David E. Bergman
Analyst · John Kernan of Cowen
Thanks, Patrik. At the halfway point of 2021, our second quarter results demonstrate that the strategies we've been executing against and the foundation we've worked hard to reset to increase Under Armour’s capacity to return sustainable, profitable growth to shareholders are working. Our operational execution has never wavered against an incredibly challenging and dynamic global market punctuated by COVID over the last year and a half. Our attention to Under Armour’s focused performers and delivering best in class innovations and premium experiences have never been sharper. And all of this has come together to target full year top line, bottom line, and working capital performance at better than pre-pandemic levels. In the second quarter, revenue was up 91% to $1.4 billion compared to the prior year. Versus our previous outlook, this overdrive was primarily due to higher demand across our wholesale and factory house businesses. And of course, in general, our second quarter results were up against last year's significantly restricted retail environment due to the peak of COVID impacted store closures. From a channel perspective, our wholesale revenue was up 157% driven by broad based growth as we lap the most significant impact from the retail door closures in the prior year. Additionally, most of our Q2 wholesale overdrive was due to stronger sell through and higher demand in North America. Our direct consumer business increased 52% led by 234% growth in our owned and operator retail stores, partially offset by an 18% decline in e-commerce, which faced a difficult comp as it was the primary business driver of last year's second quarter. Our licensing revenues were up 276% driven by increases in our North American partner business. By product type, apparel revenue was up 105%, driven by strength in our train, golf, and run categories. Footwear was up 85% driven by our run and team sports categories. And our accessories business was up 99% driven by hats, bags, and sports masks. From a regional and segment perspective, second quarter revenue in North America was up 101%. In wholesale, we continue to drive lower markdowns with tighter inventory enabling fuller priced sell through. Within D-to-C, we saw strength in our owned and operated stores given the easier comparison to the prior year when most of our locations were closed for the quarter. This was partially offset by a decline in our e-commerce business, which conversely was up against a particularly tough comparison to last year. In EMEA, revenue was up 133% driven by growth in wholesale and D-to-C with significant strength across our wholesale and distributor partners. Revenue in Asia Pacific was up 56% with balanced growth across all channels. And in Latin America, revenue was up 317%, driven primarily by lapping the store closures in the prior year. As we move into the back half of the year, we expect the transition of certain countries to distributor models to negatively impact top line performance, particularly in the fourth quarter. Second quarter gross margin came in better than expected, improving 20 basis points to 49.5% driven by 570 basis points of pricing improvements due to lower promotional activity within our D-to-C channel, along with lower promotions and markdowns within our wholesale business which was significantly impacted by the pandemic in the prior year and 100 basis points of benefit due to changes in foreign currency. Offsetting these improvements was a 460 basis point negative impact from channel mix, primarily driven by a lower mix of e-commerce and a larger mix of wholesale, including a higher percentage of off price sales in last year when this channel was essentially closed for most of the quarter. Additionally, we realized 170 basis points of negative gross margin impact related to the absence of MyFitnessPal, which will remain a headwind throughout 2021. And finally, a 10 basis point negative impact within supply chain, as our continued benefits and product costs were more than offset by higher freight and logistics costs due to developing COVID related supply chain pressures. Overall, versus our previous outlook for second quarter gross margin, we experienced lower than planned promotions enabled through higher demand along with driving more favorable pricing. SG&A expenses were up 14% to 545 million primarily due to higher marketing costs and expenses tied to store operations, given most retail locations were closed throughout the second quarter of 2020. Relative to our 2020 restructuring plan, we recorded 3 million of charges in the second quarter, an amount less than we had anticipated due to timing of specific executions such as the realization of lease and contract terminations. Throughout the plan thus far, we've realized 483 million of pre-tax restructuring and related charges. As detailed last September, this plan contemplates total charges ranging from 550 million to 600 million. It's important to note that all remaining charges are related to initiatives outlined in 2020, meaning nothing new has been added in 2021. For the quarter -- for the third quarter, we expect to realize approximately 40 million to 50 million in charges related to this plan. Moving on, our second quarter operating income was 121 million, excluding restructuring and impairment charges, adjusted operating income was 124 million. After tax, we realized a net income of 59 million or $0.13 of diluted earnings per share during the quarter. Excluding restructuring charges, loss on extinguishment of 250 million in principal amount of senior convertible notes and the non-cash amortization of debt discount on our senior convertible notes, our adjusted net income was 110 million or $0.24 of adjusted diluted earnings per share. In this respect, we are proud to report that in the first half of 2021 we have already surpassed our full year 2019 diluted earnings per share. So in a great position to finish out 2021 was strength against pre-pandemic levels. Inventory at the end of the second quarter was down 26% to 881 million, as we continued to drive improvements throughout our operating model, along with experiencing some inbound shipping delays due to COVID related supply chain pressures. Our cash and cash equivalents were 1.3 billion at the end of the quarter, and we had no borrowings under our 1.1 billion revolving credit facility. With respect to debt, during the second quarter, we entered into exchange agreements with certain convertible bond holders for 250 million in principal amount of our outstanding convertible notes and terminated certain related capped call transactions. We utilize net 247 million in cash, issued 11 million shares of our Class C stock, and recorded a related loss of approximately 35 million which is captured in other income and expenses. Post this transaction, 250 million of our convertible bonds remain outstanding. Next, let's move on to our updated 2021 outlook, where based on better than expected performance in our second quarter, we flowed through the upside for a meaningful increase for our full year. That said, although recent consumer trends continued to track positively, we remain cautious with demand and the overall marketplace due to both the COVID-19 pandemic and developing manufacturing and logistics challenges in key sourcing countries in Southeast Asia. Accordingly, today's outlook is subject to our business continuing under the same general macros we've seen most recently with no significant shutdowns of manufacturing partners or retail or logistics disruptions, along with continuing improvements within the global retail landscape as we progress through the second half of 2021. That said, let's start at the top with revenue, which we now expect to be up at a low 20s percentage rate for the full year. This reflects the low 20s percentage increase in North America and a mid-30s percentage increase in our international business. For gross margin, on a GAAP basis, we expect a full year rate to be up to 50 to 70 basis points against our 2020 adjusted gross margin of 48.6% with benefits from pricing and benefits from changes in foreign currency being partially offset by the sale of MyFitnessPal, which carried a high gross margin rate along with higher expected freight expenses. The gross margin improvement relative to our previous outlook is due to improving benefits within pricing, partially offset by increased freight expense related to poor congestion and logistics costs, which remains a rapidly evolving situation. Versus 2020, we expect a high single-digit rate increase in SG&A, a rate that is less than half that of our revenue growth. As laid out previously, it's important to remember that specific to 2021 we are taking advantage of our improved outlook and proactively making incremental investments, particularly in marketing to build even deeper connections with our consumers. Additionally, the other significant part of the overall increase in SG&A is higher incentive compensation, which is up against 2020 when we realized significant reductions against target levels. All in, of this expected high single-digit rate increase in SG&A in 2021, on an absolute dollar basis, about one half of this is related to incremental marketing, one third related to higher incentive compensation, and the balance related to our other underlying SG&A. On a two-year stack, the most significant drivers of SG&A dollar growth are the incremental marketing investments and higher incentive compensation we expect in 2021. Beyond these items, our underlying SG&A is planned to be up only slightly against 2019’s base. As we look ahead, remaining disciplined around SG&A and striking the right balance between growth, productivity, and profitability is our top priority. With that, we now expect operating income to reach 215 million to 225 million this year, or 340 million to 350 million on an adjusted basis. Translated to rate, we expect to deliver an operating margin of approximately 4% or an adjusted operating margin just north of 6% in 2021. All of this takes us to an expected diluted earnings per share of $0.14 to $0.16 or excluding restructuring charges, the loss on early extinguishment of convertible senior notes, and non-cash amortization of debt discount on these convertible senior notes, we expect adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.50 to $0.52 in 2021. In summary, our full year outlook reflects the combination of the overdrive we've realized in the first half of 2021 along with improvements across our business, positioning us to deliver growth and stronger profitability relative to 2019. Next, before giving more color on how we're thinking about the balance of the year, I'll highlight some headwinds that impact us more directly in second half of 2021, including lower expected sales of our sports masks, supply and demand constraints, the absence of MyFitnessPal, lower expected sales to the off price channel, changes to our Latin American operating model, and the exit of undifferentiated retail, which began in the third quarter. Looking at quarterly flow, we expect third quarter revenue to be up at a low single digit rate and the fourth quarter to be relatively flat to finish out the year. Next, we expect third quarter gross margin to be up 130 to 150 basis points due to pricing benefits and channel mix as we anticipate lower promotional activity and lower sales to the off price channel. These benefits will be partially offset by the absence of MyFitnessPal, higher expected freight costs, and changes in product mix driven by lower sales of sports masks. For the fourth quarter, we expect gross margin to be down due to negative impacts from the absence of MyFitnessPal, channel mix driven by lower licensing revenue, and product mix driven by a higher percentage of footwear and lower sales of sports masks. Bringing this to the bottom line, we expect third quarter adjusted operating income to be 95 million to 105 million or $0.13 to $0.15 of adjusted diluted earnings per share. So to close out, operational excellence, flexibility, a strong balance sheet and consistent financial management when combined form a model that's allowed us to transcend pandemic challenges proficiently. Looking at the next six months and to setup all these accomplishments provide for us going into 2022, we believe Under Armour is well positioned to deliver on our next chapter of profitable growth. With that, we'll turn it back to the operator for your questions. Operator?