year-end inventory, LIFO reserves are increased. This results in higher cost of goods relative to the FIFO inventory method but lower cash taxes by electing to move legacy UNFI onto LIFO, we expect to avoid approximately $50 million in cash taxes that would have been payable that we moved to legacy SUPERVALU off the LIFO method. Our fiscal 2019 GAAP EPS is expected to be a loss in the range of $6.50 to $6.10 per basic share. Fiscal 2019 adjusted EPS is expected to be in the range of $2 to 2.40 per diluted share. The increase in adjusted EPS guidance is driven by lower than previously forecasted depreciation and amortization, resulting from our updated work on purchase accounting and lower than previously forecasted stock-based compensation expense. Fiscal 2019 guidance for adjusted interest expense and capital expenditures remain unchanged. Adjusted interest expense is expected to be in the range of $181 million to $191 million and capital expenditures are expected to be 1.3% to 1.5% of net sales. Our forecast for onetime restructuring, acquisition and integration-related expenses for fiscal 2019 increased by $9.5 million to $172 million, due to higher than previously forecasted severance expense. As a reminder, if Shopper’s or Cub were divested prior to the end of the fiscal year, we would expect to incur additional onetime expenses. Our press release contains the reconciliation between GAAP net income and adjusted EBITDA and the supplemental slides provide a walk from the midpoint of our previous guidance for adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS to the midpoint of our revised guidance. Moving to taxes, we continue to expect to pay less than $20 million in cash taxes related to fiscal 2019 business operations. We did however make a $59 million tax payment in Q2 that was not related to fiscal 2019 business operations, which I'll review momentarily. Normally, we would provide an adjusted tax rate, but given the negative expected GAAP earnings and the positive adjusted earnings, we believe the adjusted tax rate is not as helpful as providing the estimated cash tax that we expect to pay. We are working on a significant and valuable tax election related to the SUPERVALU acquisition that we expect to make in the back half of fiscal 2019. These 338(g) tax elections treat the acquisition for tax purposes only as an asset purchase rather than a stock purchase. They will allow UNFI to utilize a significant portion of the $2.9 billion capital loss carryforward that SUPERVALU generated from the divestiture of Albertsons in calendar 2013. Under these elections, we will be able to step up the tax basis of the acquired assets, the fair market value, which provides UNFI with increased future depreciation and amortization deductions lowers our taxable income and reduces future tax obligations. To achieve the 338(g) benefits, we made a $59 million cash tax payment in February for our ordinary income associated with these elections. Net of that payment, we expect these elections to generate cash tax savings of an estimated $300 million over the next 15 years. The 338(g) related tax savings are expected to begin in the back half of fiscal 2019. In fiscal 2020, we are expecting net cash benefits of more than $20 million associated with these elections. Now let me turn the call back over to Steve.