Earnings Labs

UGI Corporation (UGI)

Q2 2019 Earnings Call· Tue, May 7, 2019

$37.73

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. My name is Denise and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time I'd like to welcome everyone to the UGI Corporation AmeriGas Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2019 Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. Brendan Heck, Director of Investor Relations, you may begin your conference.

Brendan Heck

Analyst

Thank you, Denise. Good morning everyone and thanks for joining us. With me today are Ted Jastrzebski, CFO of UGI Corporation; Hugh Gallagher, President and CEO of AmeriGas Propane; and John Walsh, President and CEO of UGI. Before we begin, let me remind you that our comments today include certain forward-looking statements, which management believes to be reasonable as of today's date only. Actual results may differ significantly because of risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. Please read our earnings release and our Annual Report on Form 10-K for an extensive list of factors that could affect results. We assume no duty to update or revise forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that are different from expectations. We'll also describe our business using certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of these measures to the comparable GAAP measures are available in the appendix of our presentation. Now, let me turn the call over to John.

John Walsh

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Thanks Brendan. Good morning everyone. Welcome to our call. I hope that you all have the opportunity to review our press releases reporting second quarter results for UGI and AmeriGas. Our results in Q2 reflect a second consecutive quarter of very warm weather in Europe as well as the impact of limited weather volatility in the Marcellus region on our capacity management business. Despite these challenges, we delivered a solid performance in the quarter posting the second best Q2 adjusted EPS in our history. On today's call, I'll comment on key activities and market developments in the quarter and then I'll turn it over to Ted who provides you with an overview of UGI's financial performance. Hugh will review Q2 for AmeriGas and I'll wrap up with an update on our strategic initiatives. Our Q2 gas EPS was $1.38 and our adjusted EPS was $1.43. Net adjusted Q2 EPS was 15% below our record fiscal 2018 Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.69, but 9% above Q2 fiscal 2017 adjusted EPS of $1.31. As I noted earlier, this is the second highest Q2 adjusted EPS in UGI's history. Both quarters have been adjusted for the mark-to-market valuation of unsettled hedges and other items which Ted will cover later. I should also note that our Q2 fiscal 2018 results included a $0.09 positive impact from tax reform in our Utilities business, which was subsequently returned to ratepayers in Q3 fiscal 2018. For reaffirming our updated guidance of $2.40 to $2.60, which we reviewed on our April 2nd call. Ted will provide more detail on our outlook in his comments. In addition to the solid earnings performance in the second quarter, there was significant progress on our strategic projects and initiatives. On April 2, we announced an agreement to acquire all the common units…

Ted Jastrzebski

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Thanks John. As John mentioned, the results this quarter were solid, but fell short of our record earnings last year. Adjusted earnings per share were $1.43 versus $1.65 in Q2 2018. This table lays out our GAAP and adjusted earnings per share for the second quarter of fiscal 2019 compared to the second quarter of fiscal 2018. As you can see, our adjusted earnings exclude a number of items such as the impact of mark-to-market changes in commodity hedging instruments a loss of $0.07 this year versus the loss of $0.08 last year. This quarter we had $0.02 of unrealized gains on our foreign currency derivative instruments loss of $0.01 in 2018. As mentioned last quarter, you can also see that we no longer have Finagaz integration expense as this acquisition has been fully integrated. Lastly, this quarter we booked approximately 200,000 of expense paid into the proposed merger with AmeriGas, but the impact to adjusted EPS is negligible. Adjusted earnings per share decreased $0.26 versus Q2 of 2018. For our LPG businesses, AmeriGas experienced colder winter [ph] overall significantly warmer than normal weather in the southeastern U.S. during January and February. They were down a $0.01 versus last year. Our international business continues to face warmer weather conditions, but net income is up as a result of focused margin and expense management. Additionally, we benefited from reduced statutory tax rates in France. I'll speak to international results in more detail in a moment. For our natural gas businesses, adjusted EPS for both Midstream & Marketing and Utilities declined $0.22 and $0.04 respectively. Less volatile weather and increased pipeline restrictions in the Midstream & Marketing business limited capacity management margin. At the Utility, adjusted earnings were down versus last year primarily due to the $0.09 benefit in the prior period…

Hugh Gallagher

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Thanks, Ted. Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of fiscal 2019 was $290.3 million, compared to $309.5 million for the second quarter of last year. Nationwide degree days within Q2 were 4% colder than the 15-year norm and 5% colder than last year. Our financial results, which usually track the weather quite well did not this quarter largely due to regional weather patterns that I want to explain. The most intense cold was concentrated in the plains where as you know we have a little in the way of operations presence. Conversely, in the southeastern U.S. where we have a significant presence, we experienced temperatures that were significantly warmer than normal than last year, especially in January and February. So our overall adjusted EBITDA was down from last year, primarily due to nearly 19% year-over-year shortfall and EBITDA contribution from our operations in the south. Similarly, retail volumes for the quarter were down 4% from last year with the short fall also primarily related to our operations in South East. Turning now to our growth thrust, both our National Accounts and Amerigas Cylinder Exchange programs continue to experience solid growth with volumes for both programs increasing in the range of 67%. We are making good progress in developing the home cylinder delivery concept, the integration of the business we acquired late last year has progressed very well and we are in our initial – we're planning our initial pilot for later this summer. We continue to experience strong demand for AmeriGas Cylinder Exchange. We are finalizing expansion plans with a major retailer and the large convenience store chain that would result in the rollout of several hundred additional 24/7 automated cylinder vending locations by the end of this calendar year. We were pleased to announce the transaction that UGI would acquire 100% of Amerigas including our 120-day review. As the various merger related work streams continue to advance for an anticipated Q4 closing date, we remain focused on key business initiatives for fiscal 2020 as we strive to take the business forward and generate long-term sustainable financial performance. As I stated last quarter, we are focused on leveraging technology and our scale to advance our customer facing capability and generate business efficiencies that will lower our costs. The cylinder exchange announcements we're making today are tangible sign of this focus and that it is already starting to build momentum. In closing, I want to thank our employees both on the front lines and in support roles for their continued commitment to our customers and our company. And with that I'll turn it over to John for his closing remarks.

John Walsh

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Thanks Hugh. As I mentioned in my earlier remarks, we were pleased report one of the best Q2 adjusted EPS results in UTIs history. In addition to that earnings performance, there were several other noteworthy achievements in the quarter that will position us well for future earnings growth. Our midstream and marketing team remains focused on building out its asset network across the Marcellus region. We continue to grow our fee based income stream as we add new gathering assets in the Marcellus and utilized our new Steelton LNG storage and vaporization. This shift to a higher percentage of fee-based income is central to our long-term midstream strategy. Many East Coast LDCs including UGI, experienced record natural gas send out levels in January, once again demonstrating the need for peaking solution. In response to that rising demand we've begun construction of our new LNG storage and vaporization facility near Bethlehem, Pennsylvania. This project representing approximately $60 million investment will add two million gallons of LNG storage to our network. It will enhance our ability to meet the rapidly growing demand for LNG and strengthen our ability to use our LNG system assets dynamically based on market conditions. Our investment outlook for utility remains very strong. We're deploying record levels of capital to address infrastructure needs while growing our customer base. Our teams are focused on providing safe, affordable, and reliable access to low cost natural gas to the 660,000 families and businesses we serve throughout central and eastern Pennsylvania. We're also committed to providing access in previously un-served or underserved areas of the Commonwealth. We're likely to invest approximately $2 billion in capital over the next five years. We filed our largest ever rate case request of $71.1 million with the Pennsylvania PUC in late January. The scale of the…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Dennis Coleman with Bank of America. Your line is open.

Dennis Coleman

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Hi. Good morning. Thank you.

Hugh Gallagher

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Good morning.

Dennis Coleman

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

A couple of questions from me if you would please, just on the rate case, can you just remind me what the timeline is? I know you just talked about concluding later this year, but are there any milestones we can watch put along the way, or filings, or actions by the PUC that we should watch for?

Hugh Gallagher

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Yes we filed in the late January, the PUC review process is underway, testimonies have been filed and hearings have been scheduled. The typical timeframe or resolution is early fall in these cases. Previously for us and most other companies in Pennsylvania that involves a settlement, but that process will obviously play out over the next four to five months, four months or so.

Dennis Coleman

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Okay. Have you had settlement discussions already or is that's something that's scheduled as well?

Hugh Gallagher

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

We're still in the process of the various parties filing testimony.

Dennis Coleman

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Okay.

Hugh Gallagher

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

That would [indiscernible] conclusion of that process.

Dennis Coleman

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

So too soon for that.

Hugh Gallagher

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Yes.

Dennis Coleman

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Okay. I guess one other one, you mentioned the M&A and a lot that APU transaction allowing you to do that. Talk a little bit about, I guess, it's a broad question, but areas that you're looking at, and I know you've talked about this in the past, but any updates there would be a useful?

Hugh Gallagher

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Sure, we look broadly across, in terms of M&A we look across the entire corporation. So we would continue to do that across our propane businesses further opportunities to invest in Europe, which certainly fit that description. We're focused in the short term in AmeriGas on the upcoming transactions, but the longer term there'll be opportunities there. And on the natural gas side of our business most recently we've made several acquisitions in fall involving natural gas gathering systems and continue to look for opportunities there as that segment or area evolves. So we’d look broadly across, the greater Marcellus region for midstream investment opportunities, M&A and having continuing interest in utilities M&A, and anything we look at is always in fact to our normal return requirements in terms of deploying capital. So we look at it through that filter, but it's a broad based, set of activities we have that spans the entire corporation at M&A opportunities and major CAPO project opportunities and not exclusive to the natural gas side of the house and then to be clustered on that side.

Dennis Coleman

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Got it, thanks for reviewing that. That's it from me.

Hugh Gallagher

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Okay, great. Thanks Den.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Chris Sighinolfi with Jefferies. Your line is open.

Chris Sighinolfi

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Hey, good morning John.

John Walsh

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Good morning.

Chris Sighinolfi

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Just wanted to touch on a couple of things, I guess first off with regard to, I guess it's a two-part question, but with regards to the performance this past quarter, and we talked about this, I think, on your last quarter call, but something that's detailed in the S4 is just the experience that AmeriGas’ space, but you see on the UGI front as well with regional variations in weather and the difficulty that that is, I guess, presenting in terms of forecasting and maybe even operating the company. I'm just wondering if there's things that came out of the review that you might look to do differently in regards to, I guess, both forecasting, but also operating the company, anything that comes to mind to help us think about minimization of variability on a go forward basis post the acquisition.

Hugh Gallagher

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Yes in terms of challenges presented just by variable weather conditions, it's not a new challenge for us, but we have to be prepared and do respond. And I think Ted had noted in his comments, I think, in Europe we did a nice job responding to where we had the most challenging weather this year. One of the areas that we're focusing on is where we can better leverage our scale to take fixed cost out of our activities, to point technology driver our cost down. So certainly the more we can do in terms of – in some case we're broadly deporting technology that we've already begun to utilize and drive it across our propane businesses consistently, that will help us in terms of addressing challenges and having to avoid that come up each year with where the cold and where the warm weather occurs. So that's, I think, a consistent theme that you'll be hearing from us as we move forward is can we accelerate some of these efforts and enable us to be a little bit more nimble in terms of powered respond to a differing operating conditions, both warm and cold.

Chris Sighinolfi

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Okay. And just a clarification point for me, it's not regarding the quarter, it's more on the S4, which you filed last night and talked about in your release. I just wanted to be clear the forecast that I see in there, those are all, I know, is a series of footnotes, but those are all independent, they are not pro forma looks. Is that correct? In terms of what – go ahead.

Hugh Gallagher

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

As you've seen, we're looking, reviewing and Chris, it's a very extensive document. So you have various advisors that did some forecasting based on information that was provided to them by the company. The basis our planning for the company is budgeted planned process that we go through each summer as we come out of the winter. So that’s sort of the foundation for the work that was done and then shared with financial advisors that work with various independent parties in that process with some minor updates. And obviously as we’ve come out of the winter now we initiate another pretty extensive process looking at each of our businesses and the markets in which we operate. And that will be reflected when we come to market with an updated view for fiscal 2020. That's kind of the way that process works.

Chris Sighinolfi

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Okay. But I guess when I looked at clearly that the attributes of the DOR are significant on the cash front and you and Ted have talked about that. You talked about that in the merger call. And again today we had a chance to separately go over some of that. But I guess when I think of that EPS accretion, which I think, you guys noted beginning in fiscal 2020, I guess the spirit of my question John is when I looked at Page 70 of that and I see independent – it looks to be independent forecast based on the implied share count. Is it safe or fair to assume that the accretion you talk about with the sort of levels in excesses of what I see reflected on that page or are those numbers third-party provided and not something we should anchor to?

Ted Jastrzebski

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Those numbers are, as I said, some of the numbers and I've been looking at the document to review the specific forecast that you are referencing, basically they started with information that management provided and then those advisors ran different scenarios for the special committee of the AmeriGas Board that was established.

Chris Sighinolfi

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Okay…

John Walsh

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Just fundamentally what I’d say on EPS accretion Chris is come back to the payments we made when we announced the transaction. This will be EPS accretive, it's much more of a cash flow impact. But it’s, yes, positive that EPS benefit trends will grow over time because we have a sizable increase in cash available for reinvestment. So it's a positive EPS story at the outset that it is enhanced over time by our ability to take that cash and redeploy.

Chris Sighinolfi

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Understood, understood. Alright, well thanks a lot. Appreciate the time this morning.

John Walsh

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Sure.

Hugh Gallagher

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions in queue up at this time. I’ll turn the call back over to John Walsh.

John Walsh

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Okay. Well thank you for your time and attention this morning. We look forward to speaking with you in the near future when we review on our Q3 results.

Ted Jastrzebski

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call, you may now disconnect.