Michael Cole
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets
Thank you, Will. Net sales for the quarter were $1.56 billion, reflecting a 5% decline from $1.65 billion last year, because of modest declines in overall volumes and pricing. Share gains and recent acquisitions helped to offset some of the volume pressure from softer demand and more competitive pricing was primarily isolated to our Site Built unit. These headwinds resulted in a 15% decline in our adjusted EBITDA to $140 million, while adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 9% from 10% a year ago. Importantly, the structural improvements we've made in the business since 2019 have resulted in a nearly 200 basis point improvement in overall margins since that time. It's worth noting that 75% of the decline in our consolidated gross profit was due to lower volume and pricing in our Site Built business as affordability and confidence levels continue to weigh on residential construction activity. Even in this environment, our trailing 12-month return on invested capital stands at 14.5%, well above our weighted average cost of capital, clear evidence of the strength of our balanced business model. Operating cash flow was $399 million, and we maintain a robust cash position of over $1 billion, giving us the flexibility to pursue our strategic objectives. As we remain patient for the right M&A opportunities to materialize, we've returned significant capital to shareholders, repurchasing nearly 6% of our total outstanding shares through October. Moving to our segments. Sales to customers in our Retail segment were $594 million, a 7% decline compared to last year, driven by softer repair and remodel demand and our strategic exit from lower-margin product lines. Within our business units, ProWood volumes declined 5%, reflecting higher interest rates and weaker consumer sentiment. Deckorators delivered 5% unit growth and 8% net sales growth, including a 31% increase in Surestone decking and 9% growth in wood plastic composite decking. These gains were partially offset by a 13% decline in railing sales. As we discussed last quarter, our reeling sales declined due to the loss of placement with a large retail customer, which, to a lesser extent, offset some of our wood plastic composite decking growth. Positively, we gained share with another major retailer through the launch of our Summit Surestone decking, positioning us for a net market share gain as we expand capacity to supply approximately 1,500 stores. We expect to capture the full benefit of the share gain in 2026, an important step toward our goal of doubling our composite ducking and railing market share over the next 5 years. While our year-over-year gross profits in retail declined by $13 million, we consider the causes to be temporary. Falling lumber prices weighed on the profitability of our ProWood pressure-treated products. Inefficiencies associated with implementing and running our new composite decking capacity will be overcome as the lines reach optimal efficiency shortly. And lower volumes and inefficiencies resulting from the wind-down activities at our Edge manufacturing locations will be eliminated as we move production to other plants. Adjusted EBITDA in retail declined by $11 million because of the decline in gross profit and foreign exchange gains last year offset by a decrease in SG&A expenses despite significant investments we've made in building the Surestone brand. As we indicated last quarter, the closure of the two Edge manufacturing facilities is expected to improve adjusted EBITDA by $16 million in 2026. Looking ahead, we believe the continued improvement and resiliency of our ProWood business growth and margin potential of our Deckorators unit, restructuring of Edge and SG&A improvements position us well for stronger results ahead. Packaging sales were $395 million, down 2% with a 3% organic unit decline, offset by 1% growth from recent acquisitions. Pricing remains stable, and we continue to gain share with key customers. Protective Packaging volumes grew 15% driven by geographic expansion. While gross profit declined by $4 million due to price competition in PalletOne, overall sequential trends in this segment are stabilizing, providing cautious optimism for 2026. Adjusted EBITDA in this segment was flat year-over-year, supported by SG&A reductions. Construction sales were $496 million, down 7%, primarily due to volume and pricing pressure in Site Built as we protect our share. positively, volumes grew significantly in Factory Built, commercial and concrete forming, highlighting the strength of our diversified portfolio. Gross profit declined $20 million year-over-year, entirely due to Site Built but it's important to note profitability remains above 2019 levels, reflecting structural improvements. Adjusted EBITDA declined $9 million as we reduced SG&A by $10 million and align costs with current demand. In this environment, we remain focused on balancing cost discipline with long-term growth investments, expanding market share, driving innovation, strengthening our brands and improving efficiency through technology. Consolidated SG&A declined $13 million this quarter, even though we invested significantly in advertising for Surestone driven by a $7 million decline in incentive compensation and a $12 million reduction in our core SG&A. Looking ahead, we've targeted an annual run rate of EBITDA improvements from cost and capacity reductions, of $60 million by 2026. Our plan for SG&A expenses in 2025, excluding highly variable sales and bonus incentives is $137 million for Q4 and $553 million for the year. The annual target is $11 million lower compared to 2024, and it's comprised of $31 million of anticipated cost reductions offset by a $20 million increase in Deckorators advertising costs. Additionally, our Q4 targets are 3% of gross profit for sales incentives, 18% of pre-bonus operating profit for current year bonuses and $7 million of vesting expense associated with prior year share grants under our bonus plan. In addition to SG&A reductions, we've taken actions to reduce and consolidate capacity at locations that don't meet our profitability targets. We anticipate these actions will have a favorable impact on gross profits totaling nearly $14 million in 2025. And as I previously mentioned, the closure of our Bonner facilities is expected to eliminate operating losses totaling $16 million in 2026. Based on the actions we've taken to date and opportunities for continued improvement, we're confident in our ability to meet or exceed our goal of $60 million in cost out by the end of 2026. Moving on to our cash flow statement. Our operating cash flow was $399 million for the year, supported by strong working capital management. The strength of our free cash flow generation has allowed us to continue to invest in growing and improving key parts of our business. while also more aggressively pursuing share repurchases at an attractive price. For the year, our investing activities include $206 million in capital expenditures, comprising $81 million in maintenance CapEx and $124 million of expansionary CapEx. Our expansionary investments are primarily focused on capacity expansion for manufacturing new and value-added products geographic growth in our core higher-margin businesses and efficiency gains through automation. Our investing activities also include three small acquisitions. Finally, our financing activities primarily consisted of returning capital to shareholders through almost $62 million in dividends and $291 million in share repurchases. Turning to our capital structure and resources. We continue to have a strong balance sheet with over $1 billion in cash and total liquidity of $2.3 billion. Our capital allocation priorities remain unchanged: invest in organic and inorganic growth grow dividends in line with long-term free cash flow and repurchased our stock to offset dilution from share-based compensation plans and opportunistically buy back more stock when we believe it's trading at a discounted value. With these points in mind, our Board approved a quarterly dividend of $0.35 a share to be paid in December, representing a 6% increase from the rate paid a year ago. Last July, our Board of Directors approved a new $300 million share repurchase authorization that's effective through the end of July 2026. We were active in the quarter and repurchased almost 840,000 shares or nearly $78 million through October under this authorization. This brings our total repurchases in 2025, to $347 million or roughly 6.5% of our market capitalization. We currently plan to spend approximately $275 million to $300 million for CapEx for the year, slightly lower than previously anticipated due to longer lead times for launching and completing certain projects. Finally, we continue to pursue a healthy pipeline of M&A opportunities across our portfolio. that are a strong strategic fit and provide higher margin return and growth potential. We'll remain patient and disciplined on valuation as we pursue these opportunities. Finally, our outlook remains consistent. Low single-digit unit declines across each of our segments through year-end, reflecting soft demand and pricing pressure. Cycle faces the most pronounced headwinds, while our other businesses show signs of stabilization or modest growth. We're confident that our actions, cost reductions, capacity optimization and strategic investments position us well for above-market growth and margin expansion as business conditions normalize. With that, we'll open it up for questions.