Jeff Green
Analyst · Susquehanna Financial Group. Please proceed with your question
Thanks, Chris and thank you all for joining us. You've already seen the results, but let me just cover a couple of highlights that I think are particularly noteworthy. Total spend on our platform in 2019 was a record $3.1 billion. Spend in Q4 topped $1 billion, the first time we have ever crossed the $1 billion mark in a single quarter. This record spend helped drive revenue growth of 39% for the year. And our adjusted EBITDA margin was 32% marking the fourth year in a row above 30%. Net income was $108 million and we have been GAAP profitable every year since 2013. These results are highly encouraging. We continue to generate strong revenue growth while we also deliver profitability that is significantly higher than almost all other comparable software and Internet companies of our size. We will also continue to look for ways to invest that profitability to accelerate our growth. With all of that said about 2019, I'm even more excited about 2020. I've never felt more confident heading into a new year. That's because as the largest independent DSP in the world, I believe we are uniquely positioned to grow and grab share regardless of any changes to the regulatory or tech environment. I'm expecting spend growth to accelerate this year to 35.7% year-over-year versus 33% last year. We project that will drive revenue growth of at least 30.5% and EBITDA margin of at least 30%. Part of our confidence comes from the amazing progress we made in 2019. Whether it's bringing more and more advertisers on to our platform or the tremendous growth we've seen across our inventory availability or the explosion of Connected TV and how that is transforming advertising or the growth of the use of data on our platform, which grew 65% year-over-year, I'm amazed at how far we've come and so quickly. The progress we made in 2019 puts us in a great position to grab share not only in 2020, but well into the future. I want to spend a few minutes getting into these points in more detail. I believe that in many ways we're at a watershed moment in our industry and for our business. I say that not simply because of the revolutionary impact of emerging trends such as CTV, but also because we're at a point where we no longer have to make the case for data-driven advertising. Advertisers get it. They understand it and they want to apply it. It's no longer a question of what the hell is this thing, but it's more a question of, how can I do more with you. While advertising is about $725 billion today we expect it to pass $1 trillion in about seven years. We continue to assert what we have from the very beginning: data-driven decisioning is the future and the objective and more transparent companies who manage to gain scale will be the dominant force of the new advertising market that exists on the other side of digital transformation. On the inventory side, if you gave me a blank sheet of paper a year ago and told me to predict what a successful year could look like, I would have never come close to what we actually accomplished. In 2019, we exceeded every one of our goals to bring on premium inventory. The mantra of our inventory team led by Tim Sims is to be first and go fast. This is so important because adding massive scale in areas such as CTV, audio and mobile is a great leading indicator of future spend on our platform. If you look at CTV specifically, an advertiser can reach over $30 billion premium inventory impressions every day from nearly every major content provider. That means there was exponentially more inventory available in 2019 than the year before. Here are just a few of the inventory highlights from 2019. We became the first DSP to integrate with Amazon Publisher Services. We expect this relationship to grow in 2020. We were the first DSP to launch live sports with Disney programmatically. We were the first DSP to run programmatic guaranteed audio with Spotify globally. In Europe, we integrated with Channel Four, Sky Germany, ProSieben, RTL, Mediaset, TFI, and Rakuten TV. That's like the Champions League of European Media. It's a similar story in Asia where we became one of the first DSPs to integrate with many of the region's top media providers such as TVer in Japan. In Southeast Asia we have added over 13 new premium TV partners and these include VTV in Vietnam, TrueID TV in Thailand, and HOOQ across all of Southeast Asia. One last one which I think is particularly insightful and important we became the first DSP to go live with FreeWheel's unified yield products. This is effectively header bidding for TV. Let me explain that one for a minute. The ad ecosystem is not too dissimilar from the equities market. Supply and demand isn't always measured completely and when an order is placed, or in our case an impression is sold, it may not be routed in a way that maximizes yield. Banks or walled gardens may route the impression in a way that doesn't narrow the gap between the market price and the transacted price. Header bidding is a technology that allows the demand side to access all ad impressions and bid on them. It collapses the siloed supply and demand so that the market is purer, cleaner, and more fair, no front running. It was pioneered in display advertising, but now CTV content providers working with us, are starting to adopt something very similar. And FreeWheel has progressed the quality of transactions in CTV by creating a header bidding-like product. This is important because traditionally TV media sales have followed the classic waterfall method which silos demand. Direct sales teams sell the highest valued inventory to the largest buyers first and then so on down the waterfall. As more TV content shifts to connected devices, header bidding augments this process. Buyers like The Trade Desk can now compete for every impression and that means we can bring more demand. And suppliers get to consider all the demand at once which increases CPMs and improves forecasting for publishers. Where we work with FreeWheel's unified yield we have seen spend increase up to 5x. So, we're convinced this will have a big impact on TV over the coming years. I know we talked quite a bit about CTV on these calls in the past, but we are in the middle of a once-in-a-lifetime consumer shift to connected devices and streaming content. That's driving all providers to rapidly develop and deploy streaming services, many of them working with us to maximize ad demand. We are seeing this translate to spend on our platform and CTV spend grew 137% in 2019 and current trends indicate it will double again in 2020. If any of you were at CES this year, you would have been impressed by the scale of this transformation, but you would have also seen that we are only in the very early stages. There's a whole section of CES that is devoted to the future of marketing. And this year CTV was the largest topic of conversation. And what you heard was advertisers looking to devote more of their TV campaigns to CTV and content providers racing to make more of their inventory available. I was on stage there with Linda Yaccarino, Chairman of Advertising and Partnerships at NBCUniversal. We shared our common view that this is the year where the industry starts making that accelerated shift to Connected TV which will transform everything about TV advertising, whether it's the application of data or measurement or the traditional upfront process. Of course, we're already seeing this shift as major new platforms come online including NBC's Peacock. Live sports are also a major driver as broadcasters look to CTV to optimize the unpredictability of live events. Many said that sports would be the anchor for linear TV and with slow viewer migration to CTV consumption. In 2019, we disproved that thesis. Last year we ran ads in nearly every major sporting event. While this merely scratched the surface, it provided very compelling proof and case studies for what data-driven advertising can produce for live content. Needless to say, in 2020, we expect this trend to continue. Switching gears. On the demand side, there was a noticeable shift in 2019 in terms of how many advertisers are looking at the value we provide. As I said earlier, we have spent much of our 10-year history making the case for data-driven advertising. That started to change in 2019. Today, advertisers get it. And as much more channels get digitized such as TV, they want to apply more data across all their campaigns. They want to do more with us. And as a result, in 2019, we saw more advertisers shift their budgets. And in the last 12 months, about 75% of the Ad Age top 200 advertisers spend at least $100,000 on our platform. Early in 2020, we are seeing that trend continue. To-date spend has been particularly strong in North America. In 2020, we expect more large brands on our platform than ever before. That's one of the big reasons why we expect spend growth to accelerate in 2020. Advertisers are shifting spend from large search and social platforms on to our platform. Much of the spend is expected to go to newer channels such as CTV and audio. For example, we recently signed a major new agreement with a large multinational life sciences company. And they're shifting a significant portion of their advertising spend away from the walled gardens. That's a common thread among many of our new or growing advertisers. In 2019, the number of MSAs with brands doubled. We expect similar trends in the future. I do want to point out that the overwhelming majority of brands that do sign MSAs with us directly continue to work with their agencies. As you know, we've always been close partners to the agencies, and this won't change. But we also expect more and more brands to sign with us directly so that they can control the activation of their data as their programmatic spend continues to grow. But they will continue to lean on their ad agencies for guidance, strategy and global execution. So, why is the shift occurring? As advertisers commit more campaign dollars to data-driven advertising, attributes such as transparency and objectivity become more important. And advertisers understand The Trade Desk is the most transparent and objective platform in the market today. This is even more relevant in the context of issues such as privacy and identity. Let me take a few minutes to explain. First of all, the market has been testing the virtue of the walled garden strategy. To be clear, the term walled garden describes platforms who do not provide or enable measurement of performance of their advertising outside of their own four walls. You can only access their inventory through them and only review results as measured by them. They get to grade their own homework. What the last 10 years has proven is that this strategy can work well, if you have a majority market share. If you own most of the social media ads or most of the search ads or most of the UGC video ads, then the company can afford to say buy it my way or not at all. But that only works if you're big enough so that marketers are afraid not to buy from you. In TV, this market share concentration does not exist. No studio, no channel, no cable company, no MVPD, no one has the leverage to pull that off in TV. And because we think video in all of its forms will be about half the $1 trillion advertising pie, we predict that CTV will be the quantum leap forward that eventually forces all walled gardens to change course. While the economics of CTV are putting pressure on walled gardens, so is the state of the privacy debate. As you all know, there are regulations such as CCPA and GDPR as well as actions from tech companies such as Apple, Google and Firefox to alter the role of cookies. All of these get reported and over time, it starts to feel as if the advertising industry is lurking around every dark corner looking to violate a consumer's privacy to steal their data or something like it. But that's not what advertisers are trying to do. It's not even how they think about it. I've spoken to hundreds of CMOs many of those at the biggest brands in the world. I've yet to meet one that doesn't care deeply about building trust with consumers. They know that they're in the business of building relationships between them and consumers. I've never met one that is throwing caution to the wind on privacy. Because I've always been in the business of aligning my interest with the buy side, I also care deeply about consumer privacy. I care about it as a global citizen, as a consumer and as the CEO of a data-driven tech company. In fact, we have thought about privacy from the very beginning when we founded The Trade Desk over 10 years ago. It has helped us prepare for GDPR and CCPA and browser changes without significantly disrupting our technology or business practices. Just because Facebook and Google gather your most personal information, does not mean that advertisers have any interest in acting or trading on that information, quite the opposite. In most cases, brands are servicing a long-lasting relationship that is incredibly important to them. They understand the risks inherent in compromising consumer privacy. What advertisers are squarely focused on is how to drive better and more relevant ads that help fund the great Internet experience that we all enjoy while simultaneously protecting consumer privacy. Outside our industry, these motivations are often misunderstood. At the core of our value is the trust that advertisers have in us at The Trade Desk to put their first-party data to work. Through their first-party data, they can model who their most loyal customers are by product. They can understand what kinds of characteristics are common across these loyal customers. And they can use those data models to find where those patterns exist elsewhere in the market in order to reach their next million customers. And that kind of data modeling can be done on our platform without ever having to know any directly identifiable information about the consumer. Advertisers know that we can help them do their modeling work with a limited amount of data or a vast amount of data. If we operate in a world with less data we're darn good at that. Our whole system is built around making objective choices with limited data. We do that with many of the impressions we see today. In these environments, we already deliver high ROIs for advertisers. If we get more data, fantastic. Our platform can ingest as much data as you can possibly use in a privacy-safe way already. We do that now better than anyone. We are committed, responsible stewards of consumers, agencies, partners and advertisers data. In this way, we are completely aligned with what advertisers are doing. We only use data in a way that builds trust. With this in mind, let me give you my opinion regarding Google Chrome. Google is between a rock and a hard place right now. They are under pressure from regulators and from other tech companies such as Apple, who block third-party cookies. Even if Google creates an environment that only provides for a high level of targeting within the browser that they control, the value exchange of the Internet does not change. And what that means is that advertisers and content providers will have to find new ways to fund content through relevant advertising. The L.A. Times cannot tolerate a 50% drop in CPMs, just because of a change in policy at Google. In one scenario, a content provider may then ask for a consent for a reader's e-mail address on every visit. And then they'll work with the ecosystem to build new identity models. To The Trade Desk, it doesn't really matter what the identity model or approach is. We'll be successful regardless. In fact, I can make the case that we become indispensable in that latter scenario. The next two years will be fascinating and we'll fully engage with Google and the rest of the ad ecosystem. Even though, the cookie-based Internet does not represent the bulk of our business and is certainly not part of the faster-growing segments of our business like CTV or mobile in-application, it's important. And we'll be fully engaged on behalf of our advertisers. Advertisers view us as their representatives and we will continue to represent them in the discussion about identity technology. Because we only represent the buy side and because we don't own any media or a media platform, they know we are objective and represent their interest. They know we will protect their data and they know that we won't allow anyone to trade indirectly identifiable information on our platform. As advertisers make major platform decisions about where to run their campaigns, I hope this explains why our objective approach is a significant driver of demand for us. By the way, this objectivity point is also critical in another fast-growing segment of our business and that's in political advertising. The 2016 presidential election cycle saw Canada start to leverage data-driven advertising. For the 2020 cycle, nearly every candidate is using it. We are starting to see more spend in this segment, which we expect will increase as the year progresses. As you know, some tech platforms have decided to sit out or limit their role in the political advertising process. At The Trade desk, it's a very different decision. We are not a free social media platform where bad actors are easily engaged and can at times spread misinformation. We only deal in paid advertising. That combined with our vetting processes, micro-targeting limits and our commitment to objectivity mean that we're rapidly becoming a preferred platform for major political campaigns. So I know, I've covered a lot of ground here, but I think it's all important to understand what's going on in our industry and our position within it. We really are firing on all cylinders as we enter 2020. First, and as I said earlier I could not be more excited about our inventory growth in 2019. We have always operated under the inventory model that, if you build it they will come. The economic model of our business means that it cannot grow without growth in premium content. In 2019, we laid more groundwork for demand growth than in any year previously. And I focus so much on CTV, because as we discussed advertisers view CTV as a way to break their dependence on walled gardens. It's why if current trends continue we expect CTV spend to double again in 2020. Second, we have more large advertisers on our platform than ever before. About 75% of the Ad Age top 200 advertisers spent at least $100,000 on our platform in the last 12 months. Even with this momentum, we still see significant growth potential as data-driven advertising becomes an ever larger element of their campaigns. As a result, their current spend with us is still small relative to what we expect them to do moving forward. Third is political. We expect The Trade Desk to be a preferred platform for all major campaigns as they ramp up spending throughout the year. And finally global expansion, we've made significant investments outside the U.S. over the last two years and will continue to do so. We believe we are in a strong position to grow international again in 2020. The Trade Desk is very well positioned as the advertising industry evolves. Our business model hasn't changed since we began 10 years ago. It was founded on the belief that advertisers would demand an open and objective platform as they optimize their growing digital ad campaigns. With every passing year as marketer's embrace data-driven advertising that belief gets validated further. We are executing well. We're poised for more growth. 2019 was an excellent year and we expect 2020 to be even stronger. Now, I'm going to turn the time over to Blake to discuss our financials.