Jefferson Harralson
Analyst · KBW. Catherine please go ahead
Thank you, Lynn. And good morning to everyone. I'm going to start my comments on Page 5, where you see the highlights of the quarter that shows our strong returns, many of which Lynn just went over. But I'll focus on the two notable items that we broke out this quarter. The first is that we have a small number of equity investments on our balance sheet. They are not significant in dollars, about $14 million. And usually, we don't need to break out the gains and losses here. But this quarter, our equity investments were up $3.6 million, which is unusual and likely will not repeat. The second item is that we took a $1.8 million tax charge because we have started the process and intend to surrender $34 million of BOLI investments in Q1. We have had this BOLI investments since before 2007 and it is underperforming and actually negative yielding. By surrendering, we received a $34 million back over five years and can reinvest at higher market rates. Let's go to Page 9 and talk about deposits. We believe we have one of the strongest core deposit bases in the Southeast. As I mentioned, we are seeing the impact of rapidly rising rates and our deposit shrunk in the quarter. The price competition for deposit is also increasing. And we are seeing our deposit betas increase. Our cumulative deposit beta moved to 12% for this cycle from 6% cumulative last quarter. And we expect this to increase in future quarters, both due to higher rates in our various account types and due to a mix change towards CDs. On Page 10, we provide some greater detail on our deposit trends. The biggest overarching trend this quarter was a decline in the average account balance of our commercial customers, specifically in DDA accounts. While our number of accounts increased, we're seeing businesses make purchases, make tax payments, make distributions, sometimes move to institutional money markets or treasury bond funds. We're also seeing some movements to CDs in our business accounts as well. On Page 11, we experienced strong loan growth in the quarter with mortgage being the biggest contributor and fairly diversified growth after that. Moving to Page 12, we feel good about where our balance sheet is in terms of liquidity and capital. Our loan to deposit ratio did increase to 77% this quarter from 73% last quarter. We're still below where we have been running historically and like our positioning from a liquidity standpoint. We talk about capital more on Page 13. We are above peers in our TCE ratio, and in our risk-based capital ratios. We're using capital in the first quarter with the Progress acquisition. But we still expect to be above peers pro forma for the acquisition. Moving to Page 14, we discuss our net interest margin. We had 19 basis points of net interest margin expansion in the quarter, 20 basis points of which came from the impact of higher rates. And one basis point came from positive mix change, the impact from positive mix change this one basis point I mentioned is lower than what it has been in the past few quarters. In past quarters and in this quarter, we have had the benefit of a shrinking securities portfolio funding higher yielding loans and we expect this to continue. But now we also have the negative mix change impact, which is moving us away from low cost DDA towards CDs and other higher cost products and also the deposit pricing lag continues to catch up. While the funding environment is competitive, I do believe our Q1 net interest margin is somewhere between down five basis points and up five basis points, including the impact of Progress coming into the numbers. So, it's a bit unclear whether this quarter was the peak in margin or whether it will be in Q1. Moving to Page 15. Fees were up $1.5 million compared to last quarter, with the main driver being the $3.6 million in unrealized equity gains, I've mentioned earlier. Excluding those gains, the income was down in Q4, mainly due to mortgage and the absence of the large MSR gain that occurred last quarter. Another reason for the decrease in fees was our decision to sell less SBA loans. While we had strong originations, we had $47 million of SBA originations, we sold just $17 million because the gain on sale pricing was less favorable than in past periods. So, we kept more loans on the balance sheet and sold less. We expect to sell this backlog in the first quarter, which will be on top of our normal first quarter sales. Just keep in mind that the first quarter is typically our seasonally weakest quarter for SBA originations. Finally, we had a small amount of realized security losses in the quarter, as well as a small MSR write down. Moving to Page 16, our expenses increased in Q4 by $4.9 million. We have listed the main drivers of the increase on the slide. I would also say in addition to this, that as I look at the just less than $2 million increase in the communications and equipment line item, that some of the items in there were above what I would call a normal run rate after a lower than normal Q3. So ongoing costs would be closer to the middle of where the Q3 and Q4 results came in. Of course, Progress will come into the expense numbers in Q1, and we expect to start getting the Lion's share of the $13.5 million in annual cost savings after our second quarter conversion. On Page 17, we talk about credit, our net charge-offs remained low, but moved higher in the quarter to 17 basis points, with the biggest driver being a C&I relationship, along with some normalization at Navitas that we were expecting. NPAs moved slightly higher. And our special mention and substandard accruing categories were fairly stable. But there were some inflows and outflows that Rob can talk about in the Q&A. All in, we feel good about our credit quality, but acknowledge that we are moving into a period where we expect credit to normalize. On Page 18, we talk about the reserve and show that we continue to build our reserve in the fourth quarter, as we also built our reserve throughout 2022. Specifically, we set aside a $19.8 million provision and took the allowance for credit losses to 1.18% of loans from 1.12% last quarter, and from 97 basis points a year ago. The driver of the increase is similar to what it has been all year, which is the weakening of the Moody's Baseline Economic Scenario. All said we feel great about our pre-credit profitability ratios, and the growth of the bank as well as our credit quality and liquidity. But we also acknowledged that we could be moving into a tougher economic environment and we believe we are prepared for 2023 whether it be a soft landing, or something more challenging. With that, I'll pass it back to Lynn.