Pat Vincent-Collawn
Analyst · Williams Capital
Thank you, Jimmy. Good morning everyone and happy [indiscernible]. Thanks for joining us as we take one last look at 2016 results before moving on to 2017. I’ll start on slide 4 with the financial results and some key highlights from the year. On a GAAP basis earnings was $0.31 for the fourth quarter and $1.46 for the full year in 2016. On an ongoing basis, fourth quarter 2016 was $0.34, up from $0.23 in the fourth quarter of 2015. Full year earnings in 2016 were $1.65 compared to $1.64 in the prior year. Looking forward, we affirm our previously announced 2017 consolidated ongoing earning guidance of $1.77 to $1.87. Certainly the implementation of new rates in New Mexico was an achievement after the full 13 month ligation schedule but it also left us with some work to be done. I’ll discuss the stages of our appeal and other regulatory items in a minute. Before that though I want to revisit our discussion from our analyst day in December around staying focused in a changing environment. The New Year has bought a new federal administration and potential changes in policy including tax reform, energy and infrastructure. We don’t know exactly what the changes may entail and the devil is always in the detail but we know that we will navigate through these changes while keeping our focus on meeting our customers’ needs. Our customers continue to rank reliability and affordability as the top of their list and we plan to build upon the successes of 2016 in both of these areas. We mentioned the accomplishments shown on the slide for both PNM and PNMP in December but I included these again to emphasize our efforts and the impacts from this customer focus. The results from PNM’s customer perception study last year were record high but we know that we can also be better so we will continue to look for ways to build trust and create innovative solutions for our customers. We will also continue to play a strong supporting role in the efforts around economic development and public policy. We have shown that we are willing to step up and play our parts in working creatively to come with solutions for customers. Facebook selection of New Mexico for its datacenter is just one example of how we work to develop a pricing structure that would support the state’s effort to attract this new customer. At the end of January, we announced that affordable solar, a local [indiscernible] solar company was awarded the $37 million contract for construction for 30 megawatt solar generation project for Facebook. Another locally owned company is providing the tracking equipment for the panels. Construction will begin in 2017 with the first site operational beginning in January of 18 and the final site operational by May of 18.each site will create between 50 and 100 construction jobs and affordable solar is anticipated to be hiring 40 additional employees in connection with the project. We are supporting efforts in New Mexico’s current legislative session which began January 17 and runs through March 18 to protect customers against misleading sales pitches made by third-party solar companies. We are participating not only with the other utilities operating in New Mexico but with multiple chambers of commerce, realtor and trade associations and some of the more prominent local solar companies. It is our priority to participate in these types of partnerships with customer’s legislators and the community as we work together towards solving problems and creating growth in our state. Now moving onto the updates or our current regulatory items on Slide 5. IN December, we filed a general rate case based on 2018 future test year which we cover in depth in our Analyst Day. The requested revenue increase is $99 million with 44% of this increase reflecting the items included in the New Mexico, public regulation commission’s approval of our BART settlement in December of 2015 and the installation of FCRs at the four quarters power plant. Our filing is based on a 10.125% return on equity with an expected implementation date of January 1, 2018. That lines up with the retirement of the two units at San Juan and the addition of Palo Verde Unit 3 capacity to meet our customers’ needs. The commission set a date of March 7 for a settlement conference and March 27 for a settlement agreement to be filed if one can be reached. We continue to work toward achieving settlement in this case especially considering that so many of the parties were also parties in the BART settlement and agreed in that case not to oppose the BART related components on this case. Now admittedly, this is aggressive timeline especially for many parities’ that are involved in other cases at the commission. But it encourages all parties to get to a settlement and plenty of time to work through all of the necessary approvals before rates are represented on January 1, 2018. Our filing to implement advanced metering infrastructure for AMI in New Mexico has resumed and the earnings began yesterday. As a reminder, our application is clear that we will only proceed with AMI if the commission approvals recovery of the underpriceded investments in our current meters. If approved, we would spend $87 million over 2017, 2018, and 2019. We estimate a net benefit to customers over 20 years of just over $20 million. Following the hearing we expect a recommendation from the earning examiner in March or early April and then it should come before the commission in May for a vote. As you will remember from last year, we talked quite a bit about the importance of our integrated research plan that is to be filed in July of this year. We kicked off the process in 2016 and have held several public meetings to get influence into this 20 year plans. In those public meetings we not only review our existing power resources but also explore issues around transmission, various regulations, integrating renewable resources with traditional energy sources, impacts on the environment and the need to deliver affordable and reliable power. Between now and July 3, we will sharing more in-depth information including the various resource portfolios we are modeling. This information is all preliminary and enables the public to provide comments on the plan giving it in-depth look at how we work to balance reliability and affordability while minimizing impacts on the environment. For the IRP, keep in mind that the plan will identify the most cost effective portfolios in two different scenarios. One scenario includes the continued operation of San Juan Units 1 and 4 after 2022 and a second portfolio that does not include those two units past 2022. This facilities a filing to be made by July 2018 to determine the future for the San Juan generating station. The parties in our BART stipulation agreed to resolve this particular filings within six months of the filing day which is important for us the other participants in San Juan and Westmoreland Coal Company so that we can all appropriate plan for future operations. We are on track to file the integrated resource plan by July 3. I mentioned earlier that we continue to pursue recovery of our investments that will disallowed by the commission in the august 2015 general rate case. We filed our notice of appeal with the New Mexico Supreme Court on September 30, 2016. As a remainder, we are appealing the commissions’ decisions to disallow three key items. Recovery of the full purchase price for 64 megawatts of previously leased capacity at Palo Verde. The unrecovered value of past leasehold improvements in this capacity and the disallowance of the Balanced Draft Technology installed at the San Juan generating station. We are currently in the briefing period of the appeal. Briefing will be complete by June of this year. The [indiscernible] a decision. There is no required timeframe for the port to act on this appeal although utility appeals do have priorities under New Mexico law. As we discussed in our October, we have estimated that it will take about 15 months for this proceedings to be resolved. Turning to Texas, TNMP made its latest [indiscernible] filing on January 20, we anticipate the new rates will go into effect in March and will increase revenue by approximately $4.8 million annually. We also began talking with you last year about our plans to file for a general rate case at TNMP. Our last general rate case at TNMP was in 2010. While we’ve been utilizing the [indiscernible] mechanism twice a year to update rates for transmission investments. Our rates do not reflect any changes to the remainder of our rate base or O&M costs. We have agreed with PUCT to file a rate case by September of 2018. As we’ve mentioned before, it is likely that we look at filings based on a 2017 calendar test year period and make that filings in the spring of 2018 with rates expected to be effective by January of 2019. As we move through the year, we will providing you updates on each of these items. I’d to turn it over now to Charles Eldred for a detailed look at the numbers.