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Townsquare Media, Inc. (TSQ)

Q1 2022 Earnings Call· Sat, May 14, 2022

$6.33

-4.24%

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Transcript

Claire Yenicay

Management

Thank you, operator, and good morning to everyone. Thank you for joining us today for Townsquare's first quarter financial update. With me on the call today are Bill Wilson, our CEO; and Stuart Rosenstein, our CFO and Executive Vice President. Please note that during this call, we may make statements that provide information other than historical information, including statements relating to the company's future expectations, plans and prospects. These statements are considered forward-looking statements under the safe harbor provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements. These statements reflect the company's beliefs based on current conditions that are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, including those that are detailed in the company's annual report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC. We may also discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income and adjusted operating income, which we may refer to as profit in our remarks. Such non-GAAP financial measures should be used in conjunction with all the information contained in the quarterly, year-end and current reports available on our website. I would also encourage all participants to go to our corporate website and download our investor presentation, as Bill will reference some of those slides during our discussion this morning. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Bill Wilson.

Bill Wilson

Management

Thank you, Claire, and thank you all for joining us. I've been looking forward to our call this morning for quite some time as we've had an exciting start to the year. I'm pleased to be able to provide you an update on our strong Q1 performance, discuss the announcement of our Cherry Creek acquisition as well as reaffirm our very strong outlook for the year, including our expectation of all-time high record level profits for Townsquare. Our first quarter financial results reflect strong growth and strong margins. And as a result, the Townsquare team exceeded our first quarter revenue and EBITDA guidance, as outlined on Slide 18. First quarter net revenue increased a very strong plus 13% year-over-year to $100.2 million, above our guidance range of $97.5 million to $99.5 million. And importantly, we have now meaningfully surpassed 2019 levels, with first quarter net revenue exceeding 2019's net revenue by plus 7%. Our first quarter adjusted EBITDA also increased double digits, up a robust plus 10% year-over-year to $22.1 million, also above our guidance range of $21 million to $22 million. And of course, that also exceeds 2019 levels as we have now been above 2019 EBITDA levels for 6 straight quarters since the fourth quarter of 2020. Now that we have successfully recovered and surpassed pre-COVID levels for both net revenue and adjusted EBITDA, it is no longer relevant to be comparing our results to 2019. Organically, Townsquare is above 2019 pre-COVID revenue and EBITDA levels due largely to our consistent digital strength and our digital growth. In the first quarter of 2022, our digital revenue and digital profit increased plus 16% and plus 11%, respectively, over the prior year. In total, 51% of our Q1 revenue and 55% of our Q1 profit came from our digital solutions.…

Stuart Rosenstein

Management

Thank you, Bill, and good morning, everyone. We started the year with strong first quarter financial results that exceeded 2019 revenue as well as our guidance, driven by growth across all our segments. First quarter net revenue increased 12.9% over the prior year period to $100.2 million and above our guidance range of $97.5 million to $99.5 million. As compared to 2019, first quarter net revenue increased 7%. Excluding political, first quarter net revenue increased 13% year-over-year. Political revenue of $432,000 was below 2018's political revenue, and therefore, below our expectations for political this quarter. Although off to a slow start this year, we still believe that political revenue for 2022 has the potential to exceed 2018 political revenue of $10 million. First quarter adjusted EBITDA also surpassed our guidance of $21 million to $22 million, up 9.8% year-over-year to $22.1 million. Excluding the impact of political revenue in the first quarter, adjusted EBITDA increased 10% versus the prior year. Our Subscription Digital Marketing Solutions segment, Townsquare Interactive, again delivered another strong quarter of net revenue, profit and net subscriber growth. In the first quarter, net revenue increased 15% as compared to the prior year. This revenue growth was supported by a Q1 record high net subscriber additions of approximately 1,050. This compares to approximately 850 net subscriber adds in Q1 of last year. Townsquare Interactive's first quarter profit increased 7.5% year-over-year to $6.4 million with a 29% profit margin. That's consistent with our 12-month trailing profit margin. Our Digital Advertising segment's net revenue increase was even stronger and thus the fastest-growing division of our company with growth of 16.6% in Q1 over the prior year. Digital Advertising profit, which we just started breaking out and providing details on in March with our year-end results, increased 13.1% year-over-year to $8.2…

Bill Wilson

Management

Thank you, Stu, and thank you, everybody, who joined us this morning. We greatly appreciate it. I'm extremely proud of our team and our first quarter results, and I'm extremely excited about our future. We have fully recovered our revenue and adjusted EBITDA to pre-COVID levels, and we will continue to drive Townsquare to new heights each and every quarter. Our digital platform now more evident to have investors due to our new segment reporting, continues its steady growth, with over $200 million of LTM revenue today, growing to a minimum of $275 million by 2024. Over half of our company's total net revenue and total profit came from digital in Q1. Our balance sheet has improved dramatically over the past year, and net leverage is now at 4.66x, well on the path of 4x by the end of the year. And then the potential opportunity to refinance in 9 months that could lead to meaningful cash interest savings. As we say internally, how high is high. Thanks, again, to all, and please do not hesitate to reach out if you have any more questions about Townsquare. Operator, at this time, please open the lines for any and all questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from Michael Kupinski from NOBLE Capital Markets.

Michael Kupinski

Analyst

First of all, congratulations on your record quarter. Can you talk a little bit about your office expansion plans? I know that you opened an office in Phoenix, but I thought that you were opening offices in California, and I was just wondering if you could talk a little bit about maybe your additional locations, and what your time line might be for those?

Bill Wilson

Management

Our Townsquare Interactive office expansion plans. We've always said West Coast, but in fact, we are signing a lease in Phoenix. We've hired roughly [30] employees who currently are based in that location, but working remotely while we do the build-out of the office space and expect them to be operating in the office in the back half of this year, but it is Phoenix, not California, if that helps.

Michael Kupinski

Analyst

And Bill, you were contemplating of maybe opening up additional offices like maybe in the Midwest. Is that still on part of your plan or...

Bill Wilson

Management

That would be -- we've talked about that in terms of in the out years, saying 3 to 5 years out as we open the second location, could we potentially open a third location. But currently, our short-term plans are the second location. Really just given the total addressable market that we've outlined for Townsquare Interactive at $32 billion, we continue to highlight that we're just scratching the surface. We're approaching 60% of our customer base outside of our local market footprint and obviously 40% percent in our local market footprint. So we continue to accelerate that investment in Townsquare Interactive. We're really pleased with our continued strength there. We've set a record for our Q1 most number of net adds in Q1 obviously, continued strength almost adding $3 million in revenue in Q1 to Q1, plus 15%. So we're excited to open this location. I would focus on that. And then is there potential for a Midwest location down the road, definitely, but our current focus is Phoenix.

Michael Kupinski

Analyst

And then another differentiator of yours from other radio companies is that you concentrate in smaller markets. And for that reason, you may have very little national advertising. And I know that a lot of radio companies have indicated that national advertising is weak. But for the record, how much of your business is national advertising?

Bill Wilson

Management

Yes, you're exactly right. The fact that we operate principally outside the top 50 cities in the United States, not only for our local media where we have presence, but also when we utilize our, what I would call, world-class call center inside sales team in Charlotte, we're calling like-sized markets outside of the top 50 markets. So to your point, our national advertising is very, very different than larger -- in top 50 players who are principally driven revenue and profit from those top 50 markets. So our national advertising is roughly 7% of our total net revenue. Quite honestly, national performed quite well in Q1. It was up -- from a broadcast perspective, was up over 2019 levels as was our local direct was up over 2019 levels. So pretty much our broadcast business, I would call back to 2019 levels outside of auto and some retail, particularly appliances and furniture, where there's either chip supply or supply chain issues. But we've done quite well. To your point, we've had the benefit of hearing other local media, including broadcast companies talk about their Q2. And national for us definitely has stalled in Q2 versus Q1. But thankfully, for us, it's such a small piece of our business that our continued strength in local direct and local broadcasting, our Q2 outlook continues to be solid for broadcasting. And quite honestly, our Digital Advertising outlook in Q2, we believe, will be higher than Q1. So we see an acceleration of Digital Advertising in Q2 after having a very strong plus 17% quarter in Q1 and digital revenue being up 16% in Q1 and digital profit being up 11%, which brought us to, for the first time ever, over 50% of our revenue and 50% of our profit was from digital solutions, 51% of our revenue and 55% of our profit now comes from digital solutions. So having, to your point, operating in smaller markets, being -- having transformed to a digital-first company, having differentiated ourselves and really being focused on digital as our growth engine has set us up quite well. And as we noted, we reaffirmed our guidance for the full year, and we gave strong Q2 guidance, revenue range plus 9% to plus 13% and profit range plus 6% to plus 9%, which I think just reaffirms our confidence not only in the year, but as we sit here in early May for Q2.

Michael Kupinski

Analyst

And Bill, you touched on this in your comments. Is there anything in the guidance for the Q2 that may reflect different -- maybe differing revenue trends, whether it be advertising categories or regions in the US. Anything different than what we saw in the first quarter outside of what you just indicated in terms of digital? It sounds like it's accelerating in the second quarter.

Bill Wilson

Management

No, I think, from an advertising standpoint, as I just noted, we see nice tailwinds for Digital Advertising. I think that's going to be above our Q1 growth rate of 17%. I think we could be in the 20%, 20% plus range for Digital Advertising in Q2. And there, we're seeing strength in real estate, commercial and residential, health services like doctors, hospitals, clinics, financial services, entertainment, services like builders, contractors, HVAC. So we're feeling quite good there. As it relates to broadcast, I just noted, obviously, for Q2, national has definitely slowed down, but thankfully, that's a small part of our business. Local direct continues to be up above 2019 levels and well above 2021 levels. We do still see weakness in auto. Not only is autos down from 2019, it's actually down from 2021, and we expect that to continue into 2023. As we get into Q2 and even Q3, auto and appliance stores and furniture stores have larger comps, meaning we got more revenue in Q2 and Q3 in those categories. So that will be a slight drag. But overall, we still have very solid broadcast expectations for Q2. And overall, as I just noted, our revenue guidance for Q2 is plus 9% to plus 13%.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Jim Goss from Barrington Research.

Jim Goss

Analyst

I'll start out with one for Stu. You mentioned political was off to somewhat of a slow start, but you still had the $10 million full year insights. I was just wondering if you had an idea of why that might have happened and what the issues were, whether that can impede your progress towards your ultimate goal?

Stuart Rosenstein

Management

Quite honestly, no. It's kind of hard to tell when political comes in. Sometimes it comes in quickly and unexpectedly, and sometimes it comes in a little slower. Our people are out there doing everything they need to do for this year. The midterms are coming up. We're starting -- we're hoping to see some improvement coming into the summer months. And we're hopeful that we'll see everything that we're going to get everything that we hope to get and come -- get back to 2018 levels.

Jim Goss

Analyst

Another, involving the Cherry Creek Broadcasting acquisition. I gather you're targeting all 3 of the digital aspects you have to your business. And I wonder if you might talk about how you might involve the local influencer plan, and how you might execute on that transition to make it more like the other Townsquare stations? And do you see more such options that might make sense? And are there any geographies you would be -- you would find desirable or not so much?

Bill Wilson

Management

So we're quite excited about Cherry Creek. As I noted in the prepared remarks, I've already visited a number of their markets and spent time with their team and actually, at the end of this week, we'll be going to visit the rest of the team. And they're quite excited. They've done quite well from a broadcast perspective. They're back to 2019 levels, if not above 2019 level. So it's a very well-run company. But roughly 10% to 15% of their revenue is digital. So we see market-leading brands, great local sales team, great leaders that we can bring to the table, our digital platforms, as you just noted. And having spent time with the team now in person as well as through town hall, virtual calls with all of Cherry Creek, they're quite excited to adopt this and help their local businesses grow and reach their audiences in new ways. So, to your point, you'll see us deploy; first, our digital strategy in terms of building a digital audience and becoming, if not the largest, one of the largest online presences in these additional Cherry Creek market. And then we'll bring our Townsquare Interactive and our Townsquare Digital Advertising Ignite to these sales teams into these markets over the next 6 to 12 months once the FCC grants us approval, which we're expecting in the next couple of months. So couldn't be more excited, as I noted, taking a pure broadcaster, which we've had great experience with over the last 12 years and diversifying that to a digital-first company is something we excel at.

Jim Goss

Analyst

In terms of other such [Indiscernible] potentials around the country that would make sense within the context you've outlined?

Bill Wilson

Management

I think we noted this before, Jim, like we are the natural acquirer of local media assets outside the top 50 markets. Quite honestly, we've been quite disciplined and consistent in operating even when we've had opportunities to go into top 50 markets. Our strategy works so well, and I think we performed quite well in these size markets. We understand it exceptionally well. So there are many other opportunities that, particularly given the Charity Creek acquisition, I think surprisingly, it took some by surprise, even though we've been talking about growing our footprint at the right price with great brands. So first, for the rest of this year, obviously, Cherry Creek was bite-sized, under $20 million acquisition cost, great. We got it at an attractive multiple. We -- as Stu noted, our focus right now is delevering, getting down to 4x. And if the financial markets cooperate, being able to refinance in February of 2023. Post that time period, either if we do refinance because we'll be continuing to build cash, quite a bit of cash throughout next year, or if the markets do not cooperate and we don't refinance, either outcome, I think there'll be greater opportunity for M&A outside the top 50 markets as we go into 2023, particularly coming off a political year. So that's what we're focused right now on delevering. But I think if you look at the next 2 to 3 years, we're the natural acquirer of these type of assets.

Jim Goss

Analyst

And one last one regarding TSI. You've talked about the trust and bond with local customers you were able to develop and the creative aspects of your engineering staff. I'm just wondering if all of this, as you pursue this path, if it fosters other types of relationships that could create premium add-on services that could increase ARPU beyond the, say, $300 per month average monthly fee? Or is there enough of that $300 business to make it -- make you better off by not messing with the current plan?

Bill Wilson

Management

Well, yes, great question, and I appreciate you noting the trust and the bond and just the engineering staff, as I noted in our remarks and we highlight them in the investor deck. It's just an incredible team, and one of our differentiator is that all of our growth has been organic. Our digital growth isn't based on acquisitions. It's all us building solutions, knowing the mentality and the challenges of businesses in these size markets and then we go and build solutions, having gotten their feedback that serves their needs. And our engineering team, many of which have been with us since Day 1 and 2010 is just world-class. So it was great to see them receive some accolades at the NAB show for the pilot award, just couldn't be more proud of them. So first and foremost, not adding on any services, clearly, there's a tremendous $32 billion market opportunity, which we outlined in the investor deck with almost 9 million target subscribers for our subscription service, and we're just under 30,000 or approaching 30,000. So continuing to operate. Increasing investment like we're doing with our Phoenix location, we feel quite confident that we're going to continue to be able to grow over -- we're looking at, I think it was in Q1 at plus 15%. We'll get into plus 14%, plus 15% in Q2. And each year, for the last 6, 7 years, we've added roughly $10 million minimum top line and $3 million bottom line. So continuing down the steady state of what we're doing, increasing our investment. We couldn't be more excited about our subscription business. But you bring up a point that we are looking at opportunities to add on other services for these types of clients. Could they be human resource type add-ons, accounts payable type add-on? We built the CRM, the customer relationship management platform. We've talked to SMBs about that. So those are all future opportunities that we could add on to our existing digital marketing solutions for greater ARPU, and we're testing some of those. But our current steady state is really just tapping what we are doing. But that said, Jim, you bring up a good point that there are future opportunities for premium add-ons to drive even greater ARPU.

Operator

Operator

This concludes the question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Bill Wilson for any closing remarks.

Bill Wilson

Management

Thank you, everybody, for dialing in this morning. We're quite proud of our results and really excited for the rest of the year. If you guys have any questions, please don't hesitate to reach out, and have a great day.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating, and have a pleasant day.