Executives
Management
Jimmy Tallent – President and CEO Rex Schuette – EVP and CFO David Shearrow – EVP and Chief Risk Officer Gary Guthrie – President of Atlanta's Residential Construction
United Community Banks, Inc. (UCB)
Q1 2008 Earnings Call· Sat, May 3, 2008
$33.64
-0.15%
Executives
Management
Jimmy Tallent – President and CEO Rex Schuette – EVP and CFO David Shearrow – EVP and Chief Risk Officer Gary Guthrie – President of Atlanta's Residential Construction
Analysts
Management
Kevin Fitzsimmons – Sandler O'Neill & Partners Jefferson Harralson – KBW Asset Management Adam Barkstrom – Sterne, Agee Kevin Reynolds – Janney Montgomery Scott Jennifer Demba – Suntrust Robinson Humphrey Michael Rose – Raymond James Albert Savastano – Fox-Pitt Kelton Matt Olney – Stephens, Inc. Brian Roman – Robeco Investments Wilson Jaeggli – Southwell Partners Nate Redleaf [ph] – Flex Capital [ph] Brett Villaume – FIG Partners
Operator
Operator
Good morning, and welcome to United Community Bank's First Quarter Conference Call. Hosting our call today are President and Chief Executive Officer Jimmy Tallent, Chief Financial Officer Rex Schuette, and Chief Risk Officer David Shearrow. Also participating this morning is Gary Guthrie, President of Atlanta's Residential Construction. United's presentation today includes references to operating earnings and other non-GAAP financial information. United has provided a reconciliation of these measures to GAAP in the financial highlights section of the news release included on their website at ucbi.com. A copy of today's earnings release was filed on Form 8-K with the SEC, and a replay of this call will be available on the company's Investor Relations page at www.ucbi.com. Please be aware that during this call, forward-looking statements may be made about United Community Banks. Any forward-looking statements should be considered in light of risks and uncertainties described on Page 4 of the company's Form 10-K and other information provided by the company in its filings with the SEC and included on its website. At this time, we'll begin the conference call with Jimmy Tallent.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Good morning everyone and thank you for joining us today for our discussion of the first quarter of 2008. Despite a difficult operating environment, United achieved first quarter earnings of $0.34 per diluted share. At the same time, we continue to address the challenges of a downturn in the economy and a declining credit environment. We advanced several initiatives, especially those focused on growing core deposits, and diversifying our loan portfolio. Overall, we continue to pursue those strategies that will position us to successfully manage through this current business cycle as well as prepare us to take advantage of new opportunities when the economy improves. Today's call's format will go as follows. I will share some key first quarter results. Rex will then go over our financials with an emphasis on margin and capital. Following Rex, David will walk you through our loan portfolio and also discuss credit. I will then provide some closing remarks and my outlook for the upcoming quarters. Our first quarter earnings were solid given what we faced in this operating environment. We did see continued deterioration in our credit quality and as expected a rise in non-performing assets. We saw 3% growth in our loan portfolio driven by commercial lending. While residential construction continues to be a challenging market segment, our exposure continues to shrink. The rest of our portfolio remains solid, but we will continue to closely monitor it and deal aggressively with problem credits. Deposits increased $334 million from a year ago. However, excluding acquisitions, deposits were down $234 million from the prior year due to attrition of higher rate CDs where no other customer relationship existed. On a linked-quarter basis, total deposits were basically flat when you exclude broker deposits. We continue not only to keep our current core deposit customers, but…
Rex Schuette
Management
Thank you, Jimmy. During the first quarter, net income totaled $16.1 million, and was down 17% from a year ago due to margin compression, slower loan growth, and higher credit costs. Diluted earnings per share was $0.34 for the first quarter compared with $0.44 for the first quarter of 2007. For the first quarter, tax equivalent net interest revenue was $66.3 million, up $1.2 million or 2% from the first quarter of 2007. Net interest margin for the first quarter was 3.55% compared to 3.73% for fourth quarter 2007 and 3.99% a year ago. The two key factors impacting the 18 basis point decline in our margin from last quarter were competitive pricing and the higher level of NPAs. 13 basis points of this decline related to the impact of the Fed lowering rates by 200 basis points this quarter, and were not able to re-price deposits as quickly as our prime base loans, and 5 basis points of the decline related to the increase in the level of non-performing assets. Deposit pricing continues to be very challenging as large banks and even local community banks have aggressively competed for liquidity by offering CD rates substantially above the wholesale rates. Excluding acquisitions, we had core deposit balance attrition last year that was directly related to the economic cycle as customers had greater demand on their money to meet rising costs of fuel, food, and other household basics. Although core deposit balances were lower year over year, we are able to grow the number of customer accounts by 6% from last year. Also, we had signs of improvement in the first quarter with a slight increase in core deposit balances on a linked-quarter basis. You may recall that we built up liquidity in 2005 and 2006 by growing customer deposits greater…
David Shearrow
Management
Thank you, Rex, and good morning. I want to talk about the first quarter increase in non-performing assets and charge-offs as well as changes in our loan loss provision. I will also give you an updated perspective on how the economic environment is affecting our loan portfolio and how we are managing through this challenging environment. As I reported in our last call, in the fourth quarter, we undertook a meticulous review of our entire residential construction portfolio with particular emphasis on the Atlanta region. As a result of this review, and continued deterioration in the housing and construction markets, we aggressively took charge-offs and write-downs at year end. In addition, we determined it was appropriate to increase the provision for loan losses to bolster our loan loss reserve. The resulting provision for loan losses in the fourth quarter was $26.5 million, excluding the special provision for Spruce Pine loans in North Carolina. During my discussion, all of the comparisons to 2007 will exclude Spruce Pine. Uncertainty about the current economic cycle continues. So in the first quarter, we made a provision of $7.5 million, which was slightly above the $7.1 million in charge-offs this quarter. As Jimmy mentioned earlier, in the first quarter, we saw a sharp rise, as anticipated, in non-performing assets. At quarter end, we had $89.9 million in non-performing assets, compared to $46.3 million at December 2007. Non-performing assets included $67.8 million in non-accrual loans and $22.1 million in OREO. We did not have any loans accruing that were 90 days past due. The ratio of non-performing assets to total assets was 107 basis points, which was at the upper end of the guidance we provided last quarter. This compared to 56 basis points last quarter and 20 basis points a year ago. In terms of…
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Thanks, David. I would now like to share some additional thoughts on the business environment. Without a doubt, 2008 will continue to bring challenges. There will be continued uncertainty about the economy and ongoing real estate issues. We expect to see, first, the economic slowdown continue throughout 2008; second, pressure on our margin from competitive deposit pricing and the cost of carrying non-performing assets; third, a surplus of residential lots and houses, which will take time to absorb, especially the lots. This will put stress on the residential construction segment of our loan portfolio; and, fourth, higher credit cost during 2008. That said, we also have many things that will sustain the company as we manage through the challenges of the next 12 to 18 months. Our footprint contains many markets that remain relatively stable. While no one is completely immune to the current economic downturn, the tremendous population growth in these markets will eventually absorb the surplus real estate inventory. Since 2000, our market has grown 21% with another 13% projected for the next five years. This is double the five-year growth rate for the United States. In addition to many successful small businesses, there are 51 Fortune 1000 companies headquartered in our markets, 22 in Atlanta alone, all fueling strong job growth in cities and towns across our three-state region. In regards to deposit growth, we have a number of initiatives underway, some new, some tried, and proven. Competition remains fierce, but our efforts will continue focusing on core deposits. We are testing several pilot programs with one already delivering positive results. A broader roll-out is being planned. For loans, we are actively pursuing high-quality borrowers in all of our markets with a continued emphasis on increasing our small business and commercial lending to better diversify our business…
Operator
Operator
Thank you. (Operator instructions) We will go first to Kevin Fitzsimmons with Sandler O'Neill. Kevin Fitzsimmons – Sandler O'Neill: Good morning, everyone.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Hi, Kevin.
Rex Schuette
Management
Good morning, Kevin. Kevin Fitzsimmons – Sandler O'Neill: I was wondering if you can just talk about how you feel about the reserve. I know you gave a lot of detail on the components of the portfolio and what led to the increase in non-performers. But I guess even if you exclude OREO out of the picture, because I know you mentioned OREO should have already been written down and you mentioned you have already sold some of that, I think $11 million or $12 million of that, if you just look at allowance to non-performing loans, you basically went from last quarter over 300% to now, I think, about 132%. And so you had a dramatic rise in non-performing loans, but the allowance, I think, some people may feel it could have been taken higher given the increase in non-performers. If you could just address and help reconcile us with that. Thanks.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Kevin, that's a great question, and let me ask David, if he would, to go through that whole scenario with you.
David Shearrow
Management
Okay, yeah, Kevin. I think probably the best way to address that is take a second, let's go back to what happened at the end of last year first because if you recall, in the fourth quarter, we went through and did a full scrub down and review of all of our problem credits, a real deep dive. And in the process of that, we ultimately charged off $13 million and we wrote down $4 million that was in ORE. At the same time, we built our reserve up by $13.5 million at year end and took the reserve up to 151 on total loans. And at that time, we gave guidance to you all that we thought our NPAs would rise, in fact, up to as high as 1%, and that's roughly where we hit, slightly above that. What you have in here when you think about the NPAs is really, at that time, the NPAs we are seeing now at the end of the first quarter are really a reflection of what we had identified at the end of last year. Because, really, when you go through the process in the reserve process, you identify a credit, you move it into the watch category, and establish a reserve at that time. Now, it may continue to migrate from being a watched credit into NPA, and the amount you reserve against it may or may not increase depending on the type of loan that it is. Let me give you a little bit more example how the reserve itself is calculated. When we go through each quarter, of course you start with kind of that grading mechanism and stratifying the whole portfolio. And then once we do that, we look at all of our non-performing loans at the end…
David Shearrow
Management
That's exactly right. We had, basically, anticipated those loans, some portion of those loans were going to move to non-performing status, and that's exactly how we reserved against them in the fourth quarter. So, it’s just a fulfillment of what we had already kind of established in the fourth quarter. Kevin Fitzsimmons – Sandler O'Neill: So, can you characterize for us then what is the inflow to the watchlist looking like today? Because that's probably going to determine what we are seeing in future quarters. I assume it's going up since you are indicating NPAs are going to go up.
David Shearrow
Management
That's correct. We continue to see an upward trend in the watchlist particularly in January, February, and less in March. Our sense is, Kevin, that – in this market, it's difficult to tell how much more may move into watch list, but our scrub down is so extensive and we feel very conservative. In fact, just to give you – I guess to verify that. We use an external loan review firm to look at our portfolio and they go around and do various parts of our bank throughout the year. They just completed their review of our Atlanta Residential Construction book and in the process of that, we had no downgrades. Now that gives me some sense of confidence that we have probably very conservatively graded our portfolio and gotten in front of this thing in terms of – and that all ties ultimately back to the reserve. Kevin Fitzsimmons – Sandler O'Neill: Okay. All right. Can you – just one quick follow up. Can you briefly comment on what the interest level is from wholesale buyers out there in terms of properties, residential loans, lots, all the above, in terms of what the bid/ask is looking like and whether it's getting attractive for you to look at that option?
David Shearrow
Management
Yeah. The wholesale buyers are not attractive at this time. There's a lot of money that's out there and we get calls daily from all kinds of funds. We think that they are still – their bids are way low relative to what we have been able to get in the market from more local folks who are more familiar with our markets. And by the way, just to give you a perspective on velocity, kind of in the NPAs, kind of ties into your question, but we started off the quarter at $46 million in NPAs and during the quarter, we actually added $89 million. And we ended at $89 million, or just under $90 million. We effectively moved out $45 million of NPAs during the course of the quarter, which gives you an idea the velocity is there, we do have buyers, but we are finding those buyers more to be a strategic local-type folks buying as opposed to the large institutional buyers. Kevin Fitzsimmons – Sandler O'Neill: Okay, great. Thank you very much.
Operator
Operator
We will take the next question from Jefferson Harralson with KBW Asset Management. Jefferson Harralson – KBW Asset Management: Thank you. I just wanted to follow up on Kevin's question. On the $45 million that you moved out, can you comment on the pricing dated on that $45 million?
David Shearrow
Management
Well, yeah. Let me actually break it down a little bit for you first, and then I will give you a sense of pricing. Out of that $45 million, you had $8.6 million, which is actual OREOs sold. We had $20 million that were just paid off. We had $9.9 million that were moved back to performing status. These are folks that were able to sell other assets, get current, and establish enough credibility and interest reserve if the case were necessary to show an ability to carry the loan going forward to enable us to put it back on performing status. And the balance being kind of charge-offs. In terms of liquidation price, like we have said before, it really is – it varies a lot depending on the particular piece of property. In the housing sector, completed houses, we have gotten out whole, had small gains, and we have taken losses say as much as 15%, even 20% probably on a worst case. On the land and lot side, the range is – we are taking discounts, I would say, anywhere from 20%, 30% and maybe a worst case of 50% on losses. Jefferson Harralson – KBW Asset Management: Okay, that's helpful. I want to follow up on one more of just the reserving methodology. When would a charge come in? So how much of the NPLs of $67.7 million has already been charged down? You say that you have already set the reserve aside, but at what point would that reserve be converted into an actual charge-off?
David Shearrow
Management
That depends. The timing of taking the charge-off really depends on how quickly it's going to move to liquidation and how it's going to liquidate. Typically, what happens in our case is once a loan moves into non-performing status, we are moving it very aggressively. And just like I gave you the breakdown of the flow on NPAs before, most of this stuff is moved from non-performing to off the books and a realized loss within 90 days, maybe just over 90 days. So, I think the – I guess to answer your questions, at the current point, it initially goes into non-performing. We may not take the actual loss at that point in time, but that loss typically – we are going to reserve on it. The actual realized loss is probably going to occur in 90% plus of the occasions within 90 days. Jefferson Harralson – KBW Asset Management: Okay.
David Shearrow
Management
Does that kind of give you a – ? Jefferson Harralson – KBW Asset Management: It's very helpful. Thank you.
Operator
Operator
We will take the next question from Adam Barkstrom with Sterne Agee. Adam Barkstrom – Sterne Agee: Hey, guys. Good morning.
David Shearrow
Management
Hello Adam. Adam Barkstrom – Sterne Agee: Hey, I want to shift gears a little bit and maybe go back to Rex. Want to see if you can give us some color. I saw a nice bump in tangible book for the quarter. I guess all of that really having to do with the OCI adjustment linked quarter. I wondered if you can give us some color on that, give us some color as to what is in your portfolio? And I have a follow-up after that. Thank you.
Rex Schuette
Management
Our portfolio at quarter end was just slightly over $1.5 billion.
David Shearrow
Management
We are having a mike problem. Hold on a second. Adam Barkstrom – Sterne Agee: Okay.
David Shearrow
Management
Just use this one. We are going to trade out mikes. Hang on just a moment, please. Adam Barkstrom – Sterne Agee: All right.
Rex Schuette
Management
I think we are fine now, Adam. Sorry about that. Adam Barkstrom – Sterne Agee: Yeah, now I hear you fine now, Rex.
Rex Schuette
Management
Okay. At quarter end, we were at $1.5 billion, at quarter end. As I mentioned in the call comments, we increased that about $150 million. The makeup of the categories, it's primarily agency debt, mortgage backs, and CMOs is the bulk of what we have there. We have about $230 million in whole loan CMOs. That's probably the area in particular where if you had questions about risk, that's where the risk would be. We don't have any CDOs or subprime-type loans within those categories. When you look at the $230 million that we have in whole loan CMOs, those are aged very well; they go back about four or five years when we put those on. They are all AAA rated. The FICO scores are 742. Additionally, the loan to value on those is about 51%, so that's been holding in. And again, we see that portfolio performing very well. So, from a risk standpoint within the portfolio, we really have very little risk that we see. We scrubbed the portfolio very well making sure if identified anything that related to CDOs or any type of product that's in there, or again, anything relating to Alt-A paper or subprime within the portfolio. So it's a very clean portfolio. Adam Barkstrom – Sterne Agee: Okay. So the agency debt piece, that's really where the big OCI bump came from, right?
Rex Schuette
Management
Yes, that's a big part of it. Adam Barkstrom – Sterne Agee: Okay. And then I wanted to come back. I was a little uncertain. I thought you said during the quarter – this is on credit – $11.7 million in credits were sold.
Rex Schuette
Management
Well, no. The point of that was we actually have $11.7 that have either been sold or are under contract to sale or have been refinanced since the quarter end. So, the point was that we are continuing to have pretty good activity just under $12 million since quarter end that we have already got either under contract or refinanced to go out of here. Adam Barkstrom – Sterne Agee: Okay. And then one last thing. If you could give us some more color, just from a methodology, from your own internal methodology perspective, and maybe just give a couple of examples, without names, but the $9.9 million that you had returned to current, give us some sense, I mean what kind of modifications were put in place? What kind of extra collateral requirements do you require? Just give us some sense on that.
Rex Schuette
Management
Well, an example would be a borrower who has gone late on us their past due and we put them on non-performing because of that, and perhaps were asset rich. Keep in mind, particularly in the real estate business, a lot of these folks made substantial amounts of money over the last ten years and a lot of them were investing in other pieces of property either for future development or for other purposes, personal reasons. And so what you find, some of these cases, are these folks have been going through the liquidation process. So we may have had someone that was late with us, we had to put them on non-accrual. They subsequently were able to liquidate out some of their other holdings to create some liquidity, which brought us current, and established their financial positions such that they would qualify to go back on performing status. Adam Barkstrom – Sterne Agee: Okay.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Now, keep in mind that, as David indicated earlier, we have zero loans in the 90 days past due and accruing. Adam Barkstrom – Sterne Agee: Right.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Some banks do continue accruing and some of our credits probably would be equal to some of the ones that they do that they continue on accrual because they do have strong collateral underneath it, but are just past due. So when they hit 90 days, from a policy standpoint, we pretty much put everything on non-accrual, over 90. Adam Barkstrom – Sterne Agee: I was going to ask you relative to some of your competitors, what is your thinking there, just take an extra conservative look at those?
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Well, we just think it's the appropriate way to look. I can't really speak to the other banks. We just think it's the right way to do it. Adam Barkstrom – Sterne Agee: Right. Okay, great. Thanks, gentlemen.
Operator
Operator
We will go next to Kevin Reynolds with Janney Montgomery Scott. Kevin Reynolds – Janney Montgomery Scott: Good morning, gentlemen.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Hello, Kevin.
David Shearrow
Management
Good morning. Kevin Reynolds – Janney Montgomery Scott: I think I have got a question for each of you if you will humor me for a second. I guess probably I would like to start with Rex if it's possible. You mentioned on the call, or in your prepared remarks, that you had something to the effect of multiple tools to manage, to protect the capital levels or to maintain strong capital. I just wondered if you could sort of outline those for us and then perhaps if they were ever needed down the line, what your preferences would be in terms of things like would you prefer a dividend cut over a capital raise, et cetera, and then what types of capital?
Rex Schuette
Management
All right. Kevin, we model our pro forma capital on a regular basis looking out over the next two years and do it with a lot of rigor. So, I mean we – underneath it, the base is that we have a very strong core earnings base and a relatively low dividend payout ratio right now. So, as we look at earnings through the next couple of years, we look at that in various extremes from what, again, either charge-offs or write-downs, et cetera, could impact it. And really try and look at that to look at some worst case scenarios to see when and if there would be any capital needs from that standpoint. As I mentioned in my comments, we are coming into the quarter again with very strong capital ratio. So as we look at that, we have a very strong base, we have very good quality capital. When you look at it and compare it to peers, we have not used Tier One capital to a great extent at all. There's only a little over $40 million we have outstanding in trust preferred today. We could actually increase trust preferred another $130 million, which would raise our Tier One and total capital ratios by 200 basis points. So, I think when you look at it from a priority standpoint, we would look at – probably right now we would want to add Tier One capital. There is a market out there still. It actually is cheaper today than sub -debt. Sub debt would probably be next. And then next we would probably look at either common or convertible would be another component. We have looked at all these. We have a plan in place already. Again, looking at our capital ratios, if we see those ratios declining or getting anywhere close to our well-capitalized level, we are going to be taking action. And again, if need be, we will reevaluate our dividend payout ratio, also our dividends paid. Kevin Reynolds – Janney Montgomery Scott: Okay. And just along those same lines, could you estimate how much, I mean on either ratio, or any of the ratios, could you estimate approximately how much capital you have in dollar terms above the well-capitalized threshold?
Rex Schuette
Management
I am trying to think. We haven't done that computation – if you look at it, Kevin, from just a pure sense of looking at what our earnings are, we are going to look at that real quick here, what our earnings are right now, and what is projected out there in consensus and in the models, I mean we could increase our provision number probably in the range of $70 million plus and really not even dip into our capital from that standpoint. So, I think we have a lot room with our core earnings base to get us through. And as we look at the year, and then continue to build capital is what our expectation right now is, that we don't see in our models that the likelihood we are going to be having a loss quarter due to, again, provisioning or charge-offs at this time. Kevin Reynolds – Janney Montgomery Scott: Okay.
Rex Schuette
Management
The excess capital is, I guess, about $60 million, a little over $60 million on Tier One capital. Kevin Reynolds – Janney Montgomery Scott: Okay, okay.
Rex Schuette
Management
Above the well-capitalized. Kevin Reynolds – Janney Montgomery Scott: Got you. All right. And then, David, to ask a question of you, again, I am probably not smart enough to understand all of the stuff you went through, but to just kind of step back and look at it from a conceptual perspective, you said – the guidance on the call was for elevated NPAs and charge-offs or, I am sorry, upward pressure on NPAs and charge-offs for the rest of the year. And I think I heard you say that the reason there was no reserve build this quarter was because a lot of what moved into the recognized status was already taken care of to some extent in a prior quarter through loan reviews. But if we are projecting upward pressure on NPAs and charge-offs as we go forward, and with the past due trends that we saw, I think you said going from 1.2% to 1.9% of total loans, are we implicitly, if we are not building reserves now in anticipation of the later part of the year, are we implicitly assuming that the behind the scenes past dues actually get better from here?
David Shearrow
Management
No, first of all, let me correct you on the past dues. They went to 1.39%, not to 1.9%. So we went from 1.2% to 1.39% on past dues. But, in essence, your question I think – again, I kind of went through how we boil up the allowance. To move from a watch credit to an NPA does not automatically mean that you have to reserve a higher level against it. It could be that you actually would reserve less when it moves to NPA because that's when we do a specific reserve and we look at the actual collateral securing that particular loan and either increase the allocation to it or decrease it depending on the collateral that we believe we have in a liquidation, net of liquidation cost. And so each quarter, at the quarter end, we are working through that process to boil up, from the very bottom up, our allowance at that point in time. While watch increased during the early part of the quarter, those numbers are baked into the reserve at the end of this quarter. And also, I will tell you that when you talk about loss, or, excuse me, about watch credits, we are seeing – while we had seen more inflow, we have also seen outflow. I could give you an absolute – roughly about $10 million a month right now on our watch, we have been seeing here in the last couple months, pay down. And so that's a good offset to some of the increase. So, while we have some coming in new – some of these, particularly in the construction side, the builders have been able to liquidate, particularly on housing, the housing component. It's the land piece that's taking longer. But there's greater dollars in a completed house than there is in a lot. So we are getting some positive movement at the same time. Kevin Reynolds – Janney Montgomery Scott: Okay. I guess the final question, and I will hop off for others, would be to Jimmy. You said in your press release, and I think alluded to it in the comments if I am not mistaken, to the fact that you are cautiously optimistic for essentially better, some strength in the spring and summer selling season in the housing market, and that that may help to alleviate some of the stress that's out there. What happens if that doesn't come to pass? And I don't mean if we get worse from here necessarily, but if we just don't see an improvement from current levels.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Well, to begin with, Kevin, improvement to some of these builders is not defined back to what the levels were a year ago. For example, we have one that comes to mind that's got, I think we have 65 houses financed, he's got 16 under contract. So, his business will continue, but if the thing just absolutely came to a stop, then certainly we are going to have more challenges. I don't think there's any question about that.
David Shearrow
Management
Kevin, one other thing on the reserve if I could quickly before you jump off, because I didn't want to leave you with a miss – when we go through this each quarter, and we are looking at the grades, if we see continued deterioration in our portfolio, we are going to be quick to call those loans as being troubled and we are going to increase our provision appropriately. So, I don't want to leave you with the wrong impression that we just expect this to go down. If we do see further deterioration, we are going to provide for it in the reserve in the future quarters.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
And, Kevin, I would also add an add-on comment there. We are erring on that side that really things do get worse. I mean that's our whole approach to the environment that we are in today. Kevin Reynolds – Janney Montgomery Scott: Okay. Thank you very much.
Operator
Operator
We will take the next question from Jennifer Demba with Robinson Humphrey. Jennifer Demba – Robinson Humphrey: Good morning.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Good morning.
David Shearrow
Management
Good morning. Jennifer Demba – Robinson Humphrey: David, you said that you weren't seeing any issues in other parts of your portfolio commercial real estate, and commercial industrial. I was wondering if you could elaborate on that. And my second question, your headcount came down sequentially, I am just wondering where you guys envision that going this year.
David Shearrow
Management
Okay. On the credit question, yeah, the whole commercial side of our business is holding up very well. In fact, just like – really it's interesting, the last two quarters, from a past due perspective, our commercial past dues have declined sequentially each of the last two quarters, the 30 day past dues. And if you look at our NPAs and charge-offs, that would follow suit. We just don't have the challenges there yet. Now having said that, so much of the economy is tied to housing. We are concerned about it; we are keeping our finger on the pulse and watching it and monitoring it closely. But, really, it's held up very well to-date. The residential mortgage piece of our business, we have seen our past dues climb a bit in that segment. It still is holding up very well, but I think with the rising cost of gas and food, it is impacting the consumer and so we have seen a little bit of a slippage there. But all in all, it's held up to date fairly well.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Jennifer, in regards to the headcount, I think where we are seeing that more or less flat line is a result of our de novo expansion. And, of course, we have none today on the table and would be unlikely that you will see any throughout 2008. But with the 20 that we have been able to put in place over the last three years, they now have reached that level of basically full employment within that investment that we have made. Fortunately, cumulatively they are profitable. We still have a handful that because of their young age that it's not making any money yet. That's one of the reasons I think you will see our headcount continue to be relatively level. Jennifer Demba – Robinson Humphrey: One more question. I have heard anecdotally that the competition for commercial and industrial loans is quite heated right now. Can you give us some thoughts on that?
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Well, I think that's probably true. We have been very fortunate to attract some high quality folks, tremendous experience, and they are operating with our bank today in the markets that they have been in for quite honestly for decades. We fortunately, and we don't take this lightly, have a reputation that people like to work for this company. We are not going out and stretching and trying to make something happen that's just not there. We are not going to get into the C&I business with lenders that don't have long-term experience. But, it's just like Chip and Ken, I mean they could have chosen anywhere they wanted to go. They wanted to join an organization that has a business model like ours and they can absolutely make a difference. So, we will be very meticulous. We will probably add anther couple of C&I lenders there in the Atlanta market, probably one in the Knoxville market. But we are – we are able to get the top quality lenders. Jennifer Demba – Robinson Humphrey: Thanks.
Operator
Operator
We will take the next question from Michael Rose with Raymond James.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Hello, Michael. Michael Rose – Raymond James: Good morning. Could you guys discuss in a little bit more detail, give us some of the examples of the deposit products that you are planning on introducing?
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Michael, it's not really the products as far as those being different than what we have had in the past. It's more the process. We have done a number of initiatives over the years to grow and drive core deposits. And these initiatives – some of them have worked very well, some have not worked as well, and of course those have been discontinued. The principle initiative today, it's basic blocking and tackling. The pilot programs that we have in place today in two banks, and they are a little different one from the other relative to the plan. But we have elevated a person in one of our banks almost to the level of a senior credit officer and that would be the way that I would ask you to think about. Their whole focus is totally orchestrating, growing core deposits, not just themselves, but it's orchestrated throughout the entire company or the entire bank, down to the branches with accountabilities and so forth. And, again, it's just amazing what we are seeing because they are focused, they are identified, they follow up, and they execute. And, again, it's not something that's a major silver bullet or a new revelation, it's just basics. And so that's kind of what we have done. You will probably see that roll out in that basic form throughout the company throughout 2008. Michael Rose – Raymond James: Okay, great. And can you discuss the incentive structure for this new type of role? Is it materially different than what it has been in the past?
Jimmy Tallent
Management
It's not materially different. One of the enhancements to that is certainly it's got an individual incentive, but it also has a branch incentive. So, we want a whole team effort with it. So, everybody is involved into the process. Michael Rose – Raymond James: Okay, great. Thank you.
Operator
Operator
We will take the next question from Al Savastano from with Fox-Pitt Kelton. Albert Savastano – Fox-Pitt Kelton: Hi, guys. How are you?
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Good morning.
David Shearrow
Management
Good morning, Al. Albert Savastano – Fox-Pitt Kelton: I was wondering if you can give us some color on the residential construction portfolio in terms of how much is classified and – of that, what percentage is classified in the Atlanta region?
Rex Schuette
Management
Al, I will answer that. First of all, we don't disclose our classified assets in total or by particular region. But, having said that, there's certainly a significant portion of our Atlanta residential construction book would be classified. At the same time, we also have some that are very strong in that mix. But, if you were to look at our total classified list, for the company as a whole, the majority of our classified loans would be located in Atlanta and they would be in residential construction. Albert Savastano – Fox-Pitt Kelton: Okay, thank you.
Operator
Operator
We will go next to Matt Olney with Stephens, Inc. Matt Olney – Stephens, Inc.: Yes. Most of my questions have been answered, but I wanted to do one follow-up on the issue of C&I lenders. I was trying to get a headcount of maybe the lenders you had before the Gwinnett acquisition and maybe the headcount of C&I lenders to date to get a perspective of how much that's changed over the last year.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Matt, prior to the First Bank, we had zero C&I lenders. When First Bank came on, they have got six. What we have added since then is seven. When I say seven, I am talking about the specific lender as well as the support people that's underneath them. We will probably add two or three more during 2008. Matt Olney – Stephens, Inc.: It sounds like those won't just be in Atlanta. They could be in some other markets, as well?
Jimmy Tallent
Management
That's correct. Knoxville is a market that we very much want to put a C&I lender there. Certainly since Chip Smallwood is on board he's been in that market a long time. He's got a lot of experience as a general banker but certainly with the C&I and there's a – I think the coast, probably we have talked about getting one for the coast, the Savannah market in particular. Again, let me reemphasize, we are not taking a lender that's been focused on real estate and all of a sudden they become a C&I lender. We understand the risk in C&I lending, we want people that have been experienced for a number of years and preferably having operated in the market that they are going to operate for this company. So, again, you have got an existing customer base and seems like that has been a winning combination for us. Matt Olney – Stephens, Inc.: Okay. And switching gears a bit, Jimmy, you last quarter on the conference call gave us an update on the Atlanta housing inventory numbers. I didn't know if you have an update on those numbers through the end of the first quarter or not.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
We do. On the housing, Matt, it increased from 10.7 months to 11 months, so it's basically flat. The lot inventory increased from 55 months to roughly 72 months, but you have got to really drill into that to see why that significant difference. There was only 1,500 lots added during the first quarter. Again, that is a reflection on the number of starts. Again, if you look over the last five quarters, fortunately the starts are way below the closings and that gap continues to widen. If you look at the last 12 months, I think the starts have declined about 35%, the closings have declined about 10%. But it still has a long ways to go before it gets healthy. Matt Olney – Stephens, Inc.: Okay. Very helpful. Thank you.
Operator
Operator
We will take the next question from Brian Roman with Robeco Investments. Brian Roman – Robeco Investments: Good morning.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Good morning. Brian Roman – Robeco Investments: Guess you got everybody on the sales side done. Couple of questions. Atlanta market, are you still experiencing job growth?
Jimmy Tallent
Management
We are. On an annualized basis, I think it was 22,000 jobs. And that's down about half from a couple of quarters ago, which is not that surprising but it's still very solid, very positive. And then if you drill in to see the types of jobs, it appears as though that should continue. And certainly, those folks that are projecting that feel the same today. Brian Roman – Robeco Investments: So you think there will be job growth?
Jimmy Tallent
Management
That's best (inaudible) as well as the projections. Brian Roman – Robeco Investments: Net interest margin. A lot of banks I’ve talked to feel that as if once the Fed is done the net interest margin will start to rise and that is not, I believe, what you indicated at the beginning of this call that there’s kind of some further trending down as we go through the year? Could you just elaborate on that, please?
Rex Schuette
Management
Yeah. As I mentioned in the call, the expectation is that the Fed is probably going to continue right now. The futures has it one more decrease at 25. Brian Roman – Robeco Investments: Alright, so if that's on the table, and that's what we are dealing with, this explain your projections.
Rex Schuette
Management
In the context of further margin compression you have to keep in mind, I think, also that in the first quarter we all saw a 200 basis point drop in rates. And, again, underneath it from a pricing standpoint your prime base loans price immediately. Again, your fixed rates are going to take a little longer to re-price, and the same with our CD portfolio in particular. And, again, we are not able to pull down rates, especially with the last 75 basis point decrease and wanting to retain deposits to be able to pull down the CD rate. Again, primarily driven with the fairly significant gap out there between the one-year future LIBOR rate and looking at where the retail rates are at right now. CD broker rates are probably 100 to 120 over that rate which really is a driver. Most of the banks are looking at an alternative from a wholesale side. So we don't have a good wholesale side to go to, to lower the rate other than, again, going directly back into, let's say, Federal Home Loan Bank, which is collateralized. So we want to, again, continue to build liquidity at this time. It's important to us, focus on growing customer deposits, and, again, very competitive pricing. As I mentioned in my comments earlier that not only just the large banks are still extremely competitive, but the local banks are very competitive in the market today. And we still see that pressure continuing that, even with the 200 basis point drop we had in the quarter, ideally most banks would hope that the pressure comes off some time in the second and third quarter that they can now lower some of those rates that they weren't able to lower in the first quarter and get back some of the margin compression. Brian Roman – Robeco Investments: If I make a comment, it sounds like your CD pricing is more competitive than some other banks I have spoken with. Last question I have for you is you have – you identify in your press release, loans in coastal Georgia, if that's what you call, about $372 million. And I am hearing about some weakness in markets in coastal areas in the Carolinas. Could you talk to the economy and what you are seeing with NPA trends in your Georgia markets, the coastal Georgia markets?
Rex Schuette
Management
Sure. I would be glad to do that. Well the coast is experiencing some slowness occurring and we have expected that. Although, having said that, it's held up exceedingly well to date. If you look at our NPAs, the coast only makes up 6% of our NPA totals and when you look at, from a regional perspective, on past dues, the coast other than – we had a little bit of a spike in our past dues at quarter end due to two specific credits that have now been resolved. But if you back those out, really, our past due trends in the Coast are below most of our other markets. So I guess what I would tell you is that we do see some slowness down there. Clearly, residential construction activity has slowed somewhat, but it's not been anywhere affected to the extent to say the Atlanta region has. It's held in there pretty well to-date. Brian Roman – Robeco Investments: Thank you very much.
Operator
Operator
We will go next to Wilson Jaeggli with Southwell Partners. Wilson Jaeggli – Southwell Partners: Thank you. Could you tell us what your 30 to 89 days past dues is right now?
Rex Schuette
Management
Well, we don't provide that information on a daily basis. I can give you the quarter end if you– Wilson Jaeggli – Southwell Partners: Yeah, that’s – I am sorry, that's what I mean.
Rex Schuette
Management
Yeah. We were at 1.39% at quarter end. Wilson Jaeggli – Southwell Partners: 1.39%. And where were you at year end?
Rex Schuette
Management
1.20%. Wilson Jaeggli – Southwell Partners: 1.20%. I think you probably mentioned those ratios. I missed that. Where do you stand on your stock buyback program?
Rex Schuette
Management
On the stock buyback, we have stopped that in the fourth quarter, so we are not looking to purchase any stock at this time. And capital – is important to retain capital. Wilson Jaeggli – Southwell Partners: I can certainly understand that. Just as an overall question here, your NPAs to total loans are about 1.5%. And other people who compete in the entire Georgia market, whether it's SunTrust or Colonial or others, have substantially higher ratios than you do. I know all banks aren't the same and certainly have different portfolios, but they will have ratios maybe three times what yours is, at 1.5%. Could you help us explain the differential there that you might see from your competitors?
Rex Schuette
Management
Well, I can't speak to our competitors. I think the really important thing that you take away when you look at United is Atlanta represents 40% of our book. 60% of our loan book is outside the greater Atlanta market where – and most of the challenges that we are experiencing are concentrated in Atlanta in residential construction. But we have got a big part of our company is in the North Georgia mountains, North Carolina, and the coastal regions and we just aren't seeing – I mean, we are seeing some softness, but it's just not anywhere that kind of magnitude. So when you put that in context, if you are looking at a bank that is more heavily concentrated in Georgia or in some cases I have seen some Georgia and Florida, I think you are looking at a different animal altogether than when you look at us. Wilson Jaeggli – Southwell Partners: I see. Okay, thank you very much.
Operator
Operator
We will go next to Nate Redleaf with Flex Capital [ph]. Nate Redleaf – Flex Capital: Hi. I was just wondering if you guys could say how many loans you have that are on non-accrual that are less than 90 days delinquent or still in the interest reserve period?
David Shearrow
Management
That are on non-accrual? Nate Redleaf – Flex Capital: Yeah. That you have moved to non-accrual either because of deterioration in the collateral value or you are just not confident that they won't.
David Shearrow
Management
Well, I don't know that I have that right here handy. It would be a small amount if we did. Nate Redleaf – Flex Capital: Okay. And can you talk a little bit about your FAS 114 methodology for specific reserves and just how you guys go through that process when you decide to move something to non-accrual?
David Shearrow
Management
Sure. Once we move a loan into non-accrual, we are doing the FAS 114 on impaired loans. We are defining our impairs as those loans greater than $500,000 that aren't consumer purpose loans. And so we go through a process of evaluating the specific collateral on that particular loan, might be based on an appraisal or it might be based on what we know is actual market value because, to be honest with you, the appraisal industry is lagging real-time market valuation. So we go through piece by piece on that collateral, put a valuation on it, sum that up, net off what we believe are going to be collection costs, and that comes up with what we think we can collect on the loan and the difference is the reserve. Nate Redleaf – Flex Capital: Okay. So do you guys get – every time a loan moves to non-accrual, do you get a new appraisal or do you typically just haircut the old appraisal or–?
David Shearrow
Management
The answer is we do not get an appraisal on every loan that moves to non-accrual. We do, on occasion – frankly, as I said, we are finding the appraisals not to be all that much help yet because they are not reflecting current market value, and so we are taking a more aggressive posture. And we have an in-house appraiser who helps opine on this. But more importantly is, we are moving this stuff very quickly. And I spoke earlier the fact that most of what we get back we are moving out within 90 days. And so we pretty much know what's going on in the market. We are committed to continue to move this stuff off the books quickly, and if we believe we need to cut the price or write down the asset more severely to move it, that's what we do. So I mean that's kind of the process. Nate Redleaf – Flex Capital: Alright. And then your comment on the appraisals lagging, is that sort of across the board or in specific markets or what's the–?
David Shearrow
Management
Just – the way appraisals are done is they are looking at historical pricing on product over the last – depending on who the appraiser is, it could be the last 90 days, it could be last year. And I am not saying all appraisals are bad. I am just saying they are not as close to it as we are on a regular basis. We are trading this stuff. The real value of an asset is not what an appraiser thinks, but it's what you can sell it for. And that's – I think our folks are a lot closer to it and that's kind of our approach. Nate Redleaf – Flex Capital: And then could you just talk a little bit about the loss severity trends that you are seeing especially over this sort of last 6 to 9 months?
David Shearrow
Management
Well, I think I commented earlier about that. On the completed housing side, we have had gains on houses we have taken back and we have lost as much as 15% to 20%. And then on the land and lot side, we have been anywhere from say 10%, 15%, 20% losses and as bad as 50% write-off. Nate Redleaf – Flex Capital: Alright. That's it from me. Thanks a lot for taking the call.
David Shearrow
Management
Thank you .
Operator
Operator
We will go next to Brett Villaume with FIG Partners. Brett Villaume – FIG Partners: Most of my questions have been answered. I just have one other. I believe you stated that 48% of NPAs were commercial real estate. Is that correct? Or past dues–?
Jimmy Tallent
Management
No. We were talking about the residential construction was, I believe, 47% of the total past dues. That's in terms of dollars. Brett Villaume – FIG Partners: I was just wondering if you could give me some color on what the other categories listed in your press release of loans by category, what those would be in NPAs.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
You want the NPAs by type? Brett Villaume – FIG Partners: Yes, please.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Okay. Hang on a second. Alright, in terms of type, residential construction NPAs would comprise 65% of our total. Commercial mortgage 5%, residential mortgage 23%, commercial construction 3%, and non-real estate 3%. Brett Villaume – FIG Partners: Okay. Thank you very much.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Welcome.
Operator
Operator
And we have a follow-up from Matt Olney with Stephens, Inc. Matt Olney – Stephens, Inc.: Hey, one more follow-up, David. Do you have the percent of NPAs from your North Georgia market?
David Shearrow
Management
Yeah. North Georgia NPA is 17%. Matt Olney – Stephens, Inc.: Right. Thank you.
David Shearrow
Management
Welcome.
Operator
Operator
And that does conclude the question-and-answer session. At this time I would like to turn it back over to the speakers for any additional or closing remarks.
Jimmy Tallent
Management
Well, let me just say thank you for your call and your interest in United Community Banks. And we certainly look forward to discussing second quarter results in July. Hope you have a great day.
Operator
Operator
Thank you. That does conclude today's conference. We thank you for your participation and you may disconnect at this time.