Price Cooper
Analyst · Bank of America
Thanks, Kent. Good evening everyone. From a big picture perspective for the first quarter of 2014 as compared to the first quarter of 2013, topline sales grew slightly over 10% and with expanding restaurant margins, restaurant level profitability increased closer to 12%. However diluted earnings per share were flat with the prior year due to a few things. First, our tax rate was considerably higher this year due to the expiration of the work opportunity tax credit at the end of 2013 and the fact that last year included some catch-up from when this tax credit was retroactively reinstated. Overall the increased tax rate negatively impacted diluted earnings-per-share growth by 4% to 5%. Secondly, preopening G&A and depreciation all grew at greater than 12% rate of growth we experienced in terms of restaurant margin dollars. Some of this was due to timing while some was the result of continuing to invest in the business. I will get into more detail on these after I discuss our store level performance. For the first quarter of 2014, restaurant sales increased 10.5% as a result of an 8.4% increase in store weeks and a 2.2% increase in average unit volumes. As has been the case for several quarters, comp sales growth outpaced average unit volume growth with comp sales increasing 2.8% during the quarter. Comp sales growth was comprised of a 1.3% increase in traffic and a 1.5% increase in average check. By month, comparable sales increased 1.1%, 2.6% and 4% for the January, February and March periods respectively. And as Ken mentioned, comps were up 1.6% in April. It is worth noting the Easter weekend calendar shift from March to April positively impacted March results by approximately 1% and negatively impacted April costs by closer to 1.5% due to the fact March is a five-week period and April is a four week period. So netting this out, our comp sales trends for the last few months has been a positive 2.5% to 3% with roughly half being check and half being traffic driven. Restaurant operating profit increased 11.9% or $8.1 million for the quarter compared to the prior year. This outpaced our sales growth as restaurant level margin increased 25 basis points for quarter. We did lose some leverage on the labor line due to three things: higher health care costs, reclassifying some costs between the other operating in the labor line and experiencing more labor inefficiencies associated with new store openings given the increase in these year-over-year. However we were able to more than offset the de-leverage on the labor line with leverage on the cost of sales line. The approximately 1.5% menu price increase taken in late December more than offset food inflation of approximately 0.5 point for the quarter. As it relates to food inflation, it is worth noting that our beef costs were actually slightly lower for the quarter than during the first quarter last year. In terms of the other operating topline, much higher natural gas prices prevented us from gaining additional leverage here as we continued to make good headway on reducing some of our non-gas interfacing costs. As we look at the full year in terms of restaurant margins, I want to give you a little more color to help everyone understand how we're looking at our business. While our beef costs were lower year-over-year for the first quarter, we do not expect this to be the case for all of 2014. However to be clear, we do not expect our 2014 beef costs to be up as much as the overall beef market. This is driven by the fact that in 2013 we experienced beef inflation of 14% to 15% versus the market being up low to mid-single digits. Overall we could see leverage on the food line with roughly 1.5% in check, low single digit food inflation and operator efficiencies. Labor will be very difficult to leverage this year with an additional $2.5 million to $3 million of healthcare costs driven by expanded healthcare coverage. Also, our wage rate inflation continued running 1.5% or so and we're reclassifying some of our contract labor out of the other operating line into the labor line which will create 15 to 20 basis points of headwind all year. On the other operating topline, we would expect to be able to leverage this for the year even with higher natural gas prices as we anticipate getting a few million dollars in savings from non-guest interfacing costs. I would remind everyone that the third quarter can be much tougher to leverage as we're overlapping a $1.3 million credit related to our general liability self-insurance last year. Preopening costs were up $1.5 million this quarter as compared to the prior year. The higher costs were primarily due to the opening of six restaurants this quarter compared to only three in the prior year. Preopening costs are running 550,000 to 600,000 per store right now and do vary depending on the timing of openings. Depreciation costs were up $1.9 million this quarter compared to the prior year primarily due to depreciation on new restaurant. In addition, the way depreciation was recorded in 2013 with 52 weeks of depreciation spread over 53 weeks drove approximately 250,000 of this increase. And we did make some changes at the end of 2013 to shorten some lives on various leasehold assets. G&A cots were up $2.8 million versus last year. The majority of this increase was due to increased investment and store level support in a few areas such as training and facility support. In addition, we continue to invest in international expansion. For the second quarter, we do not expect G&A to be it up as much year-over-year as we expect the spending associated with our annual managing partner conference to be down about $1 million versus the prior year. However we do anticipate it will be difficult to leverage G&A for the year. Tax rate for the quarter came in at 30.7% which is considerably higher than the 27.9% rate last year primarily due to the expiration of the work opportunity tax credit at the end of 2013. We continue to expect our full year rate to be 30% to 31% which is up a decent from the 2013 rate of 28.9%. Moving to the balance sheet and cash flow. We ended the quarter with $91 million in cash which was in line with our year-end balance. While we generate approximately $45 million in cash flow from operations, we spent $49 million in cash primarily on capital expenditures and share repurchases. During the quarter, we spent $24 million to repurchase 960,000 shares of our common stock. We are committed to repurchasing the dilutive impact of our share-based compensation programs and actually we’ve been a little more aggressive here in the first part of 2014 as we're working on buying in the dilutive impact for both 2013 and 2014. We will do this as long as the price is less than what we calculate as the value on a discounted cash flow basis. Finally, on the development front, we still expect your capital spending to be $100 million to $110 million for 2014. With that said, I’d like to turn the call over to President Scott Colosi.