Mike Thomson
Analyst · DeepDive Equity Research. Please go ahead
Thank you, Peter, and good morning, everyone. In my discussion today, I will refer to both GAAP and non-GAAP results. As a reminder, reconciliations of these metrics are available in our earnings materials. As Peter highlighted, we are pleased with the progress we made during 2021 on our key operational and financial objectives. The progress resulted in year-over-year growth in full year revenue, profitability and free cash flow. It also resulted in us being free cash flow positive for the first time since 2016, supported by year-over-year gross profit and gross margin increases in each of our three segments. We also achieved all of our full year guidance metrics. We believe that the investments we made during the year in enhancing our solutions, our go-to-market strategy and the proactive approach to workforce management positions us well to advance our momentum in 2022. We are expecting accelerated revenue growth and additional profitability improvement, which I will highlight when I cover our 2022 guidance shortly. First, let me review the results for 2021, full year revenue growth of 1.4% year-over-year, which is above the midpoint of our guidance range of zero percent to 2% growth. Our ongoing enhancements to our cloud capabilities and efforts to increase awareness with industry analysts and clients resulted in C&I being the fastest growing segment for the year, with full year 2021 revenue growing at 6.7% year-over-year to $496.5 million, now representing approximately a quarter of total company revenue. This was supported by full year cloud revenue growth within the segment of 22% year-over-year. As we noted on our last call, we expected C&I revenue to be down year-over-year in the fourth quarter due to a one-time revenue pickup we received in the prior year period from a public sector client. Ultimately, C&I’s fourth quarter revenue came in a little stronger than expectations. ECS full year 2021 revenue grew 2.7% year-over-year. This annual growth was above our internal expectations, primarily as a result of several contracts which were renewed earlier than planned. We continued to see strong demand for our ClearPath Forward Solutions and our large client renewal rate remains above 95%. As we have previously noted, we expected ECS license revenue to be split approximately 55% and 45% between the first half and second half of the year, based on our anticipated software renewal cadence. As a reminder, the 2020 first half/second half license split was 40% and 60%, with 40% of the full year license revenue coming in the fourth quarter. As a result, fourth quarter ECS revenue was down 13.3% year-over-year, so was better than expected and pushed the first half/second half license revenue split to 50-50. With respect to DWS, as Peter mentioned, we now have our base portfolio of integrated experience offerings established and we are moving into the next phase of our transformation of this segment, with an emphasis on continued enrichment of our solutions, implementing our go-to-market strategy, and ultimately, increasing wallet share for new logo expansion. Peter noted some of the examples of recent client wins showing traction with our enhanced offerings. As we remarked on our last call, we have also transitioned away from some heritage contracts that were not core to our future growth and not part of our client experience roadmap. The exclusion of these contracts resulted in DWS revenue being down 5.6% year-over-year in the fourth quarter and 3.6% for the full year. We renewed all material contracts scheduled to be renewed in the fourth quarter, and as I will get to shortly, gross profit for the segment was up in both periods even with lower revenue, which in part illustrates the low margin nature of the work we exited. Overall, as I noted, our 2021 revenue results were in line with our guidance. We expect accelerated revenue growth in 2022 and are providing revenue growth guidance of 5% to 7% for the full year of 2022, with 1% to 3% of that growth coming from organic operations. This guidance implies even higher growth rate for the rest of the business when considering that we expect ECS revenue to be down high-single digits or low-double digits year-over-year due to the 2022 ClearPath Forward anticipated license renewal schedule. As a reminder, this means that we expect fewer contracts to be up for renewal in 2022, not that we are expecting lower renewal rates. Our first half/second half ECS license revenue split is expected to be approximately 35% and 65% in the front half and back half of 2022. Total company backlog was flat sequentially at $3 billion. As a reminder, the ramp up of our go-to-market strategy and the hiring of additional direct sellers, as well as the emphasis on channel sales and the addition of advisory capabilities was all happening in the back half of 2021. We are expecting backlog to increase throughout 2022 and into 2023. We are also expecting a 5% to 10% increase in backlog for the full year 2022. As we discussed, the type of solutions that we are shifting towards are less capital intensive and have a shorter implementation timeframe, which we believe will lead us to quicker conversion of backlog to revenue than we have seen in the past. This is supported by year-over-year increases in ACV that Peter mentioned. Of the $3 billion in backlog, we expect approximately $365 million will convert into revenue in the first quarter of 2022. We expect first quarter total company revenue to be down low-double digits year-over-year due to the timing of the ECS ClearPath Forward license revenue schedule that I mentioned previously. Moving to profitability, full year 2021 total company gross profit was up 18.4% year-over-year and gross profit margin was up 400 basis points year-over-year. These results were supported by year-over-year improvements in full year gross profit and gross profit margin for each of our three segments. Fourth quarter DWS gross margin increased 160 basis points, and as a result, gross profit was up 6.9% year-over-year even with lower revenue. Additionally, full year DWS gross profit was up 38% year-over-year and full year DWS gross profit margin was up 410 basis points year-over-year, based on the improvements to efficiencies made throughout 2021, the exiting of some low margin contracts, as well as our focus on our higher margin experience solutions. Full year 2021, C&I gross profit increased 144% year-over-year to $56.6 million, with fourth quarter C&I gross profit up 24.7% year-over-year. Full year, C&I gross margin improved 640 basis points to 11.4%, with fourth quarter C&I gross profit margin up 310 basis points to 15.2%. These increases were driven by improvements to margin in both Cloud Solutions and Traditional Infrastructure Work. Although, fourth quarter ECS gross profit was down 13.4% due to the revenue timing I mentioned, gross margin was flat year-over-year. Full year ECS gross profit increased 14.1% year-over-year to $428.6 million and full year gross margin increased 620 basis points to 63.1%. As a reminder, our targeted growth in ECS segment is through the expansion of our services offerings, which is expected to put modest pressure on ECS margins in the future, but would be a benefit to gross profit and overall company margins. We also saw significant improvement year-over-year in our full year non-GAAP operating profit, which was up 25.6% to $192.8 million, and in our full year non-GAAP operating profit margin, which was up 180 basis points to 9.4%, a little stronger than we had anticipated going into the fourth quarter. Non-GAAP operating profit margin was down 230 basis points in the fourth quarter, due to the revenue and profitability items I mentioned, but again a bit stronger than we expected entering the quarter. As we have previously discussed, we are anticipating a slight drag on operating profit, as we continue investing in our go-to-market strategy required to support our continued growth, as well as investing to retain and attract top talent within the context of a highly competitive labor market. The ClearPath Forward renewal schedule will also impact margins in 2022. In spite of all these factors, we expect anticipated benefits from our continued efficiency improvement efforts and the benefit of the shift to higher margin solutions through our development efforts and successful integration of the acquisitions we made in 2021 to absorb the pressures on margin and we are setting our non-GAAP operating profit margin guidance for 2022 at 9.5% to 10.5% still showing advancement even at the floor of our range. As we have noted in our calls throughout 2021, we have undertaken significant efforts to continue to derisk our balance sheet, including removing $1.2 billion of gross pension liabilities during the year, in addition to the $300 million of liabilities removed in the fourth quarter of 2020. The successful derisking efforts resulted in approximately $500 million or $6.77 per diluted share of required non-cash pretax settlement charges during 2021 versus approximately $140 million or $2.25 per diluted share of such charges in 2020. As a result, our net loss from continuing operations for the full year 2021 was $448.5 million or $6.75 per diluted share versus $317.7 million or $5.05 per diluted share in the prior year period. Full year, non-GAAP net income was $117.5 million versus $75.4 million in 2020 and full year non-GAAP EPS was $1.75 per diluted share versus $1.13 per diluted share in 2020, representing a 55% increase in non-GAAP diluted EPS. As with revenue and non-GAAP operating profit, we saw significant improvement in our full year adjusted EBITDA results. Full year adjusted EBITDA increased to 15.3% year-over-year to $369.9 million relative to $320.8 million in 2020 and full year adjusted EBITDA margin increased 220 basis points year-over-year to 18% versus 15.8% in 2020, based on similar drivers as non-GAAP operating profit and margin. This was all above the midpoint of our guidance range, which was 17.25% to 18.25%. For 2022, we expect similar improvement in adjusted EBITDA margin, as we noted, with respect to non-GAAP operating profit margin, and as a result, our 2022 guidance for this metric is 18% to 19%. We continue to employ our capital light strategy and our focus on integrating best-in-class offerings to enhance our solutions and optimize development costs. Our full year 2021 capital expenditures declined approximately $30 million year-over-year to $100 million. However, in 2022, we expect to increase and be between $125 million and $150 million to support our recent anticipated new logo contract wins. We are also excited to report a significant improvement in full year cash flow, including being free cash flow positive for the first time since 2016. Full year 2021 free cash flow was up $843.6 million year-over-year to $32.3 million in line with our internal expectations and full year adjusted free cash flow was up $129.6 million to $172.2 million. While we don’t provide guidance on free cash flow, we expect to see significant improvement in this metric in 2022, given our anticipated ongoing margin improvements, the modest remaining cash charges associated with the optimization program we completed in 2021 and the removal of the required pension contributions for our U.S. qualified pension plan. We are expecting cash taxes to be between $50 million and $55 million, working capital is expected to decline to a use of $10 million to $20 million, cash interest is expected to be approximately $35 million, and lastly, we expect approximately $10 million to $15 million in remaining cash payments associated with the actions in the optimization program that we completed in 2021. As of the end of 2021, our global pension deficit decreased by a $283 million relative to our position as of year-end 2020 to approximately $750 million. Additionally, based on the calculations and actuarial assumptions as of December 31, 2021, no future cash contributions are required for our U.S. Qualified Defined Benefit Pension Plans for at least the next 10 years. Our other plans at this point require approximately $40 million of contributions in 2022, stepping down to approximately $35 million per year from 2023 to 2026. Our net leverage also remains low, and we have a healthy cash balance. Excluding the deficit for our U.S. Qualified Defined Benefit Pension Plan, our net leverage is 0.6 times and our cash balance is $553 million as of the end of 2021 more than double our working capital needs. To wrap up, we are energized to see the efforts across the company and see our strategy translating into significant improvement in our financial performance. We look forward to continue executing against our medium-term goals and achieving our 2022 guidance in the year ahead. With that, I will turn the call back over to Peter. Peter?