Operator
Operator
Good day and welcome to the TOTAL First Quarter Results Conference Call. Today’s conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Patrick de La Chevardière, CFO. Please go ahead, sir. Patrick de La Chevardière: The current restructuring plan has improved the Refining & Chemical segment by high-grading the assets and lowering the breakeven. This year, we announced a new roadmap that expands the restructuring program by specific - current restructuring plan has improved the Refining & Chemical - hello, Patrick de La Chevardière here. Hello, Patrick de La Chevardière here. Hello, Patrick de La Chevardière here. Hello, Patrick de La Chevardière here. Today is World Safety Day and this is the reminder that safety is our number one priority every day at TOTAL. Our safety performance improved last year, but our goal is continuous improvement. That is why all of our teams will spend some time today for focusing on safety, emphasizing the importance of our 12 golden safety rules. We want everyone to go home safely. Turning now to our financial results, we reported $2.6 billion of adjusted net income or $1.13 per share for the first quarter 2015, compared to the previous quarter this is a decrease of only 7%. Related to the 30% drop in Brent, this clearly demonstrates that TOTAL is very resilient in a weaker environment. The first quarter environment was marked by much lower oil prices, but there were some mitigating effects, mainly the Downstream environment was very positive with strong European refining margins and better conditions for marketing. Also we were helped by the first positive result of our cost-reduction program, higher production, as well as the stronger dollar. In the Upstream, we had significant production growth in first quarter 2015, 7% more than fourth quarter 2014 and 10% more than first quarter 2014. The most important contribution to the higher production was the new ADCO contract which took effect on January 1. This adds 160,000 barrels per day of oil that we plan to grow and profit from over the next 40 years. Excluding ADCO, volumes were stable compared to 4Q 2014 and up 4% year-on-year. The three start-ups in the first quarter West Franklin Phase 2, Ofon 2, and Eldfisk II made a positive contribution. And the PSC price impact had a positive effect as well, but these were largely offset by the natural decline and the loss of volume in Libya due to the security situation there. The year-on-year growth was mainly driven by CLOV, which is actually producing above its plateau and performing very well. As you are all aware the world is facing increasing geopolitical tensions, especially in the Middle East and North Africa. Our onshore production in Libya which represents about 40,000 barrels per day is shutting due to security condition there, but our offshore production which has a capacity of about 20,000 barrels per day has not been affected. The situation in Yemen did not affect the first quarter, but all of our production including Yemen LNG has been shut in since the start of the second quarter. And this represents about 80,000 barrel per day net to the company. It is impossible to project the outcome of these types of events but as I said at the beginning our first priority is the safety of our people. Taking all of these into account, adjusted net operating income for Upstream segment was $1.4 billion in the first quarter of 2015, compared to $1.6 billion in the fourth quarter of 2014. This represents the decrease of 15% which is significantly lower than the 30% drop in grant. The price impact was mitigated by the positive effects on our cost reduction program, production growth, the lag effect on gas prices and smaller differentials between Brent and our realized liquid prices. We do not usually comment on the quarter OpEx numbers, but they can vary depending on a number of factors but the trend is clear and our first quarter OpEx is running well below the 2014 average. Most of these cost reduction is linked to our self-help program which targets saving of $800 million for the year in the Upstream. And assuming that oil prices remain at this level we would expect to see more cost deflation as we move through the year. In countries where we have costs in local currency the stronger dollar has a positive effect on our results. Given the tough environment including the disruption and shut-ins, we are pleased with the resilient performance of the Upstream. We are on track delivery a very competitive production growth this year and in the year ahead. Despite being in a growth mode, we are effectively reducing cost and lowering CapEx. We are improving the underlying profitability of the Upstream and making this segment stronger. In contrast to the Upstream the Downstream environment was one of the best we have seen in years, in fact, downstream generated half of our results for the quarter. Compared to the strong 4Q results, the Refining & Chemical, and Marketing & Services segments each posted double-digit increases in adjusted net operating income raising the Downstream contribution to more than $1.4 billion in the first quarter. For the Refining & Chemical segment, European refining margins were very strong, but we are also seeing the cumulative benefit of our restructuring program. The Marketing & Services segment is continuing to grow and has increased its profitable contribution to the group. As a reminder, starting in 2014, we are to apply IFRIC 21 rule, which requires us to recognize most of the property taxes for the year in the first quarter. This charge mainly affects the Downstream and it was around $100 million first Q 2015 and therefore has a negative impact on the quarter-to-quarter comparison. The first Q Downstream results were strong when needed them most and this clearly demonstrates the value of the integrated model. However, the challenging situation facing the European refining and petrochemical industries has not changed. And our long-term view is that margins will not remain at these high levels. The current restructuring plan has improved the Refining & Chemicals segment by high-grading the assets and lowering the breakeven. This year we announced a new roadmap that expands the restructuring program by specifically addressing three refineries, Donges and La Mede in France, as well as Lindsey in the UK. In addition, Refining & Chemicals is executing its cost reduction program with a target of $600 million of saving by 2017. With these plans we will achieve our 2017 objective to reduce the European capacity by 20% and we will reduce breakeven of each of our European refineries to less than $20 per ton. The Refining & Chemical contribution will fluctuate with market conditions and margins. But we are better able to capture value, because these restructuring efforts have made us stronger and more responsive to the environment. Looking at the corporate side, the adjusted cash flow from operations was $4.6 billion, a decrease of 19% from the previous quarter, reflecting essentially the resilience of the Upstream relative to the steep drop in Brent. Organic CapEx was $6.1 billion, a decrease of 13% compared to the previous quarter and in line with our budget. Acquisitions were $2.5 billion, mainly comprised of the bonus for ADCO and more than offset by $2.7 billion of asset sales. Asset sales included the closing of the previously announced sale of Bostik for $1.8 billion, as well as the sale of two non-operated blocks in Nigeria for $800 million around. We are off to a good start and we are progressing on negotiation to reach our target for 2015. Gearing fell to 28% and is back in our target range, thanks in part to the proceeds from assets and the hybrid bond financing that was secured in February. I should point out that gearing is also affected by $1.1 billion of impairments, mainly related to deteriorating security situation this quarter. We have fully impaired our onshore field in Libya, which is most of the charge, as well as our producing blocks in Yemen. As you know, we are very focused on managing cost and cash particularly given the current oil price environment. We are not betting on a quick rebound but we believe that fundamentals will eventually boost prices higher although we cannot say when. Using certain initiatives like the scrip dividend and hybrid financing we estimate that we can manage our gearing around 30% this year. By 2017, we will more than cover the dividend with free cash flow. For the near term our strategy to perform right on delivering the new start-ups, eight of them this year including the three that are already producing, at the same time we are reducing our CapEx and OpEx to lower our breakeven in all segments and increase our free cash flow. The first quarter results show that TOTAL is resilient in a tough environment, and we are positioning the company to be a stronger player by 2017 regardless of oil prices. Now, let’s move to Q&A and as usual, I ask you to try to limit yourself to one question at a time.