Jeff Green
Analyst · Susquehanna. Go ahead
Thanks, Chris. Good afternoon and thanks to everyone for joining us today. The first half of the year and in particular Q2, have been great for The Trade Desk. We posted record revenue in the June quarter of $72.8 million, and adjusted EBITDA margin of 35%, which exceeded our expectations. I will talk more about that in a bit, but what I get excited about most was that during the quarter we had some of the highest spend ever in multiple channels, in mobile, mobile video, native, and audio. I’m super excited about each of these channels, but more excited that they are all growing together. This is a sign that we are becoming more diversified as we add new unique supply partners. This helps brands reach consumers wherever they grow. We help them buy holistically. This well-rounded growth is as important as the growth itself. We have one of our biggest quarter’s ever in display, but I am even more excited that it was the lowest percentage of total spend ever, now below 40%. Audio is one of our most promising channels and it’s growing at an astounding pace almost 400% since December. Audio is still nascent and has so much outside as more inventory comes online and more users leave traditional radio. If you believe like I do that audio and video are more effective advertising mediums, the fact that we are moving in that direction means that we are moving towards more effective advertising, which in turn makes our business more sustainable as we provide more value. It also is evidence that we have done as good of a job as anybody in programmatic at being on the channel. Our customer base remains extremely loyal and retention continues north of 95%. Similar to the past three quarters, we have accurately predicted the performance of this core base, plus we continue to see incremental upside from existing agencies with new advertisers from across many different industries such as banking, communications, food and beverage, automotive and consumer electronics. Additionally, daily usage continues to play a larger role growing 75% from a year ago. Through Q2, the number of customers using third-party data is nearly 100%, and year-over-year our international operations grew about three times as fast as the US. Finally, mobile continues to lead our mature channels in terms of growth, with mobile video leading the way, growing at 171% year-over-year. Given mobile represents a scaled channel at just over a third of our revenue growth this rapid is something we had not predicted. While we continue to grow quickly, I do want to mention that the advertising industry is not without its challenges. While we consider ourselves a SaaS company that operates in advertising, many ad tech and some agencies with different business models then us have struggled. There have been a lot of ad tech M&A deals at prices that feel like capitulation. I also recently met with a CEO of a large agency and the first thing that he said to me was that business is tough. In our view, both of these trends are actually healthy. The ad tech deals are cleaning up the space, companies that can support to be stand alone are joining the ranks with those who can't, changing business models to something more sustainable is a good thing. The changes in ad tech are making the future brighter not worse. The same is true of ad agencies, they are having tough conversations with their clients about their business model and how they charge. Getting the agencies more aligned with their clients is a good thing. So in the short term, it’s painful, because we enable as ad agencies instead disrupting them, our relationships are getting deeper and they are stronger than ever. We have worked really hard to win the trust of agencies and make ourselves indispensable. We’re getting closer to that goal, which is good for The Trade Desk and good for the programmatic industry. Let's not lose sight of the fact that most people predict the evolutions of this space will lead to a happy ending, myself included. This massive $650 billion advertising industry is both growing and transforming and as it does, we expect there to be fewer ads, they will be more relevant, advertisers will waster less money, and publishers will make more money. And this is a win-win for everyone, including and especially the consumer. However, as the industry transforms there will be more companies joining forces, more deals. And companies that are features, but not businesses will sell for cheap. Old business models void of transparency, but rich in fees will go away and this is not a tragedy. Some negative headlines fail to acknowledge that this time is one of the best ever in media and the efficacy of programmatic advertising is unprecedented. Many of these companies are aggressively trying to seek and exit and it is because the industry is weeding out those that have not improved their business models or not adding more value to the industries than they extract in fees. And they will continue to struggle and even go away as the industry matures. And as this happens, The Trade Desk is winning more and more share and building more credibility with agencies and advertisers, due to our transparency and objectivity and business model. Our CMO is an agency for digesting all the changes in our space. They are coming to us. Our objectivity is more of an asset today than it was last quarter or frankly ever before. We expect to continue to outpace the growth of digital in large part because we buy holistically and objectively and we don't own any media. Transparency is an ideal that gets talked about a lot in advertising, but it too often means something different in practice. To be clear, we think we set a new standard in advertising transparency. If an advertiser or an agency wants to know the details of every single ad impression they buy, we can and will provide the details, including price and all the metadata on every impression they've ever bought. I will provide an update on the largest growth opportunities for our business, global expansion, mobile, and TV. For the better part of June and July, I spent time meeting with our team, agencies, potential customers, and data, and inventory partners in both Europe and Asia, and I came away more bullish than I have ever been on our global prospects. In Q2, outside of the US, our year-over-year growth rate was over 130%. We had record quarters in literally all of our offices outside the US, which includes London, Singapore, Hamburg, Tokyo, and Hong Kong, and more. Some countries like Germany and Japan, which had been slow and steady in their programmatic adoption recently started to hit inflection points. Year-over-year our Hamburg office grew nearly 150%, and Japan grew by even more at roughly 300%. We have been investing in these countries for over three years and these inflection points serve to remind us that of the growing $650 billion advertising buy, about two-thirds of that comes from outside of the United States. We have only scratched the surface, and at this stage being a public company is an advantage for us. Outside the US, publishers and advertisers see that we are stable that we're profitable that we’re growing quickly have superior technology and then we have a lower take rate in nearly all of the local DSPs, which puts us in the pole position to win our long term. While we’ve never aimed to be the cheapest, our offering and rates often makes our value propositions overwhelmingly competitive. We recently opened our Shanghai office putting us at 20 offices worldwide and firmly rooting us in most of the major media markets around the world. Our focus has shifted from opening offices and getting on the ground to now growing the offices we currently have. We can grow at existing markets like Japan, Korea, China, Hong Kong, Germany, and France where the media markets are already so large. In Indonesia, where the total population is similar to that size of the United States, the opportunity is massive, compared to opening any new office in a smaller country or smaller media market. We expect to talk about our global opportunity in more detail at our upcoming Investor Day. Our newest office is in Shanghai. We are building up the team and have begun working with some of the largest agencies in the world there. By our estimation, China is about seven years behind the US in programmatic adoption. The overall QPS available there is a fraction of what is available in the United States. Price discovery requires trust, meaning publishers need to share info about the inventory that they are selling so that buyers can make important decisions. And the buyers need to trust the data that they are utilizing is valid, faster. Creating price discovery and liquidity are two of the most fundamental and foundational principles of any marketplace designed and China is still in the early process of developing a healthy programmatic market. We need to remember that China has massive publishers in the industry and there are tons of potential growth opportunities ahead, but I don't expect China to pay dividends for a number of years, just like many of our other offices outside of the US that have just started adopting programmatic more rapidly. In this case, the next few years will be slower growth than other offices have been as a percentage where we expect the market to move quickly after the groundwork has been established. Some companies have a China strategy of go big or go home. We don't take that approach. We approach the China market the same way we have entered all other major media markets around the world. We invest ahead, we build trust, we demonstrate our value ad, and then we see those investments start to pay dividends over time. We reinvest as those markets adopt programmatic. It has worked in the US and in every other worldwide location and we expect it to work in China too. We are off to a great start and we are already partnered with Baidu and we continue to have great dialogue with other major publishers in China. We expect that we will have many important partners there in the future, the same way that Google or Spotify or both and others have partnered with us here in the United States. Many companies have tried to go to China and failed to win the hearts and minds of Chinese consumers. We are different and that we are not trying to win them to our brand. Most will never know our company. We go to publishers in China and bring demand from global advertisers because we represent the largest multinational brands in the world on our platform. Global brands that Chinese consumers already love can go to China with a coordinated and global message. This puts us in a great position with our customers to withstand as we can power advertising budgets on a global basis with an omni-channel presence, completely independent and without bias to any specific media asset. Multinationals, we already power wants to spend in China. We expect that major publishers in China will find it hard to say no to big dollar chest from the most premium brands in the world. Now on to few of our most important channels, mobile and video where we continue to make great progress. In Q2, all mobile, including in-app and mobile video grew significantly and represented over a third of our business. We continue to see exceptionally strong growth in mobile video and mobile in-app, which grew 171% and 87% respectively, compared with Q2 a year ago. Mobile continues to grow rapidly and we are well positioned to win additional cent. As consumers spend more time on mobile devices and as advertisers become more sophisticated with video, we believe mobile ads will also become higher quality and be better integrated into the user experience than they are today. Mobile video is still one of the most untapped opportunities in all of digital with its potential to connect with audiences since consumers are spending more time there. With all of these forces coming together in mobile we enable unbiased data driven decisioning and return a better ROI for our customers, not just on one site or one app, but across the entire Internet and all of media. And perhaps the only other area that can drive more spend in mobile over the long-term is connected TV, which leads to two questions that I hear regularly. Why isn't connected TV growing faster, and when will connected TV hit a tipping point? Now before I answer the questions, I want to state that I firmly believe that no one is better positioned to take advantage of the move to connected TV than The Trade Desk. And I believe most people are looking at it at the wrong way. There is not really a question that things are moving back. Connected TV is growing, it is growing fast. No ad subscriptions are actually slowing down, and consumers can't take many more ad free subscriptions, they can't afford. In our view, this is why ad funded inventory is growing so much faster than the growth of connected TV, the amount of connected TV inventory we access has gone up by 10x since a year ago and the stand on spend on connected TV on our platform is up just under 200% year-on-year. Some have failed to consider that subscription saturation will make the adoption of ad funded models more hockey stick than linear, but more importantly traditional TV is a ticking time bomb. Traditional cable TV is losing millions of subscribers every year to streaming and on top of that millennials aged 19 to 29 spend more time OTT than they do on linear according to Morning Consult, a brand intelligence firm. As The Trade Desk and informal poll showed more than half of those in their 20s have never had a cable bill, ever. The average cable bill in America is over $100 a month, which is almost 50% more than 10 years ago. The number of ad for commercial breaks had gone up over the same period, making the appeal of ad free environments like Netflix more successful. But cord shaving cord cutting have accelerated while the younger half of millennials and nearly all of Gen V and all of Gen V are cord-netters [indiscernible], since both economics and a better experience are causing consumers at every income level to long for Internet powered TV, the more interesting question is when does traditional TV end as we know it. Traditional TV is now showing more ads to fewer people at a higher price than ever before and that is simply not sustainable. As we have said before, we think the AT&T and Time Warner deal represent one of the biggest moves in TV ever to signify some of the biggest names in TV trying to win in the transition. And that’s dependent on ad funded models. The question when do others follow is a much more interesting question then when connected TV takes off, because I would argue it’s happening right now. Advertisers are realizing that an unprecedented rate the traditional advertising is introducing the same efficacy that it once did. We frequently hear from large advertisers and CMO's that there are four of five that millennials don't know or care about their brand. They believe that they have not been able to reach them effectively. And these are from progressive marketers who are early adopters in digital and programmatic. They put more dollars into traditional TV all while ODT is adding people every day, especially from young millennials and mature Gen V’ers who are in a critical stage of life where they develop brand loyalty. Not only the CMO's need programmatic TV desperately, but TV content producers need programmatic. It is the only way for ad funded content creators to make the change from broadcast to connected TV and while it takes big media companies time to turn the ship they are turning now as they realize that understanding and adopting programmatic advertising is existentially critical to their businesses. The sheer size of the TV market are approaching $300 billion and growing of the worldwide advertising market, can move the needle unlike any other channel, which is why we are investing so heavily now in more inventory integrations, more partnerships, and more product development. Finally, I’ll take a minute to talk about our business model. As I have stated many times before, we believe our business model is exceptional. We don't believe that in our case we must choose between growth and profitability. We can do both and have for three years now. In Q2, our financial performance and particularly our adjusted EBITDA were significantly better than we’ve expected. It came in at $25 million for an adjusted EBITDA margin of 35%. This is meaningfully higher than we had expected, so I want to give a little context. First, because of the operating leverage inflection point we've reached in the last year, we've increased our operating spend by more than $20 million year-over-year of the increase. This means our investment was up 65% over the previous year, and four our three major growth initiatives mobile, TV, and global expansion we spent more on product development, but we couldn't invest fast enough. We refuse to spend frivolously or foolishly. The President and moral hazard is way worse than whatever benefit we would get from that. And since we're playing the long game, we’re much more concerned about the cultural impact on making those types of decisions. Some of the hiring and investments we did not complete in Q2 are already happening in Q3 and we are adding to our technology investments and into the expansion of our global offices. We expect EBITDA to be 27% in Q3, as a few of our Q2 investments slip into Q3. We consider this a great position of strength, after all we are investing as aggressively as we can and we’re still producing EBITDA margins that compete with all of the other SaaS companies, including those much bigger and more mature than we are. We are setting the bar for what software companies have to produce to compete in the advertising business. The advertising industry is continuing to see ad dollars shift to programmatic, and we continue to win new business and our existing customers are spending more on our platform. For 2016, we’re increasing our expectations for the year. We now expect to be at least to $303 million in revenue and we are increasing our adjusted EBITDA estimate as well. We expect adjusted EBITDA percentage to be at 29% for 2017, which revises our adjusted EBITDA guidance to $88 million for the year. Agencies and brands are looking for a data driven easy-to-use platform solution that delivers a better ROI for their ad dollars. The Trade Desk is the answer and this is why we are the largest objective, independent market share leader in the programmatic space, and why we believe we will continue to gain share in the future. Now, I'm going to turn the call over to Rob to discuss our quarter in a little bit more detail.