Devin Cole
Chief Operating Officer
Yeah. Good morning. Yeah. The USDA did release their annual report on Friday, and, you know, I think, you know, a few points to note in there that you know, it is the smallest herd since 1951. But maybe more important to today's world that's it's 9% lower than it was in 2019. So, you know, cattle availability continues to be the issue for the industry. You know, however, I would say that we do continue to see some signs, early signs of a rebuild. Replacement heifers in that report did increase 1%. And there's some regionality in that, not a surprise similar to what we've been seeing. I think as we get through the winter months and spring, that will become more clear that that stays on course. But, also, I would say, you know, beef cow slaughter was down 7% in 2025, so that's well below the historical average. And heifers on feed also down 3.1% from the prior year. So, again, there are some bright spots in there as we begin to see these early signs of herd rebuild. But bear in mind too, as that happens, those cattle will become will be taken out of the supply chain, and we'll go through a period here. We will have less availability in the short term as we go back this herd. Yeah. I think this is the summary for all of those data points for us is that you know, cattle are gonna remain extremely tight for the foreseeable future. And we are in these early stages. I think, you know, coming out the other side, as I mentioned, this herd will be smaller than historical numbers post-cycle, which would be indicative of recent times whenever we've gone through rebuild cycles. They do come out with a lower overall number. Know, as a result, feedlots are having to hold cattle longer. Certainly, with stable grain inputs, they're maximizing their weight, which is just helpful from a volume standpoint. To a point. As I mentioned earlier, we do have some body composition issues as they become, you know, certainly really large. But, you know, I think in all of this, the point is demand remains very robust. USDA indicates that they're forecasting 2026 will be very similar to what consumption was in 2022. So no changes throughout all of this. But to me, really, what it does is emphasizes, you know, why we've made the decision to make the changes in our harvest footprint and really setting ourselves up for the future based on the data that we can see today.