Tom Edman
Analyst · Stifel
Thank you, Sameer. Good afternoon and thank you for joining us for our fourth quarter 2019 conference call. I'll begin with a review of our business strategy including highlights from the quarter followed by a discussion of our fourth quarter results. Todd Schull, our CFO, will follow with an overview of our Q4 2019 financial performance and our Q1 2020 guidance. We will then open the call to your questions. I am pleased to report that in the fourth quarter of 2019 TTM generated revenues and EPS above the guided range. Strong year-over-year growth in aerospace and defense, cellular and computing offset year-over-year declines in other commercial markets. In addition, we recovered from the operational challenges in Q3 with solid execution in Q4, in both our aerospace and defense and commercial business driving strong margin improvement sequentially despite flattish revenues. Finally, financial discipline drove cash flow from operations to a strong $130.1 million in the quarter. For the year, cash flow from operations was $311.9 million compared to $273.1 million in 2018 despite declines in revenue and profit year-over-year. Two weeks ago we announced that we will be divesting our mobility business unit to AKMMeadville, a Chinese consortium for $660 million in cash. This was a strategic decision which allows us to focus on longer-cycle markets and reduces our exposure to short product cycle and seasonal consumer markets, which historically have been prone to volatility. In addition, cellular market growth has slowed, but still requires substantial capital investment, making it challenging to meet our desired business model. We were pleased to find a buyer that had product synergies as well as capital resources to invest in the cellular market to support our customers and the 7,500 employees associated with this business unit. The transaction is expected to close towards the end of Q2 with proceeds to be received towards the end of Q3. We plan to use the proceeds to reduce debt and invest in the Company and will provide more details closer to close. This transaction aligns with our strategic focus on diversification, differentiation and discipline and we expect that in the long term, it will pay off for TTM, our investors and our customers. We are also carefully monitoring the coronavirus situation in China as we put the health of our employees first in our priorities. Our facilities have delayed their post-Chinese New Year start-up by an average of nine days with plans to restart operations on February 10th in line with government requirements. We have implemented a regimen in our facilities to protect our employees from the spread of the disease through procedures such as regular facility sterilization, mandatory masks in our facilities, temperature checks for all incoming employees and visitors, mandatory quarantine for employees returning from the impacted provinces and other measures. We also have established a task force at the corporate level to coordinate communications with our customers regarding any impacts to production. We have done our best to incorporate the potential impacts of the extended shutdowns and ongoing production impacts in our guidance for the first quarter. In the meantime we will remain focused on operational excellence and financial discipline as well as our strategic goals of diversification and differentiation. In particular, we will continue on our path towards differentiation in the aerospace and defense and automotive end markets. We continue to see strength in the aerospace and defense market. Two significant areas of focus are missiles and munitions and radar systems which are expected to lead our growth. With the continued adoption of AESA radar technology across all armed services and the conversion of next-generation gallium nitride or silicon germanium based platforms, the AESA radar market is expected to grow at an average -- at an 18% CAGAR. AESA stands for active electronically scanned array and represents the next generation technology for defense radars. TTM is the leader in the design and manufacturing of RF subsystems and components for AESA radar systems and is well positioned to benefit as defense programs upgrade from traditional mechanical radars to fixed solid state AESA radar. This technology allows our customers greater performance in range, accuracy and sensitivity, which in turn increases detection and defense capability. Defense spending remains robust which will provide a strong tailwind over the next few years, while near term strength is being driven by our strong program alignment with strategic defense programs which number more than 80. Our A&D market book-to-bill ratio at the end of the fourth quarter was 1.13% driving our A&D program backlog to a new record level of $600 million, a significant milestone for our aerospace and defense business and exceeding the $572 million in Q3 of 2019 and $481 million in Q4 of 2018. Our aerospace and defense revenues grew 15% year-over-year in Q4, achieving a new record level. We capitalized on positive market trends through our team's dual focus on supporting both customer build the print and design specification requirements across a broad base of major defense and commercial aerospace programs. In addition, we announced the opening of a new engineering center in Binghamton, New York and an advanced technology manufacturing facility in Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin. Following the acquisition of manufacturing and intellectual property assets from i3 Electronics, we hired a number of engineering experts, previously employed by i3, to strengthen our technology capabilities and extend our patent portfolio for emerging applications for the aerospace and defense and high-end commercial markets. Moving on to our automotive business, we continue to develop positions and new programs related to the megatrends of vehicle safety and autonomous driving, hybrid and electric vehicles, advanced infotainment and increased connectivity requirements. Our goal will be to support our existing customers as they adapt to this new world while also building business with a set of new innovative technology-focused customers. Because of the above macro trends there continues to be a tremendous amount of innovation in the automotive electronics industry. In 2019 advanced technology revenue, which includes radar, lidar and HDI, was 23% of revenue compared to 19% of our revenue in 2018. Our design activity remains robust, which bodes well for future revenues. In the automotive market, customer engagement begins well before a product ramps. In the quarter we won 58 new automotive designs with a lifetime program value of $77 million, of which $17 million were ADAS related. For the year, we captured a total of 248 design wins, compared to 190 in 2018. Designs that we are winning this year will contribute to revenues in future years. Now, I'd like to review our end markets. Note that my comments will reflect the inclusion of the mobility business unit. We plan to give pro forma end market expectations as we near the close of the transaction. For TTM the aerospace and defense end market represented 26% of total fourth quarter sales compared to 23% of Q4 2018 sales and 24% of sales in Q3 of 2019. We expect sales in Q1 from this end market to represent about 31% of our total sales. For the full year aerospace and defense increased 15% and reached a record high as TTM benefited from increased defense spending and demand for multiple new programs. In 2020, we expect growth to continue to outpace market projections of 2% to 4%. The cellular phone end market accounted for 16% of revenue in the fourth quarter compared to 14% in Q4 of 2018 and 19% in Q3 of 2019. We expect cellular to represent 10% of revenues in Q1 due to normal seasonal declines. For full year 2019, cellular declined 13% as cellular customers managed inventory and reduced demand in a slowing smartphone market. Due to better inventory management by our customers in 2019 as well as growth prospects from 5G, we expect this market to grow in 2020 above longer-term forecast of 2% to 5%. Networking/communications accounted for 15% of revenue during the fourth quarter of 2019. This compares to 18% in the fourth quarter of 2018 and 13% of revenue in the third quarter of 2019. Many of our networking and telecom customers declined year-over-year due to softness in service provider spending as well as impacts from the trade war between the United States and China as we stopped shipments of US made wireless components to Huawei. In Q1 we expect this segment to be 13% of revenue as these trends continue. For the full year networking/communications declined 13%. Due to the anticipated soft start in the first half, we expect this market to be below longer-term forecasts of 3% to 5% growth in 2020. Automotive sales represented 14% of total sales during the fourth quarter of 2019, compared to 16% in the year-ago quarter and 17% during the third quarter of 2019. Automotive sales declined year-over-year due to weakness from diesel products in Europe and sales levels in China. The sequential decline was a result of our EMS business as the automotive PCB business was actually flat sequentially. We expect automotive to contribute 13% of total sales in Q1 with PCB sales expected to be down sequentially as a result of a delayed start-up post Chinese New Year. For the full year automotive declined 16% as softer unit volumes in China and Europe more than offset gains in PCB content. In 2020 due to the anticipated soft start, we expect the market to be below longer-term forecast of 5% to 8%, mostly as a result of significant declines in our EMS segment. Sales in the computing, storage, peripherals end market represented 14% of total sales in the fourth quarter compared to 13% in Q4 of 2018 and 12% in the third quarter of 2019. We saw strength in our semiconductor and data center customers, partially offset by declines in high-end notebook sales. The laptop and tablet revenues were approximately 30% of computing revenues in Q4 and will be included in the pending Mobility business unit divestiture. We expect revenues in this end market to represent approximately 15% of first quarter sales. For the full year, computing declined 10% as we saw declines across our data center server customers. In 2020, we expect to be above the expected end market growth of 1% to 3% due primarily to a recovery in our semiconductor and data center customers. The medical, industrial, instrumentation end market contributed 13% of our total sales in the fourth quarter compared to 14% in the year-ago quarter and 13% in the third quarter of 2019. We saw strength in our instrumentation customers that was offset by weakness in our industrial customers due to declines in global industrial demand. For the first quarter, we expect this market to be 16% of revenues. For the full year MI&I declined 6% due to weakness from our industrial customers from reduced manufacturing activities and impacts from trade wars. In 2020, we expect growth to be in line with the 3% to 5% forecast with year-on-year momentum driven by our large instrumentation customers and business development activities with new customers. Next, I'll cover some details from the fourth quarter. During the quarter, our advanced technology business, which includes HDI, rigid flex, substrate and RF subsystems and components accounted for approximately 42% of our Company's revenue. This compares to approximately 38% in the year-ago quarter and 41% in Q3. The sequential and year-over-year increases were due to a combined growth in our cellular and computing end markets. We are continuing to pursue new business opportunities and increase customer design engagement activities that will leverage our advanced technology capabilities in new markets. Capacity utilization in Asia-Pacific was 72% in Q4 compared to 73% in the year-ago quarter and 71% in Q3. Our overall capacity utilization in North America was 57% in Q4 compared to 57% in both the year-ago quarter and Q3. Our top five customers contributed 37% of total sales in the fourth quarter of 2019, compared to 35% in the year-ago quarter and 38% in the third quarter of 2019. Our largest customer accounted for 18% of sales in the fourth quarter versus 17% in the year-ago quarter and 20% in Q3. At the end of Q4, our 90-day backlog, which is subject to cancellations, was $511.2 million compared to $463.4 million at the end of the fourth quarter last year and $529.3 million at the end of Q3. Our PCB book-to-bill ratio was 1.05% for the three months ending December 30th. I'd like to conclude by emphasizing TTM's commitment to operational discipline and strategic focus. While we had a challenging year in terms of revenue declines in our commercial end markets we managed our business well by adjusting our cost structure, maximizing our cash flow and executing a strong fourth quarter. In addition, we made progress on our strategic goals of diversification, differentiation and discipline through the acquisition of the assets of i3, initial revenue synergies from the Anaren acquisition and the divestiture of the mobility business unit. While we are facing short-term challenges from the coronavirus, longer term we expect to benefit from secular trends such as 5G wireless technology, increasing automotive electronics content and increasing use of RF electronics in the aerospace and defense industry. Now Todd will review our financial performance for the fourth quarter. Todd?