John Hrudicka
Analyst · Feltl
Thanks, Paul. Good morning everyone. Q2 was a very good quarter for Titan as you’ve heard from both Maurice and Paul, and I understand this is a relative comment. While we were down significantly in sales to both prior year and our internal plan, we improved our gross margin rate performance in both our operating income dollars and rate performance. This was all accomplished by overcoming a significant reduction in sales. And I think this is a testament, building on what Paul said, to the diligent actions that we embarked upon last year, the change initiatives we’ve driven, continue to drive and they’re now materializing in our results. So let’s begin by talking about revenue. Sales for the quarter were at $376 million. This was down $148 million or 28.2% from prior year. The quarter over quarter decrease was driven mostly by currency and reductions in our ag segment, comprising $124 million or 84% of this variance. More specifically, of our ag variance, the majority portion was attributable to North America. So I referenced currency, this drove a reduction in sales of $55 million on the quarter versus prior year. This impact was felt across all our international locations, our undercarriage Russia, Latin America, Europe and Australia businesses. The most significant movements were represented by the ruble 65%, real 43% valuation. If you adjust for currency impact, sales declined 17.6% versus the reported 28.2%. So as we break down our segments, let’s start with ag. There isn’t anything to say here from a driver perspective that isn’t already known or hasn’t already been discussed. From our perspective, sales had deteriorated more than we planned internally; I think, more than most people projected for that matter. The OEM market continues to be sluggish as our large equipment customers have cut production commensurate with the lower demand. All the same negative forces are still at play that are driving ag back to normalcy, namely, lower farm income and high used inventory. Now, as soon as I say that, there is some speculation out there that farm income in the US could rise nearly 20% this year just on the corn crop alone, and this is due to the corn crop conditions and lower production costs. In terms of the used inventory, while it’s still high, there are signs of stabilization out there. On the RFS or renewable fuel standard front, for the first time since its inception a decade ago, the Obama administration EPA proposed this past May that weaken the RFS requirement. So this is a blow to the ethanol industry, namely corn production as it relates to our business. A quick update on Section 179 Bonus Depreciation legislation has – was introduced on July 19 that proposes to – made permanent the 50% bonus depreciation tax benefit. And specifically, the NAEDA is supporting this bill and ask for immediate reinstatement to incentivize equipment purchases. But I would not expect to hear a conclusion to this too soon. Specific to Titan, ag in total was down $90 million or 32%, $69 million when you exclude currency impact. North American ag was down $62 million or 33%, $52 million or 84% of this erosion was driven by reductions associated with our OE customers. So both Maurice and Paul had spoke about that. From a product perspective, ironically $52 million or 84%, the same North American ag reduction was a result of reduced demand for high horsepower equipment. In Europe, the continued decline in ag is driving our large OE customers institute line speed reductions and they have to reduce production volumes. With that being said, we continue to win new business with the OEs in Europe and with Turk Traktor in Turkey. As stated on our Q1 call, our waffle wheel, a unique patented ag solution that combines the two attributes of adjustable track with high speed and strength continues to grow on popularity and gain share. And as stated in Q1, we’re well underway with an effort very much like our LSW solution parts to demonstrate the value proposition in a more analytical manner to drive both adoption and market share gain. Latin America, they continue to suffer from a number of negative forces, uncertain political environment, negative GDP, increasing unemployment, high inflation with CPI gravitating towards the 10% level which will likely result in the Central Bank to continue with its monetary tightening cycle for the rest of the year. I continue to be amazed and the company continues to be amazed of how resilient this business is as they continue to hit their numbers despite the seemingly [indemonstrable] hurdles. Quick comment on undercarriage Russia and Australia businesses, when you exclude currency impact, each of them showed growth for both the quarter and year to date. So let’s turn our attention to our earthmoving/construction, our sales for earthmoving/construction were down $28 million or 17% from prior year. $20 million of this $28 million miss was attributable to currency, mostly the euro and real devaluation negatively impacting our undercarriage business. While our North American business declined 19%, our rest of world earthmoving/construction business grew slightly when adjusting for currency. Bright spot for our Europe wheels business, the construction market has picked up considerably in Q2 and customer demand is being pulled forward. Let’s look at consumer, because the results here could be a little misleading, but it’s very consistent with the story we told in Q1. While we declined $29 million or 39%, $13 million of the sales reduction is from FX. In addition, in Brazil, we are no longer selling compound to Goodyear to produce the treated fabric that we buy back from them. We brought this activity in-house as a profit initiative, so that eliminated $9 million of sales on the quarter, but clearly the right thing to do for the business. And as you can see, our gross margins improved in consumer for the quarter and year to date. So when adjusting for these two items, sales declined only 9.4% versus the reported 39%. Primary drivers of the net decline is further erosion in Brazilian truck carriers offset in part by the high-speed train brake supporting the China railway system development. So with the first two quarters under our belt, that puts sales just under $800 million year-to-date compared to $1.1 billion last year, representing erosion of nearly 27%. And as with Q2, this story is fairly consistent. Ag and currency comprises $256 million or 90% of the total net sales variance. And if you adjust for the $106 million currency impact, our sales erosion dropped to $178 million or 16.8%. So let’s move on to gross margins, because I believe this is where we excelled despite the sales fall off and you heard the commentary from both Maurice and Paul in this regard. While gross margin dollars were actually down $4.5 million to prior year, when adjusting for last year’s asset impairment and inventory value adjustment, this was solely a function of math relative to our significant sales decline. Our gross margin performance at 13.6% was up 300 basis points to prior year on $147 million or 28% less sales. But what makes us more even more impressive is while we battled to overcome the sales decline, we also had to content with the weaker mix, as most of the ag erosion as we stated previously was related to high horsepower equipment, which is a higher margin product category for us. So we’ve actually overcome a lot to perform at this level given the sales decline and the weaker mix that we experienced. We’ve been talking for several quarters regarding our profit optimization framework. We’ve been focused on what we can control, not we can’t. There has been a tremendous amount of diligence relative to ideation, initiative execution, and driving change. And for two quarters running this year, we’ve demonstrated the benefits of our efforts. Net material cost reductions are across the board, natural rubbers, synthetic rubber, fabric and chemicals. And discussed in Q1, we have significantly improved our procurement of natural rubber through the centralization of purchasing and implementation of a hybrid purchasing strategy implemented in Q3 of last year. While it’s old news that we’ve reduced headcount significantly in our plant in response to our end markets, it’s really important to note that we are much more proactive in taking real-time actions in this regard when anticipating lower production levels associated with revenue declines. Our profit optimization framework is working and it’s improving. We only turned this on just a few short quarters ago. To put in perspective, quarter over quarter and year to date, we generated positive productivity variances, improvement in respect of labor and overhead on significantly lower sales. That’s very, very difficult to do. So there is a great amount of focus relative to this framework and accountability for driving results. A quick note on operating expenses, SG&A, R&D and royalty are down $7 million to prior year and $16.5 million year-to-date. While there are a series of puts and takes across these categories, these decreases are primarily a function of profit optimization initiatives and FX. And as I’ve stated in Q1, our operating expense structure has been historically lean. We continue to pursue investment or redeployment so to speak in areas of strategic nature. So we’ve made and we will continue to make investments in technology, skilled resources, coupled with business practice in building out our performance management framework to provide the tools to support and optimize business decision-making. So let’s move down to P&L and I want to discuss other income, specifically foreign currency. We experienced a loss of [$2.1 million] for the quarter, primarily from our intercompany balances. This was $5.8 million unfavorable to prior year. These losses primarily reflect the translation of intercompany loans of foreign subsidiaries, denominated in currencies rather than their functional currency. Now, an offset to this was, we disclosed the reclassification in our 10-Q for a subsidiary investment which was improperly classified as an intercompany liability. As a result, we reclassified currency translation and other comprehensive income to currency exchange gain during the quarter. So this had the effect of increasing other income by $5.7 million for the quarter and $3.1 million year-to-date. We’ve been taking a number of actions. We’ve talked about these for past several quarters to mitigate risk and foreign exchange through balanced reductions, reclassification and our new hedging practice. For 2015 year-to-date, we are in a positive income position of $6.5 million, excluding the reclassification event we just discussed, which is $4.5 million favorable to prior year. And just to remind everybody, we lost $32 million in FX on our intercompany loans and balances last year. So let’s summarize and bring this to the bottom line to profit, we had one adjustment for the quarter with the other income reclassification of $5.7 million that I just spoke about. We also had an adjustment in Q2 of last year for the asset impairment and inventory value adjustment totaling $22.2 million. So our adjusted net income attributable to Titan is at $1 million profit or $0.02 per share and EBITDA at $26.8 billion. That compares to the adjusted net income attributable to Titan of $1.7 million or $0.03 per share and EBITDA at $35.2 million from prior year. Now for the six months ended, adjusted net income attributable to Titan is $4.4 million or $0.08 per share and $57.8 million of EBITDA and this compares to prior year of net income attributable to Titan of $3.8 million or $0.07 per share and $59.3 million of EBITDA. Let’s touch on a few balance sheet items briefly, for the quarter AR is down $15 million from Q1, primarily a function of revenue as DSOs were flat. AR is down $78 million from Q2 of prior year, driven primarily by lower revenue, but also slight erosion in DSOs. Inventory is slightly below Q1 levels, but DSIs have climbed as we’ve been working with some consignment programs to battle for more share. Inventory is down $81 million from prior year, driven primarily by lower sales as DSIs were just slightly up. In our new EVA framework that we’ve talked about over the past several quarters, while the initial focus and emphasis has been on productivity and profitable growth as seen through our gross margin improvement, working capital will also become a key focus for value creation. Regards to PP&E, we continue to spend under our depreciation expense generating cash. We have been carefully scrutinizing capital that ensures strategic alignment and positive EVA returns and cash generation. We expect to spend $25 million to $30 million in the back half, bringing our full year capital spend to a range of $47 million $52 million. This is below our internal plan of $65 million. Cash ended the quarter nearly flat to Q1 at $188 million, but down $14 million to 2014 year end. We are aware of the concerns persist over liquidity and cash flow as we fight through these down markets, we’ve heard it in Q1, Maurice spoke about a little bit in his comments. We continue to be very mindful of our cash position and manage it diligently. I indicated on the last call that our 2015 internal plan called for a small cash generation for the full year. I continue to get questions about that. This obviously gets increasingly challenging with the significant reduction in sales as to what was planned. But with our improvement in profitability in the face of declining sales, we believe we have a fighting chance to be cash neutral for the year. Our most significant negative driver from our 2015 beginning balance was accounts receivable which historically gets worked down significantly by year end. From a debt perspective, while our debt to trailing EBITDA measure has doubled from one year ago, this ratio is stabilizing somewhat, only rising slightly from one quarter ago. While we achieved our internal EBITDA plan, this rise is due to a small dip in EBITDA to the quarter we dropped off in the calculation, while our debt is slightly down. We’re nearly flat to two quarters ago. I will continue to repeat each quarter as we continue to get this question we do not have any financial covenants associated with our debt. So wrapping up, I believe our results are admirable in the face of some very difficult end markets accompanied by significant sales erosion. We’ve improved our gross margin rate performance two quarters in a row on an aggregate 27% reduction in sales year-to-date. And while there has been a lot accomplished, we are in the infancy of these change initiatives that we are driving and the hard work is still ahead of us. And I’ve told many investors we are in a position that when we couple the ultimate market recovery with these significant positive changes we are driving on how we manage the business, this will be a very powerful story for our shareholders perspective. So with that, I’d like to turn the call over to the operator for questions.