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Unifi, Inc. (UFI)

Q1 2023 Earnings Call· Sun, Nov 6, 2022

$3.62

-0.82%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. My name is Devin, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Q1 2023 Unifi, Inc. Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]

A Eaker

Analyst

Thank you, Devin, and good morning, everyone. On the call today is Al Carey, Executive Chairman; Eddie Ingle, Chief Executive Officer; and Craig Creaturo, Chief Financial Officer. During this call, management will be referencing a webcast presentation that can be found in the Investor Relations section of our website at unifi.com. Please turn to Page 2 of that slide deck for our cautionary statements. Management advises you that certain statements included in today's call will be forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Management cautions that these statements are based on current expectations, estimates and/or projections about the markets in which Unifi operates. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks that are difficult to predict. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed, forecasted or implied by these statements. You are directed to the disclosures filed with the SEC on Unifi's Form 10-Q and 10-K regarding various factors that may impact these results. Also, please be advised that certain non-GAAP financial measures such as adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EPS, adjusted working capital and net debt may be discussed on this call. I'll now turn it over to Al Carey.

Albert Carey

Analyst

Thank you, AJ. Good morning, everybody. I apologize for my voice. I've lost it. Quarter 1 has been a tough quarter, and it's been due to one big contributing factor and that is the slowdown of retail orders for apparel, and that's affecting our volume pretty significantly. This began in the summer, and it continues today. Retailers reporting retail inventories on apparel being anywhere from 30% to 80% above a year ago, and therefore, many of them are going to be discounting heavily during Black Friday and the holiday season and hopefully, clear out some of this inventory. But it's uncertain exactly when normal ordering patterns will return. We've been affected just like all of those who are involved with the apparel industry. Our North American volume in July, August, September was down 20%, and Asia, 40%. As you know, Asia does a tremendous amount of business in U.S. retail, but also those COVID shutdowns are still affecting our business. So it's going to be kind of difficult to have any kind of reasonable forecast or guiding with this uncertainty. However, I think it's logical to assume that the volume trend improves after the holidays, and we'll be prepared to move rapidly. While all this has been going on, we're not just sitting here waiting. We're working on 4 very important initiatives that will strengthen our long-term business and will shore up our profitability even in the short term. First one is, we've already begun a series of actions to reduce our costs in North America. These actions are going to have a big impact on our long-term future, but even in the short term. The first half of this year is going to be very tough on volumes and EBITDA. The second half will show improved volumes with strong…

Edmund Ingle

Analyst

Thanks, Al, and good morning, everyone. Our first quarter fiscal 2023 results, while disappointing, were generally consistent with the expectations we outlined for you last quarter and reflect the difficult operating environment amount we anticipated as we entered fiscal 2023. Despite the challenging environment, our global business model remains robust, and we are well positioned to capitalize when the industry sees a return to normalize demand levels. And as you can imagine, it's quite a stressful time for our employees, and I want to thank them in advance for keeping their heads down and not getting distracted as we move through this environment. Now turning to Slide 3 for an overview of the quarter. Our net sales for the quarter were $179.5 million, down 8% compared to the first quarter of fiscal 2022. This decline was driven by lower volumes, which stem from a stressed demand environment and volatility across the global markets, but especially, in the apparel market. As a reminder, many of the world's largest brands and retailers built up historic inventory levels in calendar 2022, given the supply chain issues that they had experienced in 2021. And we've seen deep discounting at retail and online now to right size that issue. These actions led to cancellations and pushouts as retailers attempted to destock those excess inventories and global apparel production fell. As Al noted and as we cautioned last quarter, this impacted our start to fiscal 2023, and we are expecting it to negatively impact our second quarter also. Offsetting some of this volume pressure was stronger pricing in the U.S. The pricing adjustments we made in July and August proved effective in mitigating the cost pressures we experienced during the June quarter, resulting in an improved pricing environment during the September quarter. We are encouraged by…

Craig Creaturo

Analyst

Thank you, Eddie, and good morning, everyone. The quarter we just completed was full of challenges that stemmed from reduced demand by retailers and brands that have pushed out orders and delayed programs. This unexpected development led to volume weakness in the Americas, driving significant margin pressure and lower-than-expected profitability. Outside of the short-term disruption, we believe the underlying demand for our products remain strong, and our management team is focused on controlling costs and remaining nimble as we continue to pursue our long-term --. Let's turn to Slide 6 of the webcast presentation. Here, we will begin the review of our reportable segment performance. For the Americas segment, a 2.9% decrease in revenues demonstrates the positive impact of robust pricing efforts we highlighted throughout the last several quarters, offset by lower volumes and connections with brand and retailer demand flow-through. In Brazil, we're facing fewer market demand headwinds and the just completed quarter demonstrated a more normalized level of strong revenue performance. The double-digit volume growth of 16.6% is indicative of our strong presence in the region and the demand for our innovative products. In Asia, sales volumes were challenged by recent COVID lockdowns and the overall market demand pressures, while pricing and mix remain strong. We still expect that the continued interest in sustainable yarns and our ability to support the local customer demand will allow for robust underlying revenue performance when the short-term disruptions subside. Turning to Slide 7 for the quarterly gross profit overview. Consolidated gross profit decreased from $26.1 million to $6.6 million with gross margin declining from 13.3% to 3.7%. The Americas segments decline in gross profit and weaker gross margin percentage were attributable to the shortfall in product demand and the associated impact on fixed cost absorption. We have maintained a strong workforce…

Edmund Ingle

Analyst

Thank you, Craig. Before we turn the call over to our Q&A session, let's turn to Slide 10 of the presentation to discuss our outlook and expectations for the second fiscal quarter. The operating environment and demand trends we're seeing, both domestically and internationally, within the apparel markets are expected to remain fluid for the rest of the calendar year as major brands, apparel brands and retailers continue to deal with the inventory destocking measures and the timing of apparel production with demand recovery remaining uncertain. Our visibility remains constrained, but we expect to see a similar operating environment in the second quarter then we expect to see a recovery take hold in the second half of fiscal 2023. This is in line with prior trends during sharp macro environmental disruption, where we have historically seen 2 quarters of demand impact and then have bounced back strongly as inventories need to be rebuilt. Given these short-term challenges, we believe it's prudent to temporarily shift our guidance to a quarterly basis until we regain some visibility and can make better predictions under an annual approach. For the second quarter of fiscal 2023, we expect net sales to be 10% to 15% lower than what we reported in Q1 of fiscal 2023. Additionally, our expectation is that pressures on fixed cost absorption will drive lower profitability in the Americas, leading to another quarter of unfavorable EBITDA. While the current operating environment is challenging, the long-term growth potential of Unifi has not changed, and we remain optimistic about our future and our position as a global sustainable fiber leader. Again, as inventory levels diminish and demand stabilizes, we expect to see our revenue and profitability accelerate in the second half of the fiscal year. We are pleased to have the additional liquidity afforded by our amended credit facility, and we will maintain our strong balance sheet to act opportunistically on growth initiatives as we remain well positioned and focused on being the sustainability partner of choice to brands across the globe. We will now open the line for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Daniel Moore with CJS Securities.

Daniel Moore

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning. Let me start with some of the cost reduction actions. Can you maybe give a little bit more color and quantify the cost savings from some of those actions, and whether those are temporary or some are more permanent in nature?

Edmund Ingle

Analyst

Thanks for the question. Yes, the cost reduction actions are predominantly temporary because we do see this business bounce back. We are taking -- for example, we're taking extended shutdowns at our Christmas period, and we're also going to take some plant shutdowns during the Thanksgiving holiday. We have pushed out quite a number of activities to later on the year or perhaps, into 2024. So while much of these cost savings will be implemented in Q2 and some into Q3, we do expect the impact to predominantly benefit us in Q3.

Daniel Moore

Analyst

Got it. Helpful. REPREVE, you mentioned obviously some of the momentum with new partners, the hangtags. Revenue did decline about 33% or so. I understand the inventory challenges, obviously. Just kind of reassure what gives you confidence that you're maintaining, if not continuing to grow, share in the Asia region?

Edmund Ingle

Analyst

Yes, it's a great question. What is -- what started out as a slowdown in the market because of COVID lockdowns back in the middle of March of last year that extended really through the middle of May and into June, turned out -- turned also into a slowdown in the orders from the U.S. brands and the European brands. And as we went through the quarter, it seems that there was a really strong initiative by these brands to just cut back on all of their orders and push out orders. This -- we know this to be true that they can't -- these cutbacks can't go on forever. At some point, the brands have to start restocking their inventories. As we said on the call, there is a high expectation that during the holiday season, there will be a lot of discounting. And as they move through their inventory, we will be seeing orders return in Asia either before the Chinese New Year or shortly thereafter. REPREVE, we don't expect any -- we don't expect the demand for REPREVE to change as that bounce back happens.

Daniel Moore

Analyst

Okay. And then on the credit facility, obviously, proactive. Just tell us what covenants are there, if any, in terms of leverage ratios or any other things we might be thinking about on the amended facility?

Craig Creaturo

Analyst

Dan, the covenants are the same as the facility expired, which is there is 1 fixed charge coverage ratio covenant, but it's a springing covenant. So as long as our excess availability exceeds the trigger level, which we have plenty of headroom on that now, there's really no issues compliance-wise. So really very similar to the facility we just replaced.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Anthony Lebiedzinski with Sidoti & Co.

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst · Sidoti & Co.

Good morning. And thank you for taking the questions. So just wondering, given the current weak demand environment, are you able to -- are you confident that you will be able to hold your pricing? Or are you seeing perhaps your customer looking for any discounts? So I'm just wondering about your confidence level in your ability to hold pricing steady?

Edmund Ingle

Analyst · Sidoti & Co.

A great question. We've spent a lot of time and effort getting to the price point we needed to over the last really 12 months. We are going to -- we are under pressure to manage prices down, but we are doing our very best to make sure that we stay strong and maintain the margins that are appropriate to the raw materials cost that we have in place.

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst · Sidoti & Co.

Okay. Got you. Okay. And then in terms of your CapEx spending plans, I know you gave guidance for your quarter -- the current quarter. As far as just thinking about the rest of the year and next year, are you still -- I assume you're still on target to finish the completion of the rollout of the Evo texturing machines and just kind of -- just wondering if CapEx should come down next year because of that.

Edmund Ingle

Analyst · Sidoti & Co.

Thank you for the question. We've certainly cut back on all of the CapEx programs that we can move out with the exception of some issues that we have maybe potentially from a maintenance point of view or certainly, on any safety initiatives we have, any CapEx centered around safety. We have not pushed out. The Evo spending currently is ongoing. But as you can imagine, we are evaluating, as we move forward, the timing of that. But right now, no decisions have been made about that.

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst · Sidoti & Co.

Got it. Okay. And then I think last quarter, you guys talked about that there would be some inventory write-downs in the quarter. Did I miss that? Or was that something that was that meaningful here in the quarter that you just reported?

Craig Creaturo

Analyst · Sidoti & Co.

Yes. So Anthony, that -- those write-downs and that did have an impact on the business. The bigger impact for us really was the lack of volume, especially here in Americas. And we have been pulling back quite a bit on the amount of raw material we have been purchasing. So as our demand has gone down, we have been pretty quick to react and reduce those purchases. So yes, we're now buying at lower prices, but those -- that impact will really not help us -- didn't help as much in this just completed quarter, it'll help us a little bit as we head into December and beyond. So yes, it was -- definitely, we have been purchasing inventory at higher levels. We had to adjust that. We are -- we have adjusted that. Unfortunately, though, that inventory is flowing out slower than we expected and slower than we historically have because of this demand softness. So yes, that did have an impact on our financials this past quarter. We'll do so. That was factored into our guidance for the December quarter as well.

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst · Sidoti & Co.

Got you. Okay. And then my last question. You mentioned at the beginning of your prepared remarks about the, I think, a market study done with some segments beyond apparel. So in terms of whether looking at the auto, industrial or home, I mean, which one do you think -- out of the ones that you cited, which ones you think will have the near closest impact in terms of the impact on your business? I mean out of these, which one do you think will have -- will see the impact sooner rather than later?

Edmund Ingle

Analyst · Sidoti & Co.

Yes. We -- as we looked at those three different segments, we think home is the one that will give us the quickest jump. We're eyeing some programs right now, and a lot of the reason for that is because of the quick decision-making that, that market can take place, whereas automotive, it takes a long time to get those programs in place and set. Home, as I said, is the one we're focusing on right now.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. With that said, conclude the Q1, 2023 Unifi, Inc. Earnings Conference Call. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.